Visible Knowledge for Flawless Designs Visible Knowledge for Flawless Designs The Secret behind Lean Product Development By Allen C. Ward With Contributions by Dantar P. Oosterwal Durward K. Sobek II A PRODUCTIVITY PRESS BOOK Routledge Taylor & Francis Group 711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017 © 2018 by Allen C. Ward with contributions from Dantar P. Oosterwal and Durward K. Sobek II Productivity Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business No claim to original U.S. Government works Printed on acid-free paper International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-138-57753-4 (Hardback) International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-138-57728-2 (Paperback) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the validity of all materials or the consequences of their use. 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Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at http://www.taylorandfrancis.com and the Productivity Press site at http://www.ProductivityPress.com Contents Foreword: How This Book Came to Be .......................................................vii Preface: What You’ll Learn .............................................................................xi Acknowledgments .........................................................................................xiii About the Authors ..........................................................................................xv 1 How and Why to Use Visible Knowledge ...........................................1 What Is Visible Knowledge? ..............................................................................2 The Basic Concept .............................................................................................5 How Visible Knowledge Changes the Development Process ..........................8 The Wright Brothers, “Understand Then Design,” and the P-51 ....................10 The Efficiency of Visible Knowledge ...............................................................14 The Problem ..................................................................................................14 Overcoming the Objections .............................................................................21 Reference ..........................................................................................................22 2 How to Create Visible Knowledge ...................................................23 Choosing the Issues to Investigate ..................................................................24 How We’ll Approach the Problem ...................................................................24 Step 1: State the Issue ..................................................................................26 Step 2: Draw a Picture .................................................................................28 Step 3: Create a Causal Diagram .................................................................30 Substep A ..................................................................................................32 Substep B ..................................................................................................33 Substep C ..................................................................................................34 Substep D .................................................................................................34 Substep E ..................................................................................................35 Step 4: Finding Data and Creating Curves ..................................................38 Substep A ..................................................................................................40 Substep B ..................................................................................................40 Substep C ..................................................................................................42 Substep D .................................................................................................48 Step 5: Countermeasures .............................................................................53 v vi ◾ Contents 3 Visible Knowledge and Companies ..................................................59 Organizing Your Knowledge ...........................................................................59 Changing Management Roles and Skills .........................................................62 Making Sure Your People Create Visible Knowledge .....................................63 Conducting Effective Design Reviews .............................................................64 Changing Your Development Process .............................................................65 Changing the Research Organization ...............................................................67 Changing Supplier Relationships ......................................................................67 Changing the Test Organization ......................................................................68 Conclusion: Better, Faster, Cheaper .................................................................69 4 Applying Visible Knowledge ............................................................ 71 Establish a Visible Knowledge Mindset ..........................................................72 Summary ......................................................................................................75 Alternative Ways of Building Visible Knowledge ...........................................76 Leveraging Existing Data .............................................................................76 Tapping the Experience of Seasoned Employees .......................................77 Using Designed Experiments .......................................................................79 Use Visible Knowledge to Enhance Cross-Functional Collaboration.............82 Presentation Is Important ................................................................................87 Leading the Change .........................................................................................90 The Journey Is Just Begun ...............................................................................94 Index ......................................................................................................97 Foreword: How This Book Came to Be The year 2003 was the hundredth anniversary for the Harley-Davidson Motor Company. As the director of product development, Dantar Oosterwal faced the challenge of delivering on a promise of double-digit growth Harley-Davidson had made to the street, and he did not know how to do it. For many years, the demand for Harley-Davidson motorcycles far exceeded their ability to supply them. At the peak, customers waited nearly 24 months to buy certain models. The company’s greatest focus at that time was eliminating bottlenecks in manu- facturing and logistics to get motorcycles out of the factory to waiting customers. The only motorcycles on the floor of a dealership seemed to be those waiting to be picked up or used bikes from trade-in. In the 1990s, Harley-Davidson invested heavily in operations, doubling its manufacturing footprint in an effort to address the supply issue. This investment resulted in record revenue and profits every quarter as Harley-Davidson broke production constraints and