Risk and Protective Factors for the Psychological Well-being of Children Orphaned by AIDS in Cape Town, South Africa Lucie Dale Cluver Green College, Trinity Term 2007 Thesis submitted for the degree of D.Phil in Evidence-Based Social Work in the Social Sciences Division at the University of Oxford 1 Abstract Background: Orphanhood is a major consequence of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. There is little evidence concerning psychological problems for AIDS-orphaned children. This thesis explores the relationship between orphanhood status and mental health. It also examines mediating influences of environmental risk and protective factors, and interactions between factors, on children(cid:146)s psychological problems. Methods: 1200 isiXhosa-speaking children were interviewed, using standardised questionnaires, in deprived urban settlements of Cape Town. A qualitative stage with 60 AIDS-orphaned children, 42 caregivers and 20 professionals explored participant perceptions of risk and protective factors. A quantitative stage compared 1025 AIDS-orphaned children to control groups of other-orphans and non-orphans. Data were analysed with t-tests, chi-sq, anovas, regression and log-linear analyses. The study took place in collaboration with Cape Town Child Welfare. Results: AIDS-orphaned children reported more depression (p<.001), peer relationship problems (p<.001), post-traumatic stress (p<.001), suicidal ideation (p<.05), delinquency (p<.001) and conduct problems (p<.001) than other-orphans and non-orphans. Anxiety showed no differences. Compared to Western norms, AIDS-orphaned children showed higher levels of internalising problems and delinquency, but lower levels of conduct problems. These differences remained when controlling for socio-demographic factors. A number of factors strongly mediated the relationship between AIDS-orphanhood and mental health. These include poverty-related factors (food, education and social security, p<.001). caregiving-related factors (caregiver illness, p<.001, excessive housework p<.001, being a streetchild, p<.001) and AIDS-related stigma (p<.001). Cumulative effects were also found. Food insecurity and AIDS-related stigma interacted to raise likelihood of disorder from 19% to 83%, and orphanhood status and bullying interacted to raise likelihood from 12% to 76%. Conclusions: This thesis shows clear evidence of heightened psychological problems amongst AIDS-orphaned children. It also indicates mediating factors and points to areas of possible intervention. The South African Ministry of Social Development plans to scale up the study to a national survey of AIDS-orphanhood. 2 Acknowledgements This study would not have been possible without one thousand, two hundred and seventy children, and their caregivers, in Cape Town. They gave their time and talked about difficult aspects of their lives, knowing that it was unlikely to help them directly, but may help other children like them. I would like to thank colleagues at the Department of Social Policy and Social Work. In particular, I have been lucky to have had Dr Frances Gardner as my supervisor since this study began. She has been unfailingly encouraging, and has brought to the study an intellectual thoughtfulness which I lack. Thanks to Dr Don Operario and Professor Alan Stein for their helpful comments as examiners for Transfer and Confirmation of Status. Don has also patiently dug me out of statistical quagmires(cid:133). I would like to thank the staff at Cape Town Child Welfare, and especially their dynamic CEO, Niresh Ramklass. Cape Town Child Welfare have been the ideal community-based collaborators, and have reminded me constantly of the reasons for undertaking this study. I must also thank them for giving me an office and a computer whenever I arrived in town without warning. I was lucky to have had an excellent team of interviewers: my thanks to Nomhle, Hilda, Nontobeko, Zethu, Julia, Mantombi and Katie for their energy, commitment and hard work in difficult and sometimes dangerous research conditions. I am grateful to the school principals, teachers and NGO staff who gave their time and effort to ensure that the research happened. Many thanks, also, to the National Department of Social Development for their engagement with the findings of this research. In particular, Minister Zola Skweyiya for conceptualising the scaling- up of this study to a national survey and Director-General Vusi Madonsela for his intellectual engagement and for arranging meetings with key officials. I would also like to Deputy Director- General Vuyelwa Nhlapo, Chief Director of HIV/AIDS Dr Connie Kganakga and Chief Director of Children, Youth and Families Dr Maria Mabetoa for their contribution and input in the proposed design of the future research. Many academics and leading NGOs generously gave their time and expertise. I would especially like to thank Professor Renfrew Christie; for sample sizes, for the French Ambassador(cid:146)s cocktail party, and for being consistently and infuriatingly right. He also read every word of my first draft, and gave valuable corrections, and corrections of corrections. I would like to thank Professor Mark Orkin for tolerantly teaching me log-linear and solving the cumulative effect puzzle in 60 hours of very hard work. Jonathan Polonsky taught me to do power calculations in apology for forgetting something 12 years ago. Dr Soraya Seedat, Dr Lauren Wild, Professor Brian Robertson, Jane Roberts and Dr Debbie Kaminer were incredibly helpful