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(cid:36)(cid:34)(cid:19)(cid:30)(cid:21)(cid:32)(cid:4)(cid:1)(cid:27)(cid:53)(cid:43)(cid:6)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:8)(cid:7)(cid:9)(cid:7)(cid:1)(cid:23)(cid:41)(cid:57)(cid:58)(cid:1)(cid:8)(cid:16)(cid:58)(cid:48)(cid:1)(cid:35)(cid:58)(cid:56)(cid:45)(cid:45)(cid:58) TRAMCO-EUROPE LTD (cid:39)(cid:49)(cid:43)(cid:48)(cid:49)(cid:58)(cid:41)(cid:4)(cid:1)(cid:28)(cid:35)(cid:1)(cid:13)(cid:14)(cid:9)(cid:8)(cid:11)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:33)(cid:48)(cid:54)(cid:53)(cid:45)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:10)(cid:8)(cid:13)(cid:5)(cid:9)(cid:13)(cid:11)(cid:5)(cid:11)(cid:13)(cid:7)(cid:11) Mendham Business Park (cid:23)(cid:37)(cid:34)(cid:32)(cid:5)(cid:36)(cid:34)(cid:19)(cid:30)(cid:21)(cid:32)(cid:4)(cid:1)(cid:20)(cid:6)(cid:38)(cid:6)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:35)(cid:55)(cid:41)(cid:43)(cid:45)(cid:5)(cid:57)(cid:48)(cid:59)(cid:58)(cid:58)(cid:51)(cid:45)(cid:1)(cid:15)(cid:1)G (cid:24)(cid:41)(cid:61)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:10)(cid:8)(cid:13)(cid:5)(cid:9)(cid:13)(cid:11)(cid:5)(cid:14)(cid:16)(cid:13)(cid:12)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:23)(cid:52)(cid:41)(cid:49)(cid:51)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:57)(cid:41)(cid:51)(cid:45)(cid:57)(cid:18)(cid:58)(cid:56)(cid:41)(cid:52)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:49)(cid:53)(cid:43)(cid:6)(cid:43)(cid:54)m (cid:26)(cid:59)(cid:51)(cid:51)(cid:1)(cid:34)(cid:54)(cid:41)(cid:44)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:35)(cid:41)(cid:51)(cid:58)(cid:45)(cid:53)(cid:44)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:26)(cid:59)(cid:51)(cid:51)(cid:4)(cid:1)(cid:23)(cid:53)(cid:47)(cid:51)(cid:41)(cid:53)(cid:44)(cid:1)(cid:26)(cid:37)(cid:8)(cid:9)(cid:1)(cid:15)(cid:22)(cid:40) (cid:10)(cid:15)(cid:9)(cid:11)(cid:1)(cid:30)(cid:29) (cid:19)(cid:52)(cid:45)(cid:56)(cid:57)(cid:46)(cid:54)(cid:54)(cid:56)(cid:58)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:36)(cid:48)(cid:45)(cid:1)(cid:31)(cid:45)(cid:58)(cid:48)(cid:45)(cid:56)(cid:51)(cid:41)(cid:53)(cid:44)(cid:57) We(cid:42)(cid:1)(cid:35)(cid:49)(cid:58)(cid:45)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:60)(cid:60)(cid:60)(cid:6)(cid:58)(cid:56)(cid:41)(cid:52)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:49)(cid:53)(cid:43)(cid:6)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:52) (cid:34)(cid:45)(cid:47)(cid:6)(cid:1)(cid:60)(cid:49)(cid:58)(cid:48)(cid:1)(cid:58)(cid:48)(cid:45)(cid:1)(cid:21)(cid:48)(cid:41)(cid:52)(cid:42)(cid:45)(cid:56)(cid:1)(cid:54)(cid:46)(cid:1)(cid:21)(cid:54)(cid:52)(cid:52)(cid:45)(cid:56)(cid:43)(cid:45)(cid:1)(cid:2)(cid:10)(cid:16)(cid:15)(cid:5)(cid:9)(cid:14)(cid:9)(cid:16) (cid:33)(cid:48)(cid:54)(cid:53)(cid:45)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:3)(cid:10)(cid:8)(cid:5)(cid:10)(cid:10)(cid:5)(cid:11)(cid:12)(cid:13)(cid:14)(cid:7)(cid:10)(cid:10)(cid:1) (cid:33)(cid:48)(cid:54)(cid:53)(cid:45)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:3)(cid:11)(cid:11)(cid:5)(cid:8)(cid:11)(cid:15)(cid:9)(cid:5)(cid:14)(cid:15)(cid:9)(cid:13)(cid:13)(cid:13)(cid:1)(cid:62)(cid:1)(cid:24)(cid:41)(cid:61)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:3)(cid:11)(cid:11)(cid:5)(cid:8)(cid:11)(cid:15)(cid:9)(cid:5)(cid:14)(cid:16)(cid:10)(cid:16)(cid:9)(cid:7) (cid:24)(cid:41)(cid:61)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:3)(cid:10)(cid:8)(cid:5)(cid:10)(cid:10)(cid:5)(cid:11)(cid:12)(cid:12)(cid:15)(cid:8)(cid:11)(cid:16) For more information, see Page 118. (cid:23)(cid:52)(cid:41)(cid:49)(cid:51)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:57)(cid:41)(cid:51)(cid:45)(cid:57)(cid:18)(cid:58)(cid:56)(cid:41)(cid:52)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:45)(cid:59)(cid:56)(cid:54)(cid:55)(cid:45)(cid:6)(cid:50)(cid:41)(cid:56)(cid:54)(cid:54)(cid:6)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:6)(cid:59)k (cid:23)(cid:5)(cid:52)(cid:41)(cid:49)(cid:51)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:48)(cid:41)(cid:53)(cid:57)(cid:18)(cid:58)(cid:56)(cid:41)(cid:52)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:5)(cid:45)(cid:59)(cid:56)(cid:54)(cid:55)(cid:45)(cid:6)(cid:43)(cid:54)(cid:52) Agri/Industrial Division The TITAN of the Industry Exceptional strength in service, quality and design – it’s what you can expect from Chief. At Chief Agri/Industrial, we are committed to engineering long • N ew fully galvanized roof design allows for peak load capaci- lasting relationships. We do this by listening to our customers ties up to 25,000 lb. (11.34 MT). and promptly responding with the type of products and service • E asy access one-ring and two-ring doors allow unobstructed they want. With its easy installation and superior strength, our entry without the removal of cross ties, tie rods or tie bars. TITAN commercial grain managements systems are an excellent • C hief TITANsilos are designed to withstand winds of up to 90 example of how we put the needs of our customers fi rst. mph(144.84 kph)standard, and can be upgraded for winds of Chief offers complete systems for your aeration, material handling, and storage needs. Lemanco Bulk Caldwell Aeration Systems Material Handling Systems Storage Systems P.O. Box 848 • Kearney, Nebraska 68848 USA We Engineer Relationships® Phone 800-359-7600 or 308-237-3186 www.agri.chiefi nd.com • email: agri@chiefi nd.com For more information, see Page 118. 3/21/07 1:19:52 PM Dekheila - EGYPT : 2 x 250 tons/hour (cid:49)(cid:80)(cid:83)(cid:85)(cid:1)(cid:38)(cid:82)(cid:86)(cid:74)(cid:81)(cid:78)(cid:70)(cid:79)(cid:85)(cid:1)(cid:14)(cid:1)(cid:52)(cid:73)(cid:74)(cid:81)(cid:1)(cid:45)(cid:80)(cid:66)(cid:69)(cid:70)(cid:83)(cid:84)(cid:1)(cid:16)(cid:1)(cid:54)(cid:79)(cid:77)(cid:80)(cid:66)(cid:69)(cid:70)(cid:83)(cid:84) From project design to complete turnkey bulk handling solutions and port terminals with mechanical and/or pneumatic reliable and cost effective equipment Aktau - KAZAKHSTAN : 350 tons/hour Port SUDAN : 600 tons/hour Port Qasim - PAKISTAN : 1,,000 tons/hour (cid:55)(cid:42)(cid:40)(cid:34)(cid:47)(cid:1)(cid:38)(cid:79)(cid:72)(cid:74)(cid:79)(cid:70)(cid:70)(cid:83)(cid:74)(cid:79)(cid:72)(cid:1)(cid:84)(cid:15)(cid:66)(cid:15) (cid:1)(cid:1)(cid:51)(cid:86)(cid:70)(cid:1)(cid:69)(cid:70)(cid:1)(cid:77)(cid:181)(cid:42)(cid:79)(cid:69)(cid:86)(cid:84)(cid:85)(cid:83)(cid:74)(cid:70)(cid:13)(cid:1)(cid:18)(cid:23)(cid:1)(cid:14)(cid:1)(cid:18)(cid:21)(cid:17)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:47)(cid:74)(cid:87)(cid:70)(cid:77)(cid:77)(cid:70)(cid:84)(cid:1)(cid:9)(cid:35)(cid:70)(cid:77)(cid:72)(cid:74)(cid:86)(cid:78)(cid:10)(cid:1) (cid:1)(cid:49)(cid:73)(cid:80)(cid:79)(cid:70)(cid:1)(cid:27)(cid:1)(cid:12)(cid:20)(cid:19)(cid:1)(cid:23)(cid:24)(cid:1)(cid:25)(cid:26)(cid:1)(cid:22)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:21)(cid:18)(cid:1)(cid:14)(cid:1)(cid:39)(cid:66)(cid:89)(cid:1)(cid:27)(cid:1)(cid:12)(cid:20)(cid:19)(cid:1)(cid:23)(cid:24)(cid:1)(cid:25)(cid:26)(cid:1)(cid:22)(cid:17)(cid:1)(cid:23)(cid:17)(cid:1) (cid:88)(cid:88)(cid:88)(cid:15)(cid:87)(cid:74)(cid:72)(cid:66)(cid:79)(cid:15)(cid:68)(cid:80)(cid:78)(cid:1)(cid:14)(cid:1)(cid:74)(cid:79)(cid:71)(cid:80)(cid:33)(cid:87)(cid:74)(cid:72)(cid:66)(cid:79)(cid:15)(cid:68)(cid:80)(cid:78) For more information, see Page 118. contents www.World-Grain.com VOLUME 29 NUMBER 4 APRIL 2011 FEATURES 28 Wheat trade to double by 2050 USW study fi nds that growth in consumption over next 40 years will be in regions with minimal wheat production. 38 MERCOSUR infl uence continues to grow South American countries are increasing grain and oilseed exports to China and the E.U. 28 44 Expanding the family business Tondo SA, one of Brazil’s biggest millers, is adding a fl our mill at its complex in Caxias do Sul. 50 Whole grains revolution Latin America, China among next frontiers for whole grains growth. 56 GEAPS Exchange 2011 Education and safety are the focus at the 82nd annual event in Portland, Oregon, U.S. 68 HGCA/nabim Conference British millers remind growers there’s demand for domestic wheat. 50 74 Grain operations Carbon dioxide monitoring of grain has the potential to save both DEPARTMENTS money and lives. 06 Editorial 80 Japan coping with disaster 08 Calendar Food sector, including milling, damaged little by quake, tsunami. 10 World Grain News 86 Biofuels market outlook 20 Grain Market Review: Production expected to grow signifi cantly in next 10 years, Coarse grains outstripping supply by 32 billion liters. 22 Country Focus: Turkmenistan 88 Biofuels quarterly news review 114 Supplier News A review of the latest issues and news affecting the global biofuels 118 Advertiser Index/ industry. Fax Back Form 94 Stopping the stowaways ON THE COVER: Tondo SA’s milling complex in Use Integrated Pest Management System to send stored-product Caxias do Sul, Brazil. pests packing. 98 Victam product and services A review of some of the products and companies that will ©Copyright 2011. Reproduction of the whole or any part of the contents without written permission is prohibited. be on display at Victam 2011. All information is published in good faith. While care is taken to prevent inaccuracies, the publishers accept no liability for any errors or omissions or for the consequences of any action taken on the basis of information published. www.World-Grain.com / World Grain / April 2011 5 from the editor-in-chief Recovery from earthquake shows strength W hile it may be premature to make an downs, due to earth vibrations. Considering damage, electricity supplies were curtailed. assessment at this stage of all the that building a fl our mill in Japan costs a The response was rationing by three-hour or effects of the earthquake, tsunami multiple of similar projects in other coun- four-hour blackouts on a rolling basis across and nuclear power plant problem that hit Ja- tries, due to building requirements to protect major areas. These power interruptions were pan beginning on March 11, it may be said against earth-rattling episodes, it is certain worsened by severe gasoline shortages that with confi dence that the country’s grain and that new and greater respect for this process slowed truck transportation. Even with these fl our milling industries have emerged from will emerge. Milling benefi ted from the fact cutbacks, which in turn curtailed train ser- these natural catastrophes showing little that most plants were built in reconstruction vice used by most of the commuting public, damage. Yes, this good fortune is due mainly after World War II. none of the fl our mills indicated problems to plants being located in places that did not Because of the highly important strategic caused by employees not reaching their feel the full impact of what was one of the decision made in the post-war period of the jobs. Indeed, the efforts individuals made to world’s most powerful earthquakes. But it 1950s that Japan would not invest in expand- walk to reach their jobs symbolize for many also importantly stems from not just a strat- ing domestic food production and instead observers the spirit that has made Japan, a egy of geographic diversifi cation, but from would rely on imports of such basic needs country with few natural resources, one of the efforts of company management and as wheat, the nation’s milling industry is the strongest economies in the world. staffs to respond forcefully and effectively to primarily built adjoining or near large port While it is appropriate to focus on how a situation that threatened chaos. Instead of a grain-receiving elevators. Yes, large mills the