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The use of policy appraisal in water policy making Comparing WFD implementation in England and France Blandine Gisèle Boeuf Submitted in accordance with the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University of Leeds School of Earth and Environment School of Geography May 2018 ii iii The candidate confirms that the work submitted is her own, except where work which has formed part of jointly authored publications has been included. The contribution of the candidate and the other authors to this work has been explicitly indicated below. The candidate confirms that appropriate credit has been given within the thesis where reference has been made to the work of others. Chapter 2 is a published paper: Boeuf B, Fritsch O (2016). Studying the Implementation of the Water Framework Directive in Europe: a Meta-Analysis of 89 Journal Articles. Ecology & Society 21(2), 19. The research was led by Blandine Boeuf and jointly conceived, designed and undertaken by Blandine Boeuf and Oliver Fritsch. Blandine Boeuf and Oliver Fritsch analysed the data and wrote the paper, with comments from Julia K. Steinberger. Chapter 3 is a published paper: Boeuf B, Fritsch O, Martin-Ortega J (2016). Undermining European Environmental Policy Goals? The EU Water Framework Directive and the Politics of Exemptions. Water 8, 1-15. The research was led by Blandine Boeuf. It was conceived and designed by Blandine Boeuf and Oliver Fritsch, with significant contributions from Julia Martin-Ortega. Blandine Boeuf undertook the empirical work and analysed the data. Oliver Fritsch provided conceptual and analytical feedback throughout the duration of the research. Blandine Boeuf wrote the paper with the contribution of Oliver Fritsch, and with comments from Julia Martin-Ortega and Julia K. Steinberger. Chapter 4 is a paper accepted for publication on 26th January 2018: Boeuf B, Fritsch O, Martin-Ortega J (2018). Justifying exemptions through policy appraisal: ecological ambitions and water policy in France and the United Kingdom. Water Policy 20(3), 647-666. The research was conceived and designed by Blandine Boeuf. Oliver Fritsch and Julia Martin-Ortega provided conceptual and analytical feedback throughout the duration of the research. Blandine Boeuf undertook the empirical work and analysed the data. Blandine Boeuf wrote the paper with the contribution of all authors, and with comments from Julia K. Steinberger. Chapter 5 will be submitted to Regulation & Governance for publication. The research was conceived and designed by Blandine Boeuf. Oliver Fritsch provided conceptual and analytical feedback throughout the duration of the research. Blandine Boeuf undertook iv the empirical work and analysed the data. Blandine Boeuf wrote the paper with the contribution Oliver Fritsch, and with comments from Julia Martin-Ortega, Julia K. Steinberger and Harold Levrel. This copy has been supplied on the understanding that it is copyright material and that no quotation from the thesis may be published without proper acknowledgement. The right of Blandine Gisèle Boeuf to be identified as Author of this work has been asserted by her in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. © 2018 The University of Leeds and Blandine Gisèle Boeuf v Acknowledgements First of all, I would like to thank my supervisors Oliver Fritsch, Julia Martin-Ortega and Julia Steinberger. I will never thank Oliver Fritsch enough for his invaluable help and implication in this PhD. His expertise in political sciences, his unconditional availability to answer quickly important or less critical questions at any day or time, his constant critical and challenging feedback and his continued support were extremely helpful to this work. I am also very thankful to Julia Martin-Ortega for her help and expertise in environmental economics, and for providing ideas and thorough comments on this PhD. I am equally thankful to Julia Steinberger, who has provided a very helpful, rigorous and impartial feedback on this work. This PhD has also been possible thanks to the funding provided by the School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds and by water@leeds through the SPRING award. I am also extremely grateful to all the interviewees who have participated in this research, as this PhD would not have been feasible without them. I would also like to thank Harold Levrel and Will Hankey, as well as the anonymous reviewers of the research papers, for their help and extremely useful feedback and comments on this research. In addition, I would like to thank my friends in Leeds Elke Pirgmaier, Gauthier Guerin, Tom Smith, Jeanne Giniaux and Jérémie Brajou for their help and support and for the comforting time we spent together during this whole adventure. I am also grateful to the FAWKES project, for giving me the opportunity to meet other great people working in water management. Finally, I would like to thank all my family, especially my husband Cyril Mayeux, for their unconditional love, encouragements and support throughout this PhD. vi Abstract Of all natural resources, water is particularly under pressure due to its intensive use. Therefore, it is vital to better understand the decision-making processes that could reverse trends in environmental deterioration. Policy appraisal tools can help decision makers develop sustainable public policies, as they support evidence-based policy choices. In practice, however, they are rarely used as a basis for decisions. In this context, this PhD has aimed to answer the following research question: How can we explain the different uses of policy appraisal - in particular of economic analysis – beyond evidence-based policy making in water decision making? To this end, I studied the case of the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD) (2000/60/EC) and the use of cost-benefit analysis in its application in the United Kingdom and France, as recent examples in which economic-based policy appraisal plays, in principle, a key role. I showed that appraisal tools could reflect political objectives and environmental policy ambitions in two ways. Firstly in the choice of the appraisal tool itself, which follows a specific logic. Secondly, the operationalisation of the tool selected may be influenced by political goals. As a consequence, the use of policy appraisal for evidence-based decision making can partly be explained by the discrepancy between the output of the appraisal and the political objectives pursued. More generally, I found that the politics stream – i.e. the political context - determines the presence and importance of appraisal tools in the policy process and explains further uses, in particular in problem definition and policy formulation. I also provided an empirical contribution to the knowledge on WFD implementation in member states. I explained the process of setting objectives and exemptions in two member states, and the role that economic analysis played in the decision-making process. I showed that ambitions related to the implementation of the WFD, and the political context more generally, shaped the decisions on the analytical tools used and that choices made in the operationalisation of these tools partly influenced the protection standards of individual water bodies. These results imply that debates on the use of policy appraisal in WFD implementation should go beyond experts’ circles and be considered in the political sphere. vii Table of Contents ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................................ V ABSTRACT ......................................................................................................................................... VI TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................................. VII LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................................ X LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................................. XI ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................................................... XII CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 1 1.1 ECONOMIC ANALYSES AND WATER MANAGEMENT .......................................................................... 5 1.2 RESEARCH OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE ............................................................................................... 7 1.3 RESEARCH CONTEXT ................................................................................................................................ 11 1.3.1 The Water Framework Directive: a major policy for water protection in Europe .... 11 1.3.2 Setting objectives and exemptions to the Water Framework Directive .......................... 12 1.4 THEORETICAL BASIS ................................................................................................................................. 13 1.4.1 The Multiple Streams Approach .................................................................................................... 14 1.4.2 The Advocacy Coalition Framework ............................................................................................ 15 1.4.3 Recent developments: combining the MSA and the ACF ..................................................... 16 1.5 RESEARCH STRATEGY AND METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH ....................................................... 17 1.5.1 Research strategy ................................................................................................................................. 17 1.5.2 Case study research ............................................................................................................................ 18 1.5.3 The choice of England and France for the cross-country comparison ........................... 19 1.5.4 Methodological scope ........................................................................................................................ 23 1.5.5 Data collection and analysis ........................................................................................................... 23 1.6 OUTLINE OF PHD ....................................................................................................................................... 25 1.7 BIBLIOGRAPHY ........................................................................................................................................... 26 CHAPTER 2: STUDYING THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE WATER FRAMEWORK DIRECTIVE IN EUROPE: A META-ANALYSIS OF 89 JOURNAL ARTICLES ........................................................................................................................................... 37 2.1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................... 38 2.2 THE WATER FRAMEWORK DIRECTIVE .............................................................................................. 39 2.3 STUDYING EU POLICY IMPLEMENTATION ........................................................................................ 43 2.4 METHODS AND DATA ............................................................................................................................... 45 2.5 PUBLICATION PATTERNS: WHO PUBLISHES WHEN AND WHERE? ............................................... 49 2.6 MAPPING SCHOLARLY INTEREST: COUNTRIES, POLICY LEVELS, THEMES ............................. 54 2.7 STUDYING WFD IMPLEMENTATION: THEORY AND METHODS .................................................. 62 2.8 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................... 70 2.9 BIBLIOGRAPHY ........................................................................................................................................... 72 CHAPTER 3: UNDERMINING EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY GOALS? THE EU WATER FRAMEWORK DIRECTIVE AND THE POLITICS OF EXEMPTIONS .................................................................................................................................... 86 3.1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................... 87 3.2 DATA AND METHODS ............................................................................................................................... 89 3.3 NEGOTIATING THE WFD: OPPOSING VIEWS ..................................................................................... 91 3.3.1 Ambitions and deadlines ................................................................................................................... 91 3.3.2 Implementation costs ....................................................................................................................... 93 3.3.3 Negotiating exemptions ..................................................................................................................... 94 3.3.4 The case of deadline extensions ..................................................................................................... 94 3.3.5 The case of disproportionality ........................................................................................................ 96 viii 3.4 THE COMMON IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY: A TECHNICAL DEBATE OVER A POLITICAL ISSUE ..................................................................................................................................................................... 97 3.4.1 Discussing exemptions in the CIS .................................................................................................. 98 3.4.2 Disagreements on disproportionality assessments in the preparation phase ............... 99 3.4.3 Reasons for the failure to come to an agreement on exemptions .................................... 102 3.5 BEYOND POLICY: THE PRAGMATISM OF THE WFD IMPLEMENTATION ................................. 103 3.6 CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................................................................... 105 3.7 BIBLIOGRAPHY ......................................................................................................................................... 107 CHAPTER 4: JUSTIFYING EXEMPTIONS THROUGH POLICY APPRAISAL: ECOLOGICAL AMBITIONS AND WATER POLICY IN FRANCE AND THE UNITED KINGDOM ........................................................................................................................................ 114 4.1 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................................... 115 4.2 ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK .................................................................................................................. 117 4.2.1 Scale ........................................................................................................................................................ 118 4.2.3 Screening .............................................................................................................................................. 119 4.2.4 Costs and benefits data .................................................................................................................... 119 4.2.5 Uncertainty ........................................................................................................................................... 119 4.2.6 Additional parameters ..................................................................................................................... 119 4.3 DATA AND METHODS ............................................................................................................................. 120 4.4 POLITICAL AMBITIONS AND OBJECTIVE SETTING IN ENGLAND AND FRANCE .................... 121 4.4.1 England .................................................................................................................................................. 121 4.4.2 France .................................................................................................................................................... 