Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China’s Development Path Houkai Wei Urbanization in China The Path to Harmony and Prosperity Research Series on the Chinese Dream ’ and China s Development Path Project Director Xie Shouguang, President, Social Sciences Academic Press Series editors Li Yang, Vice president, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China Li Peilin, Vice president, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China Academic Advisors CaiFang,GaoPeiyong,LiLin,LiQiang,MaHuaide,PanJiahua,PeiChanghong, Qi Ye, Wang Lei, Wang Ming, Zhang Yuyan, Zheng Yongnian, Zhou Hong Drawing on a large body of empirical studies done over the last two decades, the Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China’s Development Path seeks to provideitsreaderswithin-depthanalysesofthepastandpresent,andforecastsfor thefuturecourseofChina’sdevelopment.ThankstotheadoptionofSocialismwith Chinese characteristics, and the implementation of comprehensive reform and opening, China has made tremendous achievements in areas such as political reform,economicdevelopment,andsocialconstruction,andismakinggreatstrides towardstherealizationoftheChinesedreamofnationalrejuvenation.Inadditionto presenting a detailed account of many of these achievements, the authors also discusswhatlessonsothercountriescanlearnfromChina’sexperience.Thisseries willbeaninvaluablecompaniontoeveryresearcherwhoistryingtogainadeeper understanding of the development model, path and experience unique to China. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/13571 Houkai Wei Urbanization in China The Path to Harmony and Prosperity 123 Houkai Wei ChineseAcademy of Social Sciences Beijing,China Sponsored bythe Chinese Fundfor theHumanities andSocial Sciences ISSN 2363-6866 ISSN 2363-6874 (electronic) Research Series onthe ChineseDream andChina’s Development Path ISBN978-981-13-1407-0 ISBN978-981-13-1408-7 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1408-7 JointlypublishedwithSocialSciencesAcademicPress,Beijing,China Theprintededitionisnotfor sale intheMainlandof China.Customersfromthe Mainland ofChina pleaseordertheprintbookfrom:SocialSciencesAcademicPress. LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2018947492 ©SocialSciencesAcademicPressandSpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd.2019 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublishers,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. ThePublishers,theauthors,andtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthis book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the Publishers nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor for any errors or omissionsthat may have beenmade. The Publishersremains neutral with regard to jurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:152BeachRoad,#21-01/04GatewayEast,Singapore189721, Singapore Series Preface SinceChina’sreformandopeningbeganin1978,thecountryhascomealongway on the path of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, under the leadership of the Communist Party of China. Over thirty years of reform, efforts and sustained spectacular economic growth have turned China into the world’s second-largest economy and wrought many profound changes in the Chinese society. These his- torically significant developments have been garnering increasing attention from scholars, governments, and the general public alike around the world since the 1990s,whenthenewestwaveofChinastudiesbegantogathersteam.Someofthe hottest topics have included the so-called China miracle, Chinese phenomenon, Chineseexperience,Chinesepath,andtheChinesemodel.Homegrownresearchers havesoonfollowedsuit.Alreadyhugelyproductive,thisvibrantfieldisputtingout a large number of books each year, with Social Sciences Academic Press alone having published hundreds of titles on a wide range of subjects. Because most of these books have been written and published in Chinese; however,readershiphasbeenlimitedoutsideChina—evenamongmanywhostudy China—forwhomEnglishisstillthelinguafranca.Thislanguagebarrier hasbeen animpedimenttoeffortsbyacademia,businesscommunities,andpolicy-makersin othercountriestoformathoroughunderstandingofcontemporaryChina,ofwhatis distinct about China’s past and present may mean not only for her future but also forthefutureoftheworld.Theneedtoremovesuchanimpedimentisbothrealand urgent, and the Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China’s Development Path is my answer to the call. This series features some of the most notable achievements from the last 20 years by scholars in China in a variety of research topics related to reform and opening.Theyincludeboththeoreticalexplorationsandempiricalstudiesandcover economy,society,politics,law,culture,andecology;thesixareasinwhichreform and opening policies have had the deepest impact and farthest-reaching conse- quences for the country. Authors for the