in designing questionnaires. Professor Melvyn Freeman and Patrice Engle helped with survey items. Thank you to Naomi, Joel and my parents for last-minute proof-reading. Dr Rene Brandt lent me staff, read a very long chapter, and gave me calm and reasoned advice when I was ready to quit and become a car mechanic. Further thanks are due to Professor Andrew Dawes, Professor Leslie Swartz, Professor Melvyn Freeman, Dr Harriet Deacon and Brendan Maughan-Brown for their advice and input. Professor Sally Grantham-McGregor, Tamsen Rochat, Dr Cathy Ward, Dr Julie Carter and Mark Tomlinson 3 gave valuable thoughts from their own similar studies. Chris Desmond gave helpful criticism of policy implications, and Kate Orkin clarified my conceptual confusion regarding services. Professor Lorraine Sherr gave wise advice on talking to children about bereavement. I am grateful for the generous funding of my D.Phil from the Economic and Social Research Council. I would also like to thank the Department of Social Policy and Social Work, for sending money when I was beset by shack fires, taxi wars and power cuts. With thanks also to South African Airways, for waiving the excess baggage charge for 90kg of completed questionnaires! Thank you to my mother, who called me every day I worked in the townships to check I was still alive. And to my father, who saved endless emailed drafts of chapters, and limited himself to occasionally asking whether I was ever planning to get a proper job. Many thanks to Andy, for always making me feel welcome in Cape Town. Finally, I would like to thank my friends, my flatmates and my family, for putting up with three years of orphans. I suspect there may be many more to come. Figure 1: (cid:145)Has anyone close to you died? Could you tell us who they were?(cid:146) Girl, aged 13, Macassar. 4 Publications and Presentations arising from this Thesis The work in this thesis has resulted in the following peer-reviewed articles and publications: Cluver, L, Gardner, F & Operario, D (2007) Psychological distress amongst AIDS-orphaned children in urban South Africa. Journal of Child Psychiatry and Psychology and Allied Disciplines 48(8) 755-763. Cluver, L, Gardner, F & Operario, D (in press) AIDS-related stigma: Effects on mental health of AIDS-orphaned children. Journal of Adolescent Health. Cluver, L & Gardner, F (2007) The Mental Health of Children orphaned by AIDS: A review of International and South African Research. Journal of Child and Adolescent Mental Health. 19 (1) 1-17 Cluver, L. & Gardner, F. (2007) Risk and protective factors for well-being of children orphaned by AIDS in Cape Town, South Africa: a qualitative study of children(cid:146)s views. AIDS Care 19(3) 318- 325. Cluver, L. & Gardner, F. (2006) Psychological well-being of children orphaned by AIDS in Cape Town, South Africa. Annals of General Psychiatry. 5, 8. BioMed Press. Dowdney, L (ed) Adok, N, Arias, J, Castelli, L, Coulter, C, Cluver, L et al (2006) Trauma, Resilience and Cultural Healing: How do we move forward? Coalition to stop the use of child soldiers. Goodman, R, Cluver, L, Tshandu, V & Vondani, P (2004) Xhosa version of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (Child and Parent report). Institute of Psychiatry, London. The following papers arising from this thesis are currently under review Cluver, L, Gardner, F and Operario, D (under review) Effects of poverty on the psychological health of AIDS-orphaned children. Cluver, L and Orkin, M (under review) Cumulative risk and AIDS-orphanhood: Interactions of stigma, bullying and poverty on child mental health in South Africa. The work in this thesis has been presented at the following international conferences: Cluver, L, Gardner, F and Operario, D. Psychological distress amongst children orphaned by AIDS: Effects of stigma and other community factors in South Africa. Paper presented at: AIDS Impact Conference, 2007; Marseilles, France. 5 Cluver, L, Gardner, F and Operario, D. Poverty and psychological health for AIDS-orphaned children: Potential benefits of state poverty alleviation programmes in South Africa. Paper presented at: 3rd South African AIDS Conference, 2007, Durban, South Africa. Awarded Discovery Clinical Excellence Prize for (cid:145)Best Oral Presentation(cid:146) (open category) Cluver, L & Gardner, F. Risk and protective factors in the mental health of children orphaned by AIDS in South Africa. Paper presented at: AIDS Impact Conference, 2005; Cape Town, South Africa. 6 Contents Chapter 1: Introduction and Outline Summary of findings(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 15 1.1 Preface(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 20 1.2 Definitions(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 20 1.3 HIV/AIDS and orphanhood prevalence in South Africa(cid:133)(cid:133).(cid:133)(cid:133).. 22 1.4 Research location(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 27 1.5 Theoretical framework(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 27 Environmental influences on child mental health(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 28 Cumulative effects of risk and protective factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 31 An ecological framework of risk and protective factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 32 Further theoretical sources: HIV/AIDS, bereavement & orphanhood 34 Summary(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 38 1.6 The policy debate: Orphans, vulnerable children and AIDS(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 38 1.7 Overview of research questions(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 40 1.8 Overview of methodology(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 41 Methodological requirements(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 41 1.9 Overview of chapter contents (cid:133)(cid:133)..