This heading style is set in Univers bold 27.5pt on 30pt This paragraph style is set at 12pt with 16pt leading and 8pt space after. The power Also in this issue: • Secondary headline number one Description wroiten hfere a billion • Secondary headline number one Description written here • Secondary headlinRe neumaberl oinze ing the Description written here Indian dream FICCI-KPMG Indian Media and Entertainment Industry Report 2013 kpmg.com/in We would like to thank all those who have contributed and shared their valuable domain insights in helping us put this report together. IMAGES COURTESY: Eros, Sony Music, Disney UTV, Reliance Entertainment, Zee Network, Times Music, Only Much Louder, T-Series, United Mediaworks, F ox Star India, Milestone Interactive, Viacom 18, Star India, 9X Media, Vserv.mobi, Graphiti Multimedia, Green Gold Animation, Prime Focus, DDB Mudra, Times OOH © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. The power of a billion Realizing the Indian dream FICCI-KPMG Indian Media and Entertainment Industry Report 2013 © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Foreword The Promise of a Billion... The promise of a billion consumers – this year’s theme for the FICCI Frames, symbolizes the immense potential of India as a Media and Entertainment (M&E) market. Why is this the relevant year to articulate this theme? While 2012 was a challenging year for the industry as a whole, it was also a year of significant changes; one where value chains were re- arranged and business models re-defined. These changes, while painful in the short run, will position the Indian M&E industry on a stronger footing for the future. This year, we have included several guest columns in the report. We believe it is important to have multiplicity of perspectives. There is a wide range and breadth in the points of view offered in these columns; but we hope these opinions will enhance the value of the facts and information contained in this report. In 2012, the economic slowdown hit the industry hard – especially advertising revenue. Advertising budgets were cut and plans had to be modified. Most companies had to revise previously robust projections to reflect a new macro – economic reality. However, many seeds of positive change were sown this year. The digital transformation of the industry, which we highlighted last year, has finally entered the implementation phase. Digitisation of cable in India was rolled out. Phase 1, though somewhat delayed, is now largely complete in Mumbai and Delhi and progressing in Kolkata. Phase 2 is now underway. FDI in cable and DTH was also a welcome announcement and we are likely to see significant interest from foreign strategic investors and private equity players in these sectors. Films saw robust growth of close to 21 percent on the back of content that addressed various consumer segments. The digitisation of theatres is close to 80 percent and projected to be nearly complete in 18-24 months – improving access for audiences and the economics for the business as a whole. Also, macro factors will enable the film industry in India to continue with its robust growth for years to come – rapid urbanization, headroom for multiplex growth and increasing sophistication in production and marketing will continue to drive revenue at near 11 percent for the next several years. We are not far from achieving our next benchmark – the INR 10 billion box-office film! © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Radio too, is set for the – roll out of new licenses in 294 cities as announced by the Finance Minister in his Union Budget speech of 2013 – a positive step that can accelerate the sector’s growth. Print continues to grow in India unlike in most countries. It has become more competitive and vibrant over the last few years. And the industry is finally acknowledging that challenges to its business model, though not immediate, will emerge eventually. English markets will be challenged by the emergence of the digital ecosystem first followed by regional markets. However, for the foreseeable future, growth will continue at 9-10 percent CAGR. New media also emerged as a growth driver in Uday Shankar 2012 – we saw the impact of new media revenue Chairman for music companies reach critical mass, Youtube became a significant revenue driver, the App FICCI Media and economy in India began to take off and OTT Entertainment Committee models are being experimented for TV. 2013 will be the year in which the promise of wireless broadband starts to find fulfillment. There Ramesh Sippy is a renewed push on 3G and limited launches of Co-Chairman 4G services – which are likely to go wider this year. FICCI Media and This should provide content companies a whole Entertainment Committee new platform on which to reach, entertain and – engage its audience of a billion. Karan Johar Chairman FICCI Frames Jehil Thakkar Head Media and Entertainment KPMG in India © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Table of contents Indian M&E Industry in 2013 An Introduction 06 12 Television The march to digital begins Radio Renewed hope 88 114 126 New Media Music Let the games Streaming to begin! success 172 Technology Changing the game © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Print Regional to the rescue 42 58 Films A Blockbuster year Animation, VFX and Post Production Convergence Lights, Camera… Waiting for Animation! bandwidth 146 158 166 Out of Home Displaying resilience Deal volume and value in 2012 Consolidating for scale 180 186 Tax and Regulatory Two steps forward... © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 6 The power of a billion: Realizing the Indian dream Indian M&E Industry in 2013 01 An Introduction © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. The power of a billion: Realizing the Indian dream 7 Introduction Not long ago, the thought of being able to reach and engage with the billion-strong and significantly diverse Indian customer base seemed far fetched. Today, powered by digital technologies, growth in penetration of broadband and digital cinema, increasingly sophisticated mobile devices, and a regulatory framework that is enabling growth and change in several sectors of the industry, the dreams of advertisers, media houses, and telcos are beginning to move towards fulfillment. Not so surprising then, that the theme for the FICCI 01Frames 2013 conclave is ‘A Tryst with