TECHNICAL REPORT 007/15 THE STATE OF THE GLOBAL CLEAN AND IMPROVED COOKING SECTOR ENERGY SECTOR MANAGEMENT ASSISTANCE PROGRAM The Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP) is a global knowledge and technical assistance program administered by the World Bank. It provides analytical and advisory services to low- and middle-income countries to increase their know-how and institutional capacity to achieve environmentally sustainable energy solutions for pov- erty reduction and economic growth. ESMAP is funded by Australia, Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and the United Kingdom, as well as the World Bank. GLOBAL ALLIANCE FOR CLEAN COOKSTOVES The Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (Alliance) is a public-private partnership hosted by the UN Foundation to save lives, improve livelihoods, empower women, and protect the environment by creating a thriving global market for clean and efficient house- hold cooking solutions. The Alliance’s 100 by ‘20 goal calls for 100 million households to adopt clean and efficient cookstoves and fuels by 2020. We are working with a strong network of public, private, and non-profit partners to help overcome the market barriers that currently impede the production, deployment, and use of clean cookstoves and fuels in developing countries. Copyright © May 2015 The International Bank for Reconstruction And Development / THE WORLD BANK GROUP 1818 H Street, NW | Washington DC 20433 | USA Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP) reports are published to communicate the results of ESMAP’s work to the development community. Some sources cited in this report may be informal documents not readily available. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this report are entirely those of the author(s) and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, or its affiliated organizations, or to members of its board of executive directors for the countries they represent, or to ESMAP. The World Bank and ESMAP do not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accept no responsibility whatsoever for any consequence of their use. The boundar- ies, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this volume do not imply on the part of the World Bank Group any judgment on the legal status of any territory or the endorsement of acceptance of such boundaries. The text of this publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or nonprofit uses, without special permission provided ac- knowledgement of the source is made. Requests for permission to reproduce portions for resale or commercial purposes should be sent to the ESMAP Manager at the address below. ESMAP encourages dissemination of its work and normally gives permission promptly. The ESMAP Manager would appreciate receiving a copy of the publication that uses this publication for its source sent in care of the address above. All images remain the sole property of their source and may not be used for any purpose without written permission from the source. Written by | Venkata Ramana Putti, Michael Tsan, Sumi Mehta, Srilata Kammila Energy Sector Management Assistance Program | Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves | The World Bank TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword vi Acknowledgements ix Abbreviations x Terminology xi Executive Summary 1 A. Key Findings 2 B. Recommendations 9 1 | Introduction 12 A. Typology of Improved and Clean Solutions 12 B. Report Objectives 14 C. Report Methodology 15 D. Report Scope 16 E. Report Structure 17 2 | The Case for Clean and Improved Cooking 18 A. The Impact of Cooking with Solid Fuels 18 B. Mitigation Potential of Improved and Clean Stoves 38 3 | THE Demand for Clean and Improved Cooking Energy 62 A. Overview of Global Fuel Landscape 62 B. Understanding the Consumer 71 4 | The Supply Landscape 84 A. Typology 84 B. Technology Trends 88 C. Current Market Status 94 5 | The Cooking Appliance Supply Chain 104 A. Research and Development 104 B. Production Models 104 C. Distribution 107 D. Consumer Marketing 109 E. After-Sales Service 110 F. Product Economics 110 6 | The Sector Ecosystem 116 A. Overview 116 B. Roles of Actors within the Ecosystem 118 C. Public and Donor Sector Engagement Models 119 D. Policy and Standards Landscape 122 E. The Financing Challenge 125 7 | Looking Forward and Recommendations 136 A. The Base Case for Sector Development 136 B. Barriers to More Rapid Growth 137 C. Potential for Faster Sector Development 140 D. Recommendations 142 Bibliography 147 iii List of Boxes, Figures, and Tables Box 3.1: Lessons from Marketing of Solar Lighting 79 Box 4.1: Emerging Fuel Technologies: Renewable Briquettes and Pellets 93 Box 7.1: Methodology: Forecasting Stove Penetration 137 Figure 1.1: Overview of Improved and Clean Cooking Technologies 13 Figure 2.1: Global Use of Solid Fuel for Cooking 19 Figure 2.2: Household Air Pollution Mortality and Morbidity, by Region 22 Figure 2.3: Global Solid-Fuel Cooking Biomass Pressure Map 27 Figure 2.4: Total Household Expenditures on Residential Cooking Fuels 29 Figure 2.5: Energy Share of Total Household Expenditures in Several Countries (%) 30 Figure 2.6: Energy Spending of Rural vs. Urban Consumers 31 Figure 2.7: Energy Spending of Top vs. Bottom Income Quintiles 32 Figure 2.8: Gender-Disaggregated Health Impacts 35 Figure 2.9: Firewood Collection and Cooking Time, by Gender 37 Figure 2.10: Field vs. Lab Performance of Rocket Stoves 41 Figure 2.11: Illustrative Examples of Baseline Cooking Technology Persistence 48 Figure 2.12: Employment Potential, by Fuel Type 50 Figure 2.13: Exposure