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Mon.Not.R.Astron.Soc.000,1–??(2012) Printed11December 2013 (MNLATEXstylefilev2.2) Two-phase galaxy evolution: the cosmic star-formation histories of spheroids and discs 3 S.P. Driver1,2⋆, A.S.G. Robotham1,2, J. Bland-Hawthorn3 M. Brown4, A. Hopkins5, 1 0 J. Liske6, S. Phillipps7, S. Wilkins8 2 1 International Centre forRadio Astronomy Research (ICRAR), Universityof WesternAustralia, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia 2 School of Physics& Astronomy, Universityof St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews, KY16 9SS, UK; SUPA n 3Sydney Institute for Astronomy, School of Physics, University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia a 4School of Physics, Monash University,Clayton, Victoria3800, Australia J 5 Australian Astronomical Observatory, PO Box 296, Epping, NSW1710, Australia 6 6 European Southern Observatory, Karl-Schwarzschild-Str. 2, 85748 Garching, Germany 7 HH Wills PhysicsLaboratory, University of Bristol, TyndallAvenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK 8 School of Physicsand Astronomy, Oxford University, Keeble Road, Oxford, UK ] O C h. 11December 2013 p - o ABSTRACT r From two very simple axioms: (1) that AGN activity traces spheroid formation, and t s (2)thatthecosmicstar-formationhistoryisdominatedbyspheroidformationathigh a redshift,wederivesimpleexpressionsforthestar-formationhistoriesofspheroidsand [ discs, and their implied metal enrichment histories. 1 Adopting a Baldry-Glazebrook initial mass function we use these relations and v apply pegase.2 to predict the z =0 cosmic spectralenergy distributions (CSEDs) of 9 spheroids and discs. The model predictions compare favourablyto the dust-corrected 7 CSED recently reported by the Galaxy And Mass Assembly (GAMA) team from the 9 FUV through to the K band. The model also provides a reasonable fit to the total 0 stellar mass contained within spheroid and disc structures as recently reported by . 1 the Millennium Galaxy Catalogue team. Three interesting inferences can be made 0 following our axioms: (1) there is a transition redshift at z ≈ 1.7 at which point 3 the Universe switches from what we refer to as “hot mode evolution” (i.e., spheroid 1 formation/growthviamergersand/orcollapse)towhatweterm“coldmodeevolution” : v (i.e., disc formation/growthvia gas infall and minor mergers);(2) there is little or no i need for any pre-enrichment prior to the main phase of star-formation; (3) in the X present Universe mass-loss is fairly evenly balanced with star-formation holding the r integrated stellar mass density close to a constant value. a The model provides a simple prediction of the energy output from spheroid and disc projenitors, the build-up of spheroid and disc mass, and the mean metallicity enrichment of the Universe. Keywords: galaxies:formation—galaxies:evolution—galaxies:bulges—galaxies: ellipticals — galaxies: star formation — galaxies: spiral 1 INTRODUCTION disc. Exceptions exist, most notably the dwarf populations which, while dominant in terms of number density, actu- The vast majority of galaxies can be adequately described allycontributeonlyamodestamounttothebaryonbudget as consisting of a compact smooth spheroidal component at the present time (< 16 per cent; Driver 1999; Geller et containing a predominantly pressure-supported old [α/Fe]- al.2012).Thisdichotomyofgalaxiesintospheroidsanddiscs enhanced stellar population, and/or an extended flattened hasbeenknownforoverahundredyearsstretchingbackto star-forming disc component containing intermediate and even before the confirmation that galaxies are external sys- youngstarswithawiderangeinmetallicities,havingsmooth tems (e.g., Hubble 1926, 1936; Zwicky 1957 and references rotation and embedded in an extensive gaseous cold gas therein). To some extent this dichotomy has been recently “rediscovered”, through the statistical studies of large pop- ulationsasagalaxybimodality(Stratevaetal.2001;Baldry ⋆ SUPA,ScottishUniversitiesPhysicsAlliance 2 Driver et al. etal.2004).Driveretal.(2006)arguedthatthisbimodality crucial processes, whose motivation is as much driven by is better interpreted in terms of the earlier bulge-disc di- the requirement to produce realistic looking images as by chotomyandadvocatedroutinestructuraldecompositionas fundamental physics, and which are both more effective if vital (e.g., Allen et al. 2006; Simard et al. 2011; Lackner & the merger rate is either low or at least confined to earlier Gunn 2012) to directly trace the independent evolutionary epochs. histories of the spheroidal and disc components. As argued in the opening paragraph, we advocate a Numerical models of galaxy formation struggle to pro- more heuristic approach where we put aside the issue of ducerealisticgalaxysystemswithatendencytoformoverly dark-matter assembly and start by asking whether the di- cuspy cores and difficulty in maintaining extended disc chotomyofgalaxystructureisbestexplainedbytwodistinct structures with a high axis ratio (White & Navarro 1993; formation mechanisms. Following theearlier discussion and Navarro & Steinmetz 2000; Abadi et al. 2003; House et lessons learnt from the simulations, the obvious two mech- al. 2011). Both problems are likely to be connected to the anisms can loosely be termed as a hot and cold mode. In differentfundamentalpropertiesofthedarkmatterandthe the hot mode spheroids are formed early and rapidly via baryons, and in particular their ability to experience pres- dynamicallyhot (turbulent)processes (collapse, fragmenta- sureandtheirabilitytodissipateenergy.Inthecoreregions tion,andmerging).Inthecoldmodediscsareformed more the gravitational coupling of the baryons with the dark- slowly, from an extended quiescent phase of cold gas infall matter may allow it to exhibit a pseudo-pressure, whereas regulated by internal feedback (i.e., supernova). This basic in the outer-regions the ability of the baryons to dissi- concept is of course not new (e.g., Larson 1976; Tinsley & pate energy on a timescale which is faster than the free- Larson 1978) but has laid dormant for sometime overshad- falltimescalemayallowfortheformation ofathinrotating owedbythedominanceofmerger-drivenevolution.However baryonic disk. This picture while simple to articulate has the revival is also being championed via a series of semi- proven extremely hard to simulate, with the need to parti- analyticstudiesbyCooketal.