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Krelle Institut für Gesellschafts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Universität Bonn Adenauerallee 24-42, 0-5300 Bonn, FRG Authors Prof. Koji Okuguchi Department of Economics Tokyo Metropolitan University 1-1-1 Yakumo, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, Japan Prof. Ferenc Szidarovszky Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science University of Economics, Budapest Dimitrov ter 8 Budapest, IX, Hungary ISBN 978-3-540-52567-7 ISBN 978-3-662-02622-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-662-02622-9 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, wh ether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, re-use of illustrations, tecitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in other ways, and storage in data banks Duolication of this publication or parts thereof is only permitted under the provisions of the German Copyright Law 01 September 9, 1965, in its version of June 24, 1985, and a copyright fee must always be paid. Violations fall under the prosecution act of the German Copyright Law. © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1990 Originally published by Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg New York in 1990 2142/3140-543210 - Printed on acid-Iree paper Preface In the mid nineteen-sixties both authors undertook independent works in oligopoly and game theory. However, it was not until 1983 that they formally met. Since then they have continued meeting yearly, either in Budapest or Tokyo. Their collaboration has resulted in numerous pub lications as well as in this work. Essentially, this book has two origins. First, it originated in previous results, either published or circulated in mimeograph form. Finely sifting their results the authors constructed a concise reinter pretation of their achievement to date. However this unifying process led to the second origin. Reconsideration, particularly in this compre hensive approach, generated new results. This was especially true in the analysis of the existence, uniqueness and global stability of the Cournot-Nash equilibrium for oligopoly with multi-product firms. This book should be ideal for graduate students in economics or mathematics. However, as the authors have firmly grounded their ideas in the formal language of mathematics, the student should possess some background in calculus, linear algebra, and ordinary differential and difference equations. Additionally,the book should be useful to re searchers in oligopoly and game theory as weil as to mathematically oriented economists. The methodology developed for analyzing the exist ence and stability of oligopoly equilibrium should prove useful also in theoretical analysis of other economic models. We are both very grateful to Professor W. Krelle for his careful review and helpful suggestions. In addition, Koji Okuguchiwishes to thank Professors Krelle, Bös and Selten for arranging his stay at the Institut für Gesellschafts-und Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Universität Bonn. It was here that some important results were obtained. Ferenc Szidarovszky is indebted to the Department of Mathematical Sciences at the University of Texas at El Paso and to the Department of Systems and Industrial Engineering at the University of Arizona. Both of these in stitutions offered ideal working conditions during his visiting profes sorships. Additionally, Szidarovszky thanks Professor J. Szep of the University of Economics in BUdapest,for his help during various stages of research. Finally both authors thank Eva Nemeth, at the same university, for her efficient and accurate secretarial work. Contents Chapter 1. Introduction. ......•............................•......... 1 Chapter 2. Oligopoly Garnes and Their Extensions ..•..•.........•...•.. 2 2.1. The Cournot Hodel and Its Variants ..•....•......•......•.... 3 2.2. Models wi th Product Differentiation ...•.•...........•......• 8 2.3. Mul tiproduct Hodels •....•.•.••....•...................•...•. 9 2.4. Group Equilibrium Problems .........•.•.•.••......•........• 11 2.5. Supplementary Notes and Discussions .•....•.•......•....•... 13 Chapter 3. Existence and Uniqueness Results ...•.•••••...•.•.•....•.. 14 3.1. Existence Results for Hultiproduct Oligopoly •••......•..... 14 3.2. Relation of Equilibrium Problems to Fixed Point and Nonlinear Complementarity Problems ...•.....•.•....•.•••.... 19 3.3. Uniqueness and Properties of Equilibria in the Classical Game •.•....•••••.•..•.•..••....•.•..••.•..••....••......•.. 25 3.4. Linear Oligopoly Markets ••••..••.••..•.......•.....•..•.... 31 3.5. Numerical Methods for Finding Cournot-Nash Equilibria ...... 34 3.6. Supplementary Notes and Discussions ••.•••.•.•.........•...• 38 Chapter 4. Dynamic Oligopoly with Discrete Time Scale •..•..•....•.•• 41 4.1. Classical Results •••••.•..•...•••..•.....•..•.••.....•.•... 42 4.2. Adaptive Expectations ..•••......•........•....•••......••.. 50 4.3. Combined Expectations ..•.•...••....•..••.••....••.••.•.•... 62 4.4. Sequential Adjustment Processes ...•..•...•....••.....•..... 69 4.5. Extrapolative Expectations .....•..•.•••..•..•••••...••.•... 76 4.6. Supplementary Notes and Discussions .•••.••..••.....••.....• 81 Chapter 5. Dynamic Oligopoly with Continuous Time Scale ••.....•.•... 82 5.1. Classical Resul ts ...•...........•..•..........•.....•.•..•. 83 5.2. Adaptive Expectations ....•....•...•..•.....•...•..•......•. 88 5.3. Combined Expectations •••••...•........•.•...•.•.....••..•.• 99 5.4. Extrapolative Expectations .............•.................. 105 5.5. Supplementary Notes and Discussions .......•...........•••. 108 Chapter 6. Extensions and Generalizations ..••.•.....•.......••.... 109 6.1. Quadratic Games under Discrete Time Scale ••••••...••....•• 109 6.2. Quadratic Garnes under Continuous Time Scale .••...•...•.•.. 122 6.3. Time uependent Hodels .......•.•....•.••....•.......•....•• 125 6.4. Nonlinear Oligopolies under Discrete Time Scale ....... ····132 6.5. Nonlinear Oligopolies under Continuous Time Scale·.·······144 6.6. Supplementary Notes and Discussions .•...........•........• 162 References Chapter INTRODUCTION Since the appearance of the classic book by Cournot in 1838, in creasing attention has been given to oligopoly. Oligopoly is astate of industry where a small number of firms produce homogeneous goods or close substitutes competitively. Many models consider this situation as a static noncooperative game, which is not repeated in time. In these models the central prob lem is to find sufficient conditions which guarantee the existence and uniqueness of the so called Cournot or Cournot-Nash equilibrium. This concept will be defined and examined in Chapters 2 and 3. The static models do not describe the real economic situations properly since the firms produce and seil goods on the market repeated ly over time. This fact implies that dynamic models which are able to describe and analyse the dynamic behavior of firms are more apropriate. These models can be divided into two main groups. In the first type the time scale is assumed discrete, and the second assumed continuous. In both types of models no time lag is assumed between producing and sell ing the goods. At any time period the profit of each firm depends not only on its outputs but also on the outputs of all other firms which are unknown to the firms when they make their production decisions. Hence at each time t ~ 0, each firm must form expectations on other firms' most likely outputs. Cournot examined this situation under discrete time scale and assumed that in each per iod each firm believed that all its rivals' outputs would remain the same as in the preceding per iod. This simpli fying assumption has been modified and generalized by several economists for oligopoly with or without product differentiation and with single product firms. In this book two types of generalizations will be con sidered for oligopoly with multiproduct firms: adaptive and extrapola tive expectations. The development of this book is as foliows. After discussing static models in Chapters 2 and 3, dynamic models with discrete time scale will be discussed in Chapter 4. In Section 4.1 expectations ! la Cournot will 2 be analysed and adaptive expectations will be discussed in Section 4.2. The combination of these two types of expectations will be investigated in Section 4.3. A special sequential adjustment process under expecta a tions la Cour not will be introduced in Section 4.4, and extrapolative expectations will be discussed in Section 4.5. Models under continuous time scale will be examined in Chapter 5.Sections 5.1, 5.2, 5.3 and 5.4 are the continuous time-scale counterparts of the corresponding dis crete time-scale models discussed in Sections 4.1, 4.2, 4.3 and 4.5, respectively. In Chapters 4 and 5 it is assumed that the price (or in verse demand) functions are linear and that all cost functions are quadratic. Under these assumptions quite strong stability conditions would be derived. Special problems and further generalizations are presented in Chapter 6. The generalizations of the results of Chapters 4 and 5 to quadratic games are introduced in Section 6.1 and 6.2 under both discrete and continuous time-scales. All models so far mentioned are based on the assumption that price and cost functions do not change over time. In long-term models this is an unrealistic assumption since inflation, innovation and any other circumstances may affect these functions. In Section 6.3 we therefore consider models which incorporate time dependent price and cost functions. The last two sections of the book will discuss nonlinear models with both discrete and continuous time scales. We added a supplementary section to each chapter in order to discuss the relations of our results to earlier works and also to outline further research areas. Finally,we mention that all of our models are formulated in partial equilibrium model framework in the sense that oligopoly is analysed without considering its impacts on other industries and/or those from other industries. In our models, however, multi-product firms are ex plicitly introduced. All theoretical results so far obtained by other economists on oligopoly without product differentiation as weIl as on oligopoly with product differentiation but with single product firms will emerge as special cases of our results. Chapter 2 OLIGOPOLY GAMES AND THEIR EXTENSIONS In this chapter several versions of the oligopoly game are intro duced. The most simple model, the classical oligopoly game, will be first described and then its extensions will be analysed. 3 2.1. The Cour not Model and Its Variants Consider a market in which N firms produce a homogeneous good to sell for a unit price which depends on the total output of the industry.1 Assurne that each firm faces a cost of production which depends only on the output of the firm itself. If Lk denotes the production capacity of firm k, then it can decide abo°ut its own output xk' which therefore should satisfy the inequality ~ xk ~ Lk• Thus, the set of strategies of firm k is given by the closed bounded interval [O,Lkl. Let p and Ck (k=1,2, ••• ,N) denote the unit price function and cost function of firm k. This market situation can be modelled as an N-person game where the set of strategies of player (firm) k is the interval Xk = [O,Lkl, and its payoff function (profit), can be formulated as N <Pk(x1,x2, ••• ,xN) = xkP( L xQ,) - Ck(xk). (2.1.1) Q,=1 The Cournot otigopoty is an N-person noncooperative game defined by sets Xk of strategies and payoff functions <Pk (i=1,2, ••• ,N). By using the strategi~ form notations (see e.g.,Friedman, 1986) of N-person games, Cournot oligopoly may be denoted by r = {N; X1 , •.• ,~;<P1' ••• ,<PN}. The solution of the Cournot oligopoly is Nash-Cournot equilibrium point which can be defined as follows. Definition 2.1.1. A vector ~l f = (xl1f ' .•• ,xlNf ) is called a Nash-Cournot equitibrium point of game r, if for k=1,2, •.• ,N, (a) (b) For arbitrary xk e Xk, (2.1. 2) In other words, the Nash Cour not equilibrium point is an N-tuple of strategies for which each player naximizes his own payoff with respect to his own strategy selection, given the strategy choices of all other players. That is, no player can increase his payoff by changing his strR~egy unilaterally. Some authors refer to the above equilibrium point as an equilibrium in pure strategies. Since in this book no mixed (i.e. probabilistic) The economic interpretation of this property will be presented in Footnote 4. 4 strategies will be considered equilibria will mean only pure strategy equilibria. A Cournot oligopoly does not necessarily have an equilibrium point. The following example shows a duopoly (2-person game) in which no equi librium point exists. Exarnple 2.1.1. Select N=2, and define X1=X2=[O,;J. Set s = xl + x2' P (s) l-s, Ck (xk) = { IOxk" if 0 < xk $ 21 ' (k=l ,2) , 10, if xk = o. Let (xl1f ,xl2f ) be an equilibrium point, if there exists any. Assume first that xllf > o. Then CJll (xl'x~) = xl (1-xl-x~)-10xl-5 -x12 -(9x1+x1xl2f +5) , and Consequently for any xl' such that xl1f -x1 is sufficiently small positive number, hence (xl1f ,xl2f ) is not an equilibrium point. Assume next that xl1f =O. Then but We note that a similar example is presented in Okuguchi (1976). Even in cases when equilibrium point exists the uniqueness of the equilibrium point is not generally true. This is illustrated next.

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