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OECD Economic Surveys O E C UNITED STATES D E c o SPECIAL FEATURES: IMPROVING WELL-BEING; MAKING THE BEST OF NEW n o OECD Economic Surveys ENERGY RESOURCES m ic S u r v Most recent editions e UNITED STATES y s Australia, December 2012 Israel, December 2013 Austria, July 2013 Italy, May 2013 Belgium, May 2013 Japan, April 2013 Brazil, October 2013 Korea, April 2012 Canada, June 2014 Luxembourg, December 2012 Chile, October 2013 Mexico, May 2013 China, March 2013 Netherlands, June 2012 V JUNE 2014 Colombia, January 2013 New Zealand, June 2013 o lu Czech Republic, March 2014 Norway, March 2014 m Denmark, January 2014 Poland, March 2012 e 2 Estonia, October 2012 Portugal, July 2012 0 1 Euro area, April 2014 Russian Federation, January 2014 4 / European Union, April 2014 Slovak Republic, December 2012 12 Finland, February 2014 Slovenia, April 2013 France, March 2013 South Africa, March 2013 Germany, February 2012 Spain, November 2012 Greece, November 2013 Sweden, December 2012 Hungary, January 2014 Switzerland, November 2013 Iceland, June 2013 Turkey, July 2012 India, June 2011 United Kingdom, February 2013 Indonesia, September 2012 United States, June 2014 Ireland, September 2013 U N IT E D S T A Consult this publication on line at http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_surveys-usa-2014-en. T E S This work is published on the OECD iLibrary, which gathers all OECD books, periodicals and statistical databases. Visit www.oecd-ilibrary.org for more information. Volume 2014/12 ISSN 0376-6438 June 2014 2014 SUBSCRIPTION (18 ISSUES) ISSN 1995-3046 SUBSCRIPTION BY COUNTRY 9HSTCQE*cagjie+ Ju n e ISBN 978-92-64-20698-4 2 10 2014 12 1 P 0 1 4 OECD Economic Surveys: United States 2014 This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereigntyoveranyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundaries andtothenameofanyterritory,cityorarea. Pleasecitethispublicationas: OECD(2014),OECDEconomicSurveys:UnitedStates2014,OECDPublishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_surveys-usa-2014-en ISBN978-92-64-20698-4(print) ISBN978-92-64-20699-1(PDF) Series:OECDEconomicSurveys ISSN0376-6438(print) ISSN1609-7513(online) OECDEconomicSurveys:UnitedStates ISSN1995-3046(print) ISSN1999-0103(online) ThestatisticaldataforIsraelaresuppliedbyandundertheresponsibilityofthe relevantIsraeliauthorities.Theuse ofsuchdatabytheOECDiswithoutprejudicetothestatusoftheGolanHeights,EastJerusalemandIsraeli settlementsintheWestBankunderthetermsofinternationallaw. Photocredits:Cover©mbell/Flickr/GettyImages. CorrigendatoOECDpublicationsmaybefoundonlineat:www.oecd.org/about/publishing/corrigenda.htm. ©OECD2014 Youcancopy,downloadorprintOECDcontentforyourownuse,andyoucanincludeexcerptsfromOECDpublications,databasesand multimediaproductsinyourowndocuments,presentations,blogs,websitesandteachingmaterials,providedthatsuitable acknowledgementofOECDassourceandcopyrightownerisgiven.Allrequestsforpublicorcommercialuseandtranslationrightsshould besubmittedtorights@oecd.org.Requestsforpermissiontophotocopyportionsofthismaterialforpublicorcommercialuseshallbe addresseddirectlytotheCopyrightClearanceCenter(CCC)[email protected]çaisd’exploitationdudroitdecopie(CFC) [email protected]. TABLEOFCONTENTS Table of contents BasicstatisticsoftheUnitedStates,2012...................................... 7 Executivesummary......................................................... 9 Mainfindings........................................................... 10 Keyrecommendations................................................... 11 Assessmentandrecommendations........................................... 13 Theeconomyisrecovering............................................... 