UNDERSTANDING PUBLIC POLICY THROUGH MASS MEDIA ANDREA LAWLOR DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE MCGILL UNIVERSITY, MONTREAL OCTOBER 2013 A THESIS SUBMITTED TO MCGILL UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY © ANDREA LAWLOR, 2013 Abstract Media have both direct and indirect influences on policy, and can, at various times, serve as a contributor to policy, a conduit of policy information, and a mirror to the policy process. Although the scholarly literature acknowledges media’s role in the policy process, particularly their ability to affect policymakers directly, systematically push policy alternatives, or influence public opinion, the literature often omits a critical role for media: reflecting the policy process. Mass media are the public’s largest source of information on policy, yet the volume and tone of media reporting on policy over time, not to mention what we can learn about public policy through media data, are often overlooked. This dissertation examines how we can use media as a tool to better understand the complexity of public policy narratives, framing and change. It also suggests an approach to using media data as a tool to examine the relationships between policy actors and domains. Using automated content analysis of over 25 years of comparative media data, this dissertation consists of three articles: each makes a contribution to the policy literature, namely in the areas of pension policy, immigration policy, and the literature on issue ownership. When taken together, these articles make a broader contribution to the field’s understanding of how framing, language and narrative impact the public’s understanding of many facets of the policy process. Results demonstrate the value of understanding media’s role as a mirror. Additionally, the approach used can be considered a contribution to the methodological toolkit available to policy and political communications scholars to assist them in better understanding the complex relationships between policy and media. ii Abrégé Les médias ont des effets directs et indirects sur les politiques. À différents moments, les médias peuvent participer à la création et à la diffusion de politiques, tout comme ils peuvent éclaircir le processus d’élaboration de ces politiques. Le rôle des médias dans ce processus, surtout par rapport à leur capacité d’influer sur les décideurs de façon directe, d’avancer systématiquement des politiques de rechange ou d’influencer l’opinion publique, est reconnu dans la littérature spécialisée. Toutefois, on y aborde rarement un autre rôle fondamental des médias, qui est celui de nous faire comprendre le processus de création de politiques. Pour le public, les médias de masse constituent la principale source d’information sur les politiques, mais le volume et le ton des rapports médiatiques à ce sujet au fil du temps – sans oublier les apprentissages sur les politiques publiques que nous pouvons tirer des données des médias – sont souvent négligés. La présente dissertation traite de l’utilisation des médias comme outils pour approfondir notre compréhension du récit, de la formulation et de la modification des politiques publiques. Elle propose également une approche pour appliquer des données médiatiques à l’examen des rapports entre acteurs politiques et domaines. La présente étude s’appuie sur une analyse de contenu automatisée de données comparatives des médias, couvrant une période de plus de 25 ans. Chacune des trois grandes sections de l’analyse apporte une contribution à la littérature spécialisée, en explorant les politiques en matière de pension et d’immigration, ainsi que la question de l’adhésion aux politiques. Dans son ensemble, l’étude renseigne sur la portée de l’expression, du langage et du récit sur la compréhension populaire des nombreux aspects du processus d’élaboration de politiques. Les résultats de l’analyse soulignent l’importance de comprendre le rôle des médias dans la traduction de ce processus. De plus, les chercheurs qui s’intéressent aux politiques et à la communication politique peuvent utiliser l’approche méthodologique proposée pour étudier les rapports complexes entre les politiques et les médias. iii Acknowledgements I owe enormous thanks to my dissertation supervisor, Stuart Soroka. Stuart has been exceedingly generous with his time and patience throughout the development and completion of this dissertation. He took an unstructured idea and gave it a clear path. He supported me in tackling a project that was innovative, exciting, and often challenging, with reassurance and enthusiasm. Stuart continuously ensured that I had the necessary resources to complete my degree and that I took every opportunity to present my work to colleagues. These experiences have helped prepared me for a future in academia, and I am grateful for his support. My committee, Éric Bélanger and Antonia Maioni, were a tremendous source of advice and encouragement throughout the dissertation. Éric has been exceptionally supportive in all stages of the PhD. From coursework through to the completion of the dissertation, his thoughtful feedback helped me improve the quality of my work. He has also opened up many opportunities for collaborative research, which have enriched the PhD experience immensely. Antonia generously offered support and counsel at several stages in this project, and I am grateful for her willingness to take on this role. I owe an enormous debt to Elisabeth Gidengil for her support throughout my degree and her leadership at the Centre for the Study of Democratic Citizenship. The Centre has provided endless support to myself and other students at various stages of their graduate work. It is a vibrant academic home, and my positive experience at McGill is a direct product of the people and ideas that are part of the Centre. I am privileged to have made several close friends while at McGill – and I have the good fortune to say that there are too many to list here. There are three people I must credit specifically for the positive role they have played in graduate experience. Melanee Thomas has been a friend and mentor since I joined the program. Her generosity, invaluable advice and support were a constant in these past five years. Erin Crandall has been a wonderful friend and co-author, and I look forward to a future full of collaborative efforts. Mark Daku and I have gone through the program together, and from comps to completion, he has always offered support and friendship with a great sense of humour and adventure. He also introduced me to my husband, which means I owe him a larger debt than I can ever repay. I met Judah Purcell just before I began writing this dissertation, and now I am proud to call him my husband. He is my greatest source of support and my most dedicated cheerleader. His kindness, patience and encouragement have never wavered, and I am so honoured to be his partner. Finally, I owe the greatest debt of gratitude to my family. My brother and sisters, Michael, Stephanie, and Holly have been cheering me on throughout these past five years. I am so proud to celebrate all of our accomplishments together. My dad, Michael, always reminded me to pursue excellence and innovation. My mother, Margherita, has been an endless source of love and support – in this endeavour and everything else I have ever done. I dedicate this dissertation to them. iv v Table of Contents List of Figures......................................................................................................................x List of Tables......................................................................................................................xi 1.1 Conduit, Contributor or Mirror: What Media Tell Us About Public Policy and Why It Matters................................................................................................................................2 1.2 The Consequences of (Mis)Information for Democratic Representation.....................4 1.3 Role of Media in a Democracy...................................................................................11 1.4 Media and Public Policymaking..................................................................................13 1.4.1 Roles of Media: The Conduit – Media’s Direct Effects...................................................14 1.4.2 Roles of Media: The Contributor – Media’s Indirect Effects...........................................16 1.4.2.1 Media Effects...................................................................................................................16 1.4.2.2 Policy Representation......................................................................................................22 1.4.3 The Role of Media: Media as a Reflection of