Ford/Southampton Studies in North/South Security Relations Managing editor: Dr JOHN SIMPSON Executive editor: Dr PHIL WILLIAMS The Soviet Union and the strategy of non-alignment in the Third World Ford Foundation Research Project 'North/South Security Relations', University of Southampton Principal Researchers: Professor p. A. R. CALVERT Dr j. SIMPSON Dr c. A. THOMAS Dr..P.. WILLIAMS Dr R. ALLISON While the Ford Foundation has supported this study financially, it does not necessarily endorse the findings. Opinions expressed are the responsibility of the author. The Soviet Union and the strategy of non-alignment in the Third World ROY ALLISON Lecturer, Centre for Russian and East European Studies University of Birmingham The right of the University of Cambridge to print and sell all manner of books was granted by Henry VIII in 1534. The University has printed and published continuously since 1584. CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS CAMBRIDGE NEW YORK NEW ROCHELLE MELBOURNE SYDNEY CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS Cambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, Sao Paulo Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 8RU, UK Published in the United States of America by Cambridge University Press, New York www.cambridge.org Information on this title: www.cambridge.org/9780521355117 © Cambridge University Press 1988 This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 1988 A catalogue record for this publication is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloguing in Publication data Allison, Roy The Soviet Union and the strategy of non-alignment in the Third World/Roy Allison. p. cm. Bibliography. Includes index. ISBN 0-521-35511-7 1. Soviet Union - Foreign relations - Developing countries. 2. Developing countries - Foreign relations - Soviet Union. 3. Nonalignment. I. Title. JX1555.Z7D443 1988 327.47 01724- -de 19 88-10230 CIP ISBN 978-0-521-35511-7 hardback Transferred to digital printing 2008 Contents Acknowledgements page vi Introduction i The strategy of non-alignment i The Soviet view of neutrality 7 The Soviet view of non-alignment in the international order 21 The concept of Third World neutralism 21 The concept of non-alignment and the Non-Aligned Movement 31 Non-alignment and the socialist system 41 Non-alignment as an option for small socialist states 59 The Soviet Union and the search for international security by the non-aligned states 79 Superpower conflict prevention 79 Disarmament 94 A new international economic order 111 Soviet policy and neutralisation in the Third World 126 The neutralisation of Southeast Asia 132 The neutralisation of the Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean Sea 147 The neutralisation of Afghanistan 161 Soviet policy and military alignment in the Third World 180 Alliances and pacts 182 Bases and military facilities 197 Friendship, cooperation and assistance treaties 214 Conclusion 242 Notes 253 Select bibliography 276 Index 289 Acknowledgements This book was researched and written at St Antony's College, Oxford and the Department of Politics, the University of Southampton. I am particularly grateful for the support received from both these institutions. St Antony's College provided a most congenial intellectual environment for broad research on Soviet foreign policy. I remain endebted to the Centre of Russian Studies for the use of its facilities during my attachment to the College as a post-doctoral research fellow. Many fellows and students helped motivate my research in different ways; Mr A. Brown and Professor E. A. Roberts are to be thanked in particular. The Department of Politics at Southampton University also provided me with excellent facilities for the completion of the manuscript and generously offered me a senior research fellowship for 1986-87, which was attached to the Ford Foundation project on North/South Security Relations. I am very grateful to all the project members for their consistent encouragement and assistance, Dr J. Simpson, the project coordinator, deserves special thanks. I am also beholden to the Law Faculty of Moscow State University for making me welcome during a productive six week visit under an exchange scheme arranged by the British Council. Various Soviet academic institutes were helpful during this visit, including IMEMO and the Institute of State and Law. I am thankful in addition to the academics I met in the Jawaharlal Nehru University and to numerous Indian diplomats and officials who were interviewed during a research visit to New Delhi. Mrs S. Morphet offered very useful comments on the early chapters of the manuscript. Caroline Kennedy assisted greatly in checking the script. I thankfully acknowledge the financial support I received from the ESRC, which provided for my fellowship at Oxford, and from the Ford Foundation for my period of research in Southampton. VI Introduction THE STRATEGY OF NON-ALIGNMENT Western analysts are in general agreement that since the mid 1950s the Soviet Union has made strenuous attempts to capture the middle ground