Edited by RSaohmuel sAhro Kr.a Mathur Sarbjit Singh THEORIZING INTERNATIONAL TRADE An Indian Perspective Theorizing International Trade (cid:129) (cid:129) Somesh K. Mathur Rahul Arora Sarbjit Singh Editors Theorizing International Trade An Indian Perspective Editors SomeshK.Mathur RahulArora IndianInstituteofTechnologyKanpur ConsumerUnity&TrustSociety Kanpur,India (CUTS)International Jaipur,India SarbjitSingh ConsumerUnity&TrustSociety (CUTS)International Jaipur,India ISBN978-981-10-1758-2 ISBN978-981-10-1759-9 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-1759-9 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2017957537 ©TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s)2017 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsaresolelyandexclusivelylicensedbythePublisher, whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation, reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinany otherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation, computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. 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The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721,Singapore C ONTENTS 1 Introduction 1 SomeshK.Mathur,RahulArora,andSarbjitSingh PartI DevelopmentsinTradeTheory,GravityModeling andItsApplications 7 2 DevelopmentsinInternationalTradeTheoryandGravity Modelling 9 SomeshK.Mathur,RahulArora,SarbjitSingh,andAmritaRoy 3 RevisitingStrategicTradeTheory 37 IndraniRoyChowdhury 4 AModelofInternationalEntryandExitwithEndogenous SunkCostsinVerticalMarkets 69 ParthaGangopadhyayandRobertF.Owen v vi CONTENTS 5 TradeGrowthAccountinginGoodsandServices: AnEmpiricalExercise 101 SomeshK.Mathur,SarbjitSingh,GauravDoshi,andAbhishek Srivastava 6 CalculationofAdValoremEquivalentsofNon-Tariff Barriers:ACaseStudyof16RCEPCountries 115 SarbjitSinghandRahulArora 7 BilateralTradeCostsandGrowthofTradeinServices: AComparativeStudyofIndiaandChina 141 AmritaRoyandSomeshK.Mathur PartII SomeApplicationsofGeneralEquilibriumAnalysis 163 8 TheoreticalExpositionofSomeExAnteApproaches toAssesstheProposedTradePolicy 165 RahulArora,SarbjitSingh,andSomeshK.Mathur 9 AssessmentofImpactofFood-SafetyMeasuresonExports: AGravityandCGEAnalysisFocusingonIndia 201 PratimaPandeyandBadriNarayanan 10 GainsfromtheIndia–GCCFreeTradeAgreement: AGeneralEquilibriumAnalysis 221 NitinAroraandPouriaMohajeri 11 Lebanon’sAccessiontotheWTO:AnExAnte MacroeconomicImpactAssessment 243 GhadaTabbah CONTENTS vii 12 GoodsTradeLiberalizationUnderCanada-IndiaFTA andItsImpact:PartialandGeneralEquilibriumAnalysis 269 SomeshK.Mathur,RahulArora,andMayankTripathi PartIII OtherRelatedTopics 305 13 EstimatingtheImpactofTechnicalBarrierstoTrade: TheCaseofPerfumesandToiletWatersinEcuador 307 GonzaloE.SánchezandPatriciaA.Vargas 14 DoesTradeOpennessIncreaseWageElasticityofLabour DemandinIndianManufacturingIndustries? 325 SimontiniDas,AjitavaRaychaudhuri,andSaikatSinhaRoy 15 AnAnalysisofDynamicSpilloverinIndia’sForex DerivativesMarkets 351 WasimAhmad,ShirinRais,andRiteshKumarMishra 16 FutureAvenuesinTradePolicyResearch 385 SomeshK.Mathur,RahulArora,andSarbjitSingh References 389 Index 409 E C DITORS AND ONTRIBUTORS Notes on Editors Rahul Arora is a policy analyst at the Centre for International Trade, Economics & Environment (CITEE), CUTS International, Jaipur, India. He received a Ph.D. in International Trade from the Department of Eco- nomic Sciences, IIT Kanpur, India. His research interests lie in analyzing internationaltrade,withaparticularfocusonCGEmodellingoffreetrade agreements, regional economic integration, trade facilitation and trade policy. He has worked with ARTNeT, UNESCAP, to study the trade facilitationmeasuresinRCEPcountries.Hehaspublishedvariousresearch papers and chapters in journals and books of national and international repute.Hecanbecommunicatedat:[email protected]. Somesh K. Mathur is Professor of Economics at the Department of EconomicSciences atIIT Kanpur, India. Hehas taughtatDepartment of Economics,JamiaMilliaIslamia(CentralUniversity),Indiapriortojoining theIITKanpurin2008.HehasworkedasafellowattheRIS,Ministryof ExternalAffairs,GovernmentofIndiafortwoyearsandP3Economicaffairs officerattheUNESCAPofficeinBangkok.Hismainareaofinterestisthe empirical analysis of international trade and applied econometrics. Prof. Mathur has written five books, including the present one from Palgrave Macmillan on theorizing international trade, on subjects varying from growthconvergence,Trade and ClimateChange, Applied Economics and Trade Issues. He has published in journals like Review of