Destiny: Engaging a Billion Consumers’ At the same time, this comes against the backdrop of a subdued macro environment that has dampened advertising spends. Key sectors still struggle with challenges of sub optimal scale, fragmented audiences, distribution leakages and the need for better industry co-ordination. Along with the opportunities presented by digitization and convergence, to realize the promise of a billion, come key questions for M&E companies and the government. • Global slowdown in economic growth • Continued crisis in the EU • 5 percent growth in real GDP (nominal growth 11.7 percent ) in India in 2012-13 (vis a vis 6.2 percent previous year)1 How can we extend our reach? How can we formulate multi platform distribution strategies to reach new audience segments and enable better subscription revenues? How do we penetrate emerging and lucrative regional pockets? How can we ensure access to media at realistic price points for the under-served population near the bottom of the pyramid? 730 million TV Viewers2 181 million Press AIR3 159 million Radio listeners3 176 million Internet users4 Significant potential to grow reach in a country of one billion How do we create true connect? How can we effectively segment a diverse audience base and then research and customize content for each segment, to ensure relevance? For example, how do we balance dubbed vs localized content in newly penetrated regional and rural markets? Or international vs locally produced content targeting key cities? Is there a business case for further zoning/ going hyperlocal within penetrated markets for greater localization of offerings? How do we engage the multitasking youth of today? How do we then inculcate processes to measure and monitor audience and reader responses, and then to ensure responsiveness and flexibility? 01. Central Statistical Organization (CSO) estimates 02. KPMG Analysis based upon Census 2011 and Industry discussions 03. IRS Q3 2012 04. KPMG Analysis based upon TRAI, IAMAI estimates and industry discussions. © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 8 The power of a billion: Realizing the Indian dream Industry size and projections • ‘Alive’ App enables readers to interact with the The overall Indian economy slowed down in 2012 due to print medium. both domestic and external factors. Domestically, the • Increased integration of events with print/radio monetary and fiscal stimulus provided by the Government campaigns ensures on-ground reach. of India post financial-crisis led to strong growth in demand and consumption in 2009-10 and 2010-11. However, this • Barfi combined online apps, college and in mall resulted in higher inflation and a powerful monetary events, and multimedia appearances in a high response that slowed consumption demand. Moreover, recall marketing campaign. corporate and infrastructure investment were also pulled • Internet Radio stations: Purani Jeans (retro hits), down by the tightened monetary policy as well as the Club Mix (party tracks) and Sufiyaana (Sufi and policy bottlenecks. Externally, a slowing global economy ghazals) cater to tastes of niche audiences. weighed down by the continued crisis in the Euro area and uncertainty in the US fiscal policy also increased risks • Satyamev Jayate utilized Big data analytics to to growth. The Central Statistical Organization’s (CSO’s) analyze large volumes of multiformat responses estimates indicate a 5 percent growth in real GDP in within and post each show, to tailor future shows 2012-13, as compared to a growth of 6.2 percent posted and leverage data to lobby for change. in 2011-12. These factors resulted in a challenging year for the M&E industry, with reductions in advertising budgets across sectors. The Indian M&E industry grew from INR 728 billion in 2011 to INR 821 billion in 2012, registering an overall growth 5 How can the power of media be harnessed of 12.6 percent . Recent policy measures taken by the to influence and be an instrument of social government can pave the way for gradual recovery for the Indian economy. With some improvement also likely in change? the global economy in 2013, the prognosis for the Indian How do we leverage the people’s trust in media to economy looks somewhat better and real GDP growth is influence, educate and be change agents for the better expected to be in the range of 6.1 to 6.7 percent in 2013- of society? How can we develop platforms that enable 6 14 . Given the impetus introduced by digitization, continued our audiences to connect with each other and create growth of regional media, upcoming elections, strength in communities with common causes? the film sector and fast increasing new media businesses, the industry is estimated to achieve a growth rate of 11.8 percent in 2013 to touch INR 917 billion. The sector is • ‘Nirbhaya’ protest and women’s safety campaign projected to grow at a healthy CAGR of 15.2 percent to across traditional and social media, garners reach INR 1661 billion by 2017.5 widespread awareness and support. Television clearly continues to be the dominant segment, • Satyamev Jayate draws attention to key social however we have seen strong growth posted by new issues. media sectors, animation/ VFX and a comeback in the Films • Successful films OMG and Vicky Donor present (21 percent growth in 2012 over 2011 vis a vis 11 percent social themes in an entertaining way. per growth in 2011 over 2010) and Music sectors (18 percent growth in 2012 over 2011 vs. 4.7 percent growth • Press campaigns such as Lead India and Teach in 2011 over 2010) on the back of strong content and the India aim to mobilize and empower readers. benefits of digitization. • ‘Have a Heart’ Radio channel campaign in Mumbai Radio is anticipated to see a spurt in growth post rollout and Delhi aims to promote acts of kindness. of Phase 3 licensing. The benefits of Phase 1 cable digital access system (DAS) rollout, and continued Phase 2 rollout are expected to contribute significantly to strong continued growth in the TV sector revenues and its ability to invest in and monetize content. The sector is expected to grow at a 5 CAGR of 18 percent over the period 2012-2017 . 05. KPMG in India Analysis and industry discussions 06. Economic Survey 2012-13 © 2013 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member frm of the KPMG network of independent member frms affliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.