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The Science of War: Defense Budgeting, Military Technology, Logistics, and Combat Outcomes PDF

278 Pages·2009·5.39 MB·English
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THE SCIENCE OF WAR This page intentionally left blank Th e SCIENCE of WAR defense budgeting, military technology, logistics, and combat outcomes Michael E. O’Hanlon Princeton University Press Princeton and Oxford in association with the brookings institution Copyright © 2009 by Princeton University Press Published by Princeton University Press, 41 William Street, Princeton, New Jersey 08540 In the United Kingdom: Princeton University Press, 6 Oxford Street, Woodstock, Oxfordshire OX20 1TW All Rights Reserved Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data O’Hanlon, Michael E. Th e science of war : defense budg eting, military technology, logistics, and combat outcomes / Michael E. O’Hanlon. p. cm. Includes index. ISBN 978-0 -6 91- 13702- 5 (hardcover) 1. M ilitary planning— United States. 2. U nited States— Defenses—Decision making. I. Title. U153.O337 2009 355'.033573—dc22 2009001378 British Library Cataloging- in- Publication Data is available Th is book has been composed in Adobe Caslon Printed on acid- free paper. ∞ press.princeton.edu Printed in the United States of America 1 3 5 7 9 10 8 6 4 2 CONTENTS Acknowledgments vii introduction  chapter i Defense Budgeting and Resource Allocation  chapter ii Modeling Combat and Sizing Forces  chapter iii Logistics and Overseas Bases  chapter iv Technical Issues in Defense Analysis  conclusion  appendix Figures and Tables  Index  This page intentionally left blank AC KNOW LEDG MENTS I would like to thank a number of friends, colleagues, professors, role models, and others who have helped me in one way or another, directly or indirectly, with this book. Th ey include Adriana Lins de Albuquerque, Michael Berger, Richard Betts, Steve Biddle, Marty Binkin, Bruce Blair, Dennis Blair, Barry Blechman, Max Boot, Christopher Bowie, Duncan Brown, Richard Bush, Jason Campbell, Kurt Campbell, Ash Carter, Eliot Cohen, William Cohen, Bernard Cole, Walter Cronkite, Ivo Daalder, Th omas Davis, Todd Duso, Joshua Epstein, Harold Feiveson, Michele Flournoy, Lawrence Freedman, Aaron Friedberg, Richard Garwin, Th omas Garwin, Philip Gordon, Michael Green, Richard Haass, Robert Haff a, Robert Hale, John Hamre, William Inglee, Frederick Kagan, Nina Kamp, William Kaufmann, Steve Kosiak, Andrew Krepinevich, Richard Kugler, Eric Labs, Michael Levi, James Lindsay, Frances Lussier, Th omas Lynch, William Lynn, Jack Mayer, Th omas McNaugher, Michael Meese, James Miller, Derek Mitchell, Mike Mochizuki, Satoshi Morimoto, David Mosher, William Myers, Sam Nunn, Carlos Pascual, Bill Perry, David Pe- traeus, Lane Pierrot, Kenneth Pollack, Barry Posen, Jack Pritchard, Peter Rodman, Scott Sagan, Stephen Sargeant, Jeremy Shapiro, Eric Shinseki, Peter Singer, Anne-M arie Slaughter, Th omas Stefanick, James Steinberg, John Steinbruner, Strobe Talbott, Richard Ullman, Robert Vilhauer, Frank von Hippel, Stephen Walt, and Dov Zakheim. I would like to dedicate this book to Cathy, Grace, and Lily. This page intentionally left blank THE SCIENCE OF WAR

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The U.S. military is one of the largest and most complex organizations in the world. How it spends its money, chooses tactics, and allocates its resources have enormous implications for national defense and the economy. The Science of War is the only comprehensive textbook on how to analyze and unde
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