Policy........................................................23 1.5 Purpose of the Dissertation .........................................................................................26 2.1 Methodology...............................................................................................................32 2.2 Content Analysis: An Overview..................................................................................32 2.3 The Importance of Analysing Media Content............................................................33 2.4 Computer-Assisted Automated Coding......................................................................34 2.5 Methodological Approach...........................................................................................35 2.5.1 Case Selection...................................................................................................................35 2.5.1.1 Print News Sources.........................................................................................................35 2.5.1.2 Search Databases............................................................................................................37 2.5.2 Text Analysis....................................................................................................................37 2.5.2.1 Search Queries................................................................................................................37 2.5.2.2 Inductive and Deductive Approaches to Categorical Dictionary Construction.............38 2.5.2.3 Hierarchical Clustering...................................................................................................40 2.5.2.4 Coding Text Using Categorical Dictionaries..................................................................43 2.5.2.5 Coding Sentiment or Tone.............................................................................................43 3.1 Reframing Pension Policy from the Public to the Private...........................................46 3.2 Public? Private? Or Both? Retirement Provision in Canada in the Post-War Era.....47 3.3 Pension Programs and Retirement Savings in Canada..............................................48 3.4 Public Opinion on Pension Spending.........................................................................55 3.5 Framing Pensions........................................................................................................59 3.5.1 Social Welfare...................................................................................................................61 vi 3.5.2 Economic Reform............................................................................................................62 3.5.3 Government-Sponsored Programs...................................................................................63 3.5.4 Personal Responsibility.....................................................................................................63 3.6 Data and Methodology...............................................................................................65 3.7 Results.........................................................................................................................66 3.7.1 Validating Frames in News Media Coverage: Hierarchical Clustering...........................66 3.7.2 Frame Coverage Over Time............................................................................................69 3.8 Discussion....................................................................................................................76 4.1 Immigration in the Canadian and British News Media..............................................80 4.2 Framing Immigration..................................................................................................81 4.2.1 Socio-Economic Impact...................................................................................................82 4.2.2 Securitization....................................................................................................................83 4.2.3 Multiculturalism...............................................................................................................84 4.3 Public Opinion Toward Immigration in Canada and the UK...................................86 4.4 Data and Methodology...............................................................................................90 4.5 Results.........................................................................................................................93 4.5.1 Validating Frames in News Media Coverage: Hierarchical Clustering...........................93 4.5.2 Frame Coverage Over Time............................................................................................96 4.5.2 Tone of Coverage Over Time........................................................................................102 4.5.3 Sentence Proximity.........................................................................................................106 4.6 Discussion..................................................................................................................107 5.1 New Perspectives on Issue Ownership: Media, Issue Responsibility and the “New” Issue Owners............................................................................................................................112 5.2 Issue Ownership: The State of the Literature...........................................................113 5.3 The Role of Media in Issue Ownership....................................................................116 5.4 An Empirical Examination of Issue Ownership: The Canadian Case.....................117 5.5 Limitations, Expansions and the Future of Issue Ownership ...................................120 5.6 Data & Methodology.................................................................................................125 5.7 Uncovering Issue Ownership in the Canadian News Media....................................128 5.7.1 Associative Issue Ownership: Mentions and Salience....................................................128 5.7.2 Multinomial Regression Analysis...................................................................................134 5.7.3 Competence-Based Issue Ownership: Tone...................................................................143 5.8 Discussion..................................................................................................................148 5.8.1 A Media-Centred Approach to Issue Ownership...........................................................148 vii 5.8.2 A Media-Centred Approach to Issue Ownership: Extensions and Limitations.............150 6.1 Conclusion.................................................................................................................156 6.2 Integrating the Media as a Reflection Approach......................................................156 6.3 Key Findings by Article.............................................................................................158 6.3.1 Reframing Pension Policy from the Public to the Private..............................................158 6.3.2 Immigration in the Canadian and British News Media.................................................160 6.3.3 Issue Ownership.............................................................................................................161 6.4 Methodological Contribution....................................................................................163 6.5 Avenues for Future Research....................................................................................165 Appendix A. Media Database Search Queries...............................................................170 Appendix B. Pension Categorization Dictionary............................................................171 Appendix C. Pension Frame Clusters.............................................................................172 Appendix D. Immigration Categorization Dictionary (Canada)....................................173 Appendix E. Immigration Categorization Dictionary (UK)...........................................175 Appendix F. Immigration Frame Clusters (Canada)......................................................176 Appendix G. Immigration Frame Clusters (UK)............................................................177 Appendix H: Issue Ownership News Media Circulation................................................178 Appendix I. Issue Ownership Categorization Dictionary...............................................179 References.......................................................................................................................181 viii ix
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