The Political Economy of Conflict in South Asia

253 Pages·2015·0.7 MB·English

by  Matthew Webb

The Political Economy of
Conflict in South Asia
Matthew J. Webb and Albert Wijeweera
International Political Economy Series
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STATES AND MARKETS IN HYDROCARBON SECTORS
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THE FINANCIAL STATECRAFT OF EMERGING POWERS
Shield and Sword in Asia and Latin America
Md Mizanur Rahman, Tan Tai Yong, Ahsan Ullah (e ditors )
MIGRANT REMITTANCES IN SOUTH ASIA
Social, Economic and Political Implications
Bartholomew Paudyn
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