A CRITICAL HISTORY OF FINANCIAL CRISES Why Would Politicians and Regulators Spoil Financial Giants? p891hc_9781908977465_tp.indd 1 2/11/15 5:39 PM TTTThhhhiiiissss ppppaaaaggggeeee iiiinnnntttteeeennnnttttiiiioooonnnnaaaallllllllyyyy lllleeeefffftttt bbbbllllaaaannnnkkkk 2006_Chemistry.indd 2 A CRITICAL HISTORY OF FINANCIAL CRISES Why Would Politicians and Regulators Spoil Financial Giants? Haim Kedar-Levy Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel Imperial College Press ICP p891hc_9781908977465_tp.indd 2 2/11/15 5:39 PM Published by Imperial College Press 57 Shelton Street Covent Garden London WC2H 9HE Distributed by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. 5 Toh Tuck Link, Singapore 596224 USA office: 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601 UK office: 57 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London WC2H 9HE Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Kedar-Levy, Haim, author. A critical history of financial crises : why would politicians and regulators spoil financial giants? / Haim Kedar-Levy. pages cm Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-908977-46-5 (alk. paper) 1. Financial crises--History. 2. Finance--Government policy--History. 3. Financial institutions--Government policy--History. I. Title. HB3722.K43 2015 338.5'4209--dc23 2015021091 British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Copyright © 2016 by Imperial College Press All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission from the Publisher. For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher. In-house Editors: Mary Simpson/Chandrima Maitra Typeset by Stallion Press Email: [email protected] Printed in Singapore Chandrima - A Critical History of Financial Crises.indd 1 5/11/2015 4:06:32 PM b2092 A Critical History of Financial Crises — Why would Politicians and Regulators Spoil Financial Giants To Naama, for lifelong love and friendship bb22009922__FFMM..iinndddd vv 3311--OOcctt--1155 88::5599::5566 AAMM TTTThhhhiiiissss ppppaaaaggggeeee iiiinnnntttteeeennnnttttiiiioooonnnnaaaallllllllyyyy lllleeeefffftttt bbbbllllaaaannnnkkkk 2006_Chemistry.indd 2 b2092 A Critical History of Financial Crises — Why would Politicians and Regulators Spoil Financial Giants Contents Acknowledgements ix Preface — Regulatory Capture xi 1. What are Bubbles and Financial Crises? 1 2. Key Properties of the Financial System and Financial Securities 13 3. Commercial Banking and Banking Crises 25 4. The Roaring Twenties and the US Bubble of 1929 35 5. The ‘Great Depression’ in the US 43 6. The Crisis of Confidence in Corporate America, 2001–2004 55 7. The Internet Bubble 71 8. When Banks Manipulate their Stock Prices: Israel’s Systemic Banking Crisis 83 9. The Tequila Crisis and its Hangover 97 10. Japan and the East Asian Tigers 111 11. The US Real Estate Bubble 127 12. Incentives, Regulatory Capture and Collapse 139 13. Shadow Banking, the Collapse of Investment Banking and the Rescue of AIG 159 14. New Regulations 171 15. Global Implications of the Credit Crisis 179 16. Regulatory Capture and Corruption vs. Integrity and Stability 187 Bibliography 201 Index 207 vii bb22009922__FFMM..iinndddd vviiii 3311--OOcctt--1155 88::5599::5566 AAMM TTTThhhhiiiissss ppppaaaaggggeeee iiiinnnntttteeeennnnttttiiiioooonnnnaaaallllllllyyyy lllleeeefffftttt bbbbllllaaaannnnkkkk 2006_Chemistry.indd 2 b2092 A Critical History of Financial Crises — Why would Politicians and Regulators Spoil Financial Giants Acknowledgements I am thankful to Dr. Hagai Boas, editor of the Galai-Tzahal University on Air for many insightful discussions and helpful comments.1 I thank Prof. Avri Ravid, for inviting me to a sabbatical at Yeshiva University (YU) in New York City, and to the supportive YU faculty and staff, who together allowed me to focus on writing about and teaching financial crises. Many thanks to Dr. Ilanit Madar-Gavious and to CPA Meir Bitan for their helpful comments on accounting issues. I further thank students and colleagues at Ben Gurion University, the Hebrew University in Jerusalem, Ono Academic College, and YU, especially to Gil Elmalem, Orit Milo-Cohen, Benny Naot, and Reuven Ulmansky, for helpful remarks and conversations. From YU, where drafts of this book served as course material on financial crises, I thank Sason Gabay, Ayelet Haymov, Tamar Hochbaum, Judah Isaacs, Desiree Kashizadeh, Shira Leff, Ari Margolin, Akiva Neuman, Aaron Robinow, Penina Rosen, Ilana Schwartz, Dani Weinberger, Michelle Widger, Debbie Wiezman and Aaron Zuckerman. Last but not least, I am indebted to Tamar Lehman and Yaara Levy for outstanding editorial and PowerPoint presentation skills. Thanks to Tamar and Yaara, teachers and students have excellent learning materials. 1 Dr. Boas was the editor of another book of mine: Kedar-Levy, H. The Major Financial Crises of the Past Century, Modan Publishing Co., Israel, 2013. ix bb22009922__FFMM..iinndddd iixx 3311--OOcctt--1155 88::5599::5566 AAMM