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US Foreign Policy in the 1990s PDF

304 Pages·1991·27.255 MB·English
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US FOREIGN POLICY IN THE 1990s US Foreign Policy in the 1990s Edited by Greg Schmergel Senior Editor Harvard International Review Foreword by Derek Bok President, Harvard University Palgrave Macmillan ISBN 978-1-349-11222-7 ISBN 978-1-349-11220-3 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-11220-3 ©Harvard International Review, 1991 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1991 All rights reserved. For information write: Scholarly and Reference Division, St. Martin's Press, Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 First published in the United States of America in 1991 ISBN 978-0-312-05366-6 Libaray of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data US foreign policy in the 1990s I edited by Greg Schmergel. p. em. Includes index. ISBN 978-0-312-05366-6 I. United States-Foreign relations-1089- 2. United States -Foreign relations-1081-1989. I. Schmergel. Greg, 1959-- 11. Title: US foreign policy. E881.U2 1991 327.73---dc20 90-43367 CIP Contents Foreword ix Preface x Acknowledgements xii Notes on the Contributors xiii List of Usages xvt Part I Meeting Global Challenges 1 1 The Ecology of International Change 3 George P. Shultz 2 Learning from the Past without Repeating it: Advice for the New President 14 Dante B. Fascell 3 The Challenges to American Leadership 34 Alexander M. Haig, Jr. 4 An Agenda for the 1990s and Beyond 47 W. W. Rostow 5 America's Role in the World: A Congressional Perspective 58 Lee H. Hamilton Part II Perspectives from World Leaders 81 6 The Path of Maturity in Brazilian-American Relations 83 Jose Sarney Part III Thinking about National Security 95 7 Realism, Cohesion, and Strength: Ideas for a New Era in International Security 97 Frank C. Carlucci 8 Security, Arms, and Arms Control 104 Raymond L. Garthoff 9 President Bush's Arms Control Challenge 117 Paul Doty v vi Contents 10 Toward a Grand Strategy 129 David M. Abshire Part IV Superpower Relations 137 11 Soviet-American Relations in the Reagan Years 139 Adam B. Ulam 12 A New Era in Us-Soviet Relations 150 Claiborne Pel/ Part V America and the Global Economy 157 13 An Appraisal of Trade Policy during the Reagan Administration 159 Richard N. Cooper 14 Trade, the Dollar, and the Decline of America 169 Rudiger Dornbusch 15 Whither Protectionism? 179 Robert B. Reich Part VI Covert Operations and Foreign Policy 185 16 Covert Action and American Foreign Policy 187 David L. Boren 17 Covert Action and Congressional Oversight 194 John W. Warner 18 Covert Military Operations and American Foreign Policy 203 Nestor D. Sanchez Part VII Issues around the World 213 19 Science, Technology, and Policy in the 1980s 215 Edward Teller 20 American Foreign Policy: A Turkish View 226 Adnan Kahveci 21 Stalemate and Opportunity in Latin America 231 Robert A. Pastor 22 The End of American Hegemony and the Future of Us-Japan Relations 243 Chalmers Johnson Contents vii 23 US Policy toward Africa in the 1990s: Challenges, Changes, and Constraints 254 Henry F. Jackson 24 New Challenges and Opportunities in Sino-American Relations 263 Michel Oksenberg Index 275 Foreword The concerns addressed by the distinguished authors in this collection of essays have been subjects of study at Harvard for many years. Faculty and students have long sought to understand the complexities of foreign relations and national security. The search for stability and peace in the nuclear age, the emergence of third-world countries, the agenda to bolster a faltering economy and strengthen trading policies all are concerns that demand our closest scrutiny. In the cogent essays in this issue we are fortunate to have guidance on these issues from highly knowledgeable and experienced authors. With ever-increasing global interdependence, universities have an unprecedented opportunity to contribute to the pursuit of security in an insecure world. In fostering programs and projects that can lead to better understanding of other nations and cultures, universities lay the groundwork for a more peaceful world. Centers for area studies and for international affairs and research on international problems in all of the professional schools can expand the knowledge of readers everywhere about issues of importance to all comers of the globe. In trying to prepare students for lives that will be affected profoundly by other countries and cultures, faculties can develop curricula with more international, less parochial perspective. Yet courses alone will not suffice to make students more cosmopolitan or more aware of issues beyond America's borders. The presence of students from many other countries can likewise help in vivid ways to achieve this goal. So can opportunities to travel, study, and work abroad. University programs can also make a contribution. That is why we support the publication of the International Review and congratulate those who edit it. By their work, they educate others, but most of all, they educate themselves about a range of problems of critical importance to