between the Eastern and Western alliance systems. Soviet leaders have had little interest in sustaining the intermediate position of states between the primary military structures for its own sake, but they have accepted the tactical necessity of supporting and promoting such independence as part of a broader competition with the West. Soviet officials made it abundantly clear in the 1950s and 1960s, however, that their view of international affairs is premised on an underlying struggle between two opposing and irreconcilable socio-economic systems. The emergence of a considerable number of new states which ideologically and politically were committed to neither East nor West did not shake this Soviet postulate. The non-bloc states became an established and numerically significant component of the international order, which Soviet leaders were among the first to acknowledge. But Soviet officials have remained circumspect about their broader strategic designs for such militarily 'uncommitted' states. This warrants a systematic examination of how successive Soviet leaders have sought to coordinate their policies with the 'Non-Aligned World' and how Soviet policy-makers have employed the idea of military non-alignment as a specific strategic device in the Third World. The focus of Western studies of Soviet political and military involvement in the Third World has tended to reflect the primary concern of Western statesmen - the assertive Soviet use of direct military and political instruments in pursuit of unilateral gains in Third World regions. Particular attention has been paid to Soviet conduct in regional crises or conflict, Soviet power projection capabilities and Soviet arms transfers. Introduction Soviet force projection and the provision of military supplies undeniably are significant instruments enabling the Soviet Union to enhance and sustain political influence for periods in specific countries or regions. But such military links as the Soviet Union has cultivated have arisen generally on an ad hoc basis and have been of uncertain duration. For most of the post-war period they have been rather negligible as countermeasures to Western-sponsored or Western-oriented alliance structures and bilateral military agreements in the Third World. Throughout the 1950s and 1960s Soviet doctrine predisposed Soviet leaders to expect that their military position in the Third World would eventually improve in the wake of revolutionary structural socio-economic changes which, they believed, would orient the policies of the majority of developing countries firmly against the West. It was apparent by the 1970s that such economic determinism could not be relied on to develop Soviet political influence or military capabilities in the Third World. To be sure, Soviet support for a number of new revolutionary regimes developed into close bilateral military relationships, but these by no means offset Western military and political preponderance in Asia, Africa and Latin America. The underlying Soviet strategy, in this situation of comparative disadvantage, has been one of military denial to the Western powers, of impeding Western access to military assets in Third World regions. The Soviet strategy of military denial in the Third World was originally intended to hamper the creation of new alliance systems by the West in the 1950s and to retard military links between the newly independent states and the Western powers. This design, to deny the territories of Third World states for Western military purposes, to anticipate and decry ensuing forms of political and economic dependency, was congruent in many respects with the anti-bloc impulse which governed the emergent policies of neutralism and non-alignment among an increasing number of developing states in the 1950s and 1960s. Soviet leaders sought both to dissuade countries from entering Western-dominated alliances and pacts and to encourage those already within them to resist integrative influences. Third World tendencies towards military abstention in the Cold War contest could be realised in the creation of' zones of peace' free of Western military ties. The states in such regions were expected, however, to be sympathetic to Soviet initiatives on international security issues. These military objectives did not appear over-ambitious in view of the strong anti-colonial and by extension anti-Western sentiments of many newly independent states. From the Soviet perspective a strategy of non-alignment could combine military denial of * third areas' to the West with the propagation The strategy of non-alignment among them of broad Soviet initiatives on regional security and disarmament. Moscow regarded neutralism and non-alignment, therefore, as an integral component of the competitive struggle between East and West, rather than a disengaged influence on this struggle. This assessment was reinforced by the Soviet doctrinal outlook which assumed that the policy of non-alignment actually pursued by states is linked to their socio- economic formation. Consequently, both neutralism