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The United States and Europe after the Cold War: a new alliance? PDF

469 Pages·1997·1.07 MB·English
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The United States and Europe After the title: Cold War : A New Alliance? author: Holmes, John W. publisher: University of South Carolina Press isbn10 | asin: 157003107X print isbn13: 9781570031076 ebook isbn13: 9780585344317 language: English Europe--Foreign relations--United States, Europe--History--1945- , United States-- subject Foreign relations--Europe, United States-- History--1945- publication date: 1997 lcc: D1065.U5H65 1997eb ddc: 327.4073/09/049 Europe--Foreign relations--United States, Europe--History--1945- , United States-- subject: Foreign relations--Europe, United States-- History--1945- Page iii The United States and Europe after the Cold War A New Alliance? John W. Holmes Page iv Copyright © 1997 University of South Carolina Published in Columbia, South Carolina, by the University of South Carolina Press Manufactured in the United States of America 01 00 99 98 97 5 4 3 2 The author gratefully acknowledges the World Peace Foundation for its generous support of his research. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Holmes, John W. (John William), 1935 The United States and Europe after the Cold War: a new alliance? / John W. Holmes. p. cm. ISBN 157003107X 1. EuropeForeign relationsUnited States. 2. Europe History1945 3. United StatesForeign relationsEurope. 4. United StatesHistory1945 I. Title. D1065.U5H65 1997 327.4073'09'049dc20 9550216 Page v For Jill Page vii Contents Preface ix Introduction 1 Chapter 1 5 The Old Order Passes Chapter 2 11 The Transformation of Old Relationships Chapter 3 18 Western Europe on the Road to Integration Chapter 4 31 NATO: Triumph and Tragedy Chapter 5 40 Can European Security Be Based On the OSCE? Chapter 6 51 The European Union As an Emerging Economic Superpower Chapter 7 63 The "European Union": Political Union or Overreach? Chapter 8 90 U.S. Interests Chapter 9 107 What Are Our Options? Chapter 10 124 But What If Europe Breaks Apart? Chapter 11 135 Can We Forge a New Alliance? Notes 155 Index 206 Page ix Preface This book is the product of two experiences. For more than twenty years, as an American diplomat, I was directly involved in U.S. relations with Europe. More recently, I looked at the same issues from the outside, as senior associate of the World Peace Foundation. The text essentially reflects the period from the breakup of Soviet dominion in Eastern Europe, and the end of the Cold War, through May 1995fifty years after the end of World War II in Europe. I have, however, taken note of events in the first part of June 1995 that related significantly to the story of the previous years. Describing and analyzing this period of profound change, and attempting to predict and prescribe for the future, has been complicated by the change in name of two of the main protagonists of the drama. What had been the European Community was renamed the European Union on 1 November 1993. I have used both names, depending on whether the material being discussed relates to the period before or after its rebaptism. I have followed the same procedure with the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe, which renamed itself the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe at its summit meeting of 56 December 1994. I wish to express my gratitude to the World Peace Foundation for the opportunity to reflect and to write on a subject that is central to our foreign policy, as it has been to my life. Page 1 Introduction For more than forty years the Atlantic Alliance simultaneously solved three problems: how to contain the USSR; how to tie "Germany organically into the Western Community so as to diminish [the] danger [of] resurgent German nationalism"; 1 and how to give the United States a leading role in Europe. The end of the Cold War, the withdrawal of Soviet forces, and, finally, the disintegration of the Soviet Union itself have removed the original raison d'être for the Atlantic Alliance. Can the old alliance survive, based on the other two legs of its usefulness? Probably not. The reunification of Germany reawakened long dormant, or at least decently concealed, fears of German dominance. While the Germany of Helmut Kohl is not the Germany of Adolf Hitler, or of Kaiser Wilhelm II, the size, vigor, and geographical location of Germany make itas it was in the three-quarters of a century from 1870 to 1945uncomfortably large for its neighbors.2 But even when John Foster Dulles discussed this problem nearly forty years ago, it was European, not Atlantic, integration that was seen as essential to bind Germany into the West. The old alliance is also a rusting machine for converting into reality the American will to lead in Europe. The elements of the old bargain have changed. Europe accepted the American presence and leadership because it received, as counterpart, U.S. protection against the threat from the East; or, as Europeans preferred to see it, the extension of U.S. deterrence to Western Europe. The threat from the East has ceased to exist, although with time Russia may both recover its strength and adopt an aggressive foreign policy. If the Atlantic Alliance had really created an Atlantic Community, the story might be different. But the alliance has remained an alliance, a convenience rather than an emotional reality. On the other hand, the idea of Europe as a community has flourished, and the

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