SSSP Springer Series in Social Psychology SSSP Ronald 1. Fisher The Social Psychology of Intergroup and International Conflict Resolution Springer-Verlag New York Berlin Heidelberg London Paris Tokyo Hong Kong Ronald 1. Fisher Department of Psychology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N OWO Canada and Canadian Institute for International Peace and Security Ottawa, Ontario, KIR 7X7 Canada With 14 Illustrations Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Fisher, Ronald J. The social psychology of intergroup and international conflict resolution/Ronald 1. Fisher. p. cm. - (Springer series in social psychology) Includes bibl iographical references. ISBN-13: 978-1-4612-7952-5 e-ISBN-13: 978-1-4612-3288-9 001: 10.1007/978-1-4612-3288-9 I. Intergroup relations. 2. Conflict management. 3. International relations. I. Title. II. Series. HM 13 \. F525 198'9 303.6'9-dc20 89-35512 Printed on acid-free paper. © 1990 by Springer-Verlag New York Inc. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1s t edition 1990 All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written per mission of the publisher (Springer-Verlag, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of infor mation storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar meth odology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, etc. in this publication, even if the former are not especially identified, is not to be taken as a sign that such names, as understood by the Trade Marks and Merchandise Marks Act, may accordingly be used freely by anyone. Typeset by Caliber Design Planning, Inc. 987654321 Contents 1. Introduction: The Pervasive Enigma of Intergroup Conflict ...... . Protracted Social Conflict: The Ultimate Enigma ................. 3 The Social-Psychological Study of Intergroup Conflict ......... : . . . . 5 Challenges for the Study of Intergroup and International Conflict . . . . 8 The Scope and Plan of This Book .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2. Classic Contributions to the Study of Intergroup Conflict. . . . . . . . . 21 Ethnocentrism and Realistic Group Conflict Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 The Field Studies: Sherif, Blake, and Mouton, and Zimbardo ....... 25 Social Identity Theory ....................................... 28 The Groundwork for Eclectic Theory. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Conclusion: Implications for Theory, Research, and Practice. . . . . . . . 37 3. Cognitive Theories Applied to Intergroup Conflict (Peter R. Grant) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 The Effects of Categorizing Individuals into Groups: The Experimental Evidence. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Cognitive Theories of Intergroup Relations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Implications for Conflict Resolution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 4. Group Factors in the Escalation of Intergroup Conflict. . . . . . . . . . . 59 A Primer on Group Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Self-Esteem, Identity, and Ethnocentrism. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 Intergroup Conflict and Group Cohesiveness ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Conformity, Polarization, and Groupthink ....................... 68 Crisis Decision Making Versus Effective Problem Solving ... . . . . . . . 74 Contents VI Leadership and Constituent Pressure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 Implications for Conflict Escalation and De-Escalation. . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 5. An Eclectic Model of Intergroup Conflict ...................... 87 The Approach to Theory Building. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 Variables of the Model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 Principles or Laws of Interaction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Boundaries of the Model ..................................... 105 System States of the Model ................................... 108 Propositions of the Model .................................... 112 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 6. The Intergroup Conflict Simulation (Peter R. Grant, Ronald 1. Fisher, Donald G. Hall, and Loraleigh Keashly). . . . . . . . . . . 117 Development of the Initial ICS Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 The Testing and Refining of the Initial ICS Design ................ 133 Testing the Final ICS Design. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 7. International Conflict: The Question of Survival . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 The Sources of International Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 Perception, Cognition, and Images . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 Communication and Interaction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 The Social Psychology ofInternational Negotiation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 The De-Escalation of International Conflict. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 8. Social-Psychological Approaches for Resolving Intergroup and International Conflict ........................ . . . . . . . . . . . 177 The Facilitative Conditions ofIntergroup Contact. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 Approaches to Managing and Resolving Conflict. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 The GRIT Strategy for De-Escalating Conflict. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196 Problem-Solving Workshops for Improving Intergroup Relations . . . . . 202 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208 9. Third Party Consultation as a Method of Intergroup and International Conflict Resolution (Ronald 1. Fisher and Loraleigh Keashly) .......................................... 211 Third Party Consultation ..................................... 213 The Social-Psychological Rationale of Third-Party Consultation. . . . . . 218 Toward a Taxonomy of Third Party Intervention. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 Contents vii Comparing Consultation and Mediation Using the ICS . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 A Contingency Approach to Third Party Intervention . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 10. Conclusion: Paths Toward a Peaceful World ....... . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 Major Themes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 Implications for Conflict De-Escalation and Resolution. . . . . . . . . . . . 242 The Agenda for the Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 Author Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 269 Subject Index ................................................. 