and non-alignment were conceived as transitional and developmental drawing their character from changes in the domestic and international environments. Soviet spokesmen believed that the global ' correlation of forces' would shift in favour of the 'socialist system of states'. They characterised the policy of non-alignment, therefore, as a process which over the passage of time should orient the states led by its principles towards ever closer political and military association with the Soviet led group of states. Non-alignment in their view could not be conceived as a static condition of political equidistance. In this sense Soviet officials, at least until the late 1970s, considered non-alignment ideally as a policy of short-term military and political denial to the West which prefigured a longer-term tendency common to the Third World as a whole of increasing political and possibly military integration with the Eastern system of states. At this point it should be emphasised that such a conception of non- alignment diverges substantially from the notion which Third World and Yugoslav statesmen originally elaborated more than a quarter of a century ago. Non-alignment and its precursor neutralism were conceived as an independent approach to foreign policy, as a means for the new African and Asian states to avoid becoming drawn into the Cold War competition of the superpowers. The key requirement was non-participation in entangling Great Power alliances. Neutralism in essence constituted a rejection of the East-West rivalry represented by the Cold War and a wholesale renunciation of the value system engendered by this contest. Since the late 1940s numerous decolonised states professed this outlook which, contrary to the Eurocentric and international legal status of neutrality, had no legal substance and embraced a wide range of diplomatic behaviour. In the 1960s influential leaders of the non-bloc states who wished to assume a more active role in mediating East-West conflict and to project their own demands on the North-South agenda cultivated the notion of non-alignment. This displaced the more passive and isolationist policy of neutralism. Neutralism anyway had a confusing character since the term Introduction had been employed in the 1950s in the context of debate over the military aspects of East-West relations within Europe. It has surfaced periodically also as a term to convey resistance to the military integration of the Western alliance from within that structure itself. Non-alignment has never been a concept which applies exclusively to the conduct of Third World states. Yugoslavia had a formative influence on the character of non-alignment and played an influential role in its gradual institutionalisation into the Non-Aligned Movement of states. Tito of Yugoslavia, Nasser of Egypt and Nehru of India were the primary figures behind the convention of the first summit of non-aligned states in Belgrade in 1961. Nevertheless, the political programme which became associated with non-alignment contains a Third World rather than European ethos. Non-alignment has become somewhat of a misnomer therefore when used to refer to the non-bloc aspects of European neutral countries such as Sweden. The term is still used occasionally in the context of neutrality in Europe but this should be distinguished from the foreign policy approach promoted by the Non-Aligned Movement. As far back as 1947 Prime Minister Nehru of India explained the difference between neutrality and the Indian policy of non-alignment. He noted that India would not attach itself to any particular group in the Cold War contest but regarded this as unrelated to neutrality or passivity. While it would be rather difficult to remain neutral in world war, Nehru stated that 'we are not going to join a war if we can help it; and we are going to join the side which is to our interest when the choice comes to it'.1 This understanding was developed at a conference of the Uncommitted Countries held in Cairo in June 1961 in preparation for the Belgrade Conference held later that year. The Cairo participants formulated certain criteria of non-alignment which did not preclude membership in all multilateral/bilateral alliances and regional defence arrangements, but only those conceived in the context of the Cold War, of 'Great Power conflicts'. The concession of military bases by non-aligned states was prohibited also only within this context. These provisions were directed against military alignment in the Cold War, conceived as full membership in non-regional multilateral pacts, and as such expressed a neutralist impulse. Their qualified character reflected the fact, however, that nine of the Belgrade participants had strong military ties, outside of the main Cold War alliances, with the United States or Great Britain.2 It should be emphasised that such military ties and the receipt of large quantities of military aid and supplies (even by belligerent states backed by rival superpower patrons) have continued to
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