The Threat On The Horizon Also by Loch K. Johnson INTELLIGENCE, 4 vols. (New York, 2011), editor NATIONAL SECURITY INTELLIGENCE (Cambridge, UK, 2011). THE OXFORD HANDBOOK OF NATIONAL SECURITY INTELLIGENCE (New York, 2010), editor. INTELLIGENCE AND NATIONAL SECURITY: THE SECRET WORLD OF SPIES; AN ANTHOLOGY. 3d. ed. (New York, 2010), edited with James J. Wirtz. STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE, 5 vols. (Westport, CT, 2007), editor. HANDBOOK OF INTELLIGENCE STUDIES (London, 2007), editor. SEVEN SINS OF AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY (New York, 2007). WHO’S WATCHING THE SPIES? ESTABLISHING INTELLIGENCE SERVICE ACCOUNTABILITY (Washington, DC, 2005), edited with Hans Born and Ian Leigh. AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY: HISTORY, POLITICS, AND POLICY (New York, 2005), with John Endicott and Daniel S. Papp. FATEFUL DECISIONS: INSIDE THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL (New York, 2004), edited with Karl F. Inderfurth. 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The Threat On The Horizon loch k. johnson An Inside Account of America’s Search for Security after the Cold War 1 2011 1 Oxford University Press, Inc., publishes works that further Oxford University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offi ces in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Copyright (c) 2011 by Oxford University Press, Inc. Published by Oxford University Press, Inc. 198 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016 www.oup.com Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Johnson, Loch K., 1942- The threat on the horizon : an inside account of America’s search for security after the Cold War / Loch K. Johnson. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-0-19-973717-8 (hardcover : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 0-19-973717-7 1. Intelligence service—United States. 2. National security—United States. I. Title. JK468.I6J67 2010 355'.033073—dc22 2010016333 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper To Les Aspin, who led the way, and to Leena and Kristin, who inspire “All we are trying to do, I suppose, is to tell it true.” —Hollis Summers American novelist This page intentionally left blank contents Preface ix Acknowledgments xix A Glossary of Terms xxiii part i T he Beginning 1 chapter 1 Uneasy Birth 3 chapter 2 Starting Up 35 chapter 3 Seeking Answers 60 part ii S eeking Answers 97 chapter 4 A New Intelligence Chief 9 9 chapter 5 Down on the Farm 130 chapter 6 Weighing the Value of Estimates 157 part iii L eadership Transition 187 chapter 7 The Death of a Chairman 1 89 chapter 8 Wobbling Forward 217 chapter 9 Brown at the Helm 2 44 part iv E nd Game 275 chapter 10 A Second Retreat 2 77 chapter 11 The Final Stretch 3 08 chapter 12 T he Commission Reports 345 part v R eform Unraveled 363 chapter 13 I n the Commission’s Wake 365 chapter 14 I ntelligence Reform Redux 385 Appendix 405 Notes 411 Index 483 viii | contents preface Entering the Shrouded World of Intelligence I first became interested in the subject of intelligence in 1975. That year I read in the newspaper that Senator Frank Church (D-ID) had been askedby the Senate majority leader, Mike Mansfi eld (D-MT), to chair an inves- tigative panel that would look into charges of domestic spying by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). With a research trip to Washington already planned for the following week, I decided to use the occasion to drop by the Capitol and offer my good wishes to Senator Church, for whom I had worked as an American Political Science Association congressional fellow fi ve years earlier. We sat in his Russell Senate Offi ce Building suite, which was dominated by an oil portrait of his childhood hero, Senator William Borah (R), another Idaho and former chair of the august Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Unlike Church, an internationalist, Borah had been a leading isolationist. As Senator Church told me about his new assignment, I became more and more intrigued. At the end of the visit, I ventured to ask if he needed any help with the investigation. He picked up the telephone and told the staff director of the new committee to sign me up and begin a background security clearance, a procedure required for all staff members participating in what was to become one of the most sensitive inquiries in the history of the Senate. The panel’s focus, Church explained to me, would be the question of whether the CIA had spied on American citizens, in violation of its 1947 legislative charter. My job, he continued, would be to prepare him for committee meet- ings and hearings, write speeches for him, take part in the committee’s research and investigative work, and help write the fi nal report.
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