VALUINGENVIRONMENTALAMENITIES USINGSTATEDCHOICESTUDIES THE ECONOMICS OF NON-MARKETGOODS AND RESOURCES VOLUME8 Series Editor: Dr. Ian J. Bateman Dr. Ian J. Bateman is Professor of Environmental Economics at the School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA) and directs the research theme Innovation in Decision Support (Tools and Methods) within the Programme on Environmental Decision Making (PEDM) at the Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE), UEA. The PEDM is funded by the UK Economic and Social Research Council. Professor Bateman is also a member of the Centre for the Economic and Behavioural Analysis of Risk and Decision (CEBARD) at UEAand Executive Editor of Environmental and Resource Economics, an international journal published in cooperation with the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists. (EAERE). Aims and Scope The volumes which comprise The Economics of Non-Market Goods and Resources series have been specially commissioned to bring a new perspective to the greatest st economic challenge facing society in the 21 Century; the successful incorporation of non-market goods within economic decision making. Only by addressing the complexity of the underlying issues raised by such a task can society hope to redirect global economies onto paths of sustainable development. To this end the series combines and contrasts perspectives from environmental, ecological and resource economics and contains a variety of volumes which will appeal to students, researchers, and decision makers at a range of expertise levels. The series will initially address two themes, the first examining the ways in which economists assess the value of non- market goods, the second looking at approaches to the sustainable use and management of such goods. These will be supplemented with further texts examining the fundamental theoretical and applied problems raised by public good decision making. For further information about the series and how to order, please visit our Website www.springer.com Valuing Environmental Amenities Using Stated Choice Studies A Common Sense Approach to Theory and Practice Editedby Barbara J. Kanninen Arlington,Virginia,USA AC.I.P.CataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress. ISBN-101-4020-4064-4(HB) ISBN-13978-1-4020-4064-1(HB) ISBN-101-4020-5313-4(e-book) ISBN-13978-1-4020-5313-9(e-book) PublishedbySpringer, P.O.Box17,3300AADordrecht,TheNetherlands. www.springer.com Printedonacid-freepaper AllRightsReserved ©2006Springer Nopartofthisworkmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,microfilming,recording orotherwise,withoutwrittenpermissionfromthePublisher,withtheexception ofanymaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeingentered andexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework. TABLE OF CONTENTS Contributing Authors vii Preface ix Ackkknowledgements xiii 1. Getting Started 1 by Carol Mansfield and Subhrendu Pattanayak 2. Survey Methodologies for Stated Choice Studies 21 by Patricia A. Champ and Michael P. Welsh 3. Supporting Questions in Stated Choice Studies 43 by AlanKrupnick and W.L. (Vic)Adddamowicz 4. Making Choice Studies Incentive Compatible 67 by Glenn W. Harrison 5. How and How Much? The Role of Information in Stated Choice 111 Questionnaires by Kristy E. Mathews, Miranda L. Freeman and William HH.. Desvousges 6. Attribute Processing in Choice Experiments and Implications on 135 Willingness to Pay by David A. Hensher 7. Experimental Design for Stated Choice Studies 159 by F. Reed Johnson, Barbara Kanninen, Matthew Bingham and Semra Özdemir 8. Basic Statistical Models for Stated Choice Studies 203 by Anna Alberini, Alberto Longo and Marcella Veronesi 9. Advanced Choice Models 229 by Joffre Swait 10. Computer Software to Estimate Choice Models 295 by Daniel Hellerstein 11. Judging Quality 297 by V. Kerry Smith Index 335 v CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS W.L. (Vic) Adamowicz, Canada Research Chair and Professor, Department of Rural Economy, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada T6G 2H1, email: [email protected]. Anna Alberini, Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, U.S.A. and Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei, e-mail: [email protected]. Matthew Bingham, Principal Economist, Veritas Economic Consulting, LLC, 1851 Evans Road, Cary, NC 27513, USA., e-mail: [email protected]. Patricia Champ, Economist, U.S. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, 2150 Centre Ave., Bldg A, Fort Collins, CO 80526, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. William H. Desvousges, President, W.H. Desvousges & Associates, Inc., 7824 Harps Mill Road, Raleigh, NC 27615, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Miranda L. Freeman, Triangle Economic Research, 11000 Regency Parkway, West Tower, Suite 205, Cary, NC 27511-8518, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Glenn W. Harrison, Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, 32816-1400, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Daniel Hellerstein, e-mail: [email protected]. David A. Hensher, Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, School of Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, The University of Sydney, Australia, e-mail: [email protected]. F. Reed Johnson, Principal Economist and RTI Fellow, RTI International, 3040 Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Barbara Kanninen, e-mail: [email protected], URL: www.barbarakanninen.com. Alan Krupnick, Senior Fellow and Director, Quality of the Environment Division, Resources for the Future, 1616 P Street N., Washington, D.C. 20036, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. vii viiiiii CONTRIBUTINGAUTHORS Alberto Longo, University of Bath, Bath, UK, e-mail: [email protected]. Carol Mansfield, RTI International, 3040 Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Kristy E. Mathews, Principal Economist, Veritas Economic Consulting, LLC, 1851 Evans Road, Cary, NC 27513, USA., e-mail: [email protected]. Semra Özdemir, Research Health Economist, RTI International, 3040 Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Subhrendu Pattanayak, RTI Fellow and Senior Economist, RTI International, 3040 Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. V. Kerry Smith, W.P. Carey Professor of Economics, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, U.S.A. Joffre Swait, Partner, Advanis Inc., Suite 1600, Sun Life Place, 10123 99th Street, Edmonton, Alberta T5J 3H1, Canada, email: [email protected], URL: http://www.swaitworld.org/ Marcella Veronesi, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. Michael P. Welsh, Senior Economist, Christensen