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The Unfinished Agenda PAGE ii BLANK The Unfinished Agenda Perspectives on Overcoming Hunger, Poverty, and Environmental Degradation Edited by Per Pinstrup-Andersen and Rajul Pandya-Lorch International Food Policy Research Institute Washington, D.C. Copyright © 2001 International Food Policy Research Institute All rights reserved. Sections of this book may be reproduced without the express permission of, but with acknowledgment to, the International Food Policy Research Institute. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data available. International Food Policy Research Institute 2033 K Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002, USA Telephone: +1-202-862-5600; Fax: +1-202-467-4439 www.ifpri.org CCoonntteennttss Introduction ix Per Pinstrup-Andersen and Rajul Pandya-Lorch Part 1 The Unfinished Agenda and Prospects for the Future Chapter 1 Famine and Poverty in the 21st Century 3 Reported by Ellen Wilson Chapter 2 Global Food Security: A Review of the Challenges 7 Per Pinstrup-Andersen, Rajul Pandya-Lorch, and Mark W. Rosegrant Part 2 Nutrition and Health: The Ultimate Goals Chapter 3 Overcoming Child Malnutrition in Developing Countries: Past Achievements and Future Choices 21 Lisa C. Smith and Lawrence Haddad Chapter 4 Health and Nutrition: Emerging and Reemerging Issues in Developing Countries 27 Rafael Flores Chapter 5 Fighting Hidden Hunger 31 Reported by Heidi Fritschel Chapter 6 AIDS Mushrooms into a Development Crisis 37 Reported by Sara E. Wilson Chapter 7 HIV/AIDS: A Critical Health and Development Issue 43 Tony Barnett and Gabriel Rugalema Chapter 8 Obesity: An Emerging Health and Nutrition Issue in Developing Countries 49 Reynaldo Martorell Part 3 Demographic Issues: Population Growth and Urbanization Chapter 9 The Population Boom: What Do the Numbers Mean? 57 Reported by Ellen Wilson Chapter 10 Population Growth and Policy Options in the Developing World 61 John Bongaarts and Judith Bruce Chapter 11 Achieving Urban Food and Nutrition Security in the Developing World 67 James L. Garrett vi CONTENTS Chapter 12 Urbanization and Agriculture to the Year 2020 73 Reported by Ellen Wilson Part 4 Diet Trends: Increasing Demand for Livestock and Fish Chapter 13 Are We Ready for a Meat Revolution? 81 Reported by Heidi Fritschel and Uday Mohan Chapter 14 Livestock to 2020: The Next Food Revolution 89 Christopher Delgado, Mark Rosegrant, Henning Steinfeld, Simeon Ehui, and Claude Courbois Chapter 15 Overfished Oceans, Booming Fisheries: What Does This Mean for World Food Security? 95 Reported by Ellen Wilson Part 5 Food Production and the Environment Chapter 16 The Earth’s Environmental Woes: Is Agriculture Part of the Problem or Part of the Solution? 103 Reported by Ellen Wilson Chapter 17 Agricultural Growth is the Key to Poverty Alleviation in Low- Income Developing Countries 109 Per Pinstrup-Andersen and Rajul Pandya-Lorch Chapter 18 Reducing Poverty and Protecting the Environment: The Overlooked Potential of Less-Favored Lands 115 John Pender, Peter B. R. Hazell, and James L. Garrett Chapter 19 The Potential of Agroecology to Combat Hunger in the Developing World 123 Miguel A. Altieri, Peter Rosset, and Lori Ann Thrupp Chapter 20 Sustainable Farming: A Political Geography 129 Robert L. Paarlberg Chapter 21 Land Degradation in the Developing World: Issues and Policy Options for 2020 133 Sara J. Scherr and Satya Yadav Chapter 22 The Role of Agriculture in Saving the Rain Forest 139 Stephen Vosti Chapter 23 Dealing with Water Scarcity in the 21st Century 145 Mark W. Rosegrant Chapter 24 Global Warming Changes the Forecast for Agriculture 151 Reported by Sara E. Wilson CONTENTS vii Part 6 The Hot Spots: Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia Chapter 25 Nutrient Depletion in the Agricultural Soils of Africa 159 Julio Henao and Carlos Baanante Chapter 26 Applying Science to Sub-Saharan Africa’s Food Needs 165 Reported by Ellen Wilson Chapter 27 Pushing Back Poverty in India 171 Reported by Heidi Fritschel and Uday Mohan Chapter 28 Is Agriculture Raiding South Asia’s Water Supplies? Water Scarcity and Water Reform in South Asia 177 Reported by Ellen Wilson Chapter 29 Transforming the Rural Asian Economy: The Unfinished Revolution 183 Mark W. Rosegrant and Peter B. R. Hazell Part 7 Microcredit for the Rural Poor Chapter 30 Rural Financial Services for Poverty Alleviation: The Role of Public Policy 191 Manfred Zeller and Manohar Sharma Chapter 31 Microfinance: Reaching Poor Rural Women 197 Manohar Sharma Part 8 Gender and Education Issues: Women and Food Security Chapter 32 Generating Food Security in the Year 2020: Women as Producers, Gatekeepers, and Shock Absorbers 205 Lynn R. Brown, Hilary Feldstein, Lawrence Haddad, Christine Peña, and Agnes Quisumbing Chapter 33 Urban Women: Balancing Work and Childcare 211 Patrice L. Engle Chapter 34 The Fruits of Girls’ Education 215 Reported by Heidi Fritschel and Uday Mohan Part 9 What Will Globalization Bring? Chapter 35 Globalization, Trade Reform, and the Developing Countries 225 Eugenio Díaz-Bonilla and Sherman Robinson Chapter 36 Globalization and Nutrition 233 Julie Babinard and Per Pinstrup-Andersen viii CONTENTS Part 10 Biotechnology and Information Technology: How Can the Poor Benefit? Chapter 37 Biotechnology for Developing-Country Agriculture: Problems and Opportunities 239 Gabrielle J. Persley and John J. Doyle Chapter 38 Developing Appropriate Biotechnology Policies for Developing-Country Agriculture 245 