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The South China Sea: From a Regional Maritime Dispute to Geo-Strategic Competition PDF

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The South China Sea This book explores the very latest developments in the South China Sea mar- itime dispute. It examines the South China Sea as an arena for geostrategic competition between China and the US and why the dispute is so important for regional and global geopolitics. It outlines the most recent developments in the sea itself and assesses the role of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the current views of the contesting claimants. It con- siders the position of countries from outside the region, India as well as Japan; surveys military and naval developments; and examines confidence building, preventive diplomacy, and dispute resolution measures. The book concludes by highlighting the points of greatest risk and by discussing how the situation is likely to develop going forward. Leszek Buszynski is an honorary professor with the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University, Canberra, A ustralia. From 1997 to 2010, he was Professor of International Relations in the Graduate School of International Relations at the International University of Japan. He has published widely on Asia-Pacific security issues and is co- editor of the Routledge series on Asia-Pacific Security. His most recent publications include: The Geopolitics of the Western Pacific: China, Japan and the United States, Routledge 2019, and the edited book The South China Sea Maritime Dispute: Political, legal and Regional Perspectives, Routledge 2014. Do Thanh Hai is Senior Fellow and Assistant Director-General of the Bien Dong Institute for Maritime Studies at the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam (DAV). He obtained his doctorate from the Australian National University and his master’s degree from Erasmus Mundus Global Studies Program. His previous positions include vacation scholar at the University of New South Wales at the Australian Defence Force Academy in Canberra and Deputy Director of the Centre for Political and Security Studies of the DAV’s Insti- tute for Foreign Policy and Strategic Studies in Hanoi. He is the author of the book Vietnam and the South China Sea: Politics, Security and Legality published by Routledge in 2017. He has published articles in The Pacific Review, The ASAN Forum, CSIS PacNet, Journal of International Review (DAV), and a number of news outlets. Routledge Security in Asia Pacific Series Series Editors: Leszek Buszynski, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, the Australian National University, and William Tow, Australian National University. Security issues have become more prominent in the Asia Pacific region because of the presence of global players, rising great powers, and confident middle powers, which intersect in complicated ways. This series puts for- ward important new work on key security issues in the region. It embraces the roles of the major actors, their defence policies and postures, and their security interaction over the key issues of the region. It includes coverage of the US, China, Japan, Russia, the Koreas, as well as the middle powers of ASEAN and South Asia. It also covers issues relating to environmental and economic security as well as transnational actors and regional groupings. 30 The New US Strategy towards Asia Adapting to the American pivot Edited by William T. Tow and Douglas Stuart 31 Vietnam and the South China Sea Politics, Security and Legality Do Thanh Hai 32 Japan’s Search for Strategic Security Partnerships Edited by Gauri Khandekar and Bart Gaens 33 Geopolitics and the Western Pacific China, Japan and the US Leszek Busznski 34 The South China Sea From a Regional Maritime Dispute to Geo-Strategic Competition Edited by Leszek Buszynski and Do Thanh Hai For more information about this series, please visit: https://www.routledge.com The South China Sea From a Regional Maritime Dispute to Geo-Strategic Competition Edited by Leszek Buszynski and Do Thanh Hai First published 2020 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge 52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2020 selection and editorial matter, Leszek Buszynski and Do Thanh Hai; individual chapters, the contributors The right of Leszek Buszynski and Do Thanh Hai to be identified as the authors of the editorial material, and of the authors for their individual chapters, has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record has been requested for this book ISBN: 978-0-367-27947-9 (hbk) ISBN: 978-0-429-33148-0 (ebk) Typeset in Times New Roman by codeMantra Contents List of tables vii Acknowledgements ix List of contributors xi Acronyms xvii Maps xxi Introduction: the development of the South China Sea dispute 1 LESZEK BUSZYNSKI 1 Four aspects of the crisis in the South China Sea 9 STEIN TØNNESSON 2 ASEAN and the South China Sea 24 NGUYEN HUNG SON 3 ASEAN, China, and the Code of Conduct 43 CARLYLE A. THAYER 4 China and the South China Sea: continuities and adaptions 60 NONG HONG 5 Vietnam and the South China Sea 77 NGUYEN THI THANH HA 6 The Philippines–China joint development 93 JACQUELINE JOYCE F. ESPENILLA 7 Japan and the South China Sea 108 BONJI OHARA vi Contents 8 The US and the South China Sea 117 PATRICK M. CRONIN 9 South China Sea: geopolitical connectedness to the Indian Ocean 137 GURPREET S KHURANA 10 European powers and the South China Sea 151 FELIX HEIDUK 11 International law, force, and coercion in the South China Sea 169 CONSTANTINOS YIALLOURIDES 12 Military build-up in the South China Sea 182 DEREK GROSSMAN 13 Intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance in the South China Sea 201 COLLIN KOH SWEE LEAN 14 US employment of marine unmanned vehicles in the South China Sea 217 RAUL (PETE) PEDROZO Conclusion 230 DO THANH HAI Index 239 Tables 10.1 Major threat perceptions in Europe (selected countries) 158 10.2 Share of EU member states in Southeast Asian arms imports (in millions of US dollars and at constant 1990 prices) 163 13.1 MPRAs of SCS parties 203 13.2 Postulated UAV inventories of SCS parties 206 Acknowledgements The editors would like to thank the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, the Foundation for East Sea Studies, and the Vietnam Lawyers Association for convening the 10th International Conference on The South China Sea: Co- operation for Regional Security and Development in Da Nang in November 2018, upon which the book was based. This is a series of annual conferences which has contributed to greater understanding of the issues and complex- ity of the South China Sea dispute. They are grateful to the staff of the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam who worked tirelessly and diligently behind the scenes to ensure the success of the conference and to prepare the papers submitted for eventual publica- tion. A special note of thanks goes to Ms. Nguyen Thuy Anh for her out- standing work in coordinating the event and for her invaluable assistance in the preparation of the manuscript. Finally, the editors also express their sincere gratitude and appreciation to all the contributors for their cooperation and patience during the edito- rial process. The preparation of conference papers for publication is always a demanding task, but the enthusiasm, patience, and perseverance of the contributors made this task much easier. To them a special thank you. Leszek Buszynski and Do Thanh Hai Canberra and Hanoi, July 2019

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