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THE SOCIAL VALUE OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR Too Big to Fail or Just Too Big? 8865hc.9789814520287_tp.indd 1 18/9/13 10:12 AM World Scientific Studies in International Economics (ISSN: 1793-3641) Series Editor Robert M. Stern, University of Michigan and University of California-Berkeley, USA Editorial Board Vinod K. Aggarwal, University of California-Berkeley, USA Alan Deardorff, University of Michigan, USA Paul DeGrauwe, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium Barry Eichengreen, University of California-Berkeley, USA Mitsuhiro Fukao, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan Robert L. Howse, New York University, USA Keith E. Maskus, University of Colorado, USA Arvind Panagariya, Columbia University, USA Vol. 22 International Trade Policy Formation: Theory and Politics by Wolfgang Mayer (University of Cincinnati, USA) Vol. 23 Priorities and Pathways in Services Reform: Part I — Quantitative Studies edited by Philippa Dee (Australian National University, Australia) Vol. 24 Globalizing Information: The Economics of International Technology Trade by Keith E Maskus (University of Colorado at Boulder, USA) Vol. 25 Priorities and Pathways in Services Reform: Part II — Political Economy Studies edited by Christopher Findlay (University of Adelaide, Australia) Vol. 26 World Trade Organization and International Trade Law: Antidumping, Subsidies and Trade Agreements by Gary N Horlick (Law Offices of Gary N Horlick, USA & University of Bern, Switzerland) Vol. 27 European Economic Integration, WTO Membership, Immigration and Offshoring by Wilhelm Kohler (University of Tübingen, Germany) Vol. 28 Services Trade Reform: Making Sense of It by Philippa Dee (Australian National University, Australia) Vol. 29 The Social Value of the Financial Sector: Too Big to Fail or Just Too Big? edited by Viral V Acharya (New York University, USA & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK), Thorsten Beck (Tilburg University, The Netherlands & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK), Douglas D Evanoff (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, USA), George G Kaufman (Loyola University Chicago, USA), & Richard Portes (London Business School, UK & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK) Vol. 30 The Role of Central Banks in Financial Stability: How Has It Changed? edited by Douglas D Evanoff (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, USA), Cornelia Holthausen (European Central Bank, Germany), George G Kaufman (Loyola University Chicago, USA) & Manfred Kremer (European Central Bank, Germany) The complete list of the published volumes in the series can be found at http://www.worldscientific.com/series/wssie 29 World Scientific Studies in International Economics THE SOCIAL VALUE OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR Too Big to Fail or Just Too Big? Editors Viral V Acharya New York University, USA & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK Thorsten Beck Tilburg University, The Netherlands & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK Douglas D Evanoff Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, USA George G Kaufman Loyola University Chicago, USA Richard Portes London Business School , UK & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK World Scientific NEW JERSEY • LONDON • SINGAPORE • BEIJING • SHANGHAI • HONG KONG • TAIPEI • CHENNAI 8865hc.9789814520287_tp.indd 2 18/9/13 10:12 AM Published by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. 5 Toh Tuck Link, Singapore 596224 USA office: 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601 UK office: 57 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London WC2H 9HE Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Acharya, Viral V. The social value of the financial sector : too big to fail or just too big? / by Viral V Acharya (New York University, USA & Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK), Thorsten Beck (Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK & Tilburg University, The Netherlands), Douglas D Evanoff (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, USA), George G Kaufman (Loyola University Chicago, USA) & Richard Portes (Centre for Economic Policy (CEPR), UK & London Business School , UK). pages cm. -- (World scientific studies in international economics, ISSN 1793-3641 ; 29) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-9814520287 1. Financial institutions. 2. Financial institutions--Government policy. 3. Banks and banking. 