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The Pennsylvania State University The Graduate School College of Education VALIDITY AND DIAGNOSTIC ACCURACY OF SCORES FROM THE AUTISM DIAGNOSTIC OBSERVATION SCHEDULE-GENERIC A Dissertation in School Psychology by Melissa A. Reid © 2012 Melissa A. Reid Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy August 2012 ii The dissertation of Melissa A. Reid was reviewed and approved* by the following: James C. DiPerna Associate Professor of Education Professor in Charge of the Program of School Psychology Dissertation Adviser Richard Hazler Professor of Education Robert Steven Professor of Education Beverly J. Vandiver Associate Professor of Education *Signatures are on file in the Graduate School iii Abstract The purpose of this study was to examine the internal structure, relationships with other variables, and diagnostic accuracy of scores on the Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule – Generic (ADOS-G; Lord et al., 1999) for the purpose of diagnostic decision-making. Participants were 462 children enrolled in a public school district in the southern U.S. who were referred for a school-based psychoeducational evaluation. Four hypotheses were tested with mixed results. The first prediction was that items included in the Original Scoring Algorithm (OSA) would reflect a uni-dimensional construct, and items included in the Revised Scoring Algorithm (RSA) would reflect two constructs across modules. Exploratory factor analysis confirmed the one- factor structure of the OSA across modules. However, a two-factor structure was not retained for the Module 2 or Module 3 RSA. Second, it was predicted that total scores on the ADOS-G, across modules and scoring algorithms, would demonstrate moderate to strong relations with scores from other measures of autistic behavior, and weak relations with measures of emotional functioning. Weak relationships were consistently measured between participants’ scores on the ADOS-G across modules and algorithms and other measures of autistic and emotional functioning. Third, it was predicted that scores obtained from application of the RSA would result in greater diagnostic accuracy than those obtained from the OSA. Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to determine the sensitivity and specificity of ADOS-G scores. Consistent with hypotheses, the RSA typically resulted in greater diagnostic accuracy, and a better balance between sensitivity and specificity than did the OSA. Finally, the fourth hypothesis, which predicted that the diagnostic accuracy of the ADOS-G would be lower with an independent criterion relative to an interdependent criterion, was not consistently supported. In general, results of the current study confirm the structural validity and overall diagnostic iv accuracy of the ADOS-G, but also highlight some of the limitations of the instrument. Despite its limitations, it was concluded that the strengths of the ADOS-G provide support for its continued use in school-based psychoeducational evaluations for the diagnosis of students with Autism Spectrum Disorders. v Table of Contents List of Tables……………………………………………………………………………………viii List of Appendices………………………………………………………………………………...x Acknowledgements………………………………………………………………………………xii Chapter 1. Introduction and Literature Review ...............................................................................1 Definition of Autism Spectrum Disorders……………………………………………………..2 Common Characteristics of Autism Spectrum Disorders……………………………………...3 Assessment and Diagnosis of Autism Spectrum Disorders…………………………………....5 Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule……………………………………………………..8 Development and Evolution of the ADOS………………………………………………....9 Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule-Generic…………………………………….....10 Rationale for Present Study…………………………………………………………………..36 Purpose and Hypotheses……………………………………………………………………...37 Chapter 2. Method……………………………………………………………………………….40 Participants…………………………………………………………………………………....40 Measures……………………………………………………………………………………...44 Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule-Generic……………………………………….44 Gilliam Autism Rating Scale, Second Edition……………………………………………45 Behavior Assessment System for Children, Second Edition……………………………..47 