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Theory of Markets PDF

129 Pages·1989·7.224 MB·English
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THEORY OF MARKETS By the same author EQUILffiRIUM AND DISEQUILffiRIUM GENERAL EQUILffiRIUM RESOURCE ALLOCATION AND ECONOMIC POLICY (editor with M. E. Burstein) VALUE THEORY OF MARKETS Michael Allingham Professor of Economic Theory University ofK ent Palgrave Macmillan ISBN 978-1-349-10267-9 ISBN 978-1-349-10265-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-10265-5 © Michael AUingbam 1989 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1s t edition 1989 AU rigIUs ~ For information. write: Scbolarly and Reference Division. SI. Martin's Press,Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New YOIt, N.Y. 10010 First published in the United Stares of America in 1990 ISBN 978-0-312-04062-8 library of Congress Caraloging-in-PubHcation Data AUingham. Michael. Theory of markets / Michael AIIingham. p. CID. Inchldes bibliographical references. ISBN 978-0-312-04062-8 I. Marltct&-Mathematical models. 2. EquiHbrium (Economics) I. Tide. HFS470.A45 1989 332.()4.-(Jc20 89-29088 CIP Contents Preface vii 1 Introduction 1 2 Traders 4 Preferences 4 Utility 10 Demand 16 3 Economies 23 Excess Demands 23 Decomposability 25 Quasi-economies 33 4 Equilibrium 36 The Market Correspondence 36 An Aigebraic Approach 39 A Differential Approach 46 5 Smooth Economies 51 The Equilibrium Manifold 51 The Natural Projection 55 An Excess Demand Approach 58 Index Analysis 61 6 Close Economies 65 Revealed Preference 65 Uniqueness, Stability and Scarcity 68 Substitutes 76 v vi Contents 7 GoocIs aud Assets 82 Real Economies 82 Financial Economies 84 Mixed Economies 93 8 AUocations ')7 Efficient Allocations 97 Core Allocations 102 Approximation 104 Replication 108 Glossary 115 Bibliography 116 Index 119 Preface Adam Smith's famous invisible hand, through which the individual'by pursuing his own interest frequently prornotes that of society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it', operates through the market system. This book explores the workings of this system; how prices are formed, how they change and how they affect people. Tbe markets which affect people most directly are those for real goods and services, such as food, shelter and labour. Yet the markets which are most active are those for financial assets and instruments, such as stocks, bonds and currencies. Tbe currency markets in London alone are over twice as important, in terms of value, as the labour markets in the entire world. This book develops a unified theory of markets which integrates markets for real goods with those for financial assets. As the questions considered are quite deep the treatment is necessarily somewhat technicaL However, all the mathematics required is available in the standard treatments of mathematica1 methods in economics; an excellent summary may be found, for example, in the first chapter of Andreu Mas-Colell's The Theory 0/ General Economic Equilibrium. Although employing technical arguments the book is essentially about markets rather than technique. It thus differs from Mas-Colell's work, which is 'a book on technique, and technique is, undoubtedly, its raison d'etre'. In the same way it differs from a related book, Yves Balasko's Foundations 0/ the Theory 0/ General Equilibrium, which is 'devoted to a presentation of the theory that takes advantage of the differentiability assumptions'. Indeed, the technical requirements are kept as simple as possible; in particular, no use is made of topology on dimensionless spaces, or, beyond its most basic concepts, of measure theory. However, this does mean that certain topics are omitted; there is little discussion of spaces of preferences, or of economies with infinitely many traders. Tbis book developed from aseries of lectures which I gave at the School of Advanced Studies in Social Science in Marseilles, and developed further at the Institute of Advanced Studies in Vienna. I am grateful to colleagues in both institutions for many valuable discussions, and to the University of Kent at Canterbury for the period of leave in vii vüi Preface which the book was written. I am also grateful to members of the Man group in London, New York and Hong Kong for an invaluable insight into the workings of markets in practice. MICHAEL ALLINGHAM 1 Introduction In the course of a few hours on 'Black Monday' in October 1987, and in the absence of any significant iII news, the value of the entire productive wealth of society, as measured by its price on the stock market, fell by something of the order of a quarter. Tbis book explores the workings of the market system which produced such an apparently extreme change: how prices are formed, how they change and how they affect people. It does this by developing a theory of markets. Tbe basis of such a theory is an analysis of the behaviour of the people in the market, or traders (this is discussed in Chapter 2). Traders have preferences about the various commodities (food, stocks and so forth) in the market; they also have given bundles of commodities, or endowments, which they may trade. Given a system of prices, one for each commodity, they plan, on the basis of their preferences and endowments, how much of each commodity to buy and how much to seil. The economy, or market system, is specified by the characteristics that is, the preferences and endowments - of the various traders (Chapter 3). Given some price system the excess demand ror a commodity is the difference between total planned purchases and total planned sales. Provided that traders' preferences are reasonably orderly these excess demands will be continuous, in that a small change in prices will bring about only a small change in excess demands. Indeed, this is (effectively) the only property which excess demands must have: the relation between excess demands and prices may take any continuous form. The central concept of the theory is that of equilibrium - that is, a system of prices at which each trader's planned purchases and sales can actually be made, or equivalently at which the excess demand for each commodity is zero (Chapter 4). And the central result of the theory is that there a1ways is such an equilibrium. However, there may be infinitely many equilibria, and these may change substantially when the characteristics of the agents change only marginally. If, as is typically the case, the preferences of the various agents are 'smooth' (in a technical sense) then the theory becomes more specific (Chapter 5). Tbere may still be infinitely many equilibria, but this 1

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