275 Chapter 1 Introduction: The Pervasive Enigma of Intergroup Conflict Destructive intergroup conflict is the most complex and costly enigma facing humankind. It is the preeminent social issue of our time in that it ruthlessly saps the resources required for human development and productivity, and in the extreme threatens our very survival. Poorly handled intergroup cleavages occur in a variety of settings-organizational, communal, international-and the costs of destructive escalation are readily apparent to all. In organizational settings, badly managed con flict between workers and management, and among various departments and units, results in lost work time, lowered morale, and wasted energy. In communal settings, racial prejudice, discrimination, and tension among ethnic groups breeds inequality and debilitates the quality of life for many. At the international level, many parts of the world are aflame with violence while others smoulder, all against the backdrop of an impending nuclear holocaust. Yet, immediately, we must also acknowledge the functional aspect of intergroup conflict as a source of often necessary social change and movement toward justice and equality. Developed and sustainable societies, while still harboring noticeable inequities, are those that have found apparently adequate means of addressing con flicting group interests, at least for the time being. Many other societies are racked by cleavages between various interest and class groups, each seeking a place in the sun. Thus, on the moral question of the desirability of intergroup conflict, there are initially two answers. The first is that conflict simply exists and as such it is neither good nor bad. It is a central fact of human existence and the first task of social scientists is to describe and explain it. The second answer is conditional-intergroup conflict can be good or bad depending on whether it is handled constructively or destructively. The ideal is that differences are confronted and resolved nonvio lently and in ways that are mutually acceptable to the groups involved. On this ques tion, the challenge to the concerned social scientist/practitioner is to search for means by which the destructiveness of intergroup conflict is reduced while the benefits of social change are simultaneously realized - an order so tall as to be imme diately labeled as unrealistic by many. Nonetheless, to accept the realists' prescrip tion-do nothing-is tantamount to accepting the ongoing tragedy of intergroup 2 1. Introduction: The Pervasive Enigma of Intergroup Conflict conflict as well as the inevitability of eventual annihilation, and must therefore be rejected. The study of intergroup conflict and its resolution is an imperative if we are concerned about understanding human social behavior and improving the human condition. There are a number of types of destructive intergroup conflict but nowhere are the costs more obvious and severe than in that most abhorrent form at the international level which we label "war." Yet surprisingly, this virulent form of violent confronta tion continues unabated. Since World War II, depending on the criteria used, some where in the order of 100 wars have occurred, threatening the well-being of millions of people in dozens of countries. According to Kende (1978), in the 32 years follow ing World War II, a total of 120 wars were fought on the territories of 71 countries. Put in different terms, the total duration of wars in the 32-year period was more than 369 years, and on any single day in the period, an average of 11 wars were being fought. Kende's criteria include an armed conflict involving activities of regular armed forces on at least one side, organized fighting on both sides, and a degree of continuity between armed clashes, however sporadic. The types of wars identified include "antiregime wars" fought within the territory of a country against the government in power; "tribal wars" fought between tribal, ethnic, or religious groups over territory or autonomy; and "border wars" wherein two or more coun tries fight across their boundaries for territory or other objectives. Kende's analysis indicates that the most frequent type of war in the modern era is the antiregime war (73 of 120), often with foreign participation. Tribal wars and border wars are less frequent (29 and 18 of 120, respectively) and foreign participation in these wars is not as pronounced. Kende's interpretation is that this pattern is a consequence of the current political situation in which the disintegration of the colonial system coin cides with conflict among antagonistic social and political groups, classes, and ten dencies within the same country. Congruent with this interpretation, the vast majority of wars are occurring in the Third World, specifically in Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America. These wars are primarily internal ones, and as countries have gained independence, the conflict is more and more between groups or factions within the same country. The trends identified by Kende (1978) continue into the present. In its 1987 yearbook, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute lists 36 wars currently being fought, all but one in the Third World, and almost all internal conflicts. These wars involve over 5 million soldiers from 41 countries, with various forms of support from many other countries. Behind this painful picture of Third World conflagration stands the even more ominous conflict between the superpowers and their allies holding the horrendous possibility of worldwide nuclear "omnicide." Although recent moves toward detente between the Soviet Union and the United States are to be applauded and encouraged, it must be realized that the arms race continues almost unabated. The agreement on Intermediate Nuclear Forces in Europe will only reduce the number of nuclear war heads by approximately 5%. This still leaves each side with approximately 10,000 strategic weapons. The total nuclear arsenal of tactical and strategic weapons is close to 50,000 and represents over 5,000 times all the explosive force used in World War II. The first atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, a tactical weapon by today's standards, killed or maimed 160,000 people and devastated an area of 4V2 square Protracted Social Conflict: The Ultimate Enigma 3 miles. If a modern, 20-megaton nuclear warhead fell on a typical North American metropolitan area, for example San Francisco, 2 million people would die within the first 10 minutes. Another million would be seriously injured, suffering third-degree burns, deafness, and blindness. As the Physicians for Social Responsibility point out, medical facilities, many