The WTO, Developing Countries and the Doha Development Agenda Prospects and Challenges for Trade-Led Growth Edited by Basudeb Guha-Khasnobis Studies in Development Economics and Policy General Editor: Anthony Shorrocks UNU WORLD INSTITUTE FOR DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS RESEARCH (UNU- WIDER) was established by the United Nations University as its first research and training centre and started work in Helsinki, Finland, in 1985. The purpose of the Institute is to undertake applied research and policy analysis on structural changes affecting the developing and transitional economies, to provide a forum for the advocacy of policies leading to robust, equitable and environmentally sustainable growth, and to promote capacity strengthening and training in the field of economic and social policy-making. Its work is carried out by staff researchers and visiting scholars in Helsinki and through networks of collaborating scholars and institutions around the world. UNU World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER) Katajanokanlaituri 6B,FIN-00160 Helsinki,Finland Titles include: Ricardo Ffrench-Davis and Stephany Griffith-Jones (editors) FROM CAPITAL SURGES TO DROUGHT Seeking Stability for Emerging Economies Basudeb Guha-Khasnobis (editor) THE WTO, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND THE DOHA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA Prospects and Challenges for Trade-Led Growth Aiguo Lu and Manuel F. Montes (editors) POVERTY, INCOME DISTRIBUTION AND WELL-BEING IN ASIA DURING THE TRANSITION Robert J. McIntyre and Bruno Dallago (editors) SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES IN TRANSITIONAL ECONOMIES Vladimir Mikhalev (editor) INEQUALITY AND SOCIAL STRUCTURE DURING THE TRANSITION E. Wayne Nafziger and Raimo Väyrynen (editors) THE PREVENTION OF HUMANITARIAN EMERGENCIES Matthew Odedokun (editor) EXTERNAL FINANCE FOR PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT Appraisals and Issues Laixiang Sun (editor) OWNERSHIP AND GOVERNANCE OF ENTERPRISES Recent Innovative Developments Studies in Development Economics and Policy Series Standing Order ISBN 978-0-333-96424-8 (outside North America only) You can receive future titles in this series as they are published by placing a standing order. Please contact your bookseller or, in case of difficulty, write to us at the address below with your name and address, the title of the series and the ISBN quoted above. Customer Services Department, Macmillan Distribution Ltd, Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, England The WTO, Developing Countries and the Doha Development Agenda Prospects and Challenges for Trade-Led Growth Edited by Basudeb Guha-Khasnobis in association with the Palgrave Macmillan ©United Nations University 2004 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2004 978-1-4039-3483-3 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 4LP. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2004 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 Companies and representatives throughout the world PALGRAVE MACMILLAN is the global academic imprint of the Palgrave Macmillan division of St. Martin’s Press, LLC and of Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. Macmillan® is a registered trademark in the United States, United Kingdom and other countries. Palgrave is a registered trademark in the European Union and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-51741-1 ISBN 978-0-230-52326-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780230523265 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data The WTO, developing countries and the Doha development agenda : prospects and challenges for trade-led growth/edited by Basudeb Guha-Khasnobis. p. cm. — (Studies in development economics and policy) Includes bibliographical references and index. 1. World Trade Organization—Developing countries. 2. Free trade—Developing countries. 3. International trade—Developing countries. 4. Developing countries—Commercial policy. 5. Developing countries—Economic policy. I. Title: World Trade Organization, developing countries and the Doha development agenda. II. Guha-Khasnobis, Basudeb. III. Series. HF1385.W7833 2004 382′.92′091724—dc22 2003070729 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 Contents List of Tables vii List of Figures and Box xi Foreword xii Acknowledgements xiii List of Abbreviations xiv Notes on the Contributors xvii Part I Overview 1 The WTO, Trade and Development: An Introduction 3 Basudeb Guha-Khasnobis 2 Developing Countries and the WTO Doha Round: Market Access, Rules and Differential Treatment 10 Bernard Hoekman Part II Agriculture 3 Trade Liberalization, Agriculture and Poverty in Low-Income Countries 37 Kym Anderson 4 OECD Domestic Support and Developing Countries 63 Betina Dimaranan,Thomas Hertel and Roman Keeney 5 Impact of Trade Liberalization on Returns from Land: A Regional Study of Indian Agriculture 92 Nilabja Ghosh 6 The Value of Agricultural Tariff Rate Quotas to Developing Countries 130 Cathie Laroche Dupraz and Alan Matthews v vi Contents Part III Manufacturing 7 Industrial Tariffs, LDCs and the Doha Development Agenda 161 Marc Bacchetta and Bijit Bora 8 Developed-Country Trade Barriers and the LDCs: The Economic Results of Freeing Trade 190 Jon D. Haveman and Howard J. Shatz 9 The EU Everything But Arms Initiative and the LDCs 219 Lucian Cernat,Sam Laird,Luca Monge-Roffarello and Alessandro Turrini 10 Export Subsidies: Theory, Evidence and the WTO Agreement on Subsidies 261 Rajeev Ahuja Index 287 List of Tables 2.1 Illustration of possible national priorities in different types of countries 13 2.2 Average unweighted tariff rates, by region, 1978–99 14 2.3 Frequency of core NTBs in developing countries, 1989–98 14 2.4 Trade shares of products affected by agricultural subsidies, 1995–98 17 2.5 Anti-dumping initiations per US dollar of imports, 1995–99 20 3.1 Average tariff equivalents of import market- access barriers to goods trade, by source and destination region, 1995 39 3.2 Sectoral and regional contributions to economic welfare gains from completely removing trade barriers globally, post-Uruguay Round, 2005 41 3.3 Percentage difference in sectoral output when all merchandise trade distortions remaining post-Uruguay Round are removed, 2005 43 3.4 Changes in sectoral trade balances when all merchandise trade distortions remaining post-Uruguay Round are removed, 2005 44 4.1 Producer support estimates and components, 1987 and 2000 65 4.2 Regional and sectoral aggregation 66 4.3 Trade specialization indices: (X−M)/(X+M) 68 4.4 Share of developing-country trade with OECD, 1997 71 4.5 Experimental design 76 4.6 Implications of 50 per cent reduction in market price support for EU15 wheat, with re-instrumentation 78 4.7 Developing region welfare: EU15 wheat market price support reform 79 4.8 Change in average world prices due to comprehensive OECD domestic support reform 82 4.9 Developing region welfare changes: domestic support reform 83 vii viii List of Tables 4.10 World price effects of comprehensive 50 per cent market price support reductions for OECD agriculture, coupled with re-instrumentation 85 4.11 Developing region welfare changes: OECD re-instrumentation of agricultural support 86 5.1 Policy transition in rice market, 1991–2002 95 5.2 Estimates of net protection coefficients of rice in India, 1980–81 to 1992–98 96 5.3 Nutrient content, share in nutrient supply in country and policy scenario for fertilizers 100 5.4 Fertilizer import statistics, by ports, 1998–99 101 5.5 Rice (non-basmati) export statistics, by ports, 1998–99 102 5.6 Export of (non-basmati) rice from selected ports in India, 1991–2001 103 5.7 Calculation of fertilizer import price (all-India) and an estimate of protection 110 5.8 Calculation of farmgate export price and an estimate of protection of rice 113 5.9 Returns from paddy cultivation valued at prevailing and external prices 114 5A.1 Cost of cultivation of rice per hectare 123 5A.2 Fertilizer nutrient consumption and prices, by states 124 5A.3 Parameters underlying calculation of returns 125 5A.4 Estimated regression equation for fertilizer use, for yield adjustment 126 5A.5 Gains in returns at external prices from paddy cultivation estimated with alternative cost concepts 126 5A.6 Gains in returns at external prices from paddy cultivation: districts of Andhra Pradesh 127 6.1 Welfare gains for exporters due to the implementation of the TRQ 139 6.2 Relative importance of TRQ products and TRQ imports, by main commodity, average 1997–99 142 6.3 Usage of EU TRQs, by country grouping, average 1997–99 143 6.4 Preference margin on EU TRQ trade, average 1997–99 144 6.5 Rent created in EU TRQs, average 1997–99 146 6.6 Division of rents, by TRQ import arrangement 147 6.7 Value of rent estimated to accrue to developing countries on EU TRQ trade, average 1997–99 148 6.8 Average export prices, average 1997–99 150 List of Tables ix 7.1 Bound tariffs on industrial products: scope of bindings, simple averages, standard deviations and tariff peaks 165 7.2 Bound tariffs on industrial products: simple averages, by country and MTN category 168 7.3 Bound tariffs on industrial products: tariff peaks (share of tariff lines above 15%, by country and MTN category) 169 7.4 Bound tariffs on industrial products: scope of bindings, by country and MTN category 171 7.5 Distribution of binding coverage in Africa, Asia and Latin America 172 7.6 Applied tariffs on industrial products: simple averages, by country and MTN category 173 7.7 Applied tariffs on industrial products: tarrif peaks (share of tarrif lines above 15%, by country and MTN category) 174 7.8 Applied average tariffs on live, fresh, chilled or frozen crustaceans and prepared or preserved crustaceans 176 7.9 Tariffs on leather, leather clothing accessories and leather footwear 177 7.10 Tariff escalation on textile products: applied tariffs on textiles and clothing products 179 7.11 Duty-free imports into developed countries from developing countries and LDCs, 1996–2001 181 7.12 Pattern of MFN and preferential tariffs facing LDC exports of fish and fish products in selected markets 183 8.1 US and EU preference programmes 191 8.2 Eligible countries for US preferences programmes 196 8.3 Trade performance under the Caribbean programmes 201 8.4 Trade performance under the Andean Trade Preferences Act, 1991 and 2001 203 8.5 Trade performance under the African Growth and Opportunity Act, 2000 and 2001 204 8.6 Summary of tariff effects on Triad trade 208 8.7 Triad LDC imports and preferences programmes in force, 2000 209 8.8 Changes in Triad imports from LDCs as a result of eliminating all tariffs on LDC exports, 2000 212 9.1 European Union: major imports from LDCs, 2000 221 9.2 Selected LDC exports facing tariffs in the European Union, by major product category, 2000 223 9.3 EBA: the distribution of liberalized products, by sectors 224
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