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The Theory of Stochastic Processes III PDF

392 Pages·1979·6.874 MB·English
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Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften 232 ASeries 0/ Comprehensive Studies in Mathematics Editors S. S. ehern J. L. Doob J. Douglas, jr. A. Grothendieck E. Heinz F. Hirzebruch E. Hopf S. Mac Lane W. Magnus M. M. Postnikov W. Schmidt D. S. Scott K. Stein J. Tits B. L. van der Waerden Managing Editors B. Eckmann J. K. Moser I. I. Gihman A. V Skorohod The Theory of Stochastic Processes 111 Translated from the Russian by S. Kotz Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg N ew Y ork Iosif lI'ich Gihman Academy of Sciences of the Ukranian SSR Institute of Applied Mathematics and Mechanics Donetsk USSR Anatolii Vladimirovich Skorohod Academy of Sciences of the Ukranian SSR Institute of Mathematics Kiev USSR Translator: Samuel Kotz Department of Mathematics Temple University Philadelphia, PA 19122 USA AMS Subject Classification: 34F05, 60Hxx Library of Congreu, Cataloging in Publication Data Gikhman, losif lI'ich. The theory of stochastic processes. (Die Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften in Einzeldarstellungen mit besonderer Berücksichtigung der Anwendungsgebiete; Bd. 210, 218, 232) Translation of Teoriya sluchainyh protsessov. Includes bibliographies and indexes. 1. Stochastic processes. I. Skorokhod, Anatolli Vladimirovich, joint author. 11. Title. III. Series: Die Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften in Einzeldarstellungen; Bd. 210, [etc.]. QA274.G5513 519.2 74-2552 Title of the Russian Original Edition: Teoriya sluchainyh protsessov, Tom IH. Publisher: Nauka, Moscow, 1975. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be translated or reproduced in any form without written permission from Springer-Verlag. © 1979 by Springer-Verlag New York Inc. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1s t edition 1979 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 ISBN-13: 978-1-4615-8067-6 e-ISBN-13: 978-1-4615-8065-2 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4615-8065-2 Preface It was originally planned that the Theory of Stochastic Processes would consist of two volumes: the first to be devoted to general problems and the second to specific cJasses of random processes. It became apparent, however, that the amount of material related to specific problems of the theory could not possibly be incJuded in one volume. This is how the present third volume came into being. This voJume contains the theory of martingales, stochastic integrals, stochastic differential equations, diffusion, and continuous Markov processes. The theory of stochastic processes is an actively developing branch of mathe matics, and it would be an unreasonable and impossible task to attempt to encompass it in a single treatise (even a multivolume one). Therefore, the authors, guided by their own considerations concerning the relative importance of various results, naturally had to be selective in their choice of material. The authors are fully aware that such a selective process is not perfecL Even a number of topics that are, in the authors' opinion, of great importance could not be incJuded, for example, limit theorems for particular cJasses of random processes, the theory of random fields, conditional Markov processes, and information and statistics of random processes. With the publication of this last volume, we recall with gratitude oUf associates who assisted us in this endeavor, and express our sincere thanks to G. N. Sytaya, L. V. Lobanova, P. V. Boiko, N. F. Ryabova, N. A. Skorohod, V. V. Skorohod, N. I. Portenko, and L. I. Gab. I. I. Gihman and A. V. Skorohod Table of Contents Chapter I. Martingales and Stochastic Integrals 1 § 1. Martingales and Their Generalizations 1 § 2. Stochastic Integrals 46 § 3. Itö's Formula . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Chapter 11. Stochastic Differential Equations 113 § 1. General Problems of the Theory of Stochastic Differential Equations 113 § 2. Stochastic Differential Equations without an After-Effect 155 § 3. Limit Theorems for Sequences of Random Variables and Stochastic Differential Equations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 Chapter III. Stochastic Differential Equations for Continuous Processes and Continuous Markov Processes in fYlm . . . . . . . 220 § 1. Itö Processes 220 § 2. Stochastic Differential Equations for Processes of Diffusion Type 257 § 3. Diffusion Processes in m'" .......... . 279 § 4. Continuous Homogeneous Markov Processes in fYl'" 317 Remarks .. 374 Bibliography 377 Appendix: Corrections to Volumes land II 380 Subject Index 385 Chapter I Martingales and Stochastic Integrals § 1. Martingales and Their Generalizations Survey of preceding results. We start by recalling and making more precise the definitions and previously obtained results pertaining to martingales and semi martingales (cf. Volume I, Chapter II, Section 2 and Chapter III, Section 4). Let {n, ~, P} be a prob ability space, let T be an arbitrary ordered set (in what follows only those cases where T is a subset of the extended real line [-00, +00] will be discussed) and let {iSt, tE T} be tI current of a-algebras (iSt C ~): if tl < t2 then iStl C iSt2' The symbol {g(t), iSt, tE T} or simply {g(t), iSt} denotes an object consisting of a current of a-algebras {iSt, tE T} on the measurable space {n, ~} and a random process g(t), tE T, adopted to {i1"t, tE T} (i.e., ger) if i1"t-measurable for each tE T). This object will also be referred to in what follows as a random process. A random process {g(t), iSt, tE T} is called an I5t-martingale (or martingale if there is no ambiguity concerning the current of a-algebras iSt under considera tion) provided (1) Elg(t)1 < 00 \itE T and E{g(t) I iSs} = g(s) for s < t, s, tE T; it is called a supermartingale (submartingale ) if it satisfies condition (1) and moreover E{g(t)ll5s} ~ g(s), s < t, s, tE T (2) (E(g(t)ll5s}?g(s), s < t). Observe that the above definition differs from that presented in Volume I since we now require finiteness of the mathematical expectation of the quantity g(t) in all cases. Previously, in the case of the supermartingale, for example, only the finiteness of the expectation EC(t) was assumed. 2 I. Martingales and Stochastic Integrals The definition presented herein is equivalent to the following: U(t), 15" tE T} is a martingale (supermartingale ) if for any set Bs E ~ sand for any sand t belonging to T such that s < t, JB, JB, g(t)dP = g(s) dP Supermartingales and submartingales are also called semimartingales. In this section we shall consider mainly semimartingales of a continuous argument. The space of all real-valued functions on the interval [0, Tl which possess the left-hand limit for each tE (0, Tl and which are continuous from the right on [0, T) will be denoted by gg or by gg[O, Tl Analogous meaning is attached to the notation gg [0, T), gg [0,(0), and gg [0, 00 l. A number of inequalities and theorems concerning the existence of limits plays an important role in the martingale theory. The following relationships were established in Volume I, Chapter 11, Section 2: If g(t), tE T, is a separable submartingale, then (4) q=~ p>l, p-l' E(g(t)-bf E [b) (5) v a, ~sup b ; -a leT he re a + = a for a ;;,: 0 and a + = 0 for a < 0 and v[a, b) denotes the number of crossings down ward of the half-interval [a, b) by the sampie function of the process g(t) (a more precise definition is given in Volume I, Chapter 11, Section 2). We now recall the definition of a closure of a semimartingale. Let {g(t), 151, tE T} be a semimartingale and let the set T possess no largest (smallest) element. The random variable TI is called a closure from the right (left) of the semimartingalet(t) if one can extend the set T by adding one new element b (a) which satisfies t<b (t> a) VtE T and complete the current of u-algebras {6" tE T} by adding the corresponding u-algebra 6b (6a) so that the extended family of the random variables g(t), tE T', T' = T u{b} (T' = Tu {a}) also forms an 61-semimartingale. Theorem 1. Let g(t), tE T, be a separable submartingale, Tc (a, b), and the points a and b be the limit points for the set T (-00 ~ a < b ~ (0). Then a set A of probability o exists such that for we A : 1. Martingales and Their Generalizations 3 a) in every interior point t of the set T the limits ~(t-) and ~(t+) exist; b) if sup {E~+(t), tE T} < 00, then the limit ~(b-) exists; moreover, iffor some to the family of random variables {~(t), tE [to, b)} is uniformly integrable, then the limit ~(b-) exists in L, as weil and ~(b-) is a closure fram the right of the subm artingale ; c) if limt-+a E~(t» -00 then the family of random variables {g(t), tE (a, ton is uniformly integrable, the limit ~(a +) exists for every CI) E A also in the sense of convergence in LI. and ~(a +) is a closure fram the left of the submartingale. Proo/. The existence with probability 1 of the one-sided limits ~(t-) and ~(t+) for each tE [a, b] under the condition that sup {E~+(t), tE (a, b)} < 00 was established in Volume I, Chapter III, Section 4. Furthermore, if the family {Ht), tE [to, b)} is uniformly integrable then the convergence of ~(t) to ~(b -) with probability 1 as ti b implies that this con vergence is also valid in L, and that ~(b -) is a c10sure from the right of the submartingale ~(t), tE (a, b). This is proved in the same manner as in the case of submartingales of a discrete argument (Volume I, Chapter II, Section 2). We need now to verify assertion c). Let 1= limrla E~(t). Since E~(t) is a monotonically nondecreasing function the existence of the limit is assured. Moreover, the equality implies that sup EI~(t)l,;;;; 2E~+Cto)-1 = C < 00. 'E(a,'ol In view of Chebyshev's inequality P(B,),;;;; CI N, where B, = {1~(t)1 > N}, i.e., P(B,)"'" 0 as N...,. 00 uniformly in t. Let e > 0 be arbitrary and t, be such that E~(t)-l < e/2 for all t< t,. Then for tE (a, td JB, 1~(t)1 dP = JW'»N) ~(t) dP+ JW'»-N} ~(t) dP-E~(t) ,;;;; JW'»N~(t0 dP + JWtl>-N} ~(tl) dP - E~(t) ,;;;; JB, 1~(t,)1 dP+~, so that JB, 1~(t)1 dP < e for all tE (a, td and N sufficiently large. Thus the family {~(t), tE (a, toJ} is uniformly integrable. The limit !im,"a ~(t) exists with probability 1; therefore it also exists in the sense of convergence in LI, Now ~(a +) is indeed a c10sure from the left of the submartingale {~(t), tE T}. This follows from the fact that it is permissible to approach the limit as s ! a under the integral sign in the inequality s < t, BEn 15,. 0 'ET 4 1. Martingales and Stochastic Integrals Remark. It is evident that assertion c) of the theorem is valid for sequences also. In this case the assertion can be stated as folIows: If {. .. ~(-n), ~(-n + 1), ... , ~(O)} is a submartingale and lim,. E~( -n) > -00, then the sequence {g(-n)} is uniformly integrable, the limit ~oo = !im ~(-n) exists with probability 1 in LIas weil and is a dosure from the left of the submartingale {~(n), n = ... -k, -k + 1, ... , O}. In what follows we shall call a semimartingale uniformly integrable if a corresponding family of random variables ~(t), tE T, is uniformly integrable. We shall refer to a martingale as integrable if sup {EI~(t)l, tE T} < 00. Theorem 2. Let T c (a, b) and let a and b be limit points of the set T (-00 ~ a < b ~ (0). In order that martingale {~(t), 6" tE T} be uniformly integrable, it is necessary and sufficient that a random variable 1] exist such that (6) Ehl < 00, tE T. If this condition is satisfied, we can set 1] = limtib ~(t) and the variable 1] will be uniquely determined (mod P) in the dass o[ all (T{6t, tE T}-measurable random variables. Proof. By Theorem 1, if the martingale {~(t), 6t, tE T} is uniformly integrable, then it possesses a closure from the right and therefore admits representation (6). Now let martingale ~(t) admit the representation given by formula (6). Then which implies that (7) \;fBE6t. In particular, EI~(t)1 ~ EI1] I. Therefore Chebyshev's inequality implies that P{I~(t)1 > N} ~ 0 as N ~ 00 uniformly in t. Applying inequa!ity (7) to the set B = Bt = {1~(t)1 > N} we verify that the family {g(t), tE T} is uniformly integrable. We need now to prove the uniqueness of representation (6) in the class of all (T{ts" tE T}-measurable random variables. Suppose that two such representations exist in terms of the random variables 1];, i = 1, 2. Then E{?ltst}=o \;ftE T, where ? = 1] 1 - 1]2· Thus for all A belonging to 6t and all tE T, and consequently for all A belonging to 1. Martingales and Their Generalizations 5 um" tE T}. Since the variable? is u{Ö\, tE T}-measurable, it follows that ? = 0 (mod P). 0 Remark. If U(t), tE T} is a martingale and T contains a maximal element then the family of random variables ~(t), tE T, is uniformly integrable. A u{I5" tE T}-measurable random variable TI appearing in representation (6) is called the boundary value 0/ the martingale ~(t), tE T. It was shown in Volume I, Chapter III, Section 4 that under very general assumptions there exists-for a given semimartingale-a stochastically equivalent process {(t), 15" t;;;.:O} with sampie functions belonging to .@[O,oo), and, moreover, the current of u-algebras ~, is continuous from the right, i.e., '<It>O. In this section we shall assurne, unless stated otherwise, that the semimartingales under consideration possess these properties. Quasi-martingales. Let {15" t;;;.: O} be a current of u-algebras continuous from the right (1St = ISt+). Definition. A process {~(t), t;;;.: O} adopted to 1St is called a quasi -martingale (lSt-quasi-martingale) if EI~(t)1 < 00 '<It;;;.:O and n-I sup L EI~(td-E{~(tk+l)II5,.}I=v<oo, k~O where the supremum is taken over arbitrary values of n and tJ, t2, ... , tn; O,,;;;;to< tl < t2<· .. < tn <00. It will be shown below that a study of quasi-martingales can be reduced to a study ofsemimartingales. As examples of quasi-martingales, one may note martingales, super (sub )martingales for which inf E~(t» -00 (sup E~(t)< 00) and also processes which are differences of two supermartingales. It turns out that these examples exhaust all the possible quasi-martingales. Set 8(s, t)=~(s)-E{~(t)ll5s} (s<t), a(t)=E~(t). Then n-l n-l L la(td-a(tk+I)1 = L IE8(tb tk+I)I,,;;;; V, k~O k~O

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