123 4.5 OPERATIONALISING DISPROPORTIONALITY ANALYSES .............................................................. 124 4.5.1 Scale ........................................................................................................................................................ 125 4.5.2 Screening procedure ......................................................................................................................... 126 4.5.3 Costs and benefits data .................................................................................................................... 129 4.5.4 Uncertainty ........................................................................................................................................... 132 4.5.5 Additional parameters ..................................................................................................................... 133 4.5.6 Summary of our findings ................................................................................................................. 135 4.6 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................. 138 4.7 BIBLIOGRAPHY ......................................................................................................................................... 139 CHAPTER 5: THEORISING DIFFERENT USES OF POLICY APPRAISAL: WATER REGULATION IN THE UK AND FRANCE ........................................................................... 145 5.1 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................................... 145 5.2 THEORY ...................................................................................................................................................... 147 5.3 CASES, DATA AND METHODS ............................................................................................................... 149 5.4 WATER REGULATION IN ENGLAND ................................................................................................... 151 5.4.1 The politics stream: the political context ................................................................................. 151 5.4.2 The problem stream: squaring the circle ................................................................................. 152 5.4.3 The policy stream: finding a solution ........................................................................................ 154 5.4.4 The process stream: justifying water policy decisions ........................................................ 155 5.5 WATER REGULATION IN FRANCE ....................................................................................................... 156 5.5.1 The politics stream: the political context ................................................................................. 157 5.5.2 The problem stream: the ambitions of French water policy ............................................. 158 5.5.3 The policy stream: a preference for a specific solution ...................................................... 159 5.5.4 The process stream: justifying water policy decisions ........................................................ 161 5.6 DISCUSSION ............................................................................................................................................... 162 5.7 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................. 164 5.8 BIBLIOGRAPHY ......................................................................................................................................... 166 CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSION ...................................................................................................... 172 6.1 SYNTHESIS OF FINDINGS ....................................................................................................................... 174 ix 6.1.1 Academic context: the existing social science literature on WFD implementation in member states ................................................................................................................................................. 174 6.1.2 Objective 1: unveil the motives, beyond evidence-based policy making, of the various EU institutions for recommending a specific economic analysis ............................................... 175 6.1.3 Objective 2: determine whether and how the choices made for the economic appraisal impacted the decision-making process domestically .................................................. 175 6.1.4 Objective 3: unveil the processes underpinning decision making and the role of appraisal tools therein ................................................................................................................................ 176 6.2 CONTRIBUTIONS OF THIS STUDY ........................................................................................................ 177 6.3 INSIGHTS FOR POLICY ............................................................................................................................ 181 6.4 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS ....................................................................................................................... 182 6.5 FUTURE RESEARCH DIRECTIONS ........................................................................................................ 183 6.6 BIBLIOGRAPHY ......................................................................................................................................... 184 APPENDIX A: LIST OF INTERVIEWEES ............................................................................. 188 APPENDIX B: LIST OF POLICY DOCUMENTS ................................................................. 190 APPENDIX C: CODEBOOK ....................................................................................................... 215 APPENDIX D: UPDATE OF THE META-ANALYSIS ........................................................ 216 APPENDIX E: WFD NEGOTIATION HISTORY ................................................................. 220 APPENDIX F: DETAILED ANALYSIS OF THE ECONOMIC ANALYSES PERFORMED IN ENGLAND AND FRANCE ........................................................................ 221 x List of Tables Table 1: Our sample ............................................................................................................................. 46 Table 2: Number of studies per policy level ................................................................................ 56 Table 3: Number of studies per country and WFD theme ....................................................... 70 Table 4: Position of each institution during the negotiation ................................................... 97 Table 5: Synthesis of findings ........................................................................................................ 136 Table 6: Interviewees ........................................................................................................................ 187 Table 7: Documents used in Chapter 3 ....................................................................................... 189 Table 8: Documents used in Chapter 4 ....................................................................................... 202 Table 9: Documents used in Chapter 5 ....................................................................................... 208 Table 10: Codebook used for the meta-analysis ...................................................................... 214 Table 11: Articles added to the sample ....................................................................................... 215 Table 12: Main steps of the WFD negotiation process .......................................................... 219

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Finally, I would like to thank all my family, especially my husband Cyril Mayeux, for 6.1.2 Objective 1: unveil the motives, beyond evidence-based policy 6.1.4 Objective 3: unveil the processes underpinning decision making and
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