Response Curve for Risk of Child Pneumonia from Particulate Matter 52 Figure 3.1: Solid and Modern Fuel Usage, by Region 62 Figure 3.2: Urban and Rural Fuel Use in the Developing World 64 Figure 3.3: Global Urban and Rural Fuel Use, by Region (population, millions) 65 Figure 3.4: Use of Solid and Modern Fuels, by Country 66 Figure 3.5: Forecast of Solid Fuel Users, by Region 67 Figure 3.6: Evolution of Primary Cooking Fuel Mix 68 Figure 3.7: Solid and Modern Fuel Usage, by Region 69 Figure 3.8: Nominal Average Price Trend for Key Cooking Fuels (2009–12) 70 Figure 3.9: Historical Fuel Cost for the Average Household in Sub-Saharan Africa 71 Figure 3.10: Cooking Consumer Segmentation, Rural vs. Urban 74 Figure 3.11: Consumer Fuel Segmentation, by Income and Region 75 Figure 3.12: Rural Household Willingness to Pay for Improved Cooking Solutions 76 Figure 3.13: Interest in Using Improved Cooking Solutions at any Price Point 78 Figure 3.14: Mapping Ability and Willingness to Pay, by Cooking Consumer Segments 79 Figure 3.15: Barriers to Adoption, by Consumer Segment 80 Figure 4.1: ISO Technical Committee 285 on Clean Cookstoves and Clean Cooking Solutions – Ongoing Progress 85 Figure 4.2: Thermal Efficiency and Emissions Ranges, by Stove Type 86 Figure 4.3: Indicative Health and Climate Impact, by Stove Type 87 Figure 4.4: Various Performance Metrics, by Stove Type 88 Figure 4.5: Overview of Charcoal Kiln Technologies 94 Figure 4.6: Cooking Technologies, by Regio 95 Figure 4.7: Distribution of Ceramic Jiko and Comparable Models in Sub-Saharan Africa 99 The State of the Global Clean and Improved Cooking Sector iv Figure 4.8: Stoves and Organizations Tracked by the Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves 100 Figure 4.9: Annual Sales of Industrial and Semi-Industrially Produced Stoves 101 Figure 4.10: Regional Segmentation of Modern Fuels 102 Figure 5.1: The Production and Post-Production Value Chains 105 Figure 5.2: Illustrative Production Models and Sector Actors 106 Figure 5.3: Illustrative Emerging Distribution Channels for Clean Cookstoves 108 Figure 5.4: Distribution of Costs along the Improved Stove Value Chain, by Production Process 111 Figure 5.5: Price and Annual Average Cost for Various Cooking Appliances 112 Figure 5.6: Improved Cookstove Cost Structure for Artisanal, Semi-Industrial, and Industrial Models 113 Figure 6.1: Overview of Clean and Improved Cooking Ecosystem 116 Figure 6.2: Examples of Key Players in Clean Cooking Sector 117 Figure 6.3: Illustrative List of Non-Governmental Organizations and Investors, by Fuel Type 118 Figure 6.4: Global Cookstove Programs Over Time 121 Figure 6.5: Examples of Cookstove Testing Facilities around the Globe 123 Figure 6.6: Financing Facilities from the Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves 124 Figure 6.7: State of the Global Cookstoves Carbon Finance Market 132 Figure 7.1: Base Case Market Growth Forecast 136 Figure 7.2: Major Barriers Affecting the Clean Cooking Appliance Ecosystem 139 Figure 7.3: Barriers, by Technology Type 140 Figure 7.4: Funding for Clean and Improved Cooking Solutions 141 Table 2.1: Negative Externalities of Solid Fuel Cooking, by Impact Area 20 Table 2.2: Economic Impact of Global Solid Fuel Dependence ($, billions) 21 Table 3.1: Developing World Cooking Consumer Segmentation 72 Table 4.1: Regional Segmentation of Solid Fuel Improved Cooking Solutions 96 Table 4.2: Estimated Penetration of Renewable Cooking Technologies 102 Table 5.1: Research and Development Models 105 Table 6.1: Financing Needs, by Player 126 Table 6.2: Financing Solutions for Suppliers 127 Table 6.3: Financing Solutions for Consumers 129 Table of Contents v FOREWORD This is a moment of great opportunity for the clean cooking sector. While experts have been working for decades on improving cookstoves and scaling up access to clean cooking fuels and technologies, only recently has this issue become a major priority on the global development agenda. The world has woken up to the serious health, environmental, and economic impacts of continued dependence on biomass for cooking. At the same time, rapid progress in technology and new financial mechanisms to support this sector have made real change possible. Access to clean cooking is also central to the Sustainable Energy for All (SE4ALL) initiative, which is backed by a large and diverse global coalition of international organizations, the private sector, and civil society, and co-chaired by UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim. The three overarching SE4ALL goals to be achieved by 2030—universal access to modern energy services, doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix, and doubling the rate of improvement of energy efficiency—have now been broadly accepted, including by 82 developing countries that have opted into SE4ALL. The result has been a large number of initiatives to help achieve universal access to clean cookstoves and cooking fuels by 2030 as part of the universal energy access goal. At this defining moment, the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP) of the World Bank is pleased to present this report on The State of the Global Clean and Improved Cooking Sector, jointly developed with the Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves. This report follows on a major re- engagement by the World Bank in this sector, through interventions such as Africa Clean Cooking Energy Solutions (ACCES), the East Asia and Pacific Clean Stove initiative (EAP CSI), and the SE4ALL Technical Assistance Program, which is focused on helping countries meet the universal energy access