Value Creation, Appropriation, And Product Design Strategies In Technology Ecosystems: Three Essays On The Role Of Complementary Technologies A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE FACULTY OF UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA BY Cameron Dee Miller IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Advisors: J. Myles Shaver, Puay Khoon Toh May 2017 © Cameron D. Miller 2017 Acknowledgements This dissertation represents an end to a wonderful journey. Along the way, I received tremendous support from family, friends, and the intellectual community at the University of Minnesota. Committee I am lucky to have a committee full of excellent scholars. First, I would like to thank PK Toh. He is a great mentor and coauthor. He taught me what it meant to be a scholar in this field and spent a great deal of time on my development, which I greatly appreciate. I will owe much of my future success to his efforts. Myles Shaver has been a great advisor. He asked thought provoking questions that helped me better understand my research, while also allowing me to find my own way. I appreciated his guidance and support throughout the dissertation process. I am indebted to Shaker Zahra. I benefited from his perspective on my work and the field in general. I always knew I could count on his support. I enjoyed my experience in both doctoral classes he taught. I will miss his cheerful spirt and wise cracks. Martin Ganco provided great support and advice during my time at Minnesota. I appreciated his efforts. I look forward to collaborating with him in the future. Jay Coggins was willing to be my outside reader and gave great feedback along the way. I also enjoyed his doctoral class and his perspective on the more dismal side of economics. Intellectual Community The department is full of excellent faculty, though a few made special efforts to help me succeed. I would like to thank Aseem Kaul, Jiao Luo and Aks Zaheer for their comments on my work. Mary Benner for her efforts to introduce me to important scholars at conferences. Andy Van de Ven for his excellent courses. To everyone else who attend my practice talks, thank you. I had tremendous colleagues in the PhD program. From great discussions about research to moral support, I feel very lucky. Cohort mates Sofia Bapna and Pankaj Kumar were great friends through the process, as were officemates Yoohnee Choi, Taekyu Kim, and Dennie Kim. Fellow students Paul Nary, Nick Poggioli, Maxim Kuklin, Gui Deng Say, Rosa Kim, Min Jung Kim, attended many practice talks and are great friend. Also, to all the graduated and junior students, thank you for your support. i Family & Friends Most of all, I would like to thank my wife Janell. Her love and support has been unwavering. Her willingness to support me as I left a career to come to the Minnesota is quite special. She has made many sacrifices so that I could go on this journey, which I will forever be grateful. My son Carson who was born while I was in the program. You are a joy in my life and the best thing to come out of my time in Minnesota. My Mom and Dad have been very supportive throughout the journey. Their encouragement and support have made me who I am today. I would like to thank all our friends. In particular, Katie and Mike Provenzano, who we spent many joyful evenings with during our time in Minnesota, and Paul Rau, who encouraged me to apply to PhD programs. ii Dedication To Janell, Carson, Joe, Eddie Jo, and Stella iii Abstract Firms are often embedded in a technology ecosystem comprised of complementary technologies that span multiple product markets. In this dissertation, I examine how complementarity between the firm’s technologies influences its strategies to create and appropriate value in the ecosystem. I investigate this overarching question in two contexts: firm’s participation in compatibility standards and how it designs products for a new market. In Chapter 2 and 3, I explore how complementarity within the firm’s technology portfolio affects how and where it creates and appropriates value from intellectual property disclosures to major compatibility standards. In Chapter 2, I theorize as to how a portfolio of complementary technologies allows the firm to create value from its technological position in an industry standard. I empirically test my prediction using data on major compatibility standards in the information and communications technology industry. I find that firms generate positive returns from disclosure only when they own complementary technologies. In Chapter 3, I extend this argument to study value appropriation. I find that firms focus their appropriation strategy around their complementary technologies. Chapter 4 examines how product complementarities influence product strategy in a new market. I propose that firms with complementary products will enter markets with products that exhibit lower technical performance than firms without complementary products. I also argue that firms choose features that function with their complementary products and will tradeoff non-complementary features when necessary. Examining entry into the nascent smartphone market using a rich set of data on smartphone product technology and features, I find strong support for these conclusions. I identify complementarities within