(2009;2010a;2010b,seealso tionandredistributetheangularmomentuminaquitespe- Dekel et al. 2009) inspired by behaviour seen in numerical cificmannertoresultingalaxieswithrealisticappearances. simulationsinwhichaninitialrapidhotmergerphaseistyp- Inparticular mergereventsare extremelydisruptivetothis ically followed by a more quiescent phase of accretion (see process, imparting both energy and angular momentum to also L’Huillier, Combes & Semelin 2012). the baryonic disc, which is easily disrupted or ’plumped Thetwo-phasemodel is bothobvious(given thebulge- up’ (see Barnes & Hernquist 1992 for extensive discussion discnatureofgalaxies) andcontroversial,asit marginalises and early references on this topic, also Hopkins et al. 2009 themergerraterequiredfordarkmatterassemblytoearlier for updated simulations on thesurvivability of discs during epochs than simulations typically suggest. This low merger merger events). In general the greater the merger-rate the rateisarguablycorroboratedbythelocalstudiesofdynami- more bulge-dominated thefinal galaxy population appears. callyclosepairs(inparticularseePattonetal.2002;DePro- More contemporary hydrodynamical simulations (e.g., prisetal.2005,2007,2010)—althoughacorrectderivation Governatoetal.2010;Agertz,Romain&Moore2011;Scan- of the merger rates requires a robust understanding of the napieco et al. 2011; Domenech-Moral et al. 2012) are now merger timescales, which are currently poorly constrained. starting to show significant success at producing realistic Perhaps more compelling, however, is the result that only “looking”bulge-discsystemsbyincorporatingagreaterlevel 40%ofthepresentdaystellarmassresidesinspheroidalsys- of cold gas infall than previously assumed, as argued ear- tems(Driveretal.2008;Gadotti2009;Tasca&White2011). lier by Keres et al. (2005) and Dekel et al. (2009). These A key inference is then: If discs are destroyed/thickened focusedhydrodynamicalstudies,however,areinevitablyex- during mergers, yet the majority of stellar mass resides in tracted from numerical simulations with particularly qui- discs,thedominantformationmechanismcannotbemerger- escent merger histories, suggesting such systems should be driven, but presumably the more quiescent process of cold theexceptionratherthanthenorm.Hence,whilenumerical gasaccretion.Thisstatementbecomesmoreprofoundwhen simulations of the development of the dark matter haloes one realises that the stellar mass in discs today only mea- findacontinualprocessofhalomerging,itappearsthatthe suresthatunaffectedbymergers,andthatsomeofthestars baryonsandwhatweidentifyasgalaxies (baryonicconden- currently in spheroidal systems may have originally formed sates), might not develop in thesame way. Martig & Bour- within discs via cold accretion prior to a merger event. In naud (2009) argued that feedback from low and intermedi- somebulgeformation scenarios, star-formation viamerging atemassstarscancontributesignificantlytotheredistribu- isdispensedwithaltogetherandreplacedbythemigrationof tion of mass from the bulge to the disc through extensive massivestar-formation clumpsformed withindeeplyturbu- (or even excessive) mass-loss. This baryonic outflow could lent discs (e.g., Elmegreen, Bournaud & Elmegreen 2008). help alleviate the problem of excessive bulge-formation by This potentially relegates the stellar-mass build-up driven allowing some fraction of the collapsed stellar mass (up to by mergers to be in the 0—40 per cent range by mass. ∼50 per cent), to return to the halo and contribute to the Clearly mergersdooccur atall redshifts andsimilarly discs later growth of a disc — thereby coupling bulge and disc may form, be disrupted, and reform at any redshift. Re- growth. However this mechanism also relies on a fairly qui- cently L’Huillier, Combes & Semelin (2012) reported that escentmergerhistoryduringlatertimes,anddoesnoteasily 77 per cent of a galaxy’s mass is formed via gas accretion explain the broad diversity of bulge-disc ratios seen. As an and 23 percent via direct merging from simulations. Other aside,simulationshavealsodemonstratedthatbaryonicout- empirical studies also seem to suggest that the bulk (∼ 70 flows from thecore regions can help provide a plausible ex- per cent) of the stellar mass is mostly assembled by z ∼ 1, planation to the core-cusp problem (Governato et al. 2012; againmarginalisingtheroleoflatetimemajormergers(e.g., Zolotov et al. 2012). Clearly feedback and infall are both Bundyet al. 2004; Brown et al. 2007, 2008). Two-phase galaxy evolution 3 Focused studies of nearby galaxies are also unveiling aperture matched data from GALEX, SDSS, and UKIRT significant levels of gas accretion in some nearby systems LAS(seeSeibertetal.,inprep.andHilletal.2010).Driver (Sancisi et al. 2008) and studies of the very rapid evolu- et al. (2012) also