14 Structuralreforms,includingcomprehensivetaxreform, canboostlong-termgrowth .............................................. 20 Financialreformshouldberolledoutfully.................................. 22 Labourmarketreformcanboostemployment............................... 24 Recommendationsformacroeconomicmanagement ............................ 27 Americansaregenerallyhappy,althoughworkingfamiliesfacerising pressures .............................................................. 27 Recommendationstohelpworkingfamiliesaddressrisingpressures............... 35 Makingthebestofnewenergyresources................................... 36 Recommendationsformanagingnewenergyresources.......................... 43 Bibliography............................................................ 44 Annex.Follow-uptopreviousOECDpolicyrecommendations .................... 47 Thematic chapters Chapter1.Improvingwell-being .............................................. 55 Whatexplainsrisingwork-lifepressures?.................................. 59 Work-lifeconflictshavenegativehealthconsequences....................... 64 Jobqualitymattersforwellbeing.......................................... 67 Theworkingpoorfacedifferentwell-beingchallenges ....................... 68 Familypaidleaveandflexibleworkplaces.................................. 71 Earlyeducationandchildcare............................................. 74 Recommendationstoimprovethewell-beingofAmericans....................... 77 Bibliography............................................................ 78 Chapter2.Makingthebestofnewenergyresources............................. 83 TheUnitedStatesiswellendowedwithnaturalresources.................... 84 Capturingtheeconomicbenefits.......................................... 87 Localimpacts........................................................... 95 Linkstoclimatechange.................................................. 98 Recommendations....................................................... 105 Bibliography............................................................ 106 Glossary................................................................... 109 OECDECONOMICSURVEYS:UNITEDSTATES©OECD2014 3 TABLEOFCONTENTS Boxes 1. Baseerosionandprofitshifting(BEPS).................................... 21 2. GSEReform ........................................................... 23 3. Taxationofnon-renewablenaturalresources .............................. 42 1.1. BeyondGDP........................................................... 57 1.2. Work-lifebalance:Howbadisit?......................................... 59 1.3. WhatmattersforAmericans?............................................ 65 2.1. Taxationofnon-renewablenaturalresources .............................. 91 2.2. Naturalresourcesandeconomicsustainability............................. 93 2.3. Greaterweathervariability.............................................. 100 2.4. TheRegionalGreenhouseGasInitiative................................... 101 Tables 1. Macroeconomicindicatorsandprojections................................ 17 2. Taxrevenuefromoilandgas ............................................ 43 2.1. Estimatesofoilandgaswealth .......................................... 86 2.2. Taxrevenuefromoilandgas ............................................ 92 Figures 1. Theeconomicrecoveryinhistoricalperspective............................ 15 2. Balancesheetsarerelativelyhealthy ..................................... 16 3. Thebudgetdeficithasfallenandfiscalprojectionshaveimproved............ 18 4. InflationisrunningbelowtheFOMCobjective ............................. 19 5. StockmarketindexeshavereachednominalhighsandP/Eratiosareabove historicalaverages ..................................................... 19 6. Outputafterthecrisis .................................................. 