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Transmitting Rights: International Organizations and the Diffusion of Human Rights Practices PDF

209 Pages·2015·7.877 MB·English
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Transmitting Rights Transmitting Rights InternationalOrganizationsandtheDiffusionof Human RightsPractices BRIAN GREENHILL 1 3 OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityof Oxford.ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch, scholarship,andeducationbypublishingworldwide. Oxford NewYork Auckland CapeTown DaresSalaam HongKong Karachi KualaLumpur Madrid Melbourne MexicoCity Nairobi NewDelhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto Withofficesin Argentina Austria Brazil Chile CzechRepublic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore SouthKorea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam OxfordisaregisteredtrademarkofOxfordUniversityPress intheUKandcertainothercountries. PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericaby OxfordUniversityPress 198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016 ©OxfordUniversityPress2015 Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withouttheprior permissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermittedbylaw, bylicense,orundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereproductionrightsorganization. Inquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeoftheaboveshouldbesenttothe RightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,attheaddressabove. Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData ISBN978–0–19–027163–3(hbk.);978–0–19–027164–0(pbk.) 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica onacid-freepaper CONTENTS ListofFiguresandTables vii Acknowledgments ix 1.Introduction 1 1.1. GLOBALIZATIONANDHUMANRIGHTS 1 1.2.IGOS:SOMEBACKGROUND 5 1.3.IGOSASNORMTRANSMITTERS 10 1.4.EMPIRICALSTRATEGY(ANDPLANFORTHEBOOK) 14 2.NetworksofInfluence 22 2.1.STAGE1:ESTABLISHINGTHEHUMANRIGHTSCULTUREOFTHEIGO 25 2.2.STAGE2:DEFININGTHEIGOCONTEXTOFTHESTATE 34 2.3.STAGE3:INTERNALIZINGTHENORMS 38 2.4.NEXTSTEPS:COLLECTINGEVIDENCEOFDIFFUSION 54 3.DemonstratingDiffusion 59 3.1. INTRODUCTION 59 3.2.THEDATA 60 3.3.RESULTS 72 3.4.ADETAILEDDRILL-DOWN 82 3.5.TAKINGSTOCK 90 4.StateandIGOCharacteristics 92 4.1.SHAPINGTHEHUMANRIGHTSCULTURE 93 4.2.IGOCHARACTERISTICS 101 v vi contents 4.3.RECEIVEREFFECTS 105 4.4.DISCUSSION 111 5.GayRightsandWomen’sRights 117 5.1. VARIATIONAMONGRIGHTS 117 5.2.DATAANDMETHODS 121 5.3.RESULTS 128 5.4.DISCUSSION 134 6.CauseorEffect? 137 6.1. INTRODUCTION 137 6.2.IGOSANDHUMANRIGHTSCONDITIONS 138 6.3.METHODS 141 6.4.RESULTS 151 6.5.DISCUSSION 156 7.Conclusions 160 7.1. LESSONSLEARNED 160 7.2. IMPLICATIONSFORIRTHEORY 163 AppendixMethodsAppendix 167 A.1.DIFFUSIONSIMULATIONS 167 A.2.CROSS-VALIDATION 169 Notes 173 Bibliography 183 Index 191 LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES Figures 1.1 TotalnumberofIGOsbyyear,1815–2005 2 2.1 Thethree-stagemodelofnormtransmission 23 2.2 Hungary’smostcloselyconnectedIGOpartnersin1985and 2005 36 3.1 PatternsofIGOmembershipin2005 61 3.2 SpatialandtemporaltrendsinthePhysicalIntegrityRights Index 63 3.3 Networkofstateswithvaluededges 66 3.4 BipartitenetworkinvolvingstatesandIGOs 67 3.5 VariationovertimeintheglobalmeanofIGOContext 69 3.6 FirstdifferencesplotforthevariablesincludedinModel1 74 3.7 LagdistributionofIGOContextinModel1 75 3.8 DescriptivestatisticsforBahrain 