provided the CSED subdivided according tion of galaxy sizes have argued (e.g., Graham et al. 2011) tospheroid-dominatedanddisc-dominatedsystems.Thedi- thatthecompactellipticalsystemsseenatintermediatered- vision into spheroid and disc dominated was achieved via shift (1.4 < z < 2.5) by Daddi et al. (2005) and Trujillo et visualclassification,asneitherasimplecolournorS´ersicin- al. (2006) (see also Bruce et al. 2012) might represent the dexdivisionappearstocleanlyseparatethetwopopulations naked bulges of present day spiral systems. (see also Kelvin et al., 2012, figure 20). In essence the two-phase model is an attempt to high- Thesampleoriginated from acommon volumeof2.8× light, conceptually, the possibility of a distinct change in 105 (Mpc/h)3 over the redshift range 0.013 < z < 0.1. Al- theprimarygalaxyformationmechanismoccurringatsome thoughtheGAMAsurveycurrentlycontainsabout180,000 transition redshift from an era where the dominant mode galaxies with known redshifts, the adopted redshift range is major mergers leading to spheroid formation, to an era significantly reduces the sample size to around 10,000. It where the dominant mode is accretion leading to disc for- alsosimplifiesandremovesanyluminositybiasarisingfrom mation. largescaleclusteringasthesampleispseudo-volumelimited At early cosmic epochs we see a prevalence of distinct aroundtheL∗ region —i.e., thosegalaxies which dominate phenomena, in particular highly asymmetrical morphology theluminosity density measurements. in massive/luminous systems (Driveret al. 1998; Conselice, AstheGAMAsurveyliesentirelywithintheSloanDig- Blackburn&Papovich.2005;Ravindranathetal.2006)and ital SkySurvey,theGAMA CSED was renormalised to the significantly increased AGN activity (Fan et al. 2001,2003; fullSDSSsurveyarea.Thisreducesthecosmic/samplevari- Croometal.2004;Richardsetal.2006).AGNactivityisdi- ancefromaround15percentto5percent(usingtheformula rectly linked to the formation and growth of theassociated for estimating cosmic variance given by eqn. 4 of Driver & super-massive black holes (SMBH; Hopkins et al. 2008a) Robotham 2010). which in turn is linked to spheroid formation via the well established SMBH-bulgerelations (see, for example,there- 2.1 The CSED of spheroids and discs viewbyFerrarese&Ford2005ortherecentnear-IRSMBH- bulgeluminosity relation byVikaetal. 2012). Recentstud- The final CSED values we use here are the spheroid- ies also argue, from more direct empirical evidence, that dominated and attenuation corrected disc-dominated values AGNactivityisalmostalwayscoincidentwithmassivestar- taken directly from Table 7 of Driveret al. (2012). formation and that the two-processes do indeed appear to As dust attenuation is such a crucial issue it is worth occur hand-in-hand (e.g., Rafferty et al. 2011). This AGN- mentioningthegenesisofthecorrectionsusedbytheGAMA SMBH-bulge connection therefore implies a clear timescale team. First, the dust correction is only applied to the disc- for the formation of the spheroid systems (see also Pereira dominated data and the spheroid population is assumed & Miranda 2011 for a similar argument, albeit applied in dust free (e.g., Rowlands et al. 2012). Second, the correc- theopposite direction). tions are based on the radiative transfer models of Tuffs In Section 2 we describe the z = 0 empirical data de- et al. (2002) and Popescu et al. (2011) which have been scribing the cosmic spectral energy distribution (CSED) of fine-tuned to the multiwavelength (FUV–far-IR) data of spheroidsanddiscsasrecentlyreportedbytheGalaxyAnd NGC891, and incorporate three distinct dust components; MassAssemblyteam(Driveretal.2011,2012).InSection3 an extended low opacity disc, a compact high opacity disc wetaketheaboveargumentstotheirnaturalconclusionand and dust clumps. This fiducial model is calibrated to the usetheAGN-SMBH-Bulgeconnectiontodefinetheindepen- galaxypopulationatlargebymodifyingtheB-bandcentral dentstar-formationhistoryofspheroidsandassigntheresid- faceonopacityuntilthepredictedvariationoffluxwith in- ualstar-formation,impliedbythecosmicstar-formationhis- clination matches the trend of M∗ with inclination seen in tory, to describe that of the discs. In Section 4 we use our theMillenniumGalaxyCatalogue data(Driveretal.2007). star-formationhistoriestoproducepredictionsoftheCSED Thiscalibratedmodelwasthenusedtoderivethecombined ofspheroidsanddiscs,andinSection5comparethepredic- face-on and inclination dependent correction for a popula- tions to thedata. tion of galaxies averaged over all viewing angles and over ThroughoutweuseH0=70hkms−1 Mpc−3 andadopt a wavelength range of 0.1 − 2.1µm (Driver et al. 2008). ΩM =0.27 and ΩΛ =0.73 (Komatsu et al. 2011). This photon escape fraction (varying from 24 per cent in the FUV to 89 per cent in the K-band) was then used to correcttheCSEDofdisc-dominatedsystemstotheintrinsic CSED, which we use here. 2 THE Z =0 COSMIC SPECTRAL ENERGY The CSED of spheroid-dominated and disc-dominated DISTRIBUTION galaxies, however,isnot precisely what werequire,assome In Driver et al. (2012) we reported the empirical measure- proportion of the CSED flux in the disc-dominated class ment of the cosmic spectral energy distribution (CSED) in maybecomingfromthecentralbulges.Likewise,somepro- the nearby Universe, corrected for dust attenuation, and portion of the flux in the spheroid-dominated class may be spanningthewavelength range from 0.1 to2.1 µm, i.e., the duetofaintdiscs.Inordertoassesshowmuchofaproblem regimeoverwhichdirectstellar-lightdominates.Thesedata thismightbe,wecancomparetheratiooftheK-bandlumi- were derived from the combination of the GAMA spectro- nosity densities of the spheroid-dominated to non-spheroid scopic survey, currently underway on the Anglo-Australian dominated samples, to the ratio of the stellar mass densi- Telescope(Driveretal.2011),coupledwithreprocessedand ties of bulge+elliptical systems to disc systems from Driver 4 Driver et al. et al. (2007)1. This test assumes that the K-band lumi- comparison of theAGNactivity shapetotheglobal CSFH. nosity is a suitable single-band proxy for stellar mass. We For our second axiom we elect to maximise the spheroid find reasonable agreement (within 12 per cent), suggesting CSFH by setting theamplitudeas high as possible without that acomparable amount of fluxneedstoberedistributed exceedingtheglobalCSFH(i.e.,amaximalspheroidforma- in either direction. In detail, the K-band luminosity densi- tionscenario).Conceptuallythen,theheartofthetwo-phase ties are 1.2 and 2.2 (×1034 h W Mpc−3) for the spheroid- model can bedefined empirically from two axioms: dominatedandnon-spheroid-dominatedpopulationsrespec- tively(takenfromTable7ofDriveretal.2012).Meanwhile 1) AGN activity traces spheroid growth the stellar mass densities for spheroids (bulge+ellipticals) and discs are 2.9 and 4.7 (×108h M⊙ Mpc−3) respectively 2) Spheroid formation dominates at high-z (takenfrom Table1ofDriveretal.2007). Thisgivesagree- mentto∼10percentandsuggeststhatforthemomentwe Astheabovetwoaxiomsarealreadyconstrainedbyem- can adopt the following approximation: piricaldata,thisprovidesazero-parameterstartingpointfor the two-phase model — bypassing the need for any initial elliptical+bulge CSED ≈ Spheroid-dominated CSED conditionsordetailednumericalsimulations. Fig.1(upper) shows thefit (solid curve)to thecosmic star-formation his- disc CSED ≈ non-Spheroid dominated CSED tory data (grey data points) taken from Hopkins & Bea- com (2006; see their figure 2a and table 1 column 2). This In due course all galaxies at z < 0.1 in the GAMA adopts the parametric form defined by Cole et al. (2001) survey will be decomposed into bulge and disc components and where the UV data has been calibrated to a modified- to enable a direct derivation of the true spheroid and disc Salpeter(1955)IMF.ThedatadescribingtheAGNluminos- CSEDs. itydensityaretakenfromRichardsetal.(2006)andrescaled such that the peak of the AGN luminosity density lies on theCSFH curve(requiringan arbitrary multiplication bya 3 THE STAR-FORMATION HISTORY OF factor of 3.51×106M⊙/yr−1Li⊙).Immediately noticeable is SPHEROIDS AND DISCS theapparentdiscrepancy/uncertaintyat veryhighredshift. Particularly as the axioms above require that at the very ThelocalCSEDshouldbeapredictablequantityifthecos- highest redshift the CSFH and AGN activity curvesshould micstar-formationhistory(CSFH)isknown,theinitialmass havethesameform.Tosomeextenttheevidentdiscrepancy function(IMF)isuniversalandknown,andaplausiblestel- simply reflects data uncertainty, as the dust corrections on larevolutioncodeapplied.Ofcoursethisisnotquitesosim- the CSFH at high-z are poorly constrained with significant pleandinparticularthemetallicityenrichmentadoptedwill ongoing debate as to the true shape of the CSFH at the significantly modify the predicted CSED shape. Upcoming highest redshifts. For example, measurements of the star- papers will explore these issues in more detail, but here we formation history based on gamma-ray bursts (Yuksel et wish to construct a basic first-look model and focus on the al.2008;Kistleretal.2009)oftenfindhigherstar-formation viabilityofthehypothesisthatgalaxyformationprogressed rates. Likewise the incidence of dust-obscured AGN is an in two fairly distinct phases: rapid spheroid formation fol- equally hotly debated topic (e.g., Polletta et al. 2006; Tri- lowed by more quiescent disc growth. ester et al. 2010). Most recently Behroozi, Wechsler In order to construct a model of the present day & Conroy (2012) argue that the compendium by spheroid and disc CSEDs we need not just the CSFH, but Hopkins & Beacom (2006) potentially leads to an theCSFHsub-dividedintospheroidsanddiscs.TheseCSED over-estimate of the cosmic star-formation history predictions can then be compared to the data from Section at very high redshifts as the pre-2006 UV luminos- 2. ity densities may have been over-estimatedand find Theexistenceofvarioussuper-massiveblack-holebulge a modified CSFH which agrees very well with the relations(e.g.,Ferrarese&Ford2005),providestheobvious high-z AGN data (see their figure 2). smoking gun, as it couples SMBH growth to bulge growth. Whenpresentedasafunctionoftime(Fig.1,lower),it This is because SMBHs are believed to grow via mergers, isclearthatthisdiscrepancyisnotactuallythatsignificant, resulting in an active-galactic nucleus phase (Hopkins et and the accumulated stellar mass able to be formed during al. 2006). The growth of spheroids is therefore, arguably, this high-z interval is small compared to subsequent mass mirrored via themore readily observable AGN activity his- growth.Wecannowtriviallyfitthemodified-Richardsdata tory.Thislogicalconnection,fromacorrelationtocausality, to derive the star-formation history of spheroids. This fit isthekeyassumptionunderpinningourmodelandformsthe canthenbesubtractfrom theglobal star-formation history first of our two axioms. In the recent study by Richards et andinturnfittorecovertheimplieddiscformationhistory. al. (2006), the integrated AGN activity versus redshift was Theresultingexpressionsaregivenbelowandrepresentthe reportedand,ignoringanysignificantlag(ineitherspheroid star-formation rate(ρ˙)versustimeinGyrs(tGyrs)sincethe formationorAGNactivity),canbeusedasaproxyinshape Big Bang for the spheroidal (S) and disc (D) populations: for the spheroid cosmic star-formation history. The amplitude of the spheroid SFH can be set from ρ˙S =ξ1.03×10−5h30.7(tG2y1rs.8h60.7)8.57exp(−tG2y1rs.8h60.7) (1) 1 TheDriveretal.(2007)studyisbasedonbulge-discdecomposi- ρ˙D =ξ1.80×10−3h30.7(tG2y9rs.3h90.7)5.50exp(−tG2y9rs.3h90.7) (2) tionsoftheMillenniumGalaxyCataloguedata(Liskeetal.2003; Driveretal.2005)describedinfullinAllenetal.(2006) whereξistheIMFmultiplierasgiveninTable1.Theguide- Two-phase galaxy evolution 5 Figure1.(upperpanel)thecosmicstar-formationhistoryfromHopkins&Beacom(2006),Table2(blackline)andtheactualdata(grey points)calibratedtoamodified-Salpeter IMF(seeTable1).OverlainaretheQSOluminositydensitydatafromRichardsetal.(2006), Figure20.TheQSOluminositydensityisscaleduntilthepeakalignswiththepeakoftheCSFH.(lower panel)thesamedatabutnow shownwiththeordinateinunitsofage.OverlainareourparametricfitstothesedatawhichprovideourinferredCSFHsfortheSpheroid andDiscsystems.OnbothpanelswealsoshowtheSFRderivedfromtheSDSS/GALEXFUVluminosityfunctiongiveninRobotham &Driver(2006) convertedtoamodified-Salpeter AIMF(seeTable1orHopkins&Beacom2006). lineerroratanyparticulartimeshouldbetakenas∼±25% asweshallseeinSection.4willrequireamodestdownward based on the scatter of the original data shown on Fig. 1 correctionof25%tomatchtheobservedCSED(i.e.,within (lower) i.e., ∼ 70%of the grey data points lie on the grey thegrey shaded error bounds). shaded regions. At this point it is also worth highlighting thatwhiletheAGNdata(mauvepoints)placeastrongcon- Asanalternativeforthespheroidpopulation,onecould strain on the shape of the spheroid star-formation history insteadusethetotalCSFHfort<3Gyrscombinedwiththe the normalisation is very uncertain and based on the rela- AGN luminosity density data for t>3Gyrs, which is given tivelylimitedhigh-zcosmicstar-formationhistorydataand by: 6 Driver et al. Table 1.CSFHmultiplicationfactors(ξ)forvariousIMFs. 0.04 IMF Multiplier ξ Salpeter(1955) ×1.3 modified-Salpeter(Hopkins &Beacom 2006) ×1.0 Baldry&Glazebrook(2003) ×0.7 Kroupa(1993) ×1.7 0.03 Kroupa(2001) ×0.85 +10% Chabrier(2003) ×0.85 ρ˙S2=ξ2.72×10−4h30.7(tG1y6rs.8h20.7)6.97exp(−tG1y6rs.8h20.7) (3) 0.02 As stated these CSFHs are calibrated, via the UV data, to the modified-Salpeter IMF used by Hopkins & Beacom (2006)whichwasfirstlaiddownasSalAbyBaldry&Glaze- 0.01 brook(2003).ToconverttootherIMFsoneneedstomultiply by the factor (ξ) shown in Table 1. The simple expressions above are shown in Fig. 1 (lower) in red (spheroid), blue (disc),andgreen(spheroid+disc)andprovideagoodfitto the data given the accuracy to which the data are known. 0 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 These equations now provide a blueprint for the formation Time since Big Bang (Gyrs) ofthepresentdayspheroidsanddiscsoverthefullageofthe Universe, leading to a clear prediction of the stellar energy Figure 2. The adopted (gas-phase) metallicity for spheroids output and stellar mass growth. (red solid line) and discs (cyan solid line) as a function of time. Of particular interest should be the transition point Soliddatapointsshowtheacceptedmeanz=0valuestakenfrom around 4.2Gyrs (z ≈ 1.6) from which point star-formation Tremonti et al. (2004). Also shown are approximate data values resulting in disc growth dominates over star-formation re- from Erb et al., (2006) and Zahid et al., (2011). Note that all sulting in spheroid growth. This suggests a key epoch at datahaveanarbitraryerrorof±10%.Thegas-phasemetallic- which the Universe switches from merger dominated evolu- ity assumes no lag between star-formation and enrichment. The tion toaccretion dominatedevolution andmeshesverywell dotted lines show the implied metallicity of the stellar popula- with the evident change in the morphological appearance tions for the spheroids and discs. The grey line shows the mean of galaxies from highly disturbed to more ordered systems bymassoftheintegratedstellarmetallicityandtheinstantaneous at z ∼ 1.5 (see Driver et al. 1998; and also van den Bergh integratedgas-phasemetallicity. 2002). define our gas-phase metallicity at redshift zero to be Z = 0.030 and Z = 0.010 for the spheroids 4 CONSTRUCTING THE MODEL and discs. These values were determined by noting themetallicityat1011M⊙ (predominantlyspheroids) WiththeCSFHofspheroidsanddiscsdefined,wenowbuild and at 109M⊙ (predominantly discs). Toconvertthe ourempiricaltwo-phasemodeladopting“vanilla”choicesat given 12+log (O/H) values to those shown on Fig.2 10 everyopportunity.Insummary thekeyinputsandassump- we adopt a solar metallicity of Z⊙ = 0.019 with tions to themodel are: 12+log10(O/H)⊙ = 8.9. We then argue that in the ab- senceof otherfactors themean metallicity will rise approx- 1) The star-formation history shown in Fig. 1 as discussed imately linearly with the cumulative cosmic star-formation in section 3. history normalised to the present day values. This ignores 2) The adoption of a Universal IMF, in this case Baldry & theprospectofeitherpre-enrichmentvia,forexample,Pop- Glazebrook (2003, henceforth BG03). ulation IIIstars, oranylag between thestar-formation and 3) The adoption of pegase.2 (Fioc & Rocca- theincrease in metallicity (i.e., instantaneous enrichment). Volmerange 1997; 1999) to model the spectral output Conceptuallythesearelooselyconsistentwithaclosed- of the evolving stellar population (using default options box model for spheroids (i.e., rising to a metallicity close throughout). to typical yields), and an infall model for discs or one in 4)Theassumptionthatthegas-phasemetallicityincreases which thedisc isgradually growing from alarge gas “reser- linearly with star-formation from Z =0.0 to Z =0.030 for voir” (e.g., perhaps analogous to the “equilibrium model” spheroids and to Z =0.010 for discs, with no time lag (i.e., putforwardbyDav´e,Finlator&Oppenheimer2012).Toex- instantaneous enrichment). plore thebounds and importance of this metal enrichment, however,wealsoshowtheCSEDpredictionsusingoursim- pleevolving metallicity history and for constant metallicity at the highest and lowest values. Fig. 2 shows the implied 4.1 Metal/chemical enrichment history metallicity histories derived from Eqns. 1&2, for the two Perhaps the most uncertain of the above list is the ap- populations (as indicated by the red and cyan solid lines). propriate metallicity history to adopt. Here we have been Note that the grey lines on Fig. 2 show the com- guided by the study of Tremonti et al. (2004) to bined metallicity of all stars formed (grey dotted Two-phase galaxy evolution 7 [h] 0.1 1 evolving Z, BG03 (S -25%, D +0%) constant Z, BG03 (S +0%, D +0%) zero Z, BG03 (S -25%, D +0%) 0.1 1 Wavelength (microns) Figure 3. The zero-parameter output, assuming a BG03 IMF for various metallicity histories as indicated and adopting the star- formation histories given by Eqns. 1 & 2. Note that the star-formation rates have be multiplied by a factor of 0.55 to convert from a Salpeter(1955)IMFtothatofBG03.ThedatapointsaretranscribeddirectlyfromtheCSEDreportedinDriveretal.(2012)wherethe redpoints represent spheroid-dominated, the blue disc-dominated andthe black the sum of the two. Themodel linesare forspheroids (orange), discs(cyan) andthesum(black). line) and the integrated gas-phase metallicity (grey systems have comparable gas-phase metallicity at z =0.8 solid line). This shows interesting behaviour in that tolocal systems, whilelowmass systemshaveagas-phase the average gas-phase metallicity (of the gas about metallicity reduced by 0.15dex. However Erb et al., (2006) to form stars) peaked at z∼2. find that the implied gas-phase metallicity, for massive, i.e., spheroidal-like systems, at z ∼ 2 is approximately Constraints from the literature on the mean metallic- half that at z =0. Both of these results are crudely consis- ity at intermediate and high redshift are minimal, however tent with our inferred metallicity history if one equates (as we note that Zahid, Kewley & Bresolin (2011) find from a weexplicitly do), themassive systems tospheroidsand low sample of 1350 galaxies drawn from DEEP2 that massive 8 Driver et al. mass systems to discs. Note that one natural byprod- 0.1 1 uctofthisisthatasintermediatemasssystemshave bothaspheroidandadisccomponenttheirsystemic metallicity will lie somewhere between the two ex- tremes and exhibit strong radial gradients as one evolving Z, Salpeter (1955) (S -20%, D +10%) moves from the central spheroid component to the outer disc component. As the mean bulge-to-total ratioincreasesfairlysmoothly withstellarmassthis naturally gives rise to the mass-metallicity relation (Tremonti et al.2004). Note that the±10% error ranges shown on Fig. 2 are purely indicative as the actual ranges are poorly constrained. evolving Z, Kroupa et al (1993) (S -50%, D -25%) 4.2 Stellar population synthesis evolving Z, Kroupa (2001) (S -35%, D -10%) To construct the redshift zero CSED the pegase.2 code (Fioc&Rocca-Volmerange1997;1999)wasusedtoproduce 0.1 1 a series of single-stellar population (SSP) templates with Wavelength (microns) an appropriate range of metallicities (Z = 0.000 to 0.025 in 0.001intervals)andwiththepegase.2defaultstepsinages, Figure4.Thezero-parameteroutputforalternativeIMFsusing (i.e., roughly logarithmic from 0-20Gyrs). For all SSP tem- the evolving metallicity shown in Fig.2 and adopting the star- plates the star formation is set to a short continuous burst formationhistoriesgivenbyEqns.1&2.Notethatingenerating overa1Myrperiodwithconstantmetallicity(leadingtothe themodelswemodifytheinputstar-formationbyfactorsof×1.0, formation of 2.0×10−3 M⊙ in pegase.2-normalisedstellar ×1.3and×0.7respectively. mass units).TheseSSPspectra werethen combinedto cre- atealibraryof1Gyrtimeaveragedspectrafrom0-1Gyrto 4.3 Normalisation of the CSEDs 13-14Gyr in 1Gyr intervals, and for each metallicity class. Note that the 0-1Gyr bin which dominates the FUV and In order to determine the correct normalisation we need NUVregionisextremelyhardtomodelcorrectlybecauseof to multiply the output pegase.2 SSP spectra which are in the rapidly changing UV flux and requires more care. Here unitsofergs−1˚A−1by 109λ .Herethefactor109scalesto we take the rather simplistic approach of combining all the 1Gyr bins, the factor 1100770c.o00n2verts ergs−1 to W, the wave- spectra provided by pegase.2 in the 0-1Gyr range in the lengthisinAngstroms,andthefactor0.002scalesthespec- following manner i.e., trato1solar mass. InapplyingEqns.1-3weset ξ to0.7 to correct theCSFHs to theBG03 IMF. 0−1Gyr= 1+2+31+0...+101+020+30+...+100+200+300+...