VARIETIES OF AUSTERITY Heather Whiteside, Stephen McBride and Bryan M. Evans .d e vre se r sth g ir llA .sse rP ytisre vin U lo tsirB .1 2 0 2 © th g iryp o C First published in Great Britain in 2021 by Bristol University Press University of Bristol 1-9 Old Park Hill Bristol BS2 8BB UK +44 (0)117 954 5940 [email protected] Details of international sales and distribution partners are available at bristoluniversitypress.co.uk © Bristol University Press 2021 British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library ISBN 978-1-5292-1224-2 hardcover ISBN 978-1-5292-1226-6 ePub ISBN 978-1-5292-1225-9 ePdf The right of Heather Whiteside, Stephen McBride and Bryan M. Evans to be identifed as authors of this work has been asserted by them in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved: no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permission of Bristol University Press. .d Every reasonable efort has been made to obtain permission to reproduce copyrighted evre material. If, however, anyone knows of an oversight, please contact the publisher. se r sthg Tanhde nstoatt eomf tehnet sU anndiv eorpsiintyi oonfs Bcroinsttoali noerd B wriistthoiln U thniisv eprusbitlyic Patrieosns. aTreh eso Ulenlyiv tehrosistey ooff tBhrei satuotlh aonrds ir llA Bristol University Press disclaim responsibility for any injury to persons or property resulting .sse from any material published in this publication. rP ytisre Bgernisdtoerl ,U ranciev,e drsiistayb iPlirteys,s a wgeo raknsd t ose cxouualnittye.r discrimination on grounds of vin U lo Cover design: Cliford Hayes tsirB Front cover image: ‘Scissors cutting white paper’ © Freepik .1 2 Bristol University Press uses environmentally responsible print partners. 0 2 © th Printed in Great Britain by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon, CR0 4YY g iryp o C Contents List of Figures and Tables iv About the Authors v Acknowledgements vi 1 Introduction: Varieties of Austerity 1 2 Spending in an Austere Era 29 3 Selling Restraint 55 4 Transforming the Public Sector 81 5 Class Struggle from Above 103 6 Insecurity and Poverty 135 7 Limits and Possibilities of Resistance 157 8 Conclusion: Beyond Austerity 177 Notes 199 References 201 Index 245 .d e vre se r sth g ir llA .sse rP ytisre vin U lo tsirB .1 2 0 2 © th g iryp o C iii List of Figures and Tables Figures 1 General government debt (% of GDP) 17 2 Government defcit (% of GDP) 18 3 Short-term interest rates 19 4 Long-term interest rates 19 5 Public sector employment (% of total labour force) 20 6 Employment rate (%) 21 7 Unemployment rate (%) 21 8 Long-term unemployment rate (%) 22 9 Combined part-time and temporary employment rate (%) 22 10 Unit labour costs (2007 to 2018) 23 Tables 1 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees 25 2 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees of debt and fnance 53 3 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees of public money 78 4 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees of public sector 101 restructuring 5 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees of labour 132 .d evre market fexibility se 6 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees of precarity 155 r sthg 7 Varieties of austerity – dynamics or degrees of resistance 176 ir llA 8 Varieties of austerity – summary of dynamics and degrees 180 .sse rP ytisre vin U lo tsirB .1 2 0 2 © th g iryp o C iv About the Authors Heather Whiteside is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Waterloo and Fellow at the Balsillie School of International Afairs, Canada. Her research centres on the political economy of privatization, fnancialization and fscal austerity. Her books include Purchase for Proft: Public-Private Partnerships and Canada’s Public Health Care System (2015), Canadian Political Economy (2020) and Capitalist Political Economy: Thinkers and Theories (2020). She has published in journals such as Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Economic Geography, Environment and Planning A, Review of International Political Economy and Urban Studies. Stephen McBride is Professor of Political Science and Canada Research Chair in Public Policy and Globalization at McMaster University. Recent publications include: Working? Employment Policy in Canada (2017); Austerity: 12 Myths Exposed (2019) (co-edited with Dieter Plehwe, Moritz Neujefski and Bryan Evans); Austerity: The Lived Experience (2017) and The Austerity State (2017) (both co-edited with Bryan Evans), as well as journal articles in Global Policy, Transfer: European Review of Labour and Research and Studies in Political Economy. Bryan Evans is Professor, Department of Politics and Public Administration, Ryerson University, Toronto. Prior to his appointment at Ryerson he worked as a policy researcher, adviser and manager at the .d evre Ontario Legislative Assembly and the Ontario Public Service. His research