series have also tried to articulate their visions of the “Chinese Dream” and how the country can realize it in these fields and beyond. v vi SeriesPreface AlloftheeditorsandauthorsfortheResearchSeriesontheChineseDreamand China’s Development Path are both longtime students of reform and opening and recognized authorities in their respective academic fields. Their credentials and expertise lend credibility to these books, each of which has been subjected to a rigorouspeer review processfor inclusion inthe series. As part of theReform and DevelopmentProgramundertheStateAdministrationofPress,Publication,Radio, Film, and Television of the People’s Republic of China, the series is published by Springer, a Germany-based academic publisher of international repute, and dis- tributedoverseas.IamconfidentthatitwillhelpfillalacunainstudiesofChinain the era of reform and opening. Xie Shouguang Preface China has created a series of economic miracles since reform and opening up began. These miracles are primarily embodied in three aspects. First, China has enjoyed high economic growth for more than three decades, with an annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 9.8% between 1979 and 2013. Second, China has managed to lift about 500 million Chinese citizens out of poverty over thepast35years,asignificantcontributiontoglobaleffortsagainstpoverty.Third, urbanization in China is occurring at an unprecedented rate; China’s urban popu- lation as a percentage of its total population, also known as the urbanization rate, rose from 17.92% in 1978 to 53.73% in 2013, a net increase of 559 million urban residents.Sustainedhigheconomicgrowth,povertyreductionandlarge-scalerapid urbanization constitute the three cornerstones of China’s economic miracle and serve as the three pillars of the Chinese model of economic success. As demonstrated by the Chinese experience, urbanization is the main driving forceforsustainedhigheconomicgrowthandpovertyreductioninruralareas.Itis alsoanimportantapproachtorealizingthe“ChineseDream,”thatis,therevivalof China. A significant part of the Chinese Dream is to assure equal rights between urbanandruralresidentsandfreedomofhumanmigration,sothatfarmersareable to leave the countryside and agricultural work—on a voluntary basis—to pursue work in cities in non-agricultural sectors and enjoy the benefits of modern urban life. Achieving these goals will facilitate China’s transition from a largely rural society into an urban one. This is also a long-held dream of Chinese farmers, especially rural migrant workers. Migratingintocitiesandenjoyingurbanlifearealsoadreamoffarmersaround the world. The global urban population increased from 745 million in 1950 to 3.8 billion in 2014. This corresponds to an increase in urbanization rate from 29.4 to 53.6%. By the end of 2014, the average urbanization rate in developed countries reached 78.0%, with some of the highest urbanization rates in countries that have essentially completed the process of urbanization, such as Japan (93%), Australia (89.3%),Canada(81.6%),theUSA(81.4%),theUK(82.3%),andFrance(79.3%). vii viii Preface In contrast, the average urbanization rate in underdeveloped regions was 48.4%,1 with fast urbanization still taking place. During the process of urbanization, how- ever,alldevelopingcountrieshavefacedsevereproblems,suchasurbanpoverty,a large number of slums, and so-called urban diseases. Moving into cities to enjoy a better, modern urban life has long been a dream of Chinesefarmers.BeforeChinabeganreformandopeningup,thisdreamcouldonlybe realizedthroughafewlimitedmeansduetotherestrictivehukousystemorhousehold registration system. Such means included being hired by a city-based enterprise, becoming a government official, or attending university. After reform and opening, China saw a rapid increase in the number of rural migrant workers who moved into cities to work or do business. In 1983, there were about two million non-local rural migrant workers across China. This number has steadily risen over the years to 30 millionpeoplein1989,70millionpeoplein1995,104.70millionpeoplein2002,and 166.10 million people as of 2013. The total number of both local and non-local rural migrant workers has already reached 268.94 million people in China.2 Mostof theseruralmigrantworkerswork and live incitiesand,to a certain extent, have realized the dream of becoming an urban resident. However, due to existing institutional limitations, they do not receive the same treatments as urban residents in terms of political rights, employment, childhood education, medical/health care, and social security. Moreover, given the low percentage of those who have become regis- tered city residents, rural migrant workers are still far from integrated into urban life. Estimatesshowthatbytheendof2012,thepercentageofregisteredcityresidentsamong ruralmigrantworkersinChinawasonlyabout40%,creatingahugegapbetweenthem