International ix x EDITORSANDCONTRIBUTORS Economics, World Economy, Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, Eco- nomic and Political Weekly, Journal of Quantitative Economics, Global EconomyJournal,PublicEnterpriseJournal,JournalofEconomicIntegra- tion, Journal of Centrum Cathedra, Journal of Industrial Statistics, Korea and the World Economy, Journal of World Intellectual Property Rights, ForeignTradeReview,TradeandDevelopmentReview,WorldEconomy, amongothers.Hecanbecontactedat:[email protected]. Sarbjit Singh is a policy analyst at the Centre for International Trade, Economics & Environment (CITEE), CUTS International, Jaipur, India. He obtained his Ph.D. in International Trade from the Department of EconomicSciences,IITKanpur,India.Hisbroaderareaofresearchliesin theQuantitativeAnalysisofInternationalTrade.Inparticular,heworkson GravityModelling,TradeFacilitation,RegionalEconomicIntegrationand Trade Policy. He has completed a project with ARTNeT, UNESCAP, on trade facilitation measures in RCEP countries. He has published various researchpapersandchaptersinjournalsandbooksofnationalandinterna- tionalrepute.Hecanbecontactedat:[email protected]. Notes on Contributors NitinArora isAssistantProfessorinEconomics,DepartmentofEconom- ics, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. His area of interest is applied econometricsandeconomicmodeling.HehassupervisedtwoPhDtheses, andsevenresearchscholarsareworkingwithhimonthesubsidiaryareaof monetary policy transmission mechanism and international trade. He has also supervised five MPhil theses in diverse areas of frontier modeling and published extensively in journals of national and international repute. He has also published one book entitled Capacity Utilization, Technical Effi- ciencyandTFPGrowth:TheoryandApplicationstoIndianSugarIndustry. WasimAhmad isAssistantProfessorattheDepartmentofHumanitiesand Social Sciences (Economics Discipline), Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur.Hisresearchareasaremacroeconomics,macroeconomics,interna- tional finance, commodity derivatives and energy economics. His detailed profileisavailableat:https://sites.google.com/site/wasimatiitk/home. EDITORSANDCONTRIBUTORS xi IndraniRoyChowdhury iscurrentlyanassociateprofessorattheCentre for the Study ofRegional Development(CSRD), School ofSocialScience (SSS),JawaharlalNehruUniversity(JNU).ShehasaMPhil(inEconomics) from Jadavpur University and PhD (in Economics) from the Centre for International Trade and Development (CITD), Jawaharlal Nehru Univer- sity (JNU). Her areas of interest are industrial organization, applied game theoryandenvironmentaleconomics.Herworkhasbeenpublishedinsome reputedinternationaljournalslikeInternationalGameTheoryReview,Bul- letin of Economic Research, International Journal of Industrial Organiza- tion,EconomicsBulletin,andKeioEconomicStudies. SimontiniDas isanassistantprofessorinEconomicsatRabindraBharati University,Kolkata.SheteachesAppliedEconometrics,DevelopmentEco- nomics,ResourceEconomicsandMathematicalEconomics.Shecompleted her master’s degree in Economics and PhD from Jadavpur University, Kolkata.Herareasofresearchinterestareeconometrics,empiricalinterna- tional trade and development economics. She has published in various internationaljournals. Gaurav Doshi is pursuing a Ph.D. in Applied Economics from the UniversityofWisconsin–Madison.Hecanbecontactedat:gdoshi2@wisc. edu. ParthaGangopadhyay iscurrently employed as an associateprofessorof Economics (equivalent to North American full professorship) at Western SydneyUniversity.Heisananalyticaleconomistwithexpertiseintheuseof economic, econometric, econophysics and game-theoretic tools to under- stand,explainandpredictthedynamicsofindividualandgroupbehaviour. He is the editor-in-chief of American Journal of Applied Sciences – a top-quartile journal currently ranked 27th in the SJR rankings of multidisciplinary journals like Nature and Science. He has worked for six different universities around the world, from a leading research-focused think tank in India to one of the largest universities of Australia, and also attwotop-tieruniversitiesinAustralia.During2001–2002,heheldachair professorshipineconomicsofsocialresearchinGermanyinauniversitythat pridesitselftohaveinstitutedthefirstchairineconomicsinhumanhistory. Since completing doctoral study in 1994, he has authored more than 90 refereed publications including six research books. He acted as a con- sultant for Asian Development Bank Institute and a senior expert for
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