of them destroyed, would be totally inadequate to deal with such a calamity. On a global scale, the use of even a fraction of existing nuclear warheads, perhaps as low as 1000, could trigger nuclear winter, an environmental catastrophe of unheralded proportion (P.R. Ehrlich, 1983; Sagan, 1983; Turco, Toon, Ackerman, Pollack, & Sagan, 1983). Dust from groundbursts and ash and soot from firestorms in burning cities and forests would blot out the sun, tempera tures would drop to below freezing, photosynthesis would stop, crops would die, and all life would be threatened. Oxides of nitrogen injected into the atmosphere by nuclear detonations would break down the ozone layer, allowing increased ultravio let radiation to strike the earth when the skies eventually cleared, blinding animals and birds, and killing aquatic life that starts the food chain. While estimates of the severity of nuclear winter vary, the fact is that a nuclear war between the super powers would set civilization back centuries at a minimum and at a maximum could annihilate all life on this planet. The costs, both direct and indirect, of war and the preparedness for war are stag gering. In 1986, ironically the United Nations International Year of Peace, total world military expenditures approached 900 billion U.S. dollars (Sivard, 1986). The United States accounts for about 30% of these expenditures and is ranked 1st in a number of categories of military activity, yet it stands 10th in public health expendi tures per capita and 17th in infant mortality rate. Worldwide, three in five govern ments spend ':TIore on the military than on fighting all the enemies of good health. One and one-half billion people have no effective medical care and 570 million are malnourished (Epp~Tiessen, 1987). Of the $950 billion owed by developing coun tries to the developed ones, arms imports account for 25% thus accentuating the dis crepancies between the North and the South. At the same time, the continuing militarization of the planet consumes significant human resources. An estimated 45 million people make up the work force of the world's armed forces, and in develop ing countries the recruitment of highly skilled workers for military purposes means that civilian needs go begging. About 20% of the world's scientists and technicians are engaged in research and development for military purposes, and they spend about 25% of the resources devoted to such activities. In 4 days, military expendi tures equal the total yearly budget of the United Nations for international develop ment. In a world where 40,000 children die in agony every day from starvation and related illness, this situation can only be regarded as inexplicable and unconscion able. And yet it exists. Protracted Social Conflict: The Ultimate Enigma Intergroup conflict arises in many forms and there are a number of typologies for categorizing it. Galtung (1965) distinguishes conflict at the individual level from that at the collective level which may be either intrasystem or intersystem. Thus, 4 1. Introduction: The Pervasive Enigma of Intergroup Conflict collective conflict may be intranational or international, and Galtung notes that the introduction of a group level to the scheme would account for conflict within and between class, ethnic, racial, or other interest groups. Beres and Schmidt (1982) use Galtung's scheme to help distinguish four predominant areas of conflict research: social conflict involving structures of dominance and inequity between class or interest groups within a society, industrial conflict between organized labor and management groups within an established adversarial system, organizational con flict involving small groups (units, departments, etc.) within a cooperative system, and international conflict between nations within the loosely defined global system. Dahrendorf (cited in Angell, 1965) delineates conflict between various levels of social units including "groups" (e.g., males and females), "sectors" (e.g., the army and the navy), and "societies" (e.g., Protestants and Catholics). Suprasocietal rela tions, then, involve conflict between countries or blocs. Dahrendorfs scheme also distinguishes among conflicts between equals, and unequals and between the whole versus a part (e.g., the state versus the criminal gang). Building on these schemes, the current analysis distinguishes various forms of intergroup conflict primarily on the basis of the level of the overarching system. Thus, intergroup conflicts can be located at the organizational, communal, societal, and international levels. Intergroup conflict in organizations occurs between various structural groupings such as departments, between levels such as executive and mid dle management, and between labor and owners/managers as in classic industrial conflict. In communal settings, intergroup conflict is often expressed between eth nic, racial, religious, and gender groups and is usually noticeable through the exis tence of prejudice and discriminations as well as the occasional outburst of violence. These intergroup cleavages may also be expressed at the societal level in the form of social issues (e.g, racism, poverty) and are joined by conflict between classes, political groups, or other broad sectors of society, such as the military-industrial complex, the environmental lobby, and various other social movements. Finally, at the international level there is conflict between nations and blocs that is often inter twined with intergroup cleavages at the societal and communal levels. It is this inter mixing of levels and issues that produces the most enigmatic and irresolvable form of intergroup cleavage-protracted social conflict. There exist in the world today a number of intense intergroup conflicts, some between and some within nations, that appear intractable. A continuing state of ten sion is heightened by episodes of escalation often involving violence, which is typi cally terminated by mutual exhaustion and/or some form of peacekeeping. Traditional approaches to conflict management prove ineffective and the underlying issues move no closer to resolution. Examples of such conflicts at various points of longevity and expression include those· in the Middle East, Northern Ireland, Cyprus, Lebanon, United States-Soviet Union, India-Pakistan, South Africa, Kam puchea, Sri Lanka, Iran-Iraq, the Horn of Africa, EI Salvador, and Nicaragua. Numerous other conflicts of a similar but less intense nature exist throughout the world, awaiting the process of escalation to increase their intensity and visibility. This type of seemingly intractable intergroup conflict has recently been labeled "protracted social conflict" by Azar (1983) to denote its ongoing and seemingly