Procedure……………………………………………………………………………………..50 Chapter 3. Results………………………………………………………………………………..53 Preliminary Analyses and Testing of Assumptions…………………………………………..53 ADOS-G Item Analysis…………………………………………………………………...53 Total, Scale, and Subscale Score Analysis………………………………………………..60 vi Hypothesis 1: Factor Structure of the Original and Revised Scoring Algorithms……………60 Module 1-Original Scoring Algorithm……………………………………………………63 Module 1-Revised Scoring Algorithm……………………………………………………66 Module 2-Original Scoring Algorithm……………………………………………………70 Module 2-Revised Scoring Algorithm…………………………………………………….71 Module 3-Original Scoring Algorithm……………………………………………………77 Module 3-Revised Scoring Algorithm……………………………………………………79 Hypothesis 2: Relationships between Scores on the ADOS-G and Other Measures………...82 Module 1…………………………………………………………………………………..82 Module 2…………………………………………………………………………………..86 Module 3…………………………………………………………………………………..87 Hypothesis 3: Comparisons of Diagnostic Accuracy Indicators Across Scoring Algorithms..88 Original and Revised Scoring Algorithm Comparisons…………………………………..89 Updated Scoring Algorithms and Optimal Cut-Score Comparisons……………………...92 Hypothesis 4: Diagnostic Accuracy of Independent Clinical Diagnoses…………………….95 Chapter 4. Discussion……………………………………………………………………………99 Structural Validity Evidence………………………………………………………………...100 Module 1…………………………………………………………………………………100 Module 2…………………………………………………………………………………101 Module 3…………………………………………………………………………………102 Convergent and Discriminant Validity Evidence…………………………………………...103 Evidence of Diagnostic Accuracy…………………………………………………………...105 Module 1…………………………………………………………………………………105 vii Module 2…………………………………………………………………………………107 Module 3…………………………………………………………………………………109 Independent Clinical Diagnoses…………………………………………………………….111 Summary of Evidence by Module and Scoring Algorithm…………………………………112 Module 1…………………………………………………………………………………112 Module 2…………………………………………………………………………………114 Module 3…………………………………………………………………………………116 Clinical Implications………………………………………………………………………...118 Limitations…………………………………………………………………………………..120 Future Research………………………………………………………………………………123 Conclusions……………………………………………………………………………………..124 References………………………………………………………………………………………126 Footnotes………………………………………………………………………………………..136 viii List of Tables Table 1. Sensitivity and Specificity of Original and Revised Scoring Algorithms by Research Study…………………………………………………………………………………………….23 Table 2. Demographic Characteristics of Total Sample (N = 462) and Independent Clinical Diagnosis Subsample (N = 100)…………………………………………………………………41 Table 3. Item Means, Standard Deviations, Skew and Kurtosis Values on Module 1 from the ADOS-G (N = 82)………………………………………………………………………………..54 Table 4. Item Means, Standard Deviations, Skew and Kurtosis Values on Module 2 from the ADOS-G (N =118)……………………………………………………………………………….56 Table 5. Item Means, Standard Deviations, Skew and Kurtosis Values on Module 3 from the ADOS-G (N = 262)……………………………………………………………………................58 Table 6. Participant’ Means, Standard Deviations, Score Range, Skew, and Kurtosis Values on the ADOS-G, GARS-2, and Selected Subscales from the BASC-2……………………………..61 Table 7. Structure Coefficients and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 1 (Original Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 82)……………………………………………………………………….65 Table 8. Pattern Coefficients, Structure Coefficients, and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 1 (Revised Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 66)…………………………………………67 Table 9. Structure Coefficients and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 1 (Revised Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 66)……………………………………………………………………….69 Table 10. Structure Coefficients and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 2 (Original Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 118)…………………………………………………………….72 Table 11. Pattern Coefficients, Structure Coefficients, and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 2 (Revised Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 73)………………………………………...74 Table 12. Structure Coefficients and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 2 (Revised Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 73)……………………………………………………………...76 