20 7. Labourmarkettrendsaremixed ......................................... 25 8. Disabilitybenefitapplicationsandawardshaveincreased................... 26 9. Well-beingishigh,butnotforall......................................... 28 10. Incomegrowthhasvariedconsiderablyacrossgroups ...................... 29 11. Cashincomesofbottom10%havestagnated .............................. 30 12. Americanfamiliesarefacingrisingtimepressures ......................... 30 13. TheUSminimumwagehasfallenbehind ................................. 31 14. TheUSlagsbehindinearlyeducationspending............................ 32 15. JobprotectedmaternityandparentalleaveinOECDcountries,2011 .......... 33 16. Low-wageworkershavefewerbenefitsintheprivatesector(2013)............ 34 17. Naturalgashasincreaseditsimportanceinenergyconsumption,1910-2012... 36 18. Theenergysectorisexpanding .......................................... 37 19. USnaturalgaspriceshavedivergedfromoilpricesandinternational gasprices............................................................. 38 20. Someprogressinreducinggreenhousegasemissions....................... 40 1.1. Well-beingishigh,butnotforall......................................... 58 1.2. Workingtimehasincreasedinthemanufacturingsector.................... 60 1.3. Convergenceofmenandwomenlabour-marketparticipation................ 61 1.4. Americanfamiliesarefacingrisingtimepressures ......................... 61 1.5. Workingtimechallengesvaryacrossincomegroups........................ 62 1.6. PublicspendingsupportingfamiliesislowintheUnitedStates .............. 64 1.7. Low-wageworkershavefewerbenefitsintheprivatesector(2013)............ 67 4 OECDECONOMICSURVEYS:UNITEDSTATES©OECD2014 TABLEOFCONTENTS 1.8. Whicharethecharacteristicsofgoodjobs?................................ 68 1.9. TheUSminimumwagehasfallenbehind ................................. 70 1.10. Raisingthefederalminimumwagewouldhaverippleeffects................ 71 1.11. TheAmericanpoorareaheterogeneousgroup............................. 72 1.12. TheUSlagsbehindinearlyeducationspending............................ 74 1.13. Earlychildhoodeducationisnotwelldeveloped ........................... 75 1.14. Fewerchildrenareenrolledinearlychildhoodandprimaryeducation ........ 76 2.1. Productionandreservesofoilandnaturalgasarerising .................... 85 2.2. Shalegasreservesandproductionareconcentratedinafewstates........... 86 2.3. Theshaleboomisboostingemploymentandnetexports ................... 87 2.4. Growthintheoilandgasminingsectorsisfastinsomestates............... 88 2.5. Oilandgaspriceshavediverged ......................................... 89 2.6. Adjustednationalsavings(2008) ......................................... 94 2.7. Averageannualproductivitygrowthwithandwithoutnaturalcapital......... 94 2.8. Someprogressinreducinggreenhousegasemissions....................... 99 2.9. Variationinelectricitydemandisgrowing................................. 100 2.10. Coalproductionhasfallenwhileexportshaverisen ........................ 103 OECDECONOMICSURVEYS:UNITEDSTATES©OECD2014 5 This Survey is published on the responsibility of the Economic and Development Review Committee (EDRC) of the OECD, which is charged with the examinationoftheeconomicsituationofmembercountries. TheeconomicsituationandpoliciesoftheUnitedStateswerereviewedbythe Committee on 21May2014. The draft report was then revised in the light of the discussionsandgivenfinalapprovalastheagreedreportofthewholeCommitteeon 2June2014. The Secretariat’s draft report was prepared for the Committee by Douglas Sutherland and Aida Caldera Sánchez, with statistical research from ValeryDugain,underthesupervisionofPatrickLenain. ThepreviousSurveyoftheUnitedStateswasissuedinJune2012. InformationaboutthelatestaswellaspreviousSurveysandmoreinformation