Unequal Actors in Equalising Institutions This page intentionally left blank Unequal Actors in Equalising Institutions Negotiations in the United Nations General Assembly Diana Panke DepartmentofPoliticalScience,UniversityofFreiburg,Germany palgrave macmillan ©DianaPanke2013 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2013 978-1-137-36326-8 Allrightsreserved.Noreproduction,copyortransmissionofthis publicationmaybemadewithoutwrittenpermission. Noportionofthispublicationmaybereproduced,copiedortransmitted savewithwrittenpermissionorinaccordancewiththeprovisionsofthe Copyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988,orunderthetermsofanylicence permittinglimitedcopyingissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgency, SaffronHouse,6–10KirbyStreet,LondonEC1N8TS. Anypersonwhodoesanyunauthorizedactinrelationtothispublication maybeliabletocriminalprosecutionandcivilclaimsfordamages. Theauthorhasassertedherrighttobeidentifiedastheauthorofthiswork inaccordancewiththeCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Firstpublished2013by PALGRAVEMACMILLAN PalgraveMacmillanintheUKisanimprintofMacmillanPublishersLimited, registeredinEngland,companynumber785998,ofHoundmills,Basingstoke, HampshireRG216XS. PalgraveMacmillanintheUSisadivisionofStMartin’sPressLLC, 175FifthAvenue,NewYork,NY10010. PalgraveMacmillanistheglobalacademicimprintoftheabovecompanies andhascompaniesandrepresentativesthroughouttheworld. Palgrave®andMacmillan®areregisteredtrademarksintheUnitedStates, theUnitedKingdom,Europeandothercountries. ISBN 978-1-349-47294-9 ISBN 978-1-137-36327-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9781137363275 Thisbookisprintedonpapersuitableforrecyclingandmadefromfully managedandsustainedforestsources.Logging,pulpingandmanufacturing processesareexpectedtoconformtotheenvironmentalregulationsofthe countryoforigin. AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. AcatalogrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress. Contents ListofTablesandFigures vii Preface viii ListofAbbreviations x 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Theresearchquestionandtheargument 3 1.2 ContributionstoInternationalRelationsresearch 6 1.3 Chapteroutline 8 2 TheUnitedNationsGeneralAssembly:FormalEquality andSizeDifferences 13 2.1 TheUnitedNationsGeneralAssemblyandthe equality-of-statesprinciple 13 2.2 TheUNmemberstates:Sizedifferencesandchallenges 15 2.3 MappingactiveparticipationintheUNGApolicycycle 22 2.4 Mappingeffectiveparticipation:Influenceandsuccess intheUnitedNationsGeneralAssembly 29 3 Theory 33 3.1 TheorisingactiveparticipationintheUNGApolicycycle 33 3.2 Theorisingeffectiveparticipation:Influenceandsuccess 49 4 EmpiricsI:ActiveParticipation 56 4.1 Participationinthepolicy-initiationstage(DV1a) 56 4.2 Participationinthenegotiationstage(DV1b) 67 4.3 Participationinthedecision-takingstage(DV1c) 77 4.4 Sizedifferencesandactiveparticipation 85 5 EmpiricsII:EffectiveParticipationintheUNGA 93 5.1 Thenegotiationstage:InfluenceintheUNGA(DV2a) 93 5.1.1 TheAfricandescentcaseandColombia:Aleast likelycaseforsmallstateinfluence 95 5.1.2 TheICJfollow-upresolutiononnuclearweapons: Asmallstateinabiggroup–negotiatingwith stringsattached 102 5.1.3 MexicoandtheLatinAmerican nuclear-weapon-free-zone:Howbiggerstates negotiate 109 v vi Contents 5.1.4 IndiaandtheConventionontheProhibitionofthe UseofNuclearWeapons:Howbigstatescanexploit biggroups 115 5.1.5 TheEUandtheMyanmarresolution:Howasmaller groupnegotiates 120 5.1.6 TheG77andtheeliminationofracismcase:Howa biggroup conductsmultilateralnegotiations 130 5.2 Thevotingstage:SuccessintheUNGA(DV2b) 137 5.3 Sizedifferences,influenceandsuccess 142 6 Conclusions 149 6.1 Theargumentandmajorfindings 149 6.2 Theimportanceofinstitutionaldesign 156 6.3 Smallstates:Punchingabovetheirweights inmultilateralnegotiations? 