(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 43 1.10 Conclusion(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 44 Chapter 2: Literature review 1: AIDS-orphaned children and mental health 2.1 Introduction(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 47 2.2 Definitions and parameters of the review(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 48 2.3 Reviewing and search strategy(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 49 2.4 Results: Review of studies(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 49 Controlled studies in Africa(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 50 Controlled studies in the US(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 54 Descriptive studies in Africa(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 55 Descriptive studies in the US(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 57 Non-quantitative literature(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 57 Distress prior to parental death (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 58 2.5 Discussion(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 59 2.6 Summary and conclusions(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 62 7 Chapter 3: Literature Review 2: Potential Risk and Protective Factors 3.1 Introduction(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 70 3.2 Search strategy(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 72 3.3 Overview of types of literature reviewed....(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 73 3.4 Results of the review(cid:133).(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 76 Individual/child factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 76 Demographic factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 76 Physical health(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 77 Caregiver/Family network factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 79 Bereavement factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 79 Parental characteristics(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 83 Economic factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 84 School attendance factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 85 Housework and Employment(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 87 Household factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 88 Placement of children(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 89 Caregiving factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 91 Abuse and domestic violence(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 94 Community-level factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 96 Community traumas(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 96 AIDS-related stigma(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 98 Positive activities and other community factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 98 Social support(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 100 3.4 Summary and conclusions(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 101 Chapter 4: Risk and Protective Factors: A qualitative study of children and caregivers(cid:146) perspectives 4.1 Introduction(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 110 4.2 Research questions and aims(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 112 4.3 Qualitative methodology(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) . 113 Sample group: children(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 113 Sample group: caregivers(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 114 Sample group: professionals(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 114 Procedures(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 115 Interviewers(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 118 Ethical considerations(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 118 Analysis strategy(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 119 4.4 Results from qualitative research(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 119 4.5 Discussion(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 126 Limitations of the study(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 126 4.6 Summary and conclusions(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 129 8 Chapter 5: Quantitative Stage: Methodology 5.1 Introduction(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 132 5.2 Research Questions, hypotheses and aims(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)... 132 5.3 Sampling and data collection: (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 134 Sample Group(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 134 Control groups and matching(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 143 Sampling strategies(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 147 Determining AIDS death(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 152 Research staff(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 155 5.4 Fieldwork challenges and research constraints(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 159 5.5 Research ethics(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 164 5.6 Ethical considerations(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 165 Giving back: to organisations, children(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 171 5.7 Instruments: (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 177 Questionnaire design and piloting, child-friendly presentation(cid:133)(cid:133).. 