the firm’s product portfolio as an important driver of firm’s product strategy. Through this dissertation, I demonstrate the benefit of a more systemic view of the firm’s portfolio, one that appreciates the relationships between the firm’s various technologies and products, and how these relationships influence the firm’s technology strategy. iv Table of Contents List of Tables......................................................................................................................vi List of Figures...................................................................................................................viii Chapter 1. Introduction........................................................................................................1 Chapter 2. Essay 1: Complementary Technologies And Firm Value In Disclosure During Standard Setting.................................................................................................................10 Chapter 3. Essay 2: The Effect of Complementary Technologies On Value Appropriation In Cooperative Settings: Evidence From Patent Litigation Related To Compatibility Standards……....................................................................................................................68 Chapter 4. Essay 3: Strong Firms, Weak Products? The Role Of Within-Firm Product Complementarities In New Market Entry Strategy.........................................................116 Chapter 5. Conclusion......................................................................................................180 References. ......................................................................................................................185 Appendix. Glossary of Information and Communication Industry Terms......................202 v List of Tables i. Table 2.1. SSOs and patent disclosures……………………………………….….61 ii. Table 2.2. Descriptive statistics……………………………………………….….61 iii. Table 2.3. Analysis of disclosure events on Tobin’s Q…………………….…….62 iv. Table 2.4. T-tests for cumulative abnormal returns …………………….………..63 v. Table 2.5. Comparing disclosures events with and without complementary technologies…………………….……………………….……………………….63 vi. Table 2.6. Regression analysis of cumulative abnormal returns………………...64 vii. Table 2.7. Inverse probability weighted adjustment analysis of cumulative abnormal returns…………………….……………………….…………………...64 viii. Table 2.8. Highlighting the effect of compatibility and competitiveness on the complementary technology-cumulative abnormal return relationship…………...65 ix. Table 2.9. Analysis of yearly citation counts using fixed effect Poisson models…65 x. Table 2.10. Within-firm matching analysis of patent citations…………………..66 xi. Table 2.11. Analysis of self-citations…………………………………………….67 xii. Table 3.1. Variable Calculations……………………………………………..…108 xiii. Table 3.2. Variable Calculations……………………………………………..…110 xiv. Table 3.3. Descriptive for complementary patents and random matches………111 xv. Table 3.4. Descriptive probit analysis of litigation……………………………..111 xvi. Table 3.5. Within-firm matching analysis of litigation rates…………………….112 xvii. Table 3.6. Within-firm difference-in-difference matching analysis of litigation rates …………………………………………………………………………………..113 xviii. Table 3.7. Fixed effect Logit and Poisson models………………………………113 xix. Table 3.8. Analysis of demand and incentive effects……………………………114 xx. Table A3.1 Lawsuits by SEP and complementary technologies……………….115 xxi. Table 4.1. Smartphone specifications and features for technical performance calculation…………………………………………………...…….....................163 xxii. Table 4.2. Details on phone-related patent calculation………………...……......164 xxiii. Table 4.3. Descriptive statistics and pairwise correlations for product design sample …………………………………………………………………………………..165 xxiv. Table 4.4. Technical performance regressions for firms’ first smartphone upon entry…………………………………………………………………...……......167 xxv. Table 4.5. Technical performance regressions for firms’ first three years in the market…………………………………………………………………...……...168 xxvi. Table 4.6. A comparison of smartphone makers with and without complementary products…………………………………………………………………...…….169 xxvii. Table 4.7. Inverse probability weighted regression adjustment analysis of technical performance…………………………………………………………………….169 xxviii. Table 4.8. Analysis of product design tradeoffs by complementary product type.170 xxix. Table 4.9. Market share regression models……………………………………...171 xxx. Table 4.10. Market share analysis using nearest-neighbor matching……………172 vi xxxi. Table A4.1.1. Descriptive statistics for firms at hazard of entering the smartphone market…………………………………………………………………………..176 xxxii. Table A4.1.2. Sample selection models of technical performance: Firms' first smartphone upon entry………………………………………………………….177 xxxiii. Table A4.2.1. Predicting the propensity to have complementary products…..…179 vii List of Figures i. Figure 3.1. SEPs & complementary patents by SSO…………………………….109 ii. Figure 4.1. Worldwide smartphone sales trend…………………………………162 iii. Figure 4.2. Comparing firms with and without complementary products on the technical performance of various smartphone features………………………...165 iv. Figure 4.3. Histogram of Technical Performance……………………...……....166 viii
Description: