Uninformed Uninformed Why People Know so Little about Politics and What We Can do about It arthur lupia University of Michigan 1 1 Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries. Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America © Arthur Lupia 2016 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by license, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reproduction rights organization. Inquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above. You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Lupia, Arthur, 1964– Uninformed : why people know so little about politics and what we can do about it / Arthur Lupia. pages cm Includes bibliographical references. 1. Political socialization. 2. Political participation 3. Civics—Study and teaching. 4. Citizenship—Study and teaching. 5. Education—Political aspects. 6. Education—Social aspects. I. Title. JA76.L865 2016 320—dc23 2015025315 ISBN 978–0–19–026372–0 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper In memory of William Henry Slack Jr. Buffalo Fire Department, U.S. Army, Purple Heart, hero and Thomas John Mroz Jr. Your zest for life, family, and politics continues to inspire. Contents List of Figures and Tables ix Acknowledgments xi 1. From Infinite Ignorance to Knowledge that Matters 1 2. Who Are the Educators and How Can We Help Them? 5 Part I: The Value of Information 3. Three Definitions 25 4. The Silver Bullet 33 5. The Logic of Competence 40 6. Lost in the Woods 61 7. Attracting Attention 66 8. Building Source Credibility 81 9. The Politics of Competence 96 10. Value Diversity and How to Manage It 105 11. Complexity and Framing 132 viii Contents 12. Political Roles: Who Needs to Know? 149 13. Costs and Benefits 164 Part II: How to Improve “Political Knowledge” 14. What We Know 191 15. Reading the Questions, Understanding the Answers 198 16. Political Knowledge Scales: Something Doesn’t Add Up 218 17. Assessing Information Assessments 240 18. All in Good Measure 261 19. The Silver Lining 283 Notes 291 References 305 Index 323 List of Figures and Tables FIGURES 2.1. Information that Matters 15 5.1. How Information and Knowledge Affect Competence: A Global View 59 8.1. Image from Fliegende Blätter, October 23, 1892 84 10.1. Support for the Tax Cut by ANES Post-Election Information Rating 128 10.2. Differences in Support for the Tax Cut by ANES Post-Election Information Rating 129 12.1. Two Cases of “Splitting the Difference” 154 18.1. A Question from the IEA Civic Education Study 270 TABLES 5.1. Logical Relations between Knowledge and Competence 42
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