The Psychology of Expertise Robert R. Hoffman Editor The Psychology of Expertise Cognitive Research and Empirical AI With 31 Figures Springer-Verlag New York Berlin Heidelberg London Paris Tokyo Hong Kong Barcelona Budapest Robert R. Hoffman, Ph.D. Department of Psychology Adelphi University Chapman Hall-Room 2 Garden City, NY 11530 USA Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data The psychology of expertise: cognitive research and empirical All edited by Robert R. Hoffman. p. cm. Based on papers presented at a conference on expert systems and the psychology of expertise, held at Adelphi University on May 5,1989. Includes bibliographical references and indexes. ISBN-13:978-1-4613-9735-9 1. Expertise-Congresses. 2. Expertise-Research-Methodology -Congresses. 3. Knowledge acquisition (Expert systems)-Congresses. 4. Expert systems (Computer science)-Congresses. 5. Artificial intelligence-Congresses. 6. Cognitive science-Congresses. I. Hoffman, Robert R. BF378, E94P77 1992 153-dc20 91-33158 Printed on acid-free paper. © 1992 Springer-Verlag New York, Inc. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1s t edition 1992 All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer-Verlag New York, Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, etc., in this publication, even if the former are not especially identified, is not to be taken as a sign that such names, as understood by the Trade Marks and Merchandise Marks Act, may accordingly be used freely by anyone. Production managed by Hal Henglein; manufacturing supervised by Jacqui Ashri. Typeset by Best-set Typesetter Ltd., Hong Kong. 9 8 7 6 5 432 1 ISBN-13:978-1-4613-9735-9 e-ISBN-13:978-1-4613-9733-5 DOl: 10.1007/978-1-4613-9733-5 This volume is dedicated to Olin Mintzer, expert aerial photo interpreter at the "Engineer Topographic Laboratories" of the US Army Corps of Engineers, Ft. Belvoir, Virginia. The opportunity to work with Olin was both a privilege and an honor. From the perspective of the researchers at the ETL, my job was to "model Olin's brain." From my perspective, I was a fish well out of water. Olin not only gave me oxygen, he taught me how to fly. For performing this transmutation, and for all the other life-giving transformations he has wrought on students and colleagues, I hereby promote him to the rank of Wizard. Preface Each year since 1982 Adelphi University has sponsored a conference on applied experimental psychology. The first six conferences were broad in scope in that each included a number of topical sessions. Around 1986, however, we started to think about holding a series of specialized or topical conferences, with some connection to applied experimental psychology (to be sure) but also with a workshop atmosphere in that groups of researchers would be collected so that they could hash out important issues. One such conference was on the perception of illusory contours (Petry & Meyer, 1987). Another marked the centennial of the psychology of learning (Gorfein & Hoffman, 1987). Another focused on behavior and social attitude change (Curtis & Stricker, 1990). Yet another focused on research on semantic ambiguity (Gorfein, 1989). For 1988, we decided to focus on expert knowledge and the application of experimental psychology to expert system development. It had become clear that there was a need to get certain people together. Some of these "certain" people were computer scientists and some were psychologists, but all shared an empirical approach to the problem that artificial intel ligence (AI) has encountered. Many had conceived of conducting em pirical (if not experimental) analyses of knowledge elicitation issues, and most had gotten their hands dirty in knowledge elicitation. The conference titled "Expert Systems and The Psychology of Expertise" was held at Adelphi on May 5, 1989. There were 14 participants, including Keynote Speaker Robert Sternberg. Each participant gave a 30-minute talk, followed by discussions. The conference was small (about 40 at tendees) and had a workshop atmosphere. Actually it was rather intense. It was certainly jam-packed with discussions. Many of the debates were stimulated and nurtured by Stephen Regoczei of Trent University. He came to the conference feeling hesitant to speak up, being one of a few fish out of water. But his questions were perhaps more novel and challenging than those that might be proffered by one of the "experts" on expertise. I should point out here that the focus on experimental psychology and empirical approaches did not exclude the work by computer scientists on automated knowledge acquisition (cf. Gaines & Boose, 1988). Such work was described at the conference and is represented in this volume. How- viii Preface ever, as such conferences always go, I was not able to gather all of the "certain people" I had initially set out to collect. I will not name the research psychologists and computer scientists who were contacted, clearly expressed an interest, but were unable to attend-mostly because of their being overloaded already, the bane of us all. I want to take this oppor tunity to thank them for encouraging me as I developed the conference plan. They may all rest assured that their work and ideas appear in this volume in spirit, and that their contributions form a valuable component of the psychology of expertise. A number of the conference participants were unable, for a variety of reasons, to contribute to this volume. Bill and Bev Thompson of the Knowledge Garden, A. Michael Burton of the University of Nottingham, and Jeff Bradshaw of Boeing Corporation all made valuable contributions to the conference, and I am confident that the spirit of their work is preserved in this volume. Speaking on behalf of everyone who was involved with the conference, I would like to thank the corporations that employ many of the participants and attendees, for allowing their people to participate and for supporting them in terms of travel and lodging expenses: Bell Communications Research, Boeing Corporation, IBM, Klein Associates, the Knowledge Garden, Universal Technology Corporation, and the U.S. Air Force. Expenses for some participants were covered in part by their host academic institutions and in part by the conference budget of the dean of the College of Arts and Sciences of Adelphi University. Our special thanks therefore go to Adelphi, and Dean Sean Cashman. Thanks also to Marianne Walters, now of Felician College, who, as the dean's assistant, helped with the details of budgeting and reimbursements. I want to thank Eve Bhumitra and Jean Beck, both graduate students in experimental psychology at Adelphi, for helping with the details of conference management (transportation, visual aid setup, etc.). They are each hereby promoted to the rank of Invaluable-to-the-Hectic. A very special thanks goes to David Gorfein, chairman of the Depart ment of Psychology at Adelphi. As chairman, he recently endured the labors of Hercules. He nurtured the idea for the conference from its inception through my subsequent devastation of our department's copying budget. The final efforts involved in preparing this volume were made especially efficient through his support. In retrospect, I'm both pleased and shocked by this volume. My thanks go out to the contributors for their prompt preparation of manuscripts and for enduring the multiple rounds of my infamous marginal "green scratch ings." Thanks also to the editorial staff at Springer-Verlag. A final word of thanks goes to Pat Carey, Eleanor Shaw, and Angela Mavaro of the Department of Psychology of Adelphi, who typed the bibliographies that appear at the end of this volume, and to Robin Akerstrom of Marine Safety, International, who assisted in the preparation of the subject and author indexes. A classic dig on psychologists is, "Give a psychologist a hammer and he'll think everything's a nail." This is a reference to the experimental ist's inclination to beat problems to death with fancy factorial statistical analyses. The analogous tendency in computer science is for researchers Preface ix to assume that the only way to solve problems is to build more programs. These biases can be self-serving, of course. Psychologists generate more experiments; computer scientists generate more compilers. But when the disciplines dovetail, as they do in "cognitive science," the research can seem especially self-serving. The clearest example of this is the bounty (to put it mildly) of reports on problem solving by computer programmers. (Will we see computer models of the knowledge of expert computer programmers?) I do not really mean to denigrate that particular research topic; it is important. But surely there are other things in the world to study. It is clear that all of us, psychologist and computer scientist, need to expand our conceptual horizons ... and our capabilities. It also seems clear that, for topics in expertise, it helps to work together. It is hoped that this volume contributes to the spirit of interdisciplinary research, both basic and applied. Expert systems technology mayor may not evolve significantly beyond rule-based operations and their brittleness problems (Keyes, 1989). But imagine an empirically based "knowledge elicitation methods palette" that enables one to specify the methods needed to capture the knowledge and skills of experts in a given domain. Imagine the benefits to society of an advanced technology for representing and disseminating the knowledge and skills of the best corporate managers, the most seasoned pilots, or the most renowned medical diagnosticians! It is hoped that this volume con tributes in some way to that enterprise. This volume should be of interest to cognitive psychologists and com puter scientists, and to those who are out in the trenches developing expert systems. It should be of interest to anyone who is pondering the nature of expertise and the question of how it can be studied scientifically. Long Island, NY Robert R. Hoffman References Curtis, R. c., & Stricker, G. (Eds.). (1990). How people change inside and outside therapy. New York: Plenum. Gaines, B. R., & Boose, J. H. (Eds.). (1988). Knowledge acquisition for knowledge based systems. New York: Academic Press. Gorfein, D. S. (Ed.). (1989). Resolving semantic ambiguity. New York: Springer Verlag. Gorfein, D. S., & Hoffman, R. R. (Eds.). (1987). Memory and learning; The Ebbinghaus centennial conference. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum. Keyes, J. (1989, November). Why expert systems fail. AI Expert, pp. 50-53. Petry, S., & Meyer, G. E. (Eds.). (1987). The perception of illusory contours. New York: Springer-Verlag. Contents Preface. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii Contributors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. xiii Part I. Introduction 1. Doing Psychology in an AI Context: A Personal Perspective and Introduction to This Volume. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Robert R. Hoffman 2. Knowledge and Knowledge Acquisition in the Computational Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Stephen B. Regoczei and Graeme Hirst Part II. Cognitive Theory and Expertise 3. Modeling Human Expertise in Expert Systems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Nancy J. Cooke 4. Mental Models and the Acquisition of Expert Knowledge 61 Robert M. Schumacher and Mary P. Czerwinski 5. Conceptual Analysis as a Basis for Knowledge Acquisition 80 John F. Sowa Part III. Knowledge Elicitation Methods 6. Implications of Cognitive Theory for Knowledge Acquisition 99 Sallie E. Gordon 7. Knowledge Acquisition and Constructivist Epistemology. . . . . .. 121 Kenneth M. Ford and Jack R. A dams-Webber . 8. Eliciting and Using Experiential Knowledge and General Expertise . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 137 David S. Prerau, Mark R. Adler, and Alan S. Gunderson 9. Managing and Documenting the Knowledge Acquisition Process ............................................... " 149 Karen L. McGraw Xll Contents 10. Using Knowledge Engineering to Preserve Corporate Memory.. 170 Gary A. Klein Part IV. Psychological Research on Expertise 11. On Being an Expert: A Cost-Benefit Analysis 191 Robert J. Sternberg and Peter A. Frensch 12. Mnemonics and Expert Knowledge: Mental Cuing . . . . . . . . . . .. 204 Francis S. Bellezza 13. The Role of General Ability in Cognitive Complexity: A Case Study of Expertise. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 218 Stephen J. Ceci and Ana Ruiz Part V. Expert-Novice Differences and the Development of Expertise 14. Expert-Novice Differences and Knowledge Elicitation. . . . . . . .. 233 Michelil Foley and Anna Hart 15. When Novices Elicit Knowledge: Question Asking in Designing, Evaluating, and Learning to Use Software ........ . . . . . . . . . .. 245 Robert Mack and Jill Burdett Robinson 16. The Programmer's Burden: Developing Expertise in Programming. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 269 Robert L. Campbell, Norman R. Brown, and Lia A. DiBello Part VI. Overview 17. The Psychology of Expertise and Knowledge Acquisition: Comments on the Chapters in This Volume. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 297 Stephen Regoczei Appendix A. Bibliography: Psychological Theory and Reviews. . . .. 314 Appendix B. Bibliography: Empirical and Experimental Investigations of Expertise. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 324 Appendix C. Bibliography: Knowledge Elicitation . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 338 Appendix D. Bibliography: Automated Knowledge Elicitation, Representation, and Instantiation ("Knowledge Acquisition") . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 346 Appendix E. Bibliography: Expertise in Programming. . . . . . . . . . .. 359 Appendix F. Bibliography: AI Theory, Philosophy, and Reviews of Expert Systems ................................. 363 Appendix G. Bibliography: Applications of Expert Systems ....... 371 Appendix H. Bibliography: Programming, Building, and Verifying Expert Systems ................................. 378 Subject Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 383 Author Index ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 387 Contributors Jack R. Adams-Webber Nancy J. Cooke Department of Psychology Department of Psychology Brock University Rice University St. Catherines, Ontario, L2S 3Al Houston, TX 77001 USA Canada Mary P. Czerwinski Mark R. Adler Compaq Computer Corporation Digital Equipment Corporation Houston, TX 77269-2000 USA 111 Locke Drive Marlborough, MA 01752 USA Lia A. DiBello Laboratory for Cognitive Studies of Francis S. Bellezza Work Department of Psychology City University of New York Ohio University New York, NY 10036-8099 USA Athens, OH45701-2979 USA Norman R. Brown Micheal Foley Department of Psychology Computer Services Carnegie-Mellon University University College Galway Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA Galway, Ireland Robert L. Campbell Kenneth M. Ford Department of Psychology Institute for Human and Machine Clemson University Cognition Clemson, SC 92634-1511 USA Division of Computer Science University of West Florida Stephen J. Ceci Pensacola, FL 32514-5750 USA Department of Human Development and Family Studies Peter A. Frensch College of Human Ecology Department of Psychology Cornell University University of Missouri Ithaca, NY 14853-4401 USA Columbia, MO 65211 USA
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