SPRINGER BRIEFS IN POPULATION STUDIES Sylvia Szabo Urbanisation and Inequalities in a Post-Malthusian Context Challenges for the Sustainable Development Agenda 123 SpringerBriefs in Population Studies More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/10047 Sylvia Szabo Urbanisation and Inequalities in a Post-Malthusian Context Challenges for the Sustainable Development Agenda 123 Sylvia Szabo University of Southampton Southampton UK ISSN 2211-3215 ISSN 2211-3223 (electronic) SpringerBriefs inPopulation Studies ISBN978-3-319-26569-8 ISBN978-3-319-26571-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-26571-1 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2015955391 SpringerChamHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon ©TheAuthor(s)2016 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt fromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerlandispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia (www.springer.com) Preface Urbanisationandinequalitieshaveemergedaskeycontemporarychallengesdespite the fact that population growth is projected to stabilise and overall poverty levels have been declining. The present book analyses these issues through a dual lens: that of a traditional Malthusian framework and the global development agenda. Whilethebookisconcernedwiththeanalysisofbothurbanisationandinequalities, the speed of urban growth and its impacts on human development remain the primary focus of investigation. The book is the result of a marriage of academic training, practitioner’s per- spective and philosophical reflection. The motivation for the subject developed gradually.First,itwaspromptedbytheauthor’sprofessionalexperienceworkingin international development and direct exposure to the shaping of the sustainable development agenda. Global development politics and policies remain largely unknown outside of the specialist area, despite the fact that both often have a tangibleeffectonpeople’slives.Second,theinspirationforthebookarosefromthe richMalthusianscholarship,whichremainsmostnotoriousforMalthus’claimthat population growth would impact disastrously on food supplies, or resources more broadly. Combining these two aspects—the practical human development chal- lenges and the need to revisit the traditional Malthusian framework—provided an opportunity for extended research, resulting in this book. While the present volume has been written in an academic context and its contentisevidence-based,itistheauthor’shopethatthechaptersofthisbookwill appeal to different audiences, both in terms of professional interests and geo- graphical location. Urbanisation is a key contemporary issue that crosses bound- aries: thefastgrowth ofAsian citiesisoccurring atthesame timeasurbanitiesare expandinginAfricaandasEuropefacesunprecedentedchallengesassociatedwith living in urban areas. In addition, inequalities continue to rise despite positive aggregate trends in most human development indices. I wish to thank Professor Sabu Padmadas, Professor Jane Falkingham, Professor André Junqueira Caetano, Dr Angela Baschieri, Dr Gloria Langat and Professor Zoe Matthews for their comments on the early versions of this v vi Preface manuscript and support at different stages of the writing process. I am grateful to Ms Dee Rees and the Springer team for assistance with the editing of the text. Finally, my gratitude goes to the anonymous reviewers and colleagues who pro- videdtheirfeedbackonthepreviousdraftsofthisbook.Allviewsexpressedinthis manuscript are my own, as are all unintended omissions. Contents 1 Why This Book? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.2 Structure of the Book. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1.3 The Original Malthusian Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1.4 The Need for a New Framework. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2 The Urban Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.1 Urbanisation in the Age of Malthus. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.2 Geneses of Urbanisation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.3 Definition and Typology of Urbanisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.4 National Classifications of Urban Areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 3 Urbanisation and Evolving Food Security Challenges . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.2 Conceptualising Contemporary Food Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 3.3 Urbanisation and the Four Aspects of Food Insecurity . . . . . . . . . 35 3.3.1 Food Availability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 3.3.2 Food Access. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 3.3.3 Food Utilisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 3.3.4 Food Stability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 3.4 Other Key Factors Affecting Food Security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 3.5 Future Outlook and Implications for Sustainable Development Agenda. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 4 Urbanisation, Human Capital and Safe Drinking Water . . . . . . . . . 57 4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 4.2 Urbanisation and Water Challenges: Macro and Micro-level Interlinkages. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 vii viii Contents 4.3 Human Capital in the Context of the Traditional Post-Malthusian Debate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 4.4 The Impact of Human Capital. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 4.5 Quantifying Associations Between Urbanisation, Human Capital and Water Access . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 4.5.1 DHS Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 4.6 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 5 Urbanisation and Intra-urban Inequalities in Nutritional Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 5.2 Historical Inequalities in Access to Food . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 5.3 The Nature of Inequalities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 5.4 Contemporary Urbanisation and Intra-Urban Inequalities. . . . . . . . 86 5.4.1 Urbanisation and Child Undernutrition in the Least Developed Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 5.4.2 Prepositions Regarding Urbanisation and Nutritional Inequalities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 5.5 Intra-Urban Inequalities in Most Rapidly and Less Rapidly Urbanising LDCs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 5.6 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 6 Linking Theory and Practice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 6.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 6.2 Revised Post-Malthusian Framework in the Context of Global Urbanisation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 6.3 Rethinking the IPAT Equation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 6.4 Contribution to the Critique of Traditional Urban Theories . . . . . . 110 6.5 Linking Historical Urbanisation with Contemporary Urban Challenges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 6.6 Challenges for the Sustainable Development Agenda . . . . . . . . . . 113 6.6.1 Population Size and Population Growth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 6.6.2 Urbanisation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 6.6.3 Food Security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 6.6.4 Human Capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 6.6.5 Inequalities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 List of Figures Figure 1.1 Malthusian conceptual framework (adapted from Malthus 1798, 1826) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Figure 1.2 Trends in urban and rural population growth (1950–2050) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Figure 2.1 GNP at factor cost—Great Britain 1801–1901 (in £ million). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Figure 2.2 Percentage of families working in agriculture, trade, handicraft and manufactures and other occupations in four English regions (1831 census). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Figure 2.3 Proportion of urban population in early industrialised and later industrialised European countries (1800–1910) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Figure 3.1 Conceptual framework of food security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Figure 3.2 Trends in urbanisation and agricultural productivity— OECD countries and LDCs (1960–2010) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Figure 3.3 Trends in urbanisation and area harvested—global and LDCs (1960–2010) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Figure 3.4 Trends in food prices—most and least developed countries (2001–2010) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Figure 3.5 Relative risk ratios of female underweight and overweight/obesity by place of residence and region’s human development level. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Figure 3.6 Contemporary framework presenting associations affecting food security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Figure 4.1 Global trends in mean years of schooling by level of development (1980–2010). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Figure 4.2 Macro-level association between urban growth and access to safe drinking water accounting for education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 ix
Description: