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Three Essays on Market Risk Disclosures PDF

219 Pages·2015·2.52 MB·English
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School of Accounting Three Essays on Market Risk Disclosures: Corporate Governance, Investment Efficiency and Implied Cost of Equity Capital: Evidence from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC) Ahmed Khamis Hamdan Al-Hadi This thesis is presented for the of the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy of Curtin University July 2015 ii DECLARATION To the best of my knowledge and belief this thesis contains no material previously published by any other person except where due acknowledgement has been made. This thesis contains no material which has been accepted for the award of any other degree or diploma in any university. NAME: AHMED bin KHAMIS bin HAMDAN AL-HADI Signature: ……………………………………………………………………………… Date: iii ABSTRACT Market risk exposures have grown considerably in financial firms during the last few years in the Gulf Corporation Council (GCC). With an increase in the growth and size of this market, it has become increasingly important to understand economic consequences behind these exposures. Extant literature lacks adequate research in this area and studies globally and in emerging types markets such as the GCC countries are scarce. This thesis is a rigorous empirical investigation of the interaction of three aspects of market risk disclosures determinants and consequences of GCC listed financial firms: corporate governance, investment efficiency and the implied cost of capital. Using a unique hand-collected dataset from 2007 to 2011, I developed mandatory and discretionary market risk disclosures indices based on the form (qualitative and quantitative) and number of market risk exposures (e.g. interest rate risk, foreign currency risk and equity risk) disclosed in annual reports by GCC financial firms. Then, based on this index, I generate discretion (disaggregation) in mandatory market risk disclosures (extent and quality) variable proxies. First, incorporating elements of agency theory, legitimacy theory, stakeholder theory, and resource-based dependency, I investigate the impact of a separate risk committee on the extent and quality of market risk disclosures. In particular, I test whether the extent and quality of market risk disclosures correspond to the existence of a separate risk committee, the risk committee characteristics and tests whether the role of a risk committee in affecting market risk disclosures varies with different stages in the firm life cycle. I find that firms with a separate risk committee are associated with greater extent and higher quality market risk disclosures. Furthermore, I find that risk committee qualifications and size have a significant positive impact on the market risk disclosures. Additional analysis shows that a risk committee plays a more crucial role in improving the market risk disclosures of mature firms than that of young firms. Second, I investigate the association between discretion in mandatory market risk disclosures and investment efficiency. I find both under- and over-investment are significantly negatively associated with discretion in mandatory market risk disclosures. Further, firms that follow both voluntary disclosure and discretion in mandatory risk disclosure enjoy better investment efficiency. Results are consistent with the theory that discretion in disclosures provides managers with alternative channels to provide more firm specific information, which reduces both adverse selection and moral hazard problems and thus improves investment efficiency. Third, I investigate the association between disaggregation in mandatory risk disclosures, auditor conservatism and the implied cost of equity capital. Disaggregation of disclosures specifically for market risk exposures of financial firms are informative and reveal more private risk information components. I find that the implied cost of equity capital is significantly negatively associated with discretionary disaggregation in mandatory market risk disclosures. Furthermore, the interaction between auditor conservatism and firms' disaggregation provides greater reduction to the implied cost of equity capital. These findings are robust when subjected to a series of sensitivity tests. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am immensely very grateful to the almighty Allah, who Has given me the mental strength and ability to complete this dissertation. And to my Prophet Mohammed (PBUH) who encourages us to seek for education. I am indebted to my PhD supervisor Associate Professor Dr Grantley Taylor and Co- supervisor Professor John Evans for their enthusiasm, guidance and feedback in enabling me to complete this thesis in a timely manner. In particular Grantley showed his willingness, time, enthusiasm, meaningful suggestions and sincere academic guidance which take me on as a doctoral student. I am indebted greatly to my mother and father who grow me and made me a man who can live away from the homeland. I am also grateful to my faithful wife and my two children (Sultan and Rosan) for taking the painful experience of staying away from me for such a long time. I am also thankful to all of my brothers and sisters and all other family members for their supports. Without them the completion of this dissertation would have taken much longer time. I would like to thank Professor Mahmud Hossain for their support and suggestions; particularly he first made initial enquiries into the doctorate program and Dr. Ahsan Habib and Mostafa Monzur Hasan for their helpful comments and supports. In addition, I thank all CBS coordinators and staffs and Curtin School of Accounting staffs who extended their helping hands and guidance in times of need and support. Further, I would like to thank my my government (Sultanate of Oman), employer (Ministry of Higher Education) and Oman General Consulate for their support and sponsorship for my doctorate especially Dr. Hamed Al Alwai- Oman Culture Attaché. Also I would like to thank The Research Council (TRC) for their sponsorship and support. I would like thank the Minister Dr. Rawya bin Saud Al – Busaidi and Dr. Abdulla bin Mohammed Al Sarami- Undersecretary of Ministry of Higher Education for their continues support. I offer my truthful thanks to my brothers; Faisal Al Siyabi, Mohammed Al Mawali, Abdull Hakim Al Hinahi, Ahmed Al Monthri, Baban Ibrahim, OSSWA, Mohammed Al Zakwani, Aysha Al Hajari, Dr. Salem Al N’abi, Dr. Abdulla Al Tobi, Yousif Al Kusaimi, Khamis Al Fazari, Fahad Al Amari, Abdual Al Fatah Al Shikaili, Bader Al Wihabi and Anwar Al Alawi for their help, company and joy, humour and laughter they brought during tough times and the PhD journey. Finally I dedicate this work to my father’s soul (Allah blessed him), my great mother and my patient wife and to my kids. v CONTENTS CHAPTER 1 .............................................................................................................................................. 1 THREE ESSAYS ON MARKET RISK DISCLOSURES: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE, INVESTMENT EFFICIENCY AND IMPLIED COST OF EQUITY CAPITAL ................................. 1 1. INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 1 2. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY ................................................................................................ 6 3. SUMMARY OF RESULTS AND SIGNIFICANCE CONTRIBUTIONS ................................ 7 3.1 Objective 1: Market risk disclosures, corporate’s life cycle and board risk committee ........... 7 3.2 Objective 2: Discretion in market risk disclosures and investment efficiency ......................... 9 3.3 Objective 3: Disaggregation in Market Risk Disclosures, Auditor Conservative and the Implied Cost of Capital ................................................................................................................. 11 4. ASSUMPTION AND LIMITATIONS ..................................................................................... 14 5. OVERVIEW OF THE THESIS ................................................................................................ 17 CHAPTER 2 ......................................................................................................................................... 19 THE GCC ENVIRONMENT, MARKET RISK: CONCEPTUAL AND INSTITUTIONAL BACKGROUND AND LITERATURE REVIEW ............................................................................... 19 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 19 2. GCC: POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT AND CAPITAL MARKETS ...... 19 2.1 Sultanate of Oman ................................................................................................................... 22 2.2 Qatar ........................................................................................................................................ 22 2.3 Kingdom of Bahrain................................................................................................................ 23 2.4 Kuwait ..................................................................................................................................... 23 2.5 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (K.S.A) .......................................................................................... 24 2.6 United Arab Emirates (U.A.E): ............................................................................................... 24 3. MARKET RISK: CONCEPTUAL AND INSTITUTIONAL BACKGROUND ..................... 25 3.1 Qualitative and Quantitative Market Risk Disclosures: .......................................................... 30 3.2 Qualitative Market risk Disclosures based on IFRS7: ............................................................ 30 3.3 Quantitative Market risk Disclosures: formats: ...................................................................... 31 4. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK ............................................................................................ 34 4.1 Information asymmetry ........................................................................................................... 35 4.2 Agency Theory ........................................................................................................................ 36 4.3 Interaction of Mandatory and Voluntary disclosures: ............................................................. 38 5. LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................................... 41 5.1 Consequences of Market Risk disclosures studies .................................................................. 41 5.2 Determinants of Market risk disclosures studies .................................................................... 58 6. SUMMARY OF CHAPTER 2 ...................................................................................................... 67 vi 7. CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................. 68 CHAPTER 3 ......................................................................................................................................... 69 DATA SOURCES AND SAMPLE DESIGN ...................................................................................... 69 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 69 2. DATA SOURCE ....................................................................................................................... 70 3. SAMPLE SELECTION ............................................................................................................ 71 4. CHAPTER SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... 74 CHAPTER 4 ......................................................................................................................................... 75 MARKET RISK DISCLOSURES, CORPORATE’S LIFE CYCLE AND BOARD RISK COMMITTEE ....................................................................................................................................... 75 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 75 2. LITERATURE REVIEW AND HYPOTHESES DEVELOPMENT ........................................... 78 2.1 Risk Committee (RC).............................................................................................................. 78 2.2 Market Risk Disclosures ......................................................................................................... 79 2.3 Connection between the Risk Committee (RC) and Market Risk Disclosures ....................... 79 2.4 Risk Committee (RC) Characteristics and Market Risk Disclosures ...................................... 81 2.5 Connection of Risk Committee (RC) and Firm Life Cycle with Market Risk Disclosures (EMRD and QMRD) ..................................................................................................................... 84 3. RESEARCH DESIGN AND MEASUREMENT ......................................................................... 87 3.1 Dependent Variable................................................................................................................. 87 3.2 Independent Variable .............................................................................................................. 89 3.3 Control Variables .................................................................................................................... 91 3.4 Empirical Model ..................................................................................................................... 92 4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ............................................................................. 93 4.1 Descriptive Statistics ............................................................................................................... 93 4.2 Factor Analysis ....................................................................................................................... 93 4.3 Univariate t-Test ..................................................................................................................... 94 4.4 Correlation Analysis ............................................................................................................... 95 Regression Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 95 4.5 Association between Risk Committee (RC_D) and Extent and Quality of Market Risk Disclosure (EMRD and QMRD) ................................................................................................... 95 4.6 Association between Risk Committee (RC) Characteristics and Extent and Quality of Market Risk Disclosure (EMRD and QMRD) .......................................................................................... 99 4.7 Additional Analysis: Risk Committee, Firm Life Cycle, and Market Risk Disclosures (EMRD and QMRD) ................................................................................................................... 101 4.8 Endogeneity Test: Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) ............................................................. 106 5. CHAPTER SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 109 vii CHAPTER 5 ....................................................................................................................................... 112 DISCRETION IN MANDATORY RISK DISCLOSURES AND INVESTMENT EFFICIENCY ... 112 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 112 2. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT .......................... 114 2.1 Discretion in Mandatory in Market Risk Disclosure: Theory ............................................... 114 2.2 Investment Efficiency: Theory .............................................................................................. 115 2.3 Hypothesis Development ...................................................................................................... 116 3. RESEARCH DESIGN AND MEASUREMENT of VARIABLES ........................................... 118 3.1 Dependent Variable: Proxy for Investment Efficiency ......................................................... 118 3.2 Independent Variable ............................................................................................................ 119 Market Risk Disclosures: DMRD1 ............................................................................................. 120 Market Risk Disclosures: DMRD2 ............................................................................................. 121 3.3 Control Variables .................................................................................................................. 121 3.4 Empirical Models .................................................................................................................. 122 3.5 Mandatory Market Risk Disclosure, Voluntary Earning Disclosure and Investment Efficiency .................................................................................................................................................... 123 4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ....................................................................... 124 4.1 Descriptive Statistics ............................................................................................................. 124 4.2 Correlation Analysis ............................................................................................................. 125 4.3 Regression Analysis .............................................................................................................. 126 4.3.1 Association between Mandatory Risk Disclosures (DMRD) and Investment Efficiency . 126 4.3.2 Existence of Voluntary Disclosure (VD), Mandatory Market Risk Disclosures (DMRD), and Investment Efficiency .......................................................................................................... 128 4.3.3 Sensitivity Analysis............................................................................................................ 130 4.3.4 Potential Endogeneity between Mandatory Market Risk Disclosures and Investment Efficiency .................................................................................................................................... 133 4.3.4 Additional analysis ............................................................................................................. 135 5. CHAPTER SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 135 CHAPTER 6 ....................................................................................................................................... 138 DISAGGREGATION, AUDITOR CONSERVATISM and IMPLIED COST OF EQUITY CAPITAL ............................................................................................................................................................ 138 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 138 2. BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESES DEVELOPMENT .................................................. 143 3. RESEARCH DESIGN AND MEASURMENT ......................................................................... 147 3.1 Dependent Variable............................................................................................................... 147 3.2 Independent Variable ............................................................................................................ 150 Market Risk Disclosures: DMRD1 ............................................................................................. 150 viii Market Risk Disclosures: DMRD2 ............................................................................................. 