massive earthquake affected the internal breakdown in what is one of Japan’s most es- are also located at interior locations near ma- Japanese fl our milling and grain industries, sential and, yes, vulnerable food industries, jor population centers in the Tokyo Bay area, sight should not be lost of this country’s operations a month or so later have returned but the reliance on ports obviously raised position as the world’s largest importer of to the pace characterizing that nation’s high- some early concern about this situation. For- grains. It accounts for 10% of global trade ly vaunted effi ciency. tunately, the northeast coast hit the hardest in wheat and feed grains, at 24 million Of course, the immediate aftermath of the is relatively unimportant in wheat receiving. tonnes. That contrasts with second-ranking devastating earthquake and the awesome Yet, again, construction meant to withstand Egypt at 15 million. Japan’s speedy recov- tsunami sweeping across the northeastern earth tremors meant the grain elevators stood ery from this horrible natural disaster not coastal area was devoted to assuring that on strong foundations. just symbolizes the power of the country’s staffs were safe and uninjured. Even those The principal problems faced by the people and industry, but also the strength of companies that operated plants, such as sales grain and fl our milling industry center on the its economy. This combines to promise a and distribution centers, a few port elevators electricity supply and distribution by truck, quick return of normalcy to buying of grain and a single fl our mill, nearly in the path of as well as the initial overwhelming product on the world market. the disaster lost no employees and sustained demand due to a spurt of consumer buying. minor injuries. Even plants some distance Because of the breakdown of the Fukushima Morton I. Sosland from the epicenter experienced brief shut- Daiichi nuclear plant along with earthquake Editor-in-chief PUBLISHING STAFF WORLD GRAIN (ISSN 0745-8991) Volume 29, issue 4, is published monthly by Sosland Publishing Co., Vice-Chairman L. Joshua Sosland 4800 Main Street, Suite 100, Kansas City, MO 64112 U.S. Chairman Charles Sosland President and Publishing Director Mark Sabo Periodicals postage paid at Kansas City, MO 64108 U.S. and Publisher/Managing Director Mark Cornwell Vice-President and additional mailing offi ces. Canada Post International Publications Director of Advertising Sales Dan Flavin Chief Financial Offi cer Melanie Hepperly Mail (Canada Distribution) Sales Agreement Number 40612608. Send returns (Canada) to Bleuchip International, P.O. Box 25542, Audience Development Director Don Keating London, ON, N6C 6B2. Printed in the USA. 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Requests for reprints of articles should be sent to [email protected] or call 1-816-756-1000. 6 April 2011 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com “The quality of the machinery we manufacture is only as good as the buckets in them – which is why we choose Tapco.” Gustaaf Zeeman, Managing Director EUROPEANMACHINETRADING ’t Zand, Noord-Holland, The Netherlands Janco Zeeman Technical Director How Tapco Buckets Help Maintain a Family Tradition of Quality For more than 90 years, European Machine Trading has maintained “The polyethylene Tapco Super EuroBuckets are strong, which is their reputation as a high quality,family-owned business. In 1988, important to fertilizer plant managers. They are tough enough to handle the former feed mill decided to manufacture elevators, transport heavy loads, yet flexible, so they absorb impact from elevator legs, conveyors, bagging machines bypass obstructions and return to their original shape. And, they and other equipment for feed don’t rust!” mills, fertilizer plants and dealers. With 900,000 buckets in 93 sizes, stocked throughout However, one thing stayed the ® the world, Tapco can help take a load off of your mind – same...quality. and elevators, too. Call us at +1-314-739-9191 or STYLE SUPER EUROBUCKET™ HEAVY DUTYPolyethyleneElevator Bucket “Our company has been built visit www.tapcoinc.com to find out why Polyurethane • Nylon on quality,” Gustaaf Zeemanof 75% design engineers, contractors and FANGEDHEAD European Machine Trading says. “And quality is what we want in bucket elevator manufacturers in the Elevator Bolt our products. When you make a machine, the components you U.S.A. specify Tapco* with no equal. select must be the same quality, which is why we chose Tapco buckets.” FLATCOUNTERSUNK HEAD(NO.1NORWAY) Elevator Bolt ELEVATOR BUCKETS - ELEVATOR BOLTS St. Louis, Missouri U.S.A. Tel.: +1 314 739 9191 • +1 800 288 2726 • Fax: +1 314 739 5880 • www.tapcoinc.com The color blue, when used in connection with elevator buckets, is a U.S. registered *Grain Journal,CountryJournal Publishing Co., Inc., Decatur, Illinois, U.S.A. trademark owned by Tapco Inc. ©2011 Tapco Inc.® All rights reserved. For more information, see Page 118. CALENDAR OF EVENTS MAY May 23-27 June 7 IGP Grain Elevator International Grains May 2-6 Management Short Course Council Grains Conference 115th IAOM Annual Conference & Expo Location: International Grains Program Location: Queen Elizabeth II Conference Center, Location: San Antonio, Texas, U.S. Conference Center, Manhattan, Kansas, U.S. London, England Contact: Ann Knowles Contact: Shannon Henson, director of meetings Tel: 1.785.532.4070 Fax: 1.785.532.6080 Tel: 44 (0) 20 7513 1122 and exhibits, IAOM Tel: 1.913.338 3377 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: www.ksu.edu/igp E-mail: [email protected] Fax: 1.913.338.3553 Internet: www.igc.int E-mail: [email protected] or May 25–27 [email protected] Internet: www.iaom.info GAFTA Short Course: June 13-16 Trade Foundation Course IGP Mill Processes 2, Advanced Short Course May 3-5 Location: Geneva, Switzerland Contact: GAFTA Location: International Grains Program Conference Victam International/GRAPAS Tel: 44 207 814 9666 Fax: 44 207 814 8383 Center, Manhattan, Kansas, U.S. International/FIAAP International E-mail: [email protected] Tel: 1.785.532.4070 Fax: 1.785.532.6080 Location: Koeln Messe, Cologne, Germany Internet: www.gafta.com/training E-mail: [email protected] Internet: www.ksu.edu/igp Tel: 31 33 246 4404 Fax: 31 33 246 4706 E-mail: [email protected] JUNE June 21-23 Internet: www.victam.com, NCI Short Course: Basics of www.fi aap.com, www.grapas.eu June 6-10 Wheat and Flour Quality IGP Mill Processes 1, Basic Short Course Location: North Dakota State University, May 9-13 Location: International Grains Program Conference Fargo, North Dakota, U.S. NCI Short Course: Alternative Center, Manhattan, Kansas, U.S. Contact: Northern Crops Institute Ingredients in Finfi sh Aquaculture Tel: 1.785.532.4070 Fax: 1.785.532.6080 Tel: 1.701.231.7736 Location: North Dakota State University, Fargo, E-mail: [email protected] Internet: www.ksu.edu/igp Fax: 1.701.231.7235 North Dakota, U.S. Contact: Northern Crops E-mail: [email protected] Institute Tel: 1.701.231.7736 June 6-10 Internet: www.northern-crops.com Fax: 1.701.231.7235 E-mail: [email protected] NCI Short Course: DDGS and Soy — Internet: www.northern-crops.com Nutrition, Use and Feed Manufacturing June 22-23 Location: North Dakota State University, Fargo, GAFTA Short Course: May 10-12 North Dakota, U.S. Contact: Northern Crops GAFTA Arbitration Rules GAFTA Short Course: Shipping the Goods Institute Tel: 1.701.231.7736 Location: London, England Contact: GAFTA Location: Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Fax: 1.701.231.7235 E-mail: [email protected] Tel: 44 207 814 9666 Fax: 44 207 814 8383 Contact: GAFTA Tel: 44 207 814 9666 Internet: www.northern-crops.com E-mail: [email protected] Fax: 44 207 814 8383 Internet: www.gafta.com/training E-mail: [email protected] June 6-July 8 Internet: www.gafta.com/training GEAPS/KSU Distance Education Courses: For a 12-month listing of 2011 industry Aeration System Design and Fan Operational May 11-12 Management and Grain Drying events, see the 2011 International Buyers’ Guide 15th Distillers Grains Symposium Contact: Chuck House at GEAPS or Brandi Miller or visit www.World-Grain.com. Send your event Location: Westin Crown Center, at Kansas State University details to: [email protected] or fax Kansas City, Missouri, U.S. E-mail: [email protected] or [email protected] 1.816.756.0494 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: www.geaps.com Tel: 1.800.759.3448 Internet: www.distillersgrains.org We want to hear from you — Send comments and inquiries to [email protected]. For reprints of WG articles, e-mail [email protected]. May 16-20 NCI Short Course: Advanced Grain Procurement Strategies IGC Grains Conference Location: North Dakota State University, Fargo, North Dakota, U.S. Contact: Northern Crops Institute Tel: 1.701.231.7736 The 2011 International Grains Council’s (IGC) Grain Conference will take place June 7 at Fax: 1.701.231.7235 E-mail: [email protected] the Queen Elizabeth II Conference Centre in London, England. The 2011 IGC Conference Internet: www.northern-crops.com will provide a wide-ranging examination of current and future developments in the grain and oilseed sectors. Leaders from industry and government will share their insights into the May 17-19 VIV Russia 2011 latest market and policy challenges at a time when supply and demand appear to be more Location: Moscow, Russia Contact: Renate fi nely balanced and there is increased concern about market instability and food insecurity Wiendels, sales & account manager among the world’s most vulnerable populations. For assistance with registration and confer- Tel: 31 (0) 30 295 2788 Fax: 31 (0) 30 295 2809 ence program, call Ann Knowles at +44 (0) 20 7513 1122 or send an e-mail: [email protected]. E-mail: [email protected] Internet: www.vivrussia.nl 8 April 2011 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com (cid:49)(cid:61)(cid:60)(cid:60)(cid:51)(cid:49)(cid:66)(cid:55)(cid:60)(cid:53)(cid:14) (cid:71)(cid:61)(cid:67)(cid:64)(cid:14) (cid:65)(cid:67)(cid:62)(cid:62)(cid:58)(cid:71)(cid:14)(cid:66)(cid:61)(cid:14) (cid:53)(cid:58)(cid:61)(cid:48)(cid:47)(cid:58)(cid:14) (cid:50)(cid:51)(cid:59)(cid:47)(cid:60)(cid:50) Agricultural Commodities 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production to increase in 2011 ROME, ITALY — The United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Orga- in production is forecast from last year due to reduced plantings in nization’s (FAO) March 2011 edition of the Crop Prospects and Food response to a high level of stocks and low prices for maize at plant- Situation report forecast world wheat production in 2011 at 676 mil- ing time. lion tonnes, which represents an increase of 3.4% from 2010. This In Eastern Africa, despite bumper harvests in 2010 and generally level would still be below the bumper harvests in 2008 and 2009. low prices, food insecurity has increased in the drought-stricken pas- The March 23 report specifi ed that wheat plantings in many coun- toral areas. In Western Africa, post-election violence in Cote d’Ivoire tries have increased or are expected to increase this year in response continues to damage general economic conditions in the sub-region to strong prices, while yield recoveries are forecast in areas that were and, in particular, trade. affected by drought in 2010. The Russian Federation is expecting a The report indicated that in Asia, good 2011 wheat harvests are yield recovery. forecast in India and Pakistan and in China, the drought situation in As the bulk of the world’s coarse grains and paddy crops are yet to the North Plain has been eased by recent precipitation, but the out- be planted, it is, however, too early to forecast total cereal production look for the wheat crop still remains uncertain. for