goal. Our strategic partnership with Global Alliance has informed our work in these endeavors, which has now been further strengthened with the new joint initiative to spur the adoption of clean and efficient cooking and heating solutions in developing countries. We believe this report will be a key reference for sector practitioners. Beyond the comprehensive assessment of the current state of the cookstoves sector, the report provides the first global baseline for clean and improved cooking, including analyses of fuel and stove penetration, end-user segmentation, and industry structure. It also proposes a common terminology to define various types and categories of cooking devices. It offers lessons and recommendations that we hope will guide key stakeholders—governments, private sector, and the donor community—in developing increasingly effective interventions to help billions of people who still rely on biomass for their cooking needs. Rohit Khanna Manager Energy Sector Management Assistance Program The State of the Global Clean and Improved Cooking Sector vi FOREWORD 2015 is a critically important year for international development. Events such as the Post-2015 Summit, the Beijing+20 conference, and the 21st session of the Conference of Parties (COP) give world leaders an unprecedented opportunity to make momentous progress on health, women’s empowerment, the environment, and climate protection. This year, the focus must be on implementation of proven solutions that can deliver benefits across multiple sectors and are ready to scale up. Consider, for a moment, the simple act of cooking. Imagine if we could change the way nearly five hundred million families cook their food each day. It could slow climate change, drive gender equality, and reduce poverty. The health benefits would be enormous. Four years ago, when the Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (Alliance) was first launched, the issue of household air pollution and the enormous health toll that the smoke from traditional cookstoves and fuels took on the lives of women and their families in the developing world, received far less attention and funding than it deserved. Hundreds of millions of women were literally risking their lives each day to cook food for their families over inefficient cookstoves and polluting open fires, and spending hours gathering fuel often at great personal risk. The environmental toll in terms of land degradation, deforestation, and air pollution was poorly documented and largely ignored by the donor community. Just a few years later, and with support from over 1,000 diverse global partners, including the World Bank, the Alliance has made tremendous progress to develop new markets for clean cookstoves and fuels. With growing global attention and a shift from an aid-driven approach to a market-based one that is built on the premise of sustainability, there are now at least 20 million additional households using cleaner and/or more efficient cookstoves and fuels around the world. The Alliance is supporting market development in a number of ways: by strengthening capacity and innovation within existing enterprises to ensure that high-quality cookstoves and fuels could be brought to scale; by bringing in new manufacturers and distributors to further enhance the sector’s reach; by creating awareness of and mobilizing capital for investment ready enterprises; by integrating women throughout the cookstove and fuel value chains through our Women’s Empowerment Fund; and by advocating for the advancement of policies that will enable and accelerate the clean cookstoves and fuels market. The Alliance has also led the development of the standards process through engagement with the International Organization for Standardization. We are now closer to achieving a set of global standards that will help us deliver high-quality, effective, and independently tested products. While the World Bank and Alliance have worked closely over the past few years, the Cookstove Future Summit marked the announcement of an even closer collaboration between our organizations to scale up adoption of cleaner and more efficient cookstoves and fuels. This new partnership offers a chance not only to deepen the close overall working relationship we have formed to tackle the Foreword vii issue of household air pollution, but also the opportunity to mobilize the financial, technical, and policy resources needed to transform the clean cooking sector in more than a dozen focus countries. Working together to advance many of the learnings from the past four years will allow us to leverage our respective strengths in market development, standards and testing, investment, policy design, and capacity building, and support the sector in an unprecedented way that will ultimately lead to wider impact in health, gender, climate, and livelihoods. We are pleased to work with the Bank to release this comprehensive mapping report on the clean cooking sector and build upon the Alliance’s annual Results Report. The sector is a dynamic one and this report should be seen less as a representation of the sector at a given point in time, but rather one that identifies and discusses the larger trends that we are seeing and that we need to be investing in to achieve the Alliance’s 100 by 2020 goal and the larger Sustainable Energy for All goal of universal adoption of clean cookstoves and fuels by the year 2030. Radha Muthiah Chief Executive Officer Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves The State of the Global Clean and Improved Cooking Sector viii
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