177 Choice of instruments: collaborations and added items(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 181 Risk and protective factors (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 181 Standardised mental health scales(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 190 5.8 Methodological limitations(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 199 5.9 Data entry and data cleaning (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 199 5.10 Analysis strategy (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 200 5.11 Dissemination of findings (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 214 5.12 Summary and conclusions (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 217 Chapter 6: Quantitative stage: Results 6.1 Introduction and structure (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 219 6.2 Question 1: Demographic data: overall results .(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 220 6.3 Question 2: Do AIDS-orphaned children have more 6.4 psychological problems?(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 224 6.5 Question 3: Poverty (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 235 6.6 Question 4: Caregiving(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 247 6.7 Question 5: Community factors and stigma.(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 264 6.8 Question 6: Interactions between factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 277 6.9 Summary and conclusion(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 387 Chapter 7: Policy Implications and Conclusions 7.1 Summary of findings(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 290 7.2 Limitations of the study(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 293 9 7.3 Theoretical implications(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 308 7.4 Policy implications of study findings(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 314 7.5 Recommendations for future research(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 314 7.6 Background and plan for national survey(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 316 7.7 Conclusions(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) . 322 List of tables Table 1: Selected HIV/AIDS estimates for South Africa(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 23 Table 2: Proportions of orphans in South Africa(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 25 Table 3: Predictions of orphan numbers in South Africa(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 26 Table 4: Estimates and predictions of orphan numbers in the Western Cape 26 Table 5: Psychological research with AIDS-orphaned children: a brief summary of controlled studies(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 65 Table 6: Studies of mental health amongst AIDS-orphaned children which measure risk and protective factors(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 103 Table 7: Differences between groups on demographic variables(cid:133)(cid:133).. 223 Table 8: Associations between demographic factors and mental health outcomes(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 227 Table 9: Multivariate associations between orphanhood by AIDS, orphanhood by other causes, and psychological outcomes, controlling for socio-demographic cofactors (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 232 Table 10: Differences between orphanhood groups on poverty variables 239 Table 11: Associations between poverty-related factors and mental health Outcomes (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 240 Table 12: Multivariate associations between orphanhood by AIDS, orphanhood by other causes, and psychological outcomes, controlling for sociodemographic cofactors and poverty-related variables (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 243 Table 13: Differences between groups on type of caregiving arrangement and caregiving-related variables (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133).. 254 Table 14: Associations between caregiving factors and mental health outcomes (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)... 255 Table 15: Multivariate associations between AIDS-orphanhood and psychological outcomes, adjusting for type of caregiving arrangement and controlling for sociodemographic co-factors(cid:133) 258 Table 16: Multivariate associations between orphanhood by AIDS, orphanhood by other causes, and psychological outcomes, controlling for age, gender, caregiver illness and minutes of child housework per day (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 259 Table 17: Differences between orphanhood groups and community risk factors (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133) 269 Table 18: Correlations between community factors and mental health outcomes (cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133)(cid:133). 272 Table 19. Multivariate associations between orphanhood by AIDS, orphanhood by other causes, and psychological outcomes, 10
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