+1000Myr Finally we allow the normalisations to float by ±25% 10 to account for the uncertainty highlighted in Fig. 1 by the grey shading, along with uncertaintiesin themultiplication TocreatetheCSEDatanyredshiftwethensumallpre- factorsinTable1,thecosmicvarianceintheGAMACSED viouslyformedpopulations,agedappropriately,drawnfrom data,and theimpact of metallicity on star-formation rates. theappropriatemetallicityclass,andscaledbytherequired These 1 values are shown in brackets in Figs. 3 & 4. star-formation rate. The modelling approach we adopt is thereforerelativelysimplisticandeffectivelyassumesallval- ues (star-formation rate, metallicity etc) are held constant over a 1Gyr time period. At this stage we feel this is suf- 5 MODELS V DATA ficient time resolution given the inherent uncertainties in 5.1 The CSED and adopted metallicity the initial assumptions (i.e., the input CSFH and AGN ac- tivity data). CSEDs were then derived at all 13 time steps Fig.3showsthedirectcomparisonofourz=0CSEDmod- and combined to producesimple evolution movies available els against the recent GAMA data (Driver et al. 2012), for from: the three assumed metallicity histories (as indicated). The toppanel,whichadoptstheevolvingmetallicity,showsare- http://star-www.st-and.ac.uk/∼spd3/model1.gif — evolv- markableagreementacrossthefullwavelengthrangeandfor ing metallicity both the spheroid and disc systems. Note that in achieving these fits the spheroid data have been renormalised down- http://star-www.st-and.ac.uk/∼spd3/model2.gif — con- wards by 25% which is within the specified range of uncer- stant high metallicity tainty.ThecentralandlowerpanelsofFig.3showthesame models except for a constant high or low metallicity. This http://star-www.st-and.ac.uk/∼spd3/model3.gif — con- has a negligible impact on the disc-CSED, suggest- stant zero metallicity ing very little dependency on the assumed metal- licity evolution for discs (perhaps in part due to Two-phase galaxy evolution 9 5.3 Stellar mass history Fig.5showstheimpliedbuild-upofstellarmassinspheroids and discs (and combined), as indicated. Note that we show boththetotalcumulativestellarmassformed(dashedlines), along with that remaining based on default pegase.2 as- sumptions as to mass-loss (solid lines). Also shown are the direct empirical stellar mass measurements from the Mil- lennium Galaxy Catalogue (Liske et al. 2003; Driver et al. 2005), which includes corrections for dust attenuation (Driver et al. 2008). The agreement is reasonable with the discs agreeing with the MGC data to within the error and thespheroidmassover-predictingtheMGCvaluebyamod- est amount. It is worth noting from Fig. 5 that the stellar mass of spheroids is actually declining, with mass-loss hav- ingexceedingmass-gain forthepast9billion years.Forthe discs, the two almost exactly balance, such that the over- all stellar mass density appears to asymptote to a constant valuearound thepresent day. Also shown in Fig. 5 as grey shaded data are the com- 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 pendium of total stellar mass estimates given in Wilkins, Age (Gyrs) Trentham&Hopkins(2008a).Thesedataclearlyfallsignif- icantlybelowtheblackshadedline,highlightingasignificant Figure 5.Theimpliedbuild-upofstellarmassinspheroidsand discrepancybetweenthetotalstellarmassinferredfromthe discs versus recent measurements from the Millennium Galaxy cosmic star-formation history and that derived from direct Catalogue. Shown in grey are the compendium of data from empiricalconstraints.Thisoffsetiswellknownanddiscussed Wilkins,Trentham&Hopkins.2008a. in detailed in Wilkins, Trentham & Hopkins (2008a), here wemaketwoadditionalcomments:(1)theshapeofthedata andtheblackcurvedobroadlyagreewitha×2offsetatal- most all ages, (2) the z = 0 data from the MGC includes the low value adopted). Conversely the impact on the detaileddustcorrectionsforboththeopticallythinandop- spheroid CSED is quite marked with the CSED tilting ei- tically thick regions and is typically a factor of ×2 higher therredward orblueward for constant high orconstant low than most local measurements. It is possible then that the metallicity respectively. This perhaps lends some argument valuesfromtheliteraturearemissingmassembeddedinop- against any very strong pre-enrichment phase as interme- ticallythickregions.Perhapsamorelikelyexplanation,also diate and low metallicity stars in spheroids are required to put forward by Wilkins et al. (2008) is that the IMF was produce a plausible CSED. The obvious caveat is whether simply lighter at earlier times. This would reconcile quite theshapeofthecurrentlyadoptedspheroidCSEDissignif- nicely as the low-z CSED is fairly impervious to the very icantly modified/contaminated by youngdisc light. low mass-end of the IMF. 5.4 Discussion 5.2 Dependency on assumed IMF Atthispointwehaveasimpleheuristicmodelwhichadopts We now briefly explore the impact of the adopted IMF. two simple axioms motivated by the physically distinct ap- Fig. 4 shows the CSED predictions for the evolving metal- pearance of spheroids and discs in the nearby Universe. licity scenario using either a (top) Salpeter (1955), (centre) These axioms combined with the empirical compendium of Kroupaetal.(1993),(bottom)orKroupa(2001)IMF.Note AGNandcosmicstar-formation activity/historyareableto that the Kroupa (2001) IMF is extremely close in form to reproduce the z = 0 CSEDs of spheroids and predict the the Chabrier (2003) IMF and therefore the Kroupa (2001) mean mass and metallicity evolution of present day discs prediction can betaken as representative of both. andspheroids.Themodelalso providesacompletedescrip- Essentially all IMFs provide an equally good fit to the tion of the energy output from stars within those systems CSEDexceptintheUVregime.Atwavelengthslongerthan whichwilleventuallymakeupthelocalspheroidpopulation u-band (> 0.4µm) the resulting shape is not particularly (projenitors) asafunctionofredshift,themetallicity build- sensitive to the detailed shape of the IMF. This is mainly up, and suggests key cross-over epoch at z ∼ 1.6 between because at z = 0 stars close to solar luminosity, where the the hot and cold mode evolution. This later transition red- IMFisleastcontentious,aredominatingmostoftheCSED. shift is consistent with the obvious change in morphologies Systems at the