Per Pinstrup-Andersen Chapter 39 Governing the GM Crop Revolution: Policy Choices for Developing Countries 251 Robert L. Paarlberg Chapter 40 Bridging the Digital Divide 257 Reported by Uday Mohan Part 11 Conclusion Chapter 41 Putting the Knowledge to Work for the Poor: Required Policy Action 269 Per Pinstrup-Andersen and Rajul Pandya-Lorch Sources 277 Contributors 283 Index 287 Introduction Per Pinstrup-Andersen and Rajul Pandya-Lorch The International Food Policy Research Institute has always held fast to the goal of generating policy information that will enable the world to feed its people sustainably, but in the early 1990s a world free of hunger and poverty looked a long way off. At that time we found that global poverty and food insecurity had fallen from their levels 20 years earlier but remained severe and persistent problems. Moreover, we were troubled to see considerable disagreement on the magnitude and nature of the world’s food, agricultural, and environmental problems and no long- term vision or consensus about the steps required to feed the world, alleviate poverty, and protect the natural resource base. So in 1993, in collaboration with partners around the world, we launched an initiative called A 2020 Vision for Food, Agriculture, and the Environment, to develop a shared vision and consensus, to gen- erate information, and to encourage debate and action on these topics. The 2020 Vision initiative undertakes these activities in pursuit of the ultimate goal of achiev- ing a world where every person has access to sufficient food to sustain a healthy and productive life; where malnutrition is absent; and where food originates from effi- cient, effective, and low-cost food systems that are compatible with sustainable use of natural resources. Today we find that some parts of the world have made great strides toward a situation of sustainable food security, others are inching toward it, and still others are moving away. This book brings together briefs and articles generated by the 2020 Vision initiative that remain highly relevant to the ongoing dialog and debate and, given the nature of the topics addressed, are likely to remain so for some time to come. The initiative’s policy briefs present state-of-the-art information on key topics related to food security, poverty alleviation, and sustainable resource management. Written by leading experts at IFPRI and around the world, these briefs draw upon a solid body of research. The initiative also publishes a periodic newsletter, 2020 News & Views; each issue carries a lead article on an emerging or “hot” topic relat- ed to sustainable food security and based on interviews with policymakers, policy analysts, and experts. But these briefs and newsletters tend to have a short “shelf” life. Libraries usually do not catalog them, and they can easily get lost in the piles of papers on most people’s desks. We have compiled them in a book as a way of mak- ing them readily available for use in policy debates and actions. x INTRODUCTION Together these pieces offer a fairly comprehensive picture of the policy issues the world must address if it is to overcome poverty, hunger, and environmental degradation. Achieving a world of sustainable food security involves policy actions in many related areas. Thus, readers will find in these pages discussions of nutrition and health problems, demographic changes, natural resources, microcredit, gender issues, globalization, and new technologies. Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia are the sites of the world’s most severe food security problems, and this book presents recent knowledge on these two specific regions. The concluding chapter attempts to identify the most important policy actions required to achieve the 2020 Vision, based primarily on the knowledge presented in the rest of the book. At the international level, policies and institutions that guide globalization and technological progress to benefit the poor and malnourished will be of critical importance. At the national and community levels, policy action must be tailored to the particular circumstances and the intended beneficiaries should be empowered to participate in policy design and implementation. Policies to strengthen the human resource through education, primary health care, and better nutrition should be given high priority, along with policies and institutions to facilitate access by low-income people to productive resources, fair and well-functioning markets, and appropriate knowledge and technology. Good governance and an appropriate macroeconomic framework are also crucial. Most of the briefs and articles included in this book have been left in their orig- inal form. Where deemed useful, the empirical evidence has been updated. Some of the people interviewed have moved on to other positions or occupations. However, all interviewees are identified by the position held at the time of the inter- views. The rare instances when briefs were cut back or combined are noted in the source listing at the end of the book. We wish to thank the contributors whose work has been included in this vol- ume. We would also like to thank Heidi Fritschel for her editorial assistance.

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Chapter 11 Achieving Urban Food and Nutrition Security in the. Developing .. ber and location of food-insecure people in the future. Increasing food
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Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.