this year. In the CIS sub-region, where Kazakhstan is the major producer, Prospects for the 2011 May-June harvests of winter wheat and the bulk of the crop is yet to be sown, but in view of current strong coarse grains in North Africa are generally favorable, except in Tu- prices, plantings are expected to be in line with the relatively high nisia where dry conditions in January dampened hopes for a robust level of the past two years. Assuming a recovery in yields after last wheat production recovery. The current situation in North Africa has year’s drought-reduced level, a signifi cant increase in production resulted in the displacement of large numbers of people and disrup- could be achieved. tion to the fl ow of goods and services in this heavily cereal-import In South America, however, where the season is well advanced, dependent region. prospects for the 2011 maize crop are unfavorable in Argentina In Southern Africa, the outlook for the main 2011 maize crop is fa- and Uruguay due to persistent dry weather linked to the La Niña vorable, and relatively low prices have helped stabilize food security. weather event. In Brazil, by contrast, the outlook is positive after A record crop of maize is forecast in Malawi and Zambia. However, good rainfall since planting improved soil moisture conditions for in South Africa, the largest producer in the sub-region, a sharp drop developing crops. Libyan crisis threatens food security ROME, ITALY — The impact of the current crisis in Libya on near Benghazi and near Tripoli. food security is a cause for serious concern both in Libya and In neighboring Egypt, the sharp rise in international wheat surrounding countries due to the region’s dependency on cereal prices will add substantially to the cost of wheat imports in 2010- imports, possible disruptions to the fl ow of goods and services 11 and to the government’s bread subsidy program which helps and population displacements, the United Nation’s (UN) Food cushion the consumer from the effects of rising prices. and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said on March 11. The FAO said that up-to-date information and baseline data on “The ongoing crisis will likely have a signifi cant impact on food food security from Libya remains patchy and unconfi rmed and a security in Libya and in nearby crisis-affected areas. In Libya, the close monitoring of the overall food security situation and trade situation may lead to a sudden disruption of imports and the col- conditions is required. lapse of the internal distribution system. Depletion of food stocks The FAO said food stocks and rising food costs need to be and loss of rural manpower are all factors that in the longer-term closely monitored. Given the heavy reliance on imports, fur- could seriously affect food security,” said Daniele Donati, chief ther price hikes in the international market would have a devas- of FAO’s Emergency Operations Service. tating impact on the ability of vulnerable people to cover their In Libya, domestic arable production is concentrated primarily basic needs. U.K. to consume less wheat than estimated LONDON, ENGLAND — Wheat consumption in the U.K. will be in January. Usage in human and industrial products dropped 3.7%, lower than previous estimates, with usage declines in industrial and and 1.5% in animal feed. feeding purposes, according to a report March 23 from the U.K.’s Wheat supply is expected to remain at 17.8 million tonnes. Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA). A drop in ethanol production has lowered usage levels, and survey Wheat consumption is estimated at 14.1 million tonnes in the data from fl our millers and brewers also was showing lower usage 2011 marketing year that began July 1, a 2.6% drop from estimates levels than expected, DERFA said. 10 April 2011 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com
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