Tunisia The ILO’s World Employment Programme (WEP) aims to assist and encourage member States to adopt and implement active policies and projects designed to promote full, productive and freely-chosen employment and to reduce poverty. Through its action-oriented research, technical advisory services, national projects and the work of its four regional employment teams in Africa, Asia and Latin America, the WEP pays special attention to the longer-term development problems of rural areas where the vast majority of poor and underemployed people still live, and to the rapidly growing urban informal sector. At the same time, in response to the economic crises and the growth in open unemployment of the 1980s, the WEP has entered into an ongoing dialogue with the social partners and other international agencies on the social dimensions of adjustment, and is devoting a major part of its policy analysis and advice to achieving greater equity in structural adjustment programmes. Employment and poverty monitoring, direct employment creation and income generation for vulnerable groups, linkages between macro-economic and micro- economic interventions, technological change and labour market problems and policies are among the areas covered. Through these overall activities, the ILO has been able to help national decision-makers to reshape their policies and plans with the aim of eradicating mass poverty and promoting productive employment. This publication is the outcome of a WEP project. Tunisia Rural labour and structural transformation Samir Radwan,Vali Jamal and Ajit Ghose A study prepared for the International Labour Office within the framework of the World Employment Programme London and New York First published 1991 by Routledge 11 New Fetter Lane, London EC4P 4EE This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2005. “To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledge’s collection of thousands of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.” Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada by Routledge a division of Routledge, Chapman and Hall, Inc. 29 West 35th Street, New York, NY 10001 © 1991 International Labour Organisation All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Radwan, Samir Tunisia: Rural labour and structural transformation. 1. Tunisia. Economic conditions I. Title II. Jamal, Vali III. Ghose, Ajit Kumar, 330.9611052 ISBN 0-415-04274-7 Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data has been applied for ISBN 0-203-98309-2 Master e-book ISBN ISBN 0-415-04274-7 (Print Edition) The designations employed in ILO publications, which are in conformity with United Nations practice, and the presentation of material therein do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the International Labour Office concerning the legal status of any country, area or territory or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers. The responsibility for opinions expressed in studies and other contributions rests solely with their authors, and publication does not constitute an endorsement by the International Labour Office of the opinions expressed in them. Reference to names of firms and commercial products and processes does not imply their endorsement by the International Labour Office, and any failure to mention a particular firm, commercial product or process is not a sign of disapproval. Contents List of figures vii List of tables v iii Preface xi 1 Introduction 1 2 Employment and labour markets 8 Trends in population and labour force 8 Agricultural labour force 12 Traditional escape routes 18 Conclusion 28 3 The agrarian economy: Evolution and prospects 31 Evolution of agrarian policy 32 Trends in agricultural production 34 Technological change 37 Some aspects of landholding 39 Investment in agriculture 42 Prices and subsidies 44 Conclusion 28 4 Income distribution and poverty 48 Income distribution and trends 48 Poverty incidence and trends 55 Growth and equity 64 vi Conclusion 28 5 Food consumption, food balances and subsidies 68 Food consumption in 1980 68 Cereal preferences 70 Food balances 78 Subsidies 88 Conclusion 28 6 Conclusion 