158 Appendix 164 Notes 175 Literature 231 Index 247 Tables and Figures Tables 2.1 Additivesizeindex(0–200) 18 2.2 AnnualaveragesofsponsorshipforUNGAresolutions 1999/2000–2009/2010 25 2.3 AgendaitemsintheUNGA(GA54–64) 26 2.4 VotingpatternintheUNGA,sessions1999/2000–2009/2010 26 2.5 Averageparticipationratesinthedecision-takingstageby memberstates,sessions54–64 28 2.6 Averagesuccess-ratesbymemberstates,sessions54–64 31 3.1 Overviewofhypotheses(DV1:Activeparticipation) 43 3.2 Hypothesesoninfluence(DV2a)andsuccess(DV2b) 53 4.1 Regressionresults:Participationinthepolicy-initiation stage(DV1a) 60 4.2 Regressionresults:Participationindecision-taking(DV1c) 78 4.3 Overviewoffindings–Activeparticipation(DV1) 86 5.1 Regressionresults:Successinthevotingstage(DV2b) 139 5.2 Overviewoffindings–effectiveparticipation(DV2) 143 A1 UNGAmemberstatesinthedecision-takingstage,averages GA54–64(datasources,cf.Chapter2) 164 A2 Policysubsetmodels–DV1c(activeparticipationinthe decision-takingstage) 167 A3 Policysubsetmodels–DV2b(successinthe decision-takingstage) 171 Figures 3.1 Activeparticipation 34 3.2 Developmentofnationalpositions 36 3.3 Capital-basedcoordinationsystems 37 3.4 Mission-basedcoordinationsystems 38 4.1 Theactivitymodel 57 6.1 Position-formation,participation,influenceandsuccess 154 vii Preface ThemajorinterestdrivingtheprojectUnequalActorsinEqualisingInstitutions has been to explore the interplay between formal rules and real-world dif- ferences. More precisely, I wanted to examine to what extent variation in size-relatedcapacitiesbetweenstatesmattersforthedynamicsandoutcomes of negotiations taking place in an institutional environment that strongly reflects the one-state, one-vote principle. In a previous project, I focused on the role of small states in the European Union (EU). In this context, size-relatedcapacitydifferencesbetweenthememberstatesarefarlesspro- nounced than in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) where a microstate, such as Tuvalu or Palau, can face a superpower more than sev- eral hundred times its size, such as the USA or China. At the same time, however,theformalrulesguidingordinarydecisionmakingdifferconsider- ably:intheEU’sCouncilofMinisters,aweightedvotingsystemisinplace grantingbiggerstatesmorepower,whileintheUNGAallstatesareformally equal.Thus,IbecameinterestedintheUNGAbecauseitisaverygoodtest- ing ground to examine how and under which conditions different types of capacities matter and to what extent such real-world differences mod- ify the equalising effect of an institutional design based on the equality of sovereign states, which is dominant in today’s international organisations. Iverymuchenjoyedtheprojectandhopethatthisisreflectedinthisbook, whichsummarisesthemajorfindings. Different aspects of the project were financially supported by Univer- sity College Dublin (seed funding, “Small States in the United Nations – ChallengesandOpportunities”),theFritz-ThyssenFoundation(travelgrant (Az. 50.11.0.028), “Games Unequal Actors Play”) and the Irish Research Council for Humanities and Social Sciences (New Ideas Scheme “EU @UN: EffectivelySpeakingwithOneVoice?”).Withoutthesesmallgrants,Iwould not have been able to collect the required data and to travel to New York severaltimesbetween2010and2012,conductingmorethan160interviews with diplomats from larger and smaller states. I am extremely grateful to everyone who was willing to be interviewed in the various stages of the project. This way I – as an academic outsider – got a good idea of how negotiations are conducted in practice in such a big setting as the UNGA. It goes without saying that the book would have been written very differ- ently (if not accomplished at all) without the insights obtained from the helpofthediplomats. I presented different parts of my work at European and international conferences and the book undoubtedly benefited from the inputs of con- structive discussions. Special thanks go to the following colleagues for viii Preface ix their very helpful comments: Samuel Brazys, Eugénia da Conceição-Heldt, Nicole Deitelhoff, Adrian O’Hagan, Tobias Hofmann, Liesbet Hooghe, Koji Kagotani,MichaelH.SmithandLoraViola. I am also grateful to Finbar Hefferon, Christopher Lute, Stephen Massey, Adrian O’Hagan, Paul Quinn and Michael Verspohl. These former students worked as research assistants and did a very good job in supporting the data collection stages of the project. Moreover, I would like to thank Sally Hayden,StephaniePollhammerandSabineRoseforproofreadingtheentire manuscript.