andurbanresidents.3Accordingly,Chinastillhasalongwaytogointermsofhelping rural migrant workers achieve the dream of becoming a registered city resident. This dream is not just about allowing Chinese farmers to move into cities, but moreimportantly,enablingthemtoestablishastable,goodlifesothattheybecome integrated into urban society and contribute to social harmony. This approach represents high-quality healthy urbanization. There are three main indicators for qualifying successful urbanization in China: First is the achievement of an 80% urbanization rate (80% of the country’s total population living in towns or cities), whichwouldmarkChina’stransitiontoanadvancedstageofurbansociety.Second is freedom of human migration, in which rural migrants into cities have equal access to political rights and social welfare, or in other words, an end to discrim- ination against rural migrants. The third qualifier is the creation of eco-friendly, beautiful cities where there are no slums, and citizensare fully employed, affluent, and happy. 1This is a mid-year figure. Please refer to United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs,PopulationDivision(2014).WorldUrbanizationProspects:The2014Revision,CD-ROM Edition. 2TheNationalBureauofStatisticsofChina(NBS),“MigrantWorkersMonitoringSurveyReport 2013,”May12,2014. 3WeiHoukai,SuHongjian,andLiFengtao,“ReportontheStatusoftheHukouurbanizationof RuralMigrantWorkers,”ChinaEconomicWeekly,March10,2014. Preface ix Urbanization is an important approach to realizing the Chinese farmer’s dream of becoming a registered city resident. In the future, China’s urbanization will continue at a fast pace for about another two decades. It is expected that the urbanization rate in China will reach about 60% by the end of 2020, which cor- responds to an urban population of about 840 million and China’s transition to an intermediate stage of urban society. By the end of 2030, the urbanization rate in China is forecast to rise to about 68%, corresponding to an urban population that exceeds 950 million. Around 2033, it is expected that China will pass the 70% urbanization rate threshold to transition from an intermediate urbanization stage representedbyfasturbanizationtoalatestagecharacterizedbyaslowerbutsteady urbanization rate. By the end of 2040, the urbanization rate inChina isanticipated toreachabout75%,whichcorrespondstoanurbanpopulationofabout1.3billion and represents an advanced stage of urban society. By the end of 2050, the urbanization rate in China will exceed 80%, close to the peak urbanization rate of 85%,whentheurbanizationratewillstarttobecomestable.Thismeansthat,within three or four decades, the Chinese farmer’s dream of becoming a registered city resident will be fulfilled—and about 80% of all Chinese will live in eco-friendly towns or cities where they are fully employed, affluent, and happy. As a country with a large population, China faces significant rural–urban dif- ferencesandlimitedavailabilityofresourceslikeenergy,minerals,water,andland. This means that China should not conduct urbanization in the same way as any other single country or region, but should take an all-new approach that takes into account domestic conditions. A new China-specific approach to urbanization is an importantpartofChina’seffortstodevelopintoauniquesocialistcountry;itisalso fundamental to building a harmonious and prosperous society and reviving the nation. Global experience shows that sustainable overallprosperity and the revival of the nation will be unattainable if China does not achieve high-quality, healthy urbanization in a well-coordinated manner. Nor will this goal be achieved if hun- dredsofmillionsoffarmersremaininthecountrysideandifruralmigrantstocities cannotintegrateintourbansociety.Anew,China-specificapproachtourbanization isnecessaryfor China tobuilda harmonious andprosperous societyandtorealize the Chinese Dream. It is around the aforementioned thread that this book is structured. Chapter 1 provides a history and basic characteristics of urbanization in China, assesses the current problems and challenges China faces, and reviews China’s previous urbanization strategies. Chapter 2 presents the concept of “China-Model urban- ization,” focusing on the scientific basis, various implications, and basic charac- teristics of the new China-Model approach, as well as its combination with the concept of “new urbanization.” Chapter 3 analyzes the changes in China’s urban- ization strategy, with a focus on relevant trends through 2050, as well as the near- andmid-termobjectivesandmaintasksinthisarea.Chapters4and5explainhow to conduct scientifically sound China-Model, new urbanization, including redefin- ing the distribution of city sizes and optimizing the spatial distribution of cities. Chapter 6 explores how the administrative levels of Chinese cities relate to their size growth and analyzes how the bias toward administrative centers affects urban