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Theory of Social Choice on Networks: Preference, Aggregation, and Coordination PDF

226 Pages·2020·1.562 MB·English
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Theory of Social Choice on Networks Classicalsocialchoicetheoryreliesheavilyontheassumptionthatallindi- vidualshavefixedpreferenceorderings.Thishighlyoriginalbookpresents a new theory of social preferences that explicitly accounts for important social phenomena such as coordination, compromise, negotiation, and altruism. Drawing on network theory, it extends classical social choice theorybyconstructinga frameworkthat allows for dynamicpreferences that are modulated by the situation-dependent social influence that they exertoneachother.Inthiswaythebookshowshowmembersofasocial network may modulate their preferences to account for social context. This important expansion of social choice theory will be of interest to readersinawidevarietyofdisciplines,includingeconomistsandpolitical scientists concerned with choice theory as well computer scientists and engineersworkingonnetworktheory. wynn c. stirling isProfessorofElectricalandComputerEngineer- ing, as well as Dean of Graduate Studies at Brigham Young University. He is the author of Satisficing Games and Decision Making (Cambridge University Press, 2003) and Theory of Conditional Games (Cambridge University Press, 2012). He is also the co-author of Mathematical Meth- odsandAlgorithmsforSignalProcessing(2000)withToddMoon. Theory of Social Choice on Networks Preference, Aggregation, and Coordination wynn c. stirling BrighamYoungUniversity,Utah UniversityPrintingHouse,CambridgeCB28BS,UnitedKingdom CambridgeUniversityPressispartoftheUniversityofCambridge. ItfurtherstheUniversity’smissionbydisseminatingknowledgeinthepursuitof education,learning,andresearchatthehighestinternationallevelsofexcellence. www.cambridge.org Informationonthistitle:www.cambridge.org/9781107165168 ©CambridgeUniversityPress2016 Thispublicationisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexception andtotheprovisionsofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements, noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithoutthewritten permissionofCambridgeUniversityPress. Firstpublished2016 AcataloguerecordforthispublicationisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Names:Stirling,WynnC.,author. Title:Theoryofsocialchoiceonnetworks:preference,aggregation,and coordination/WynnC.Stirling. Description:Cambridge,UnitedKingdom:CambridgeUniversityPress,2016.| Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. Identifiers:LCCN2016012075|ISBN9781107165168(Hardback) Subjects:LCSH:Socialchoice–Mathematicalmodels.|Systemtheory–Social aspects–Mathematicalmodels.|Systemanalysis–Mathematicalmodels.| BISAC:BUSINESS&ECONOMICS/Economics/Microeconomics. Classification:LCCHB846.8.S752016|DDC003/.72–dc23 LCrecordavailableathttps://lccn.loc.gov/2016012075 ISBN978-1-107-16516-8Hardback CambridgeUniversityPresshasnoresponsibilityforthepersistenceoraccuracy ofURLsforexternalorthird-partyInternetWebsitesreferredtointhispublication anddoesnotguaranteethatanycontentonsuchWebsitesis,orwillremain, accurateorappropriate. Contents ListofFigures pagex ListofTables xii PrefaceandAcknowledgments xv Introduction xix 1 Preference 1 1.1 CategoricalPreferences 5 1.2 Reactivevis-à-visResponsiveModels 10 1.3 InfluenceNetworks 17 1.3.1 ConditionalPreferences 17 1.3.2 SocialModels 24 1.4 RelatedResearch 29 1.5 Summary 31 2 Aggregation 32 2.1 ClassicalAggregation 33 2.2 CoordinatedAggregation 37 2.3 SocialCoherence 39 2.3.1 DemocraticSocialChoice 40 2.3.2 AnOrderIsomorphism 44 2.3.3 OperationalDemocracy 45 2.4 Epistemologyvis-à-visPraxeology 51 2.5 CoherentAggregation 57 2.5.1 BayesianNetworks 58 2.5.2 TheAggregationTheorem 59 2.6 SolutionConcepts 62 2.7 Reframing 69 2.8 Summary 71 vii viii TableofContents 3 Deliberation 74 3.1 DynamicInfluenceModels 75 3.2 Closed-LoopCollaboration 82 3.3 Non-SimpleCycles 89 3.3.1 GraphswithSub-Cycles 89 3.3.2 EmbeddedCycles 91 3.4 Summary 95 4 Coordination 96 4.1 CoordinationConcepts 96 4.2 AMathematicalCharacterizationofCoordination 98 4.2.1 Entropy 102 4.2.2 MutualInformation 106 4.3 CoordinatabilityforNetworks 108 4.4 Summary 113 5 Randomization 115 5.1 SocialChoicewithStochasticAgents 116 5.2 SocialChoicewithRandomizedPreferences 122 5.2.1 ExpectedUtility 123 5.2.2 ExpectedUtilityonNetworks 124 5.3 Summary 131 6 Satisficing 133 6.1 SolutionConcepts 133 6.2 AChangeinPerspective 137 6.2.1 ErrorAvoidance 138 6.2.2 FailureAvoidance 142 6.3 TheNeo-SatisficingModel 145 6.3.1 Single-AgentSatisficing 145 6.3.2 MultipleSelves 148 6.3.3 SatisficingSocialChoice 151 6.4 SatisficingCoordinatability 156 6.5 Summary 157 AppendixA DutchBookTheorem 158 AppendixB BayesianNetworks 163 AppendixC ProbabilityConcepts 169 TableofContents ix AppendixD MarkovConvergenceTheorem 174 AppendixE EntropyandMutualInformation 178 Bibliography 186 ListofAuthors 196 Index 199 Figures 1.1 TheThreeStoogesNetworkwithOrdinalLinkages. page22 1.2 TheThreeStoogesTreeDiagram. 25 2.1 TheThree-StoogesNetworkwithUtilityLinkages. 63 2.2 AnAlternateFramingoftheThree-Stooges NetworkwithMoTakingtheLead. 70 2.3 AnAlternateFramingoftheThree-Stooges NetworkwithCurlyTakingtheLead. 71 3.1 TheThreeStoogesDinnerPartywithCyclicPreferences. 75 3.2 TheThreeStoogesdinnerpartyviewedasa dynamicnetwork. 76 3.3 ASimplek-Cycle. 77 3.4 AnEquivalentDynamicNetwork. 77 3.5 Ak-CycleExpressedinTermsofTransitionLinkages. 79 3.6 AConvergedk-Cycle. 82 3.7 InfluenceCyclesforMeetingSchedulingExample. 85 3.8 AFour-AgentDirectedCyclicGraphwithaSub-Cycle. 90 3.9 ADirectedGraphwithanEmbeddedRootCycle. 92 3.10 TheSteady-StateEquivalentGraph. 92 3.11 ANon-RootCyclicGraph. 93 3.12 TheEquivalentSteady-StateGraphwithParent. 94 3.13 AGraphwithanEmbedded4-Cycle. 94 3.14 ASteady-StateEmbedded4-CycleGraph. 95 4.1 ACommunicationsChannel. 100 4.2 TheConditionalProbabilityModelforaBinary TransmissionChannel. 100 4.3 ATwo-AgentNetwork. 102 4.4 TheConditionalUtilityModelforaTwoAgent, TwoAlternativeCoordinationScenario. 102 4.5 TheRangeoftheSubordinationFunction. 103 4.6 TheEntropyFunctionforN=2. 104 x

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