Table 13. Structure Coefficients and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 3 (Original Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 262)…………………………………………………………….78 Table 14. Structure Coefficients and Communalities for the ADOS-G Module 3 (Revised Scoring Algorithm) Items (N = 261)…………………………………………………………….81 ix Table 15. Pearson Correlations between Participants’ Total Scores on the ADOS-G Original and Revised Scoring Algorithms for Module 3 and Parent and Teacher Ratings on the GARS- 2…………………………………………………………………………………………………..83 Table 16. Pearson Correlations between Participants; Total Scores on the ADOS-G Original, Revised, and Updated Scoring Algorithms and Parent and Teacher Ratings on the BASC-2…..84 Table 17. AUC Values, Sensitivities, Specificities, Positive Predictive Values, Negative Predictive Values, and Hit Rates of ADOS-G Scores on the Original and Revised Scoring Algorithm………………………………………………………………………………………...90 Table 18. AUC Values and Optimal Cut-Scores for the ADOS-G Updated and Retained Scoring Algorithms……………………………………………………………………………………….93 Table 19. Sensitivities, Specificities, Positive Predictive Values, Negative Predictive Values, and Hit Rates of ADOS-G Scores on the Updated and Retained Scoring Algorithms………………94 Table 20. Sensitivities, Specificities, Positive Predictive Values, Negative Predictive Values, and Hit Rates of ADOS-G Scores on the Original and Revised Scoring Algorithm Compared to Clinical Diagnoses Made With and Without the ADOS-G (N = 100)…………………………..96 Table 21. Sensitivities, Specificities, Positive Predictive Values, Negative Predictive Values, and Hit Rates of ADOS-G Scores from the Updated and Retained Original Scoring Algorithms Compared to Clinical Diagnoses Made With and Without the ADOS-G (N = 100)……………98 x List of Appendices Appendix A: DSM-IV-TR Diagnostic Criteria for Autism Spectrum Disorders………………137 Appendix B: ……………………………………………………………………………………142 Table B1: Activities on the Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule and their Purpose by Module (Lord, Rutter, DiLavore, & Risi, 1999)…………………………………………….142 Table B2: Items Rated on the Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule by Subdomain and Module (Lord, Rutter, DiLavore, & Risi, 1999)…………………………………………….149 Table B3: Items Included in the Revised Scoring Algorithm on the Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule-Generic by Developmental Cell…………………………………….153 Appendix C…………………………………………………………………………………….156 Table C1: Correlation Matrix of Items Included in the ADOS-G Module 1, Original Scoring Algorithm (N = 82)………………………………………………………………………….156 Table C2: Correlation Matrix of Items Included in the ADOS-G Module 1, Revised Scoring Algorithm (N = 66)………………………………………………………………………….157 Table C3: Correlation Matrix of Items Included in the ADOS-G Module 2, Original Scoring Algorithm (N = 118)………………………………………………………………………...158 Table C4: Correlation Matrix of Items Included in the ADOS-G Module 2, Revised Scoring Algorithm (N = 73)………………………………………………………………………….159 Table C5: Correlation Matrix of Items Included in the ADOS-G Module 3, Original Scoring Algorithm (N = 261)………………………………………………………………………...160 Table C6: Correlation Matrix of Items Included in the ADOS-G Module 3, Revised Scoring Algorithm (N = 262)………………………………………………………………………...161 Appendix D…………………………………………………………………………………….162 Table D1: Corrected Item-Total Correlations and Cronbach’s Alpha if Item Deleted Values for ADOG-G Original Scoring Algorithm One-Factor Solutions…………………………..162 Table D2: Corrected Item-Total Correlations and Cronbach’s Alpha if Item Deleted Values for ADOG-G Revised Scoring Algorithm One-Factor Solutions…………………………...164 Table D3: Corrected Item-Total Correlations and Cronbach’s Alpha if Item Deleted Values for ADOG-G Revised Scoring Algorithm Two-Factor Solutions…………………………..166 Appendix E……………………………………………………………………………………..168

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Third, it was predicted that scores obtained from application of the RSA .. The Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule-Generic (ADOS-G; Lord, Edition-Text Revision (DSM-IV-TR; American Psychiatric Association, 2000), .. logistic regression was used to determine the “predictive value” of scores
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