92 Appendix A: Labour migration from Tunisia 97 Appendix B: Estimates of unemployment 1 00 Appendix C: Poverty lines in Tunisia: A critical review 1 03 Notes 1 19 Index 1 25 Figures 4.1 SMIG in real terms, 1961–87 65 5.1 Food consumption-income relationships, 1980 71 5.2 Wheat preferences by income classes 73 5.3 Cereal preferences: rural and urban, 1980 74 5.4 Hard and soft wheat: quantity and price ratios, 1966–80, and 79 quantity ratio projected to 2000 5.5 Wheat production, imports and total cereal production, 1934–38, 84 1948–52 and 1952–87 5.6 Food balances, 1934–38, 1962–64 and 1982–84 84 Tables 1.1 External resources and GDP, 1965–86 5 1.2 Vital indicators of the economy, 1965–86 6 2.1 Distribution of population and labour force by location, 1956– 10 84 2.2 Labour force by sectors, 1975 and 1984 12 2.3 Structure of the labour force by location, 1984 13 2.4 Agricultural labour force by type, 1976/77 to 1984/85 14 2.5 Employment by size of landholding, 1979 16 2.6 Non-agricultural activities, 1985 17 2.7 Distribution of landholders by time devoted to agricultural 17 activities and size of holding, 1980 2.8 Labour force breakdown by major forms, 1975, 1980 and 19 1984 2.9 Informal sector employment by localization compared with 21 public and private modern sector employment, 1980 2.10 Ratio of value added per capita in informal sector compared 22 with modern sector, 1981 2.11 Net emigration and remittances, 1964–86 26 2.12 Contribution of emigration to employment, 1962–81 and 27 projections for 1982–91 2.13 Regional characteristics of active population and 29 unemployment, 1975 and 1984 3.1 Average annual rates of growth of agricultural output, 1962– 35 64 to 1982–84, selected years 3.2 Cropping pattern, 1962 to 1982–84, selected years 36 3.3 Allocation of irrigated area, 1983–84 36 3.4 Livestock and poultry population, 1956 to 1982–84, selected 37 years 3.5 Indicators of technological change, 1960–62 to 1982–84 37 3.6 Pattern of landholding, 1961–62, 1975–76 and 1979–80 39 3.7 Distribution of cultivated areas, 1975–76 (annual crops and 40 tree crops) and 1979–80 (annual crops) ix 3.8 Pattern of fertilizer use by size-class of holding, 1975–76 and 41 1979–80 3.9 Livestock distribution, 1975–76 and 1979–80 42 3.10 Investment in agriculture, 1960–61 to 1977–84 42 3.11 Percentage distribution of investment in agriculture by 43 subsector, 1962–71 to 1982–85 3.12 Growth of product prices, 1965–1969/71 to 1976/78–1982/84 45 4.1 Expenditure per person and per household, 1980 and 1985 50 4.2 Per capita consumption by region, 1980 and 1985 50 4.3 Consumption according to social classes, 1980 and 1985 50 4.4 Consumption distribution, 1985 52 4.5 Consumption distribution according to household budget 53 surveys 4.6 Agricultural and non-agricultural GDP and wage share, 1966– 55 84, selected items and years 4.7 Poverty lines and poverty incidence, 1975 and 1985: ILO, 57 World Bank and INS 4.8 Incidence of poverty and total number in poverty by 58 occupational groups, 1985 4.9 Incidence of poverty by districts and rural/urban, 1985 59 4.10 Poverty line and poverty incidence, 1966–85 61 4.11 Total number in poverty: ILO and INS, 1975, 1980 and 1985 61 4.12 SMIG (48-hour week) in current and real terms, 1961–87 63 5.1 Calorie and expenditure distribution of the average diet, 1980 69 5.2 Food consumption-income relationships, 1980 71 5.3 Wheat preferences: hard and soft wheat, 1980 73 5.4 Cereal preferences: rural and urban, 1980 75 5.5 Changing wheat preferences, 1966–85 75 5.6 Price regime: hard and soft wheat, 1980 and 1987 77 5.7 Evolution of trade balance, selected items, 1975, 1980 and 79 1985 5.8 Food imports, 1983–85 81 5.9 Cereal supply, 1977–86, selected years 81 5.10 Wheat demand and supply, 1980 82 5.11 Production and imports of wheat and total cereals, 1934–38 to 84 1985 selected years 5.12 Estimated food balance sheets for 1934–38, 1962–64 and 84 1982–84 5.13 Expenditures of the price equalization fund, 1974–83 88 5.14 Subsidies and price support in Tunisia, 1982 90 5.15 Food subsidies in Tunisia and neighbouring countries, 1982 90
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