4. Social policy. I. Title. HG173.A224 2013 332.1--dc23 2013027960 British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Cover Illustration by Ping Homeric. Copyright © 2014 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission from the Publisher. For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher. In-house Editors: Sandhya Venkatesh/Dipasri Sardar Typeset by Stallion Press Email: [email protected] Printed in Singapore September17,2013 11:3 SocialValueoftheFinancialSector:TooBigtoFallorJustTooBig 9inx6in b1606-fm Preface The large-scale damage inflicted on the economies of countries through- out the world by the financial crisis of 2007 to,at least,2010,has ignited widespreadre-evaluationof thenetsocialbenefitsderivedfromlargeand growingdomesticandinternationalfinancialsectors.Thesesectorstended toexpandmuchfasterbeforethecrisisthandidtheirnationalGDPs.For example,theaggregateon-balance-sheetdollarsizeof the11majortypes ofUSfinancialinstitutionsincludedintheFederalReserve’sflowoffunds data more than doubled from 1.27% of GDP in 1970 to 2.85% of GDP in2007. A large number of empirical research studies have provided evidence thatdeeperandmoreefficientfinancialsystemsareassociatedinthelonger runwithhigherandmorerapideconomicgrowth.Butperiodically,thesys- temcrashes,andthelargerthesystem,thedeeperandbroaderthedamage. Doesthedamagepartially,totally,ormorethantotallyoffsetthegainsreal- izedfromthefinancialsectorduringnoncrisisperiods?Wetypicallythink of market distortions, and resulting adverse welfare effects, from having financial institutions that are too-big-to-fail. However, it may be that in certaincases,thefinancialsectorissimplytoobig,resultingininefficien- ciesandgeneratingsocietalwelfarelosses.Ifthisisthecase,howcanpublic policydosomethingaboutit? These were some of the major questions addressed by participants at the Fifteenth Annual Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago International Banking Conference, cosponsored with the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) in London. The conference was held in Chicago on November15–16,2012.Some175participants,representingpolicymakers, financial regulators, financial practitioners, researchers, and academics from some 30 countries participated. Specific topics discussed included the costs and benefits of the current financial industry structure, social benefits from financial industry innovation,effects of regulation on soci- etal welfare,the financial situation and resulting economic activity across v September17,2013 11:3 SocialValueoftheFinancialSector:TooBigtoFallorJustTooBig 9inx6in b1606-fm vi Preface countries,andthepotentialbenefitsandcostsassociatedwiththebreaking upoflargebanks. This volume includes the papers presented at the Chicago conference, includingthekeynoteaddressesbyleadingexpertsinthefield.Thepubli- cationof thepapersinthisvolumeisintendedtodisseminatetheconfer- ence ideas,analyses,and conclusions to a wider audience. Hopefully,that broaderdistributionwillgenerateadditionaldiscussion,serveasthebasis forfurtheranalyses,andbeusedtoguidepublicpolicy. September17,2013 11:3 SocialValueoftheFinancialSector:TooBigtoFallorJustTooBig 9inx6in b1606-fm Acknowledgments BoththeconferenceheldattheFederalReserveBankofChicago,Novem- ber 15–16, 2012, and this volume represent a joint effort of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).Various people at each institution contributed to the effort. The fiveeditorsservedastheprincipalorganizersoftheconferenceprogramand wouldliketothankallthepeoplewhocontributedtheirtimeandenergy to the effort.At the risk of omitting some people,we would like to thank JuliaBaker,JohnDixon,EllaDukes,PingHomeric,andRitaMolloy.Special mention should be accorded Kathryn Moran,who managed the Chicago Fed’s web effort; Sandy Schneider,who expertly managed the conference administration;aswellasHelenO’D.KoshyandSheilaMangler,whohad primaryresponsibilityforpreparingthemanuscriptsforthisbook. vii September17,2013 11:3 SocialValueoftheFinancialSector:TooBigtoFallorJustTooBig 9inx6in b1606-fm TThhiiss ppaaggee iinntteennttiioonnaallllyy lleefftt bbllaannkk September17,2013 11:3 SocialValueoftheFinancialSector:TooBigtoFallorJustTooBig 9inx6in b1606-fm Contents Preface v Acknowledgments vii PartI. KeynoteAddresses 1 Chapter1. AFermentofRegulatoryProposals 3 CharlesA.E.Goodhart Chapter2. ProgressandPrioritiesforFinancialReform 11 MaryJohnMiller PartII. DescriptionandMeasurement oftheFinancialSystem 21 Chapter3. WhatIsMeaningfulBankingReform,WhyIsIt SoNecessary…andSoUnlikely? 23 CharlesW.Calomiris Chapter4. TheGreatLeveraging 33 AlanM.Taylor Chapter5. FinanceandEconomicDevelopment inaModelwithCreditRationing 67 Jean-LouisArcand,EnricoBerkes,andUgoPanizza Chapter6. TooMuchFinance,TooMuchCredit? CommentsonPapersbyCalomiris, Arcand–Berkes–Panizza,andTaylor 81 EugeneN.White ix

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As a result of the recent financial crisis, there has been significant public debate on the role of the financial sector in bringing about the "Great Depression". More generally, there has been debate about whether the current industry structure has enhanced social welfare or served a detrimental ro
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