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453 Pages·2008·7.069 MB·English
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T RANSPORTATION L U , P , AND SE LANNING A Q AND IR UALITY PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2007 TRANSPORTATION LAND USE, PLANNING, AND AIR QUALITY CONFERENCE July 9–11, 2007 Orlando, Florida SPONSORED BY Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) Transportation and Air Quality Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB) Center for Transportation Research and Education at Iowa State University Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering at The University of North Carolina at Charlotte Transportation and Development Institute (T&DI) of the American Society of Civil Engineers Edited by Srinivas S. Pulugurtha, Ph.D., P.E. Robert O’Loughlin Shauna Hallmark, Ph.D. Published by the American Society of Civil Engineers Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Transportation Land Use, Planning, and Air Quality Conference (2007 : Orlando, Fla.) Transportation Land Use, Planning, and Air Quality Conference 2007 : proceedings of the 2007 Transportation Land Use, Planning, and Air Quality Conference : July 9-11, 2007, Orlando, Florida / sponsored by Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) … [et al.] ; edited by Srinivas S. Pulugurtha, Robert O’Loughlin, Shauna Hallmark. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-0-7844-0960-2 ISBN-10: 0-7844-0960-9 1. Transportation--Environmental aspects--Congresses. 2. Land use--Environmental aspects-- Congresses. 3. Air quality management--Congresses. 4. Air--Pollution--Congresses. 5. Transportation-- Planning--Congresses. I. Pulugurtha, Srinivas S. II. O’Loughlin, Robert. III. Hallmark, Shauna L. IV. United States. Federal Highway Administration. V. Title. VI. Title: Proceedings of the 2007 Transportation Land Use, Planning, and Air Quality Conference. TD195.T7T747 2008 363.739'2--dc22 2008015229 American Society of Civil Engineers 1801 Alexander Bell Drive Reston, Virginia, 20191-4400 www.pubs.asce.org Any statements expressed in these materials are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the views of ASCE, which takes no responsibility for any statement made herein. No reference made in this publication to any specific method, product, process, or service constitutes or implies an endorsement, recommendation, or warranty thereof by ASCE. The materials are for general information only and do not represent a standard of ASCE, nor are they intended as a reference in purchase specifications, contracts, regulations, statutes, or any other legal document. ASCE makes no representation or warranty of any kind, whether express or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or utility of any information, apparatus, product, or process discussed in this publication, and assumes no liability therefore. This information should not be used without first securing competent advice with respect to its suitability for any general or specific application. Anyone utilizing this information assumes all liability arising from such use, including but not limited to infringement of any patent or patents. ASCE and American Society of Civil Engineers—Registered in U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. Photocopies and reprints. You can obtain instant permission to photocopy ASCE publications by using ASCE’s online permission service (http://pubs.asce.org/permissions/requests/). Requests for 100 copies or more should be submitted to the Reprints Department, Publications Division, ASCE, (address above); email: [email protected]. A reprint order form can be found at http://pubs.asce.org/support/reprints/. Copyright © 2008 by the American Society of Civil Engineers. All Rights Reserved. ISBN 978-0-7844-0960-2 Manufactured in the United States of America. Cover photographs courtesy of (clockwise from top right) Bert Glibbery/morguefile, Kevin Connors/morguefile, LaRae/morguefile, and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Preface The 2007 Transportation Land-use, Planning, and Air Quality Conference held on July 9, 10, and 11 in Orlando, FL provided a forum to address pertinent issues and to keep practicing engineers, planners and researchers abreast of the latest developments and innovative practices in the field of transportation planning, land-use, and air quality. The conference brought together more than 110 planners, designers, engineers, managers, and researchers. It provided ample opportunities to learn from experts worldwide as well as exchange of ideas with peers in the field. The three day conference included concurrent technical sessions on the first two days and workshops on the third day of the conference. The concurrent sessions include (but are not limited to) community visioning and design, impacts due to development, SAFETEA-LU planning requirements, transit innovations, climate change, emissions, and air quality models, congestion and mitigation strategies, land-use models, and advancements in computing technology and modeling,. The workshops topics include US EPA MOVES Model, Land-use Models/Tools, next generation transportation models, FHWA Mobile Source Air Toxics Methodology, and TRANSCAD. The conference participants benefited considerably from the numerous presenters who shared their ideas, experiences, and insights. All the presenters are thanked for their contribution. Julie Kieffer and Jennifer Tabke of University Conference Services at Iowa State University are thanked for their assistance with conference services. The proceedings of the 2007 Transportation/Land-use Planning Air Quality Conference includes selected papers that were presented at the conference. The papers included in the proceedings went through a two step peer review process. Shauna Hallmark, Robert O’Loughlin and Srinivas Pulugurtha coordinated the peer review process. The authors are thanked for their hard work in preparation of manuscripts and for cooperation and patience during the peer review process and the publication of proceedings. All the reviewers are thanked for their input and suggestions to the authors. Arpan Desai and Kuvleshay Patel, graduate students in the Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte, are thanked