abouthowSurveysarepreparedisavailableatwww.oecd.org/eco/surveys. Follow OECD Publications on: http://twitter.com/OECD_Pubs http://www.facebook.com/OECDPublications http://www.linkedin.com/groups/OECD-Publications-4645871 http://www.youtube.com/oecdilibrary OECD Alerts http://www.oecd.org/oecddirect/ This book has... StatLinks2 A service that delivers Excel ® files from the printed page! Look for the StatLinks2at the bottom of the tables or graphs in this book. To download the matching Excel® spreadsheet, just type the link into your Internet browser, starting with the http://dx.doi.org prefix, or click on the link from the e-book edition. BasicstatisticsoftheUnitedStates,2012 (NumbersinparenthesesrefertotheOECDaverage)a LAND,PEOPLEANDELECTORALCYCLE Population(million) 313.9 Populationdensityperkm2 31.9 (34.3) Under15(%) 19.5 (18.4) Lifeexpectancy(years,2011) 78.7 (80.0) Over65(%) 13.7 (15.3) Men 76.3 (77.3) Foreign-born(%,2011) 13.0 Women 81.1 (82.8) Latest5-yearaveragegrowth(%) 0.8 (0.5) Latestgeneralelection Sept.2012 ECONOMY Grossdomesticproduct(GDP) Valueaddedshares(%) Incurrentprices(billionUSD,2013) 16799.7 Primarysector 1.2 (2.5) Latest5-yearaveragerealgrowth(%,2013) 1.2 (0.8) Industryincludingconstruction 20.2 (27.4) Percapita,PPP(thousandUSD) 51.7 (37.3) Services 78.6 (70.1) Medianequivalisedhouseholdincome,PPP(000USD,2010) 29.1 (20.4) GENERALGOVERNMENT PercentofGDP Expenditure(2013) 39.0 (42.7) Grossfinancialdebt(2013) 104.3 (107.6) Revenue(2013) 32.6 (36.8) Netfinancialdebt(2013) 81.2 (67.9) EXTERNALACCOUNTS Exchangerate(EURperUSD,2013) 0.8 Mainexports(%oftotalmerchandiseexports,2013) PPPexchangerate(USA=1) 1.0 Machineryandtransportequipment 33.8 InpercentofGDP Chemicalsandrelatedproducts,n.e.s. 13.4 Exportsofgoodsandservices(2013) 13.5 (53.5) Commoditiesandtransactions,n.e.s. 11.6 Importsofgoodsandservices(2013) 16.4 (49.4) Mainimports(%oftotalmerchandiseimports,2013) Currentaccountbalance(2013) -2.3 (0.0) Machineryandtransportequipment 38.8 Netinternationalinvestmentposition -23.8 Mineralfuels,lubricantsandrelatedmaterials 16.7 Miscellaneousmanufacturedarticles 14.9 LABOURMARKET,SKILLSANDINNOVATION Employmentrate(%)for15-64year-olds(2013) 67.4 (65.2) Unemploymentrate,LabourForceSurvey Men(2013) 72.6 (73.1) (age15andover)(%),2013 7.4 (7.9) Women(2013) 62.3 (57.4) Youth(age15-24)(%),2013 15.5 (16) Participationrate(%)for15-64year-olds(2013) 72.8 (70.9) Long-termunemployed(1yearandover) 2.4 (2.7) Averagehoursworkedperyear 1790(1765) Tertiaryeducationalattainment25-64year-olds(%,2011) 42.4 (31.5) GrossdomesticexpenditureonR&D(%ofGDP) 2.8 (2.4) ENVIRONMENT Totalprimaryenergysupplypercapita(toe) 6.8 (4.2) CO2emissionsfromfuelcombustionpercapita(tonnes,2011) 17.0 (10.0) Renewables(%) 6.3 (8.5) Waterabstractionspercapita(1000m3,2010) .. Fineparticulatematterconcentration(urban,PM10,µg/m3,2010) 18.6 (28.7) Municipalwastepercapita(tonnes) (0.5) SOCIETY Incomeinequality(Ginicoefficient,2010) 0.380(0.304) Educationoutcomes(PISAscore,2012) Relativepovertyrate(%,2010) 17.4 (10.9) Reading 498 (496) Publicandprivatespending(%ofGDP) Mathematics 481 (494) Healthcare(2011) 17.7 (9.5) Science 497 (501) Pensions(2009) 6.9 (8.7) Shareofwomeninparliament(%,December2013) 18.2 (26.2) Education(primary,secondary,postsec.nontertiary,2010) 4.0 (4.0) Netofficialdevelopmentassistance(%ofGNI) 0.2 (0.4) Betterlifeindex:www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org a) WheretheOECDaggregateisnotprovidedinthesourcedatabase,asimpleOECDaverageoflatestavailabledataiscalculatedwhere dataexistforatleast29membercountries. Source: Calculationsbasedondataextractedfromthedatabasesofthefollowingorganisations:OECD,InternationalEnergyAgency, WorldBank,InternationalMonetaryFundandInter-ParliamentaryUnion.

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