shipped increas- ingly more motorcycles to fill demand. At first, the incredible demand seemed insatiable, and the growth promised to the street seemed sustainable. However, a deeper look behind the numbers revealed that the increased product shipments had eroded pent-up demand. By the early 2000s, the wait times for motorcycles had dropped dramatically with the wait lists virtually eliminated, reflecting a sig- nificant shift in the ratio of product demand to supply. The “demand/supply” ratio is a crucial metric used for product planning and an integral part of a system dynamics model of the motorcycle industry cre- ated to evaluate various business and industry scenarios for decision-making. As the ratio dropped, the model provided a tool to evaluate ways to increase the demand/supply ratio. The alternatives evaluated ranged from reducing supply, to traditional pricing and marketing plays, to increased product innovation. The model identified several actions that could provide short-term demand/supply ratio improvements, such as pricing. The analysis also identified that the only meaningful and effective way to achieve sustainable revenue and profit growth was through increasing the introduction rate of new products. The dilemma was figuring out how to increase new product development throughput to drive the double-digit growth that had been committed. vii viii ◾ Foreword: How This Book Came to Be Compounding the situation, Harley-Davidson had focused for several years on creating and instituting a systematic product development process based on Stage-Gate methods. The company implemented the approach well—so well, in fact, that the Product Development Management Association (PDMA) awarded the company the Outstanding Corporate Innovator award in 2003. Despite being identified as among the best at utilizing conventional methods, it was clear that making conventional development methods a little (or even a lot) better would not lead to the drastic increase in development throughput they needed. Dantar concluded that Harley-Davidson needed to learn a better way of developing products. The quest for more effective approaches led them to Jim Womack who was then the CEO of the Lean Enterprise Institute and an internationally recognized expert in lean operations within companies. With the effectiveness that lean methods had demonstrated in operations improvement, the thought of using lean manufacturing methods to improve the product development system was very appealing. However, Jim was adamant that lean product development was very different from lean manufacturing, and that product development needed to be approached very differently. When asked how product development should be addressed, he did not have an answer, but suggested Dr. Allen Ward who was studying lean product development methods at the University of Michigan at the time. This was the beginning of a relationship that proved instrumen- tal in the changes at Harley-Davidson and led to a much better way of product development. The first contact with Allen was not encouraging. He had become reticent to work with companies out of the frustration he had endured in trying to get orga- nizations to change the way they worked. Over a series of conversations, Allen warmed to the relationship and realized that Harley-Davidson may be different as he eventually agreed to be a mentor in the effort to change product develop- ment. The work resulted in a close relationship as Allen provided insight to the lean development methods he studied at the University of Michigan, and Harley- Davidson strived to apply this in real-world applications. Both sides learned and grew through the experience. Few people understood lean product development like Allen did. He was able to not just observe and communicate what Toyota did, but he had an infectious enthusiasm and insight into why things worked. This enabled Harley-Davidson to adapt principles to Western work practices and institute lean product development at one of the most iconic American companies. Tragically, Dr. Ward passed away when the plane he was piloting crashed during a thunderstorm. Following Allen’s untimely death, Dantar reached out for guidance to Dr. Durward Sobek, who had studied under Allen while he had been a PhD student at the University of Michigan. The combined efforts at Harley-Davidson were very successful. By 2006, Harley-Davidson had realized nearly a five-fold increase in new product throughput over 2003 and the previous 15-year trend with the same people. Foreword: How This Book Came to Be ◾ ix This book has evolved out of a manuscript that Allen was writing at the time he passed away. It is not intended to be a treatise of lean product development methods. Quite the opposite—it is focused on one small piece, “visible knowl- edge.” However, it is one technique that we have found to be very effective at Harley-Davidson and other places, and a tool that can make a difference whether used by itself or as a starting point for a larger journey into lean product devel- opment. In fact, Allen claimed that trade-off curves (visible knowledge) is the most powerful lean tool he encountered. In completing this work, we have tried to keep the manuscript true to Allen’s original intent. The preface and first three chapters are essentially Allen’s original intellectual contribution. We have made editorial changes to improve readability and clarity of explanation to make the manuscript publication-ready. Throughout, we have attempted to preserve Allen’s voice in the writing, even keeping the narrative in first person as it was originally written. We had to recreate most of the figures because we did not have the original electronic files, and we took the opportunity to make some enhancements and corrections. Most notable of those enhancements are an expanded introduction in Chapter 1 and the trade-off curve sheet template presented in Chapter 2 where we have adapted the tem- plate based on more recent work on A3 reports. Thus, Chapters 1 through 3 are Allen’s work with minor modifications compiled to complete the text. However, we felt that the manuscript was incomplete because Allen was still working on it at the time of his death. We also felt that much more could have been said because our understanding of visible knowledge had expanded in the years since, especially in its application within actual company contexts. So, we added a fourth chapter that was not in the original manuscript with the idea of filling in a few gaps and providing practical examples of applying the concepts or implementing them in practice. You may notice a change in voice in Chapter 4 as we shift from Allen’s original contribution to our own experiences and learn- ing. Hopefully, you will find this added content equally interesting and perhaps just as useful. We are indebted to Allen for his depth of insight and intellectual capacity, and are privileged to present this “secret” behind lean product development. Our intent in publishing this book is to share a tool that can help you improve the output of your product development system and achieve dramatic gains in your competitive status. May you do so and more, and please visit www.developlean .com to let us know how you have used visible knowledge to create flawless designs. —Dantar Oosterwal Kalamazoo, MI —Durward K. Sobek II Bozeman, MT
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