very high-mass end which formed at high seeninHSTimagesatthisredshift(e.g.,Driveretal.,1998, redshiftwillnolongerbecontributingtotheCSEDwhereas figure3). very low-mass stars are yet to dominate the near-IR flux. Howeveranobviousweaknessisthatthemodelprovides The CSED is therefore unable to constrain the IMF other no clear prediction of the morphological, size- and shape- than the normalisations required for these IMFs are gener- evolution,mergerrates,ortheclusteringofthegalaxypop- ally higher than for themodels based on BG03. ulation. Furthermore the model does not stipulate the ac- 10 Driver et al. tualmechanismbywhichstar-formationisoccurringandfor thehot modecould besome combination ofmonolithic col- lapse, major merging, and/or clump migration. Within the recent literature the exact status of the z ∼ 2 population is also unclear. Deep IFU studies (e.g., Forster Schreiberet al., 2009,2011) find that the majority of star-formation at z ∼ 2 appears to be taking place in rotating clumpy disc structures with no obvious central bulge component. Simi- larly Chevance et al., (2012, see also Weinzirl et al., 2011) from a study of 31 high-z galaxies, find that the S´ersic in- dicesaresignificantlyflatterthanonewouldexpectforlow-z spheroids and obvious disc structures are present in many cases. From our Fig. 1 we can see that at z ∼2 we are still withintheepochwherespheroidformationshouldbedomi- nating.Howeverspheroidformationdoesnotnecessarilyim- plyspheroidmorphologiesuntilaftersomeunspecifiedtime- laginwhichthesystemsettles.Infactviolentlystar-forming systemswillinevitablyappearblue,asymmetrical,gas-rich, and dusty,i.e., quite disc-like in many aspects. Otherstud- ies, e.g., van Dokkum (2008), find that 45% of massive galaxies at z ∼ 2.3 do indeed have evolved stellar popula- tions,littleornoongoingstar-formation,andcompactearly- typemorphologies.Henceapictureofaspheroidpopulation Figure 6. As for Fig. 1 (lower) except with the spheroid star- emerging from a highly turbulent progenitor phase around formation history down-weighted by 25% by incorporating the z∼2appearstobequalitativelyconsistentwithourmodel. CSEDconstraints fromFig.3(upper). Alternatively our model may need to be adjusted to allow for gas infall and disc-formation from the outset with some fraction of thedisc-formed stars merging into bulges, i.e., a its dependency on environment should enable an investiga- relaxation of the maximal spheroid formation axiom. This tion into dependencies on clustering, and to assess whether wouldhavetheneteffectedofalsoincreasing thecross-over star-formationproceedsmorerapidlyorwhetheritismerely redshift to >1.6 therelativemixofspheroidvdiscformationwhichischang- A further intriguing observations is that high-z ing.Similarly,usingobservationsatintermediateredshift,it spheroids are significantly more compact than nearby ellip- should be possible to compare data from high-z studies to ticals byfactors of ×3−4 at fixedstellar mass (e.g., Daddi the predictions of our two-phase model. Both of these av- et al., 2005; van Dokkum et al., 2008 etc). Within our sce- enueswill be explored in futurepapers. nario this could be consistent with thehigh-z sample being “naked”-bulges yet to grow discs or yet to be “puffed-up” through successive minor merger interactions or adiabatic 6 CONCLUSIONS expansion. These two pathways, disc-growth verses “puff- ing”, are likely to be strongly environmentally dependent From twoverysimpleaxioms: (1) that AGNactivitytraces with minor mergers more frequent in high density environ- spheroidformation,and(2)thattheCSFHisdominatedby ments,andgasinfallmoreprevalentinlow-densityenviron- spheroid formation at high redshift, we are able to derive ments. A particularly interesting comparison might there- simpleexpressionsforthecosmicstar-formation historiesof fore be the mass-size relation of high-z spheroids to low-z spheroids and discs. Following comparisons to the z = 0 bulges. CSED for spheroids and discs we find a modest downward Withthecaveatthatthemorphologyandsizeevolution adjustment of 25% provides theoptimal fit resulting in our within our model is unspecified we nevertheless appear to finalrecommended star-formation histories of: haveapredictionoftheenergyoutputofspheroidanddiscs pprhoajesneitmorestaolvliecritayllheipstoocrhysf(oFrige.a3chtoppoppuanlaetli)o,nth(eFmig.ea2n),gaansd- ρ˙S =ξ0.77×10−5h30.7(tG2y1rs.8h60.7)8.57exp(−tG2y1rs.8h60.7) (4) dthisetibnugiuldis-huptohfessteelplaorpmulaastsio(nFsigo.b5s)e.rWvahteiotnhaerlohnoewceavnerreiasdialny ρ˙D =ξ1.80×10−3h30.7(tG2y9rs.3h90.7)5.50exp(−tG2y9rs.3h90.7) (5) open question. where ξ is the IMF multiplier as given in Table 1. Fig. 6 Finallyitisworthwhilereiteratingthatthismodelcon- shows these final relations compared to thecompendium of tains no tunable parameters nor any dependency on initial data provided by Hopkins & Beacom (2006) and despite conditions beyond the underlying cosmology. The model is the renomalisation of the spheroid star-formation history built entirely from empirical data and provides a fully con- stillprovideaperfectlysatisfactorydescriptionoftheglobal sistentempiricalscaffoldinguponwhichmorephysicallymo- CSFH. tivated models can be built. Our conclusion is that the ini- AdoptingaBaldry&Glazebrook(2003)IMFandusing tial axioms on which the model is based are viable and the theseexpressionstopredictthez =0CSED,weareableto star-formation histories defined are tenable. provideasatisfactoryexplanationoftheobservedCSEDsof Furtherstudiesofthevariationofthez=0CSEDand spheroids and discs from theFUV to theK-band.

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