The Sorcerer’s Apprentice This page intentionally left blank The Sorcerer’s Apprentice How Medical Imaging Is Changing Health Care Bruce J. Hillman, MD Editor-in-Chief Journal of the American College of Radiology Theodore E. Keats Professor of Radiology Professor of Public Health Sciences University of Virginia Charlottesville, Virginia Jeff C. Goldsmith, PhD President, Health Futures, Inc. Associate Professor of Public Health Sciences University of Virginia Charlottesville, Virginia 1 2011 1 Oxford University Press, Inc., publishes works that further Oxford University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offi ces in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Copyright © 2011 by Oxford University Press, Inc. Published by Oxford University Press, Inc. 198 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016 www.oup.com Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Hillman, Bruce J. The sorcerer’s apprentice : how medical imaging is changing health care / Bruce J. Hillman, Jeff C. Goldsmith. p. ; cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 978-0-19-538696-7 1. Diagnostic imaging—Social aspects. I. Goldsmith, Jeff Charles. II. Title. [DNLM: 1. Diagnostic Imaging—trends. 2. Diagnostic Imaging—economics. 3. Diagnostic Imaging— utilization. 4. Radiography, Interventional—trends. WN 180 H654s 2011] RC78.7.D53H55 2011 616.07′54—dc22 2010013328 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper For Aaron Hillman and Karen Walker This page intentionally left blank Acknowledgments The authors are greatly indebted to the following individuals who provided information during our research, helped review the manuscript, or contributed images. Their efforts are a testament to the fact that sometimes “it takes a village.” Dr. Nadeem Ishaque and numerous colleagues at the GE Global Research Center spent an entire day giving us insight into the miraculous new technologies that might comprise medical imaging in the future. Jack Taggart and Steve Haberlein of Fuji Medical Systems discussed with us how the business of imaging is likely to change over the next fi ve years. Steven Seltzer, Ramin Khorasani, Ferenc Jolesz, and Ron Kikinis of the Brigham and Women’s Hospital described their vision of the “electronic radiology round trip” imaging information technology of the future and demonstrated their concepts of advanced neurovisualization and MRI-guided focused ultrasound treatment. At the Massachusetts General Hospital, James Thrall and Giles Boland provided insights into the business of radiology; Ralph Weissleder regaled us with accounts of how molecular imaging will be adopted into clinical practice. Numerous actors in the imaging business also played a role. Dr. Michael Brant-Zawadzki described his entrepreneurial experiences in establishing a CT screening center chain. Curtis Kauffman-Pickelle, of the Radiology Business Journal, provided useful guidance on sources of industry intelligence and history. Steve Duvoisin, CEO of Inland Imaging, Paul Berger, founder of NightHawk Radiology, and Paul Viviano, CEO of Alliance Healthcare, gave us extended interviews on their businesses and their perspectives on the broader industry. David Lee and Nick Caffentzis of GE Healthcare provided access to industry analysis that made its way into our fi gures. Steven Horii of the University of Pennsylvania provided extensive historical background based on his participation in the working groups that produced the DICOM standard. Jean Mitchell of George Washington University and Rebecca Smith-Bindman of the University of California at San Francisco both found time to talk about their work on imaging utilization and its drivers. Jonathan Sunshine of the American College of Radiology generously provided both research access to and special analysis of the size of the imaging business and radiology profes- sion. We thank Gail Prochaska of IMV Medical Information Division for a nalysis of the installed base of high technology imaging in the United States. We thank Jenna Kappel at the Society of Interventional Radiology for materials concerning the practice and economics of interventional radiology. We thank the following persons who reviewed individual chapters to help make certain that we were not writing egregious untruths: Spencer Gay, Chapter 1 on radiological practice; Jane Morley on the historical aspects and Mark Williams on viii Acknowledgments the physics aspects of Chapter 2 on the development of modern imaging technolo- gies; Jeffrey Weinreb, Chapter 4 on the risks of imaging; John Patti, Barry Pressman, Bob Berenson, Greg Raab, and Nathan Kaufman, Chapter 5 on economics; Paul Berger and David Levin, Chapter 6 on digital imaging and business structures; David Levin, Chapter 7 on moral hazard; Bill Black, Chapter 8 on screening. Their efforts saved us many a misstep. Any remaining factual errors are entirely our own. We are especially grateful to Frank Lexa, Gregg Raab, Jonathan Sunshine, and Jack Wickens for reading and commenting on a late draft of the entire manuscript. Their insights encouraged us to rethink some of our conclusions. The images are a critical aspect of this book, particularly to help lay readers understand our descriptions of the great power of medical imaging. The follow- ing individuals were kind enough to contribute images: Mehdi Adineh, Tally Altes, Fritz Angle, Michelle Barr, Mathew Bassignani, Bill Brant, Michael Cohen, Ed DeLange, Fred Epstein, Cree Gaskin, Spencer Gay, Klaus Hagspiel, Chris Hiss, Jeff Hoffmeister, Lee Jenson, Ferenc Jolesz, Ron Kikinis, Chris Kramer, Drew Lambert, Alan Matsumoto, Nathan McDonald, Patrick Norton, Bob Older, Marc Sarti, Clare Tempany, Ralph Weissleder, and Brian Williamson. Peggy Brown, Marion Dewalt, Susan Guerrant, Linn Harrison, Sharon Hostler, and Gerry Krueger, as patient a reading group as ever existed, provided grammatical instruction and invaluable advice on how to make the book more approachable for lay readers. Contents Introduction: The Sorcerer’s Apprentice x 1 The Most Important Doctor You’ve Never Met 3 2 The Rise of Medical Imaging 21 3 Imaging’s Leap to Curative Medicine 51 4 The Risks of Medical Imaging Examinations 67 5 Economic Consequences of Successful Innovation: The Imaging Boom 83 6 Digital Pioneers: Globalization and Corporatization 113 7 Red in Tooth and Claw—Moral Hazard and the Struggle for Control of Imaging Services 133 8 Using Imaging to Screen for Life-Threatening Diseases—Its Promise and Its Problems 163 9 The Future of Medical Imaging 197 10 Making the Best Use of Imaging’s Expansive Toolbox 229 Index 243
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