151 3.3 Control Variables .................................................................................................................. 151 3.4 Empirical Models .................................................................................................................. 153 4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ........................................................................... 155 4.1 Descriptive Statistics ............................................................................................................. 155 4.2 Correlation Analysis ............................................................................................................. 156 4.2.1 Variables correlation .......................................................................................................... 156 4.2.2 To what Extent does Disaggregation in Mandatory Risk Disclosures have a Negative Effect on the ICOE? ............................................................................................................................... 157 4.0 Regression Analysis .............................................................................................................. 157 4.1 H : Association between Disaggregated Mandatory Risk Disclosures and Implied Cost of 1 Capital (ICOE) ............................................................................................................................ 157 4.2 H : Interaction between Disaggregation in Mandatory Market Risk Disclosures, Auditor 2 Conservatism and Implied Cost of Capital (ICOE) .................................................................... 160 4.3 Sensitivity Analysis............................................................................................................... 162 4.3.2 Potential serial dependence ................................................................................................ 164 4.3.5 Sample partition into sub-samples ..................................................................................... 166 4.3.6 Potential endogeneity between disaggregated mandatory market risk disclosures and implied cost of capital: using two-stage least square (2SLS)...................................................... 168 4.3.8 Additional analysis: Royal family members ...................................................................... 174 5. CHAPTER SUMMARY ............................................................................................................. 175 CHAPTER 7 ....................................................................................................................................... 178 CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................................... 178 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 178 2. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS .................................................................................................. 178 3. CONTRIBUTION ................................................................................................................... 180 4. FUTURE IMPLICATIONS .................................................................................................... 182 ix LIST OF TABLES 1. Table 2.1: Summary of GCC’s background section 25 2. Table 2.2: Corporate governance codes and provision for risk disclosures 29-30 3. Table 2.3: Summary of consequences market risk disclosures studies 51-57 4. Table 2.4: Summary of determinants market risk disclosures studies. 63-66 5. Table 3.1 Sample Distribution based on Country and Year 72 6. Table 3.2: Sample Distribution based on Industry 72 7. Table 3.3 Sample Selection “Objective 1” 72 8. Table 3.4 Sample Selection “Objective 2” 73 9. Table 3.5 Sample distribution based on country and year “Objective 3” 73 10. Table 4.1 Descriptive Statistics 93 11. Table 4.2: Factor Analysis for Risk Committee (RC) and Audit Committee (AC) 94 12. Table 4.3 Mean Comparison between firm with RC and without RC 95 13. Table 4.4: Pearson Correlation Matrix-Objective 1 97 14. Table 4.5: Association between RC_D and Market Risk Disclosures (EMRD and QMRD) 98 15. Table 4.6: Association between Risk Committee (RC) Characteristics and Market Risk Disclosures (EMRD and QMRD) 100 16. Table 4.7: Risk Committee (RC), Firm Life Cycle (RE/TA) and Market Risk Disclosures (EMRD and QMRD) 102 17. Table 4.8: RE/TA based on Sample Partition: Young, Maturity and Old 103 18. Table 4.9: Risk Committee (RC), Firm Life Cycle (RE/TE) and Market Risk Disclosures (EMRD and QMRD) 107 19. Table 4.10: Endogeneity Test- 110 20. Table 2: Descriptive Statistics- 125 21. Table 5.2: Pearson Correlation Matrix 127 22. Table 5.3: Association between Discretion in Mandatory Risk Disclosures (DMRD1) and Investment Efficiency 129 x 23. Table 5.4: Association between Interaction of Voluntary Disclosure, Discretion in Mandatory Market Risk Disclosures (DMRD1) and Investment Efficiency 130 24. Table 5.5: Sensitivity Analysis: Association between Discretion in Mandatory Market Risk Disclosures (DMRD2) and Investment Efficiency 132 25. Table 5.6: Sensitivity Analysis: Association between Interaction of Voluntary Disclosure and Discretion of Mandatory Risk Disclosure (DMRD2) and Investment Efficiency 27. Table 6.1: Descriptive Statistics 156 28. Table 6.2: Pearson Correlation Matrix 159 29. Table 6.3: Disaggregated Market Risk Disclosures and Implied Cost of Equity Capital 161 30. Table 6.4: Disaggregated Market Risk Disclosures (DMRD1), Audit Conservatism and Implied Cost of Equity Capital 163 31. Table 6.5 Additional tests: Disaggregated Market Risk Disclosures (DMRD2) and Implied Cost of Equity Capital 165 32. Table 6.6 Additional tests: Disaggregated Market Risk Disclosures (DMRD2), Audit Conservatism and Implied Cost of Equity Capital 167 32. Table 6.7 Sensitivity tests: Disaggregated Market Risk Disclosures, Audit Conservatism and Implied Cost of Equity Capital using firm’s specific measures 169 33. Table 6.8 Endogeneity tests 172 34. Table 6.9 Sensitivity tests: Disaggregated Market Risk Disclosures and Implied Cost of Equity Capital on portfolio based using (Fama and French 1996) Factors: 174 35. Table 6.10: Association between Disaggregation, Audit Conservatism, Non-Royal family, and ICOE 176 xi

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market risk disclosures varies with different stages in the firm life cycle. Al Amari, Abdual Al Fatah Al Shikaili, Bader Al Wihabi and Anwar Al Alawi.
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