se centres on co-governance, policy work and processes, policy analysis in r sth non-government organizations, state restructuring and recomposition, and g ir llA the contemporary left in the neoliberal era. He is Director of the Centre for .sse Policy Innovation and Public Engagement. Recent publications include: rP ytisrevin cToh-ee Adiutestde rwityi tSht aSttee (p2h0e1n7 M) acnBd rAidues)t;e rTithye: TPuhbel iLc iSveedct oEr xinp earine nAceg e( 2o0f 1A7u)s (tebroittyh: U lo Perspectives from Canada’s Provinces and Territories (2018) (co-authored with tsirB Carlo Fanelli); Divided Province: Ontario Politics in the Age of Neoliberalism .1 20 (2018) (co-edited with Greg Albo); Austerity: 12 Myths Exposed (2019) 2 © th (co-edited with Dieter Plehwe, Moritz Neujefski and Stephen McBride). g iryp o C v Acknowledgements The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada (SSHRC) through an Insight Grant (number 435-2016-0638) on varieties of austerity. We would like to thank the research assistants who worked on various aspects of the project and made valuable contributions over the years: Nour Afara, Juan Arasanz, Sylvie Babadjide, Skylar Brooks, Siu Mee Cheng, Matt Corbeil, Lily Eskin, Mohammad Ferdosi, Rasmus Hovedskov Hansen, John Hayes, Sorin Mitrea, Colette Nyirakamana, Justin Rain, Sune Sandbeck, Joy Schnittker, and James Watson. Our research was also enriched by insights from not-for-attribution interviews in all four of our case countries. We would like to thank the government and legislative ofcials, representatives of trade unions and business associations, academic experts and think-tank personnel who generously gave their time and expertise. .d e vre se r sth g ir llA .sse rP ytisre vin U lo tsirB .1 2 0 2 © th g iryp o C vi 1 Introduction: Varieties of Austerity Industry-wide bargaining to be suspended, €50 billion to be raised through privatization, social security to be cut by more than €4 billion over four years, nominal public sector wages to be slashed by 20 per cent, and on it went. Such was the list, so named were the targets. It was 2011, the Eurozone was in chaos, the global economy was in tatters, and the stimulus era proved feeting. Austerity was widely en vogue and it was being visited in dramatic fashion on Greece: the Troika bailout demanded it, capitalist interests needed it, and the government and its people were put on notice (BBC, 2011). Greece is an exceptional case, but it is far from an isolated one. The global fnancial crisis of 2008, the ensuing and prolonged economic crisis, and policies of austerity implemented from 2010 have imposed major costs on most Western societies. These include direct economic costs such as lower GDP, slower economic growth, higher unemployment and lost output, various forms of underemployment, much of it in precarious and poorly paid jobs, and increased household debt obligations that drag down disposable income. Other, perhaps less .d evre direct, efects can be categorized as social and human costs. Phenomena se such as inequality (a legacy of the entire neoliberal period: see Piketty, r sth 2014; Atkinson, 2015) increased in the post-crisis years (Schneider et al, g ir llA 2017), and higher unemployment and insecurity were exacerbated by .sse austerity measures such as cuts in social and health care spending, and rP ytisrevin lvaabroiouur sm soacrkiaelt prreostbrluecmtus riinnvgo.l vIninegq umaleintyt aal nhde aulnthe,m dprulogy museen atn adr ea dlidnikcetdio tno, U lo lower life expectancy, increased obesity, low education achievement and tsirB aspirations, more violence and less social mobility (Wilkinson and Pickett, .1 20 2009, chapters 4–12). The human and social costs are signifcant; and 2 © th often compounded by divisions of gender, race, migration status and age g iryp o C 1 VARIETIES OF AUSTERITY (on the gendered efects of the global fnancial crisis, see Hozic and True, 2016, part I). For youth in Ireland and Spain, for example, the damage to their employment and economic prospects was so severe that talk of a ‘lost generation’ became commonplace. With some exceptions, the initial panic-induced response to the 2008 crisis was not one of austerity. Rather, as the prospect of a complete fnancial and economic meltdown loomed, most states and international organizations resorted to economic stimulus on a scale not previously witnessed in the neoliberal years. Stimulus was short-lived. Once signs of economic stabilization appeared, most states, such as those in the G20, declared austerity (in the sense of defcit and debt reduction) to be a policy priority. Some countries experienced successive rounds of austerity. Picking up on the Greek example once more, numerous austerity packages, each one consisting of some combination of public sector freezes and cuts to budgets, services, programmes and employment were implemented after 2010. The COVID-19 crisis of 2020, a crisis