83 3.9 Bahrain’stotalIGOmemberships,1981–2005 85 3.10 Bahrain’sshiftingIGOmemberships,1981–2005 86 3.11 Bahrain’sIGOContextcalculatedwithandwithoutpost-1981 changesinIGOmembership 87 3.12 RelativeinfluenceofBahrain’sinfluentialIGOpartners 88 3.13 PIRScoresofBahrain’sfivemostinfluentialIGOpartners 89 4.1 AccountingforGDPinsettingthehumanrightsculturesof theIGOs 95 4.2 AccountingforGDPinestimatingthehumanrightscultures oftheIGOs 97 4.3 Tippingpointmodels 99 4.4 VaryingthetypesofIGOsincludedintheanalysis 104 vii viii list of figures and tables 4.5 Interactionwithvariouscharacteristicsofthereceiver states 108 4.6 Comparingacrosstheconditioningvariables 110 5.1 Policiestowardshomosexualityin1950and2010 118 5.2 Trendsinwomen’srightsscoresamongallcountriesinthe data 125 5.3 EffectthatvariationovertherangeofIGOcontexthasonthe relevantoutcomevariable 129 6.1 SouthAfrica’sIGOties,1965–2005 139 6.2 Transitivityinsocialnetworks 145 6.3 PositionsofcountriesA,B,C,andDinahypothetical 2-dimensionallatentspace 146 6.4 Pointestimatesand95%credibleintervalsoftheestimatesof eachcoefficientintheyear-specificmodels 152 A.1 Simplediffusionsimulations 168 A.2 Four-foldcross-validationprocedure 170 Tables 2.1 IGOsconcernedwithcommodityexports 30 3.1 Modelsofphysicalintegrityrights 73 4.1 Correlationsamongtheconditioningvariables 111 ✓ ✗ 4.2 Evidencethatisconsistentwith( )orthatchallenges( ) eachofthecausalmechanismsdiscussedinChapter2 112 5.1 Modelsofgayrightsandwomen’srights 127 5.2 Out-of-samplepredictivepowerofmodelsthatreplaceIGO Contextwithalternativespatiallags 132 6.1 StatesthatleftprominentIGOsintheperiod1991–2000 141 6.2 ExtractoftheMembershipmatrixfor1991 142 6.3 ExtractoftheNewJoinersmatrixfor1991 143 6.4 ExtractoftheIGOFlowsmatrixfor1991 143 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This book emerged out of the PhD dissertation I wrote in the Political SciencedepartmentattheUniversityofWashingtonbetween2005and 2010.Dealingwiththeupsanddownsofdissertationresearchcanbean emotionallyexhaustingexperience,butIwasluckyenoughtohavetwoof themostsupportivedissertationadvisorsIcouldhavewishedfor,Aseem PrakashandMikeWard.AseemandMikejointlychairedmycommittee andplayedanextremelyimportantroleinshapingtheideasandanalysis inwhatwouldbecomethisbook.Iamalsoverygratefulforthehelpthat theothermembersofmydissertationcommittee—JimCaporaso,Rachel CichowskiandPeterHoff—wereabletogivemeindevelopingtheseideas andsharpeningtheargument. AtDartmouthIhavebenefitedgreatlyfrommanylengthydiscussions on this project with my colleagues in the Government Department. I wouldespeciallyliketothankSteveBrooksandBenValentinonotonly for their help with developing the arguments in the book, but also for spending so much time guiding me through the many steps involved in bringing this project to completion. In the spring of 2014, Dartmouth’s DickeyCenterforInternationalUnderstandingsponsoredaworkshopon my manuscript that came to play a crucial role in bringing this project to completion. Jon Pevehouse and Beth Simmons generously agreed to serve as my external discussants, while the Dartmouth delegation includedSteveBrooks,JohnCarey,JeffFriedman,JoshKertzer,Jennifer Lind, Daryl Press, Ben Valentino, Bill Wohlforth, and Chris Wohlforth. All of the participants took the time to carefully read an early draft of the manuscript and provided me with extremely useful comments and suggestions. ix

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