their future and ours. DEREK BOK President, Harvard University ix Preface President George Bush has long been involved in American foreign policy. He represented the United States as head ofthe Liaison Office in Beijing and as US representative at the UN in New York, directed the CIA in Langley, Virginia, and as Vice President undertook numerous foreign policy assignments. His strong interest in foreign policy bodes well for the nation as it seeks to adapt to the dynamic process of change that is presently occurring throughout the world, since the United States will need strong and committed leadership to successfully maintain its position in the world order. Bush's foreign policy team is similarly experienced- most have already served in top-level posts in previous administrations. Nevertheless, many of the foreign policy questions of the 1990s are newly arisen and will require new approaches and creative thinking; staying the course may not be enough. Foremost on the agenda is the Soviet Union. Mikhail Gorbachev has displayed a flair for public relations unprecedented among Soviet leaders - some European opinion polls show him to be more popular than Ronald Reagan - and has made glasnost and perestroika household words in Europe and America. European commentators question whether or not Gorbachev has removed NATO's common enemy, with some responding in the affirmative. His recent speech at the UN epitomizes the challenge presented to the United States. American policymakers must decide how much is simply propaganda and how much is true, substantive change that could result in permanent shifts in the us-soviet relationship. America is not alone in actively assessing the changes Gorbachev is bringing to the Soviet Union and to international relations; the allies are reaching their own conclusions, often conclusions much more optimistic than the typical American ones. In this disparity lies a potentially grave challenge to the NATO alliance. NATO was founded primarily to defend Europe against Soviet invasion or intimidation - if Gorbachev succeeds in creating the perception that the Soviet Union is no longer a threat, then NATO's foundation could erode. Soviet international relations analysts are forecasting an end to both NATO and the Warsaw Pact within a few decades. Maintaining alliance solidarity in the face of this and other actual and potential challenges, such as the dispute over "burden-sharing" and the disagreements concerning allied support for US initiatives outside of Europe, will surely require a great deal of effort. X Preface xi One facet of the Us-Soviet relationship, arms control, is especially promising. The recently concluded INF Treaty contains important precedents such as on-site inspection and asymmetrical reductions which will facilitate subsequent negotiations. The improved atmo sphere in East-West relations and the Soviet new thinking on the value of force should also result in accelerated progress in the START and MBFR negotiations. And if East-West tensions subside over coming years, arms control can both contribute to and benefit from that relaxation. Economic issues have risen to the top of the foreign policy agenda. Paul Kennedy sparked a nationwide debate on the implications and severity of America's relative economic decline with his book, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, with some analysts urging immediate action to remedy "imperial overstretch" and others expressing doubt that such a phenomenon applies to today's United States. Few, however, doubt that economic issues should receive greater attention in American foreign policy; America's trade deficit alone makes them difficult to ignore or even deemphasize. Since World War II the United States has pursued the goal of freer trade in the global economy; today America's falling competitiveness is creating domestic pressures for protectionism and "fair trade" instead of free trade. Resisting these pressures and continuing the drive to open markets around the world at the same time that he strives to improve America's position in international trade is an imperative for President Bush. A number of other issues will be competing for President Bush's attention: What is to be the role of covert action after the Iran-contra affair? How is the US to relate to the UN? How will the US foster the cause of democracy in Latin America? How can politicians and scientists work together to quicken the pace of scientific research and the development of new technologies? How can the US and the new economic superpower, Japan, work together in the world economy and in world politics? Will the the African continent receive more attention than it has in the past? What new directions are there for Sino American relations in the 1990s? What are American interests and how can they best be achieved? All the above questions are addressed in this collection of essays, which seeks both to commemorate the Tenth Anniversary of the Harvard International Review and to contribute to the national debate on the best course for American foreign policy in the 1990s. GREG SCHMERGEL

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