of public health caused by the global spread of a life-threatening virus, revealed the consequences of years of austerity. Austerity did not cause this crisis but it was responsible for a lack of public capacity to deal with it efectively. National and international responses to the pandemic and the economic shocks caused by job losses, lock-downs, and the collapse of some economic sectors like tourism and hospitality show signifcant departures from orthodox public fnance in the age of austerity. Countries in North America and Europe have allowed unprecedented monetary stimulus through central bank interventions, and fscal rules limiting defcits and public debt have been ignored, at least temporarily. Fiscal austerity has therefore been abandoned for now, but a lively debate is beginning about whether fscal orthodoxy and its correlates – a diminished public sector and fexibilization of labour markets – will be reintroduced once the crisis is over, or whether this exogenous crisis provides an opportunity to fundamentally change the .d evre direction of neoliberal capitalism and to build a diferent type of society. se In our concluding chapter we ofer some comments on how austerity r sth and the COVID-19 health crisis intersect, and survey some debates on g ir llA consequences and ways forward. .sse Austerity was applied to varying degrees and in unique ways within rP ytisrevin nthaeti oUnKal wcoernet ecxotms opvaerart itvheely d seecvaedree, owf it2h0 0th8e– 1B8r.i tAishu sgteorvietyr nmmeeanstu rbeesi ning U lo described as ‘[leading] the way in voluntary defcit reduction’ (Giles and tsirB Bounds, 2012), with all but a few departmental budgets cut by 25 per .1 20 cent. In Puerto Rico, government insolvency in 2017, the product of 2 © th decades-long complex structural, economic and political problems (see g iryp o C 2 INTRODUCTION: VARIETIES OF AUSTERITY Whiteside, 2018), went hand-in-hand with punitive austerity measures aimed at stabilizing the island’s afairs: pension spending reduced by 10 per cent, Christmas bonuses cut, health care spending slashed by at least USD$3001 million, employee furloughs, fewer government agencies, employee redundancies, and temporary workers severed. And, indeed, across the US, the post-2008 period meant deep austerity and associated hardships for many jurisdictions (some examples can be seen in Peck and Whiteside, 2016; Hinkley, 2017). Worldwide, opposition to austerity ranged from marches, demonstrations and protests, to general strikes and political party organizing around anti- austerity platforms (see Chapter 7). Sometimes nationally determined, at other times imposed by supranational organizations or otherwise more empowered levels of government, austerity raised alarm among social movements around the world for its deleterious repercussions and the troublesome relationship between cause (crisis) and efect (burden). ‘Against a backdrop of violent protests against the latest tough austerity measures,’ writes Konzelmann (2019: 109), ‘the second Troika bailout, ratifed in February 2012 […] worth €130 billion ([USD]$173 billion), included €48 billion for recapitalizing the four largest Greek banks.’ There was nothing novel about the turn to austerity after 2008. Neoliberalism had always involved fscal constraints for the state, at least as far as its capacity to engage in any socially progressive measures was concerned (Konzelmann, 2019; Shefner and Blad, 2020). Books quickly emerged demonstrating the lengthy history of austerity as a familiar idea towards which elites quickly gravitate in times of trouble. Blyth (2013: 98–9) argued that elite concerns about the state were part of liberalism from its inception (a point later picked up by Konzelmann, 2019, as well). The state was as necessary for the development and protection of the capitalist system in its early days as it remains today. As we shall see in Chapter 2, that can involve lavishing resources on capital even in the midst of austerity for others, yet the state also represents a potential .d evre threat to the freedom of capital. By imposing limits on state actions, se fscal austerity cuts into the dynamic relationship between capital and r sth the state by curtailing state actions through spending constraints in the g ir llA name of balanced budgets and by imposing limits on its capacity to raise .sse debt to fnance its activities. Moreover, according to Blyth (2013: 115) rP ytisrevin tahned gae npeartahlo nloargriactailv efe oafr aoufs ttehreit yc ospneseaqkus eton c‘epsa rosifm goonvye,r nfrmugeanltit yd,e mbto r[tahliatty], U lo lie deep within early liberalisms’ fossil record from its very inception.’ tsirB Without nuance, this may be an overstatement. Financial interests have .1 20 been willing to lend the state money, in efect owning the public debt, 2 © th and to be the recipients of the state’s largesse. But the state’s capacity and g iryp o C 3