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TREND ANALYSIS OF SUGARCANE AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN ANDHRA PRADESH RAMAVATH GREESHMA B.Sc. (Ag.) MASTER OF SCIENCE IN AGRICULTURE (STATISTICS AND MATHEMATICS) 2014 TREND ANALYSIS OF SUGARCANE AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN ANDHRA PRADESH BY RAMAVATH GREESHMA B.Sc. (Ag.) THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE ACHARYA N.G. RANGA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF THE DEGREE OF MASTERS OF SCIENCE IN AGRICULTURE (STATISTICS AND MATHEMATICS) CHAIRPERSON: Shri. M. H. V. BHAVE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS AND MATHEMATICS COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURE ACHARYA N.G. RANGA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY RAJENDRANAGAR HYDERABAD – 500 030 2014 CERTIFICATE Ms. RAMAVATH GREESHMA has satisfactorily prosecuted the course of research and that the thesis entitled “TREND ANALYSIS OF SUGARCANE AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN ANDHRA PRADESH” submitted is the result of original research work and is of sufficiently high standard to warrant its presen- tation to the examination. I also certify that neither the thesis nor its part thereof has been previously submitted by her for a degree of any university. Date: Chairperson CERTIFICATE This is to certify that the thesis entitled “TREND ANALYSIS OF SUGARCANE AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN ANDHRA PRADESH” submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of ‘Master of Science in Agriculture’ of the Acharya N.G. Ranga Agricultural University, Hyderabad, is a record of the bonafide original research work carried out by Ms. RAMAVATH GREESHMA under our guidance and supervision. No part of the thesis has been submitted by the student for any other degree or diploma. The published part and all assistance received during the course of the investigations have been duly acknowledged by the author of the thesis. (Sri. M.H.V.BHAVE) Chairperson of the Advisory Committee Thesis approved by the Student Advisory Committee Chairperson Sri. M.H.V.BHAVE Associate Professor and Head Department of Statistics & Mathematics College of Agriculture, ANGRAU, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad-500 030. Member Smt. K. SUPRIYA Assistant Professor Department of Statistics & Mathematics College of Agriculture, ANGRAU, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad-500 030. Member Dr. D.V.SUBBA RAO Professor and Head Department of Agricultural Economics College of Agriculture, ANGRAU, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad-500 030. Date of final viva-voce: LIST OF CONTENTS Chapter No. Title Page No. I INTRODUCTION II REVIEW OF LITERATURE III MATERIAL AND METHODS IV RESULTS AND DISCUSSION V SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS LITERATURE CITED DECLARATION I, RAMAVATH GREESHMA hereby declare that the thesis entitled “TREND ANALYSIS OF SUGARCANE AREA, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN ANDHRA PRADESH” submitted to the Acharya N.G. Ranga Agricultural University for the degree of Master of Science in Agriculture is the result of original research work done by me. I also declare that any material contained in the thesis has not been published earlier in any manner. Place: Hyderabad (RAMAVATH GREESHMA) Date: I. D. No. RAM/12-63 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Accomplishment of this thesis is the result of benevolence of my parents, guidance by my teachers and help of my friends. I am pleased to place my profound etiquette to Sri. M.H.V. Bhave, Associate Professor and Head of the Department of Statistics and Mathematics, College of Agriculture, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad and esteemed Chairman of my Advisory Committee for his learned counsel, unstinted attention, arduous and meticulous guidance on the work in all stages. His keen interest, patient hearing and constructive criticism have installed in me the spirit of confidence to successfully complete the task. I sincerely extend my profound gratitude to the member of my advisory committee to Mrs. S. Supriya, Assistant Professor, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, College of Agriculture, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad, for her affection, well versed counsel and pragmatic suggestions during the course of research. I deem it my privilege in expressing my fidelity to Dr. D. V. SubbaRao, Professor and head of the Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad, member of my Advisory Committee for his constructive criticism during project evaluation, which helped me to make necessary improvements. I avail this opportunity with humbleness to sincerely thank to the staff members Sri. V. V. N. Narendranath, Dr. B. S. Kulakarni, G. Krishnakant, A. K. Goel, Dr. D. Srinivas Chary, Dr. I. Stella, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, College of Agriculture, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad for their wholehearted co-operation, motivation and moral support during the course of study. I sincerely extend my profound gratitude and appreciation to Mr. Srinivas, technician and attender Mrs. RamaDevi, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, College of Agriculture, Rajendranagar, Hyderabad. Words are not enough to express my whole-hearted and affectionate gratitude to my beloved parents Sri. Kishan and Smt. Suguna, my grand pa Sri. Devula Naik and grand ma Smt. Tulasi, my ever loving brothers Vinay, Vijay and my uncles Peersingh, Vittal and my mother in laws Smt. Renuka, Smt. Saroja and all my family members and relatives for their unbounding love, unparallel affection and unstinted encouragement throughout my educational career and without whose invaluable moral support, the thesis would not have seen the light of the day. I express my heartfelt gratitude and thanks to my classmates, Nireesha, Meena, Satish, Venkatesh, Manvender, my seniors, Ramakrishna, Srikanth and my junior, Srinivas for their valuable guidance and encouragement. No words are enough to express the affection to my best friends, Sony, Rajitha, Veni, Sushma, Keerthana, Prabha, Swarna, Ramya, Rams, Vema, Archana, Padmaja, Soujanya and Anusha for their help, guidance, constant encouragement and companionship in my personal and professional life and for their moral support during research work. I am thankful to ANGRAU for providing financial assistance in the form of fellowship during my course of study. Finally, I wish my humble thanks to one and all who have directly or indirectly contributed to the conduct of the study. Any omission in this brief acknowledgement doesn’t mean lack of gratitude. (R. Greeshma) LIST OF TABLES Table No. Title Page No. 4.1 Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Andhra Pradesh. 4.2 Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Coastal Andhra region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.3 Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Rayalaseema region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.4 Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh. 4 .5 Average Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in three regions of Andhra Pradesh. 4.6 Linear Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane. 4.7 Compound Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane. 4.8 Growth models for the Area of Sugarcane in Andhra Pradesh. 4.9 Growth models for the Production of Sugarcane in Andhra Pradesh. 4.10 Growth models for the Productivity of Sugarcane in Andhra Pradesh. 4.11 Growth models for the Area of Sugarcane in Coastal Andhra region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.12 Growth models for the Production of Sugarcane in Coastal Andhra region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.13 Growth models for the Productivity of Sugarcane in Coastal Andhra region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.14 Growth models for the Area of Sugarcane in Rayalaseems region of Andhra Pradesh. Table No. Title Page No. 4.15 Growth models for the Production of Sugarcane in Rayalaseems region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.16 Growth models for the Productivity of Sugarcane in Rayalaseems region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.17 Growth models for the Area of Sugarcane in Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.18 Growth models for the Production of Sugarcane in Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.19 Growth models for the Productivity of Sugarcane in Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.20 Projections of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Andhra Pradesh. 4.21 Projections of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Coastal Andhra region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.22 Projections of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Rayalaseema region of Andhra Pradesh. 4.23 Projections of Area, Production and Productivity of Sugarcane in Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh.

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ACHARYA N.G. RANGA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY . Linear Growth rates of Area, Production and Productivity of . accordingly for the short and long-term plans and also to provide a direction of research and they viewed the target of 132.5 lakh bales of cotton for 2000 AD and 282 lakh bales.
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