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Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market (Wiley Trading) PDF

386 Pages·2010·15.79 MB·English
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Preview Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market (Wiley Trading)

P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA vi P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA Trade Like an O’Neil Disciple i P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA vi P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publish- ingcompanyintheUnitedStates.WithofficesinNorthAmerica,Europe, AustraliaandAsia,Wileyisgloballycommittedtodevelopingandmarket- ing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ profes- sionalandpersonalknowledgeandunderstanding. TheWileyTradingseriesfeaturesbooksbytraderswhohavesurvived the market’s ever changing temperament and have prospered—some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional or somewhere in-between, these books will provide theadviceandstrategiesneededtoprospertodayandwellintothefuture. Foralistofavailabletitles,visitourWebsiteatwww.WileyFinance.com. ii P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA Trade Like an O’Neil Disciple How We Made Over 18,000% in the Stock Market GIL MORALES AND DR. CHRIS KACHER JohnWiley&Sons,Inc. iii P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA Copyright(cid:1)C 2010byGilMoralesandChrisKacher.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedin anyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanning,or otherwise,exceptaspermittedunderSection107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyright Act,withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermissionofthePublisher,orauthorizationthrough paymentoftheappropriateper-copyfeetotheCopyrightClearanceCenter,Inc.,222 RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923,(978)750-8400,fax(978)646-8600,orontheWebat www.copyright.com.RequeststothePublisherforpermissionshouldbeaddressedtothe PermissionsDepartment,JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken,NJ07030,(201) 748-6011,fax(201)748-6008,oronlineathttp://www.wiley.com/go/permissions. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveusedtheirbest effortsinpreparingthisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttothe accuracyorcompletenessofthecontentsofthisbookandspecificallydisclaimanyimplied warrantiesofmerchantabilityorfitnessforaparticularpurpose.Nowarrantymaybecreated orextendedbysalesrepresentativesorwrittensalesmaterials.Theadviceandstrategies containedhereinmaynotbesuitableforyoursituation.Youshouldconsultwitha professionalwhereappropriate.Neitherthepublishernorauthorshallbeliableforanylossof profitoranyothercommercialdamages,includingbutnotlimitedtospecial,incidental, consequential,orotherdamages. ChartsprovidedcourtesyofeSignal.Copyright2010byeSignal. Forgeneralinformationonourotherproductsandservicesorfortechnicalsupport,please contactourCustomerCareDepartmentwithintheUnitedStatesat(800)762-2974,outsidethe UnitedStatesat(317)572-3993orfax(317)572-4002. Wileyalsopublishesitsbooksinavarietyofelectronicformats.Somecontentthatappearsin printmaynotbeavailableinelectronicbooks.FormoreinformationaboutWileyproducts, visitourwebsiteatwww.wiley.com. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData: Morales,Gil,1959– TradelikeanO’Neildisciple:howwemadeover18,000%inthestockmarket/ GilMorales,ChrisKacher. p.cm.–(Wileytradingseries) Includesindex. ISBN978-0-470-61653-6 1.Stocks. 2.Speculation. 3.Portfoliomanagement. I.Kacher,Chris. II.Title. HG4661.M5972010 332.63(cid:2)22–dc22 2010013522 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 iv P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA Itissaidthatdedicatingabookisoneofthemostexquisite actsofloveonecanperform.Iloveallwhoseekoutandfind theirpassioninlifeandinspirit,whichincludethoseclosest tome,youknowwhoyouare. —ChrisKacher Fortheotherridersinmybumpercaroflife:Linda, Claire,andAlex,andforthetwopeoplewhoareresponsible forsettingmeoffonthisbumpercarride: myparents,BobandIrene. —GilMorales v P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA Contents Foreword xi Preface xiii Acknowledgments xvii CHAPTER 1 The Evolution of Excellence: The O’Neil Trading Method 1 Preparation,Study,andPractice 2 BuyExpensive—NotCheap—Stocks 4 AveragingDown 5 CuttingLossesQuickly 5 TakingProfitsTooSoon—LettingYourWinnersRun 6 PositionConcentration 7 DealinginBigStocksandInstitutionalSponsorship 8 ChartPatterns 9 PivotalPointsversusPivotPoints 12 TimingtheMarket:WhentoBeIn,WhentoBeOut 13 EmotionsandPredictions 14 ListeningtoOpinions,News,andTips 15 Overtrading 16 TheO’NeilApproach:Techno-Fundamentalism 17 Conclusion 17 vii P1:JYS FM JWBT320-Morales July9,2010 19:39 Printer:CourierWestford,Westford,MA viii CONTENTS CHAPTER 2 How Chris Kacher Made Over 18,000 Percent in the Stock Market Over Seven Years 19 GainingaFootholdintheBusiness 20 1996—“Y2K”StocksPutMeOvertheTop 22 1997—KeepingProfitsduringtheAsianContagion 27 1998—DemoralizationSetsInJustBeforetheMarket TakesOff 29 1999—TheBubbleExpands 31 2000—TheBubbleBursts 35 2001—ALessoninShorting 37 2002toPresent—Choppy,SidewaysMarketsandtheBirth ofthePocketPivot 39 CHAPTER 3 How Gil Morales Made Over 11,000 Percent in the Stock Market 43 ARockyStartTurnsGolden 44 ClimbingonBoardtheRocketRide 46 Joiningthe1,000PercentClub 49 OracleBubblesUp 50 PatienceandaWatchfulEye 53 ClearedforTake-Off 54 Verisign:The“SpiceintheSoup” 56 SittingNotThinking 60 ClosingInontheTop 62 TheThemeofSuccess 64 TheSecretIngredients 65 CHAPTER 4 Failing Forward 67 ThePsychologyofSuccessLiesinTamingtheEgo 68 LearningfromOurMistakes 72 Problems,Situations,andSolutions 107 Conclusion 125

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