Associates, 4610 University Avenue, Suite 700, Madison, WI 53705, U.S.A., e-mail: [email protected]. PREFACE When I was a graduate student, I fell in love with choice models. After years studying the econometrics of the standard linear model, discrete choice offered so many new, cool twists. With contingent valuation (CV) studies abounding, data was plentiful and varied. Every CV dataset had its own kinks and quirks that begged to be addressed through innovative modeling techniques. Dissertation topics were not scarce. We economists like to assume. There are jokes written about this. My assumption, as I slaved over the statistical properties of the double-bounded CV model, was that CV data was good data, representing valid economic choices made by survey respondents. Before I received my Ph.D., this assumption was called into question big time. In 1989, the Exxon-Valdez oil tanker spilled 11 million gallons of oil into Prince William Sound, Alaska. The accident killed a lot of birds, devastated fisheries, harmed area economies and ruined a reputation or two. It also changed the field of environmental valuation. What was once a research field dominated by environmental economists interested in obtaining nonmarket values for environmental amenities was now a legal battleground pitting environmental economists against “traditional” economists who were skeptical of the techniques and procedures used with CV. If Nobel prizes are indicators of quality – and I’m fairly certain they are – the Exxon-Valdez oil spill drew the best and the brightest to scrutinize our field. I mention the Exxon-Valdez not because it sets the agenda for this book, but because without that event, this book might not be. As suggested above, the scrutiny inspired by the Exxon-Valdez shook down the field of environmental valuation and forced economists like me to ask ourselves about the quality of our data. In a sense, all the questions boil down to this one: are the data meaningful? By now, I think we have concluded that the answer is yes, at least when a study is well-designed and well-executed. This book is not about natural resource damage assessment. Though large legal cases do go on with millions of dollars invested, most environmental economists today find themselves working on relatively smaller questions: is it worth the effort to reduce the smog that obscures scenic vistas of the Grand Canyon? Should we allow snowmobilers to ride through Yellowstone National Park? Should a small village in Central America invest in a clean water system? Of course, many of these questions are not small at all. What are often small are the budgets for the studies, and that is what this book is about: doing high quality studies on (possibly) low budgets, principally for benefit-cost analysis. High quality valuation studies require high quality effort and care on a wide array of topics from survey design and methodology to econometric modeling to policy interpretation. It is, truly, impossible for someone to become expert in all of these areas. My hope is that this book will provide researchers with a solid summary of state-of-the-art techniques, covering all the basic issues necessary for developing and implementing a good valuation study. ix x PREFACEE The issue is this. We, humans, care about a lot of things that are not bought or sold in the marketplace. We care about our families, our neighbors, our world; and the interconnectedness of our world means that we even care about things we no nothing or very little about. Yet things go on every day that may be affecting our interests: over-fishing, over-hunting, over-grazing, over-developing, over-polluting, to name a few. Many of these activities occur on scales so large that they can only be dealt with by corporate decision-making or government policy-making, and that means that if we want good decisions and good policies to be made, we need solid information about the benefits and costs of these activities. Nonmarket valuation studies are our attempt to obtain that solid information. We conduct nonmarket valuation studies when we have no means of obtaining standard, market information. Much of our natural world fits into this category. We do not buy or sell the ivory-billed woodpecker or the beauty of Acadia National Park. We do not buy or sell clean air. But these are “goods” that people care about and hold values for. In the absence of markets (such as real estate or travel, for example), the only way we economists have found to learn about these values is to ask people about them. This approach has come to be known as stated choice or stated preference. This book focuses on the practice of conducting stated choice studies, looking at the entire process from start to finish. Within the discussion, a lot of theory is covered, but the book is meant to be, first and foremost, a practical guide. It begins at the beginning: when researchers start to think about a problem and plan their study. In chapter 1, Carol Mansfield and Subhrendu Pattanayak provide a thorough and rather handy explanation of how they have gone about planning their own stated- choice studies. This is the kind of information that usually gets left out of journal articles and theory books. Good planning is a fundamental part of a good study. In Chapter 2, Patty Champ and Michael Welsh provide a summary of survey methodology issues and approaches. Survey techniques seem to be changing before our eyes as computer assisted technologies and internet-based approaches proliferate. Champ and Welsh summarize pretty much everything that is out there right now and what the trade-offs are in terms of cost, sample size and sample selection. This is a field to keep close watch on, though, as it may be changing even as this book goes to press. Beginning in Chapter 3, the book moves into issues with writing the survey. One of the general concerns I have when it comes to surveys is respect for our respondents’ time. It is terrific that so many people continue to be willing to respond to surveys, but we should not take our subjects’ generosity for granted. We should do all we can to minimize the amount of time it takes for people to respond. We can do this by careful planning: cutting questions we do not need to use for later analysis and framing questions in the most appropriate manner to obtain the most useful information possible. To this end, Alan Krupnick and Vic Adamowicz have provided an innovative chapter that discusses what they call “supporting questions,” that is, all the questions that are not directly focused on obtaining choice or willingness to pay information. In many studies, supporting questions take up most
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