for their help in formatting the papers to the required format. A special thanks to Federal Highway Administration who provided a significant financial contribution which made the conference possible. The Center for Transportation Research and Education (CTRE) at Iowa State University is thanked for its financial contribution. The Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte is thanked for its computing resources and office supplies for conference proceedings. Srinivas S. Pulugurtha, Ph.D., P.E., M.ASCE Robert O’Loughlin Shauna Hallmark, Ph.D., M. ASCE iii ivxlcdm Acknowledgments Conference Steering Committee Robert O’ Loughlin, Federal Highway Administration, Conference Chair Shauna Hallmark, Iowa State University, Technical Program Committee Chair Srinivas S. Pulugurtha, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Conference Proceedings Editor Conference Planning Committee James B. Martin, North Carolina State University John Koupal, US Environmental Protection Agency John Suhrbier, Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Randall L. Guensler, Georgia Institute of Technology Reginald Souleyrette, Iowa State University Vicky McLane, North Front Range MPO Sponsors Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) TRB's Transportation Air Quality Committee (ADC20) T&DI's Planning and Economics Committee Center for Transportation Research and Education (CTRE) at Iowa State University Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte Center for Transportation and the Environment (CTE) at North Carolina State University Air and Waste Management Association (AWMA) AWMA's On and Off-Road Mobile Source Committee Georgia Institute of Technology T&DI’s Land-use Committee Transportation and Development Institute of ASCE (T&DI) Transportation Research Board (TRB) TRB Subcommittee on Air Quality in Small and Medium Communities TRB's Access Management Committee (ADA70) US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) iv Contents Community Visioning and Design Neighborhood Design as a Strategy for Improving Air Quality: Evidence from Northern California........................................................................................................1 X. Cao, S. Handy, and P. Mokhtarian Designing Inside the Box—Strategies to Successfully Marry Smart Growth and Context-Sensitive Transportation Initiatives...............................................................14 G. Wade Walker Impacts Due to Development The Impacts of Urban Development on Anthropogenic and Biogenic Emissions and Air Quality: A Case Study in Austin, Texas..................................................................21 E. McDonald-Buller, J. Song, A. Webb, G. McGaughey, B. Zhou, K. Kockelman, J. Lemp, B. Parmenter, and D. Allen Linking Conservation and Land Use Planning: Using the State Wildlife Action Plans to Protect Wildlife from Urbanization.......................................................................32 Julia Michalak and Jeff Lerner Transportation Modeling and Local Transportation Issues Implementing Multi-Lane Roundabouts in Urban Areas..................................................41 S. L. Thieken Models to Measure Pedestrian Activity at Intersections....................................................52 S. S. Pulugurtha and S. Repaka Innovative Mobility Solutions in Évora: A Historical Medium Sized City in Portugal..............................................................................................................................59 A. S. Vasconcelos, S. Taborda, and T. L. Farias Multinomial Modeling of Purpose Driven Trip...................................................................64 M. Penn, F. Vargas, and D. Chimba Congestion, Reliability, and Prioritization for Transportation Planning How Reliable Are Our Roads? A Case Study Using Charlotte, NC Data.........................79 S. S. Pulugurtha and N. Pasupuleti Variability of Vehicle Emissions and Congestion Forecasting...........................................90 M. Claggett and H. Sarah Sun VMT Forecasting Alternatives for Air Quality Analysis..................................................110 D. Szekeres, N. Koppula, and J. Frazier v Transit Innovations Impact of Metrorail Stations in Washington, DC on Land Use and Development: Shady Grove Metro Station Case Study.............................................................................118 V. O. Davis Use of GPS Probe Data and Passenger Data for Prediction of Bus Transit Travel Time...........................................................................................................................124 Y. Ramakrishna, P. Ramakrishna, V. Lakshmanan, and R. Sivanandan Modeling Neighborhood Environment, Bus Ridership, and Air Quality: A Case Study of Chicago Bus Service.................................................................................134 J. Lin and M. Ruan Transit and Air Quality Bus Public Transport Energy Consumption and Emissions versus Individual Transportation......................................................................................................................147 C. Silva, J. Bravo, G. Gonçalves, T. Farias, and J. Mendes-Lopes CUTE Hydrogen Bus Project: Findings and Extension to Hyfleet..................................161 G. A. Gonçalves, J. O. Portugal, and T. L. Farias Integrating Transportation, Land Use and Air Quality Estimating Mobile Source Emission Benefits from Land Use Change—A Review of the State of the Practice.................................................................171 J. S. Lane A Simulation of the Effects of Transportation Demand Management Policies on Motor Vehicle Emissions................................................................................................182 W. Harrington, S. Houde, and E. Safirova Integrated Impacts of Regional Development, Land Use Strategies, and Transportation Planning on Future Air Pollution Emissions...................................192 S. Bai, D. A. Niemeier, S. L. Handy, S. Gao, J. R. Lund, and D. C. Sullivan Using TRANUS to Construct a Land Use-Transportation-Emissions Model of Charlotte, North Carolina...............................................................................................206 B. J. Morton, D. A. Rodríguez, Y. Song, and E. J. Cho Linking Urban Structure and Air Quality.........................................................................219 H. Martins, A. I. Miranda, and C. Borrego Benefits of Air Quality Simulation Models........................................................................228 B. Kim and J. Rachami Environmental Impacts of Freight Developing a Freight Capacity Model for Land Use Planning and Air Quality Impact Analysis....................................................................................................................241 S. Shackelford and D. Murray Clean Air Act General Conformity Study for the Port of Baltimore...............................250 R. P. Newman and N. K. Brown vi Mobile Source Air Toxics Recommended Practices for NEPA Air Toxics Analysis of Highway Projects................261 D. A. Ernst and E. L. Carr Traffic Emission Impacts on Air Quality near Large Roadways.....................................276 R. Baldauf, K. Black, V. Martinez, M. Gaber, E. Thomas, and D. Costa Hazardous Air Pollutants Benefits Assessment: Houston-Galveston Case Study..........285 J. H. Wilson, Jr., M. A. Mullen, D. McKenzie, K. Thesing, A. Bollman, H. A. Roman, and J. A. Craig Particulate Matter PM2.5 Source Apportionment—Case Study of Hickory, NC............................................296 J. Tippett, L. C. Lane, and J. S. Lane Creating an Evidence Toolbox to Assist Qualitative PM2.5 and PM10 (Particulate Matter) Hot-Spot Analyses.............................................................................308 J. A. Frazier, D. Szekeres, and C. M. Reitz Results of Implementing Aggressive PM Reduction on Non-Road Construction Equipment at Two Lower Manhattan Project Sites..........................................................319 R. Raman Emissions and Noise Control Strategies Investigating the Impact of Ramp Metering from Simulation Results...........................328 S. Farahani and B. Hashemloo A Microscopic Approach to Modeling Air Quality Impacts of HOV Lane Conversion............................................................................................................................338 K. Boriboonsomsin and M. Barth Study of Influence of Lane Restrictions on Vehicular Emissions under Heterogeneous Traffic Flow.....................................................................................345 S. P. Anusha, R. Sivanandan, and S. K. Senthilraj The Emissions Score, a Composite Measure for Ranking Transportation Control Measures and Similar Projects in Terms of Emissions Benefits........................358 R. J. d’Abadie and R. G. Kaiser The Influence of a Noise Barrier and Vegetation on Air Quality near a Roadway....................................................................................................................372 G. E. Bowker, R. Baldauf, V. Isakov, A. Khlystov, W. Petersen, E. Thomas, and C. Bailey Electric Vehicles, Diesel and Alternative Fuels Thriving with Neighborhood Electric Vehicles..................................................................382 T. Cosgrove, J. E. Pedri, R. O. Watkins, G. Capik, L. Rubio, and S. Ainsworth The Impact of Biodiesel on Emissions from School Buses...............................................395 M. Farzaneh, J. Zietsman, D. Perkinson, and D. Spillane vii Impact of Alternative Vehicle Technologies on Measured Vehicle Emissions.................408 H. Zhai, H. C. Frey, N. M. Rouphail, G. A. Gonçalves, and T. L. Farias Climate Change Transportation Planning and Climate Change: New York State.....................................415 M. P. Gaber Potential Impacts of Climate Change and Variability for Transportation Long-Range Planning and Investment...............................................................................427 J. H. Suhrbier Indexes Subject Index........................................................................................................................441 Author Index........................................................................................................................443 viii Neighborhood Design as a Strategy for Improving Air Quality: Evidence from Northern California X. Cao,1 S. Handy,2 and P. Mokhtarian3 1Associate Research Fellow, Upper Great Plains Transportation Institute, North Dakote State, University Fargo, ND, 58105, email: [email protected] 2Professor, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University Of California Davis, CA-95616; PH (530) 752-5878: FAX (530) 752-3350; email: [email protected] 3Professor, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University Of California Davis, CA-95616; email: [email protected] Abstract The sprawling patterns of land development common to metropolitan areas of the US have been blamed for high levels of automobile travel, and thus for air quality problems. In response, smart growth programs – designed to counter sprawl – have gained popularity in the US. Studies show that residents of neighborhoods with higher levels of density, land-use mix, transit accessibility, and pedestrian friendliness drive less than residents of neighborhoods with lower levels of these characteristics. However, these studies have shed little light on the underlying direction of causality – whether neighborhood design influences travel behavior or whether travel preferences influence the choice of neighborhood. The available evidence thus leaves a key question largely unanswered: if cities use land use policies to bring residents closer to destinations and provide viable alternatives to driving, will people change their behavior in ways that reduce emissions? This study examines evidence from a study of residents of eight neighborhoods in Northern California on the link between neighborhood design and two behaviors that affect emissions: driving and choice of vehicle type. The study used multivariate modeling techniques to control for socio-demographic characteristics as well as attitudes and preferences. The results support the premise that land use policies have at least some potential to reduce driving and ownership of light duty trucks, thereby reducing emissions. Key words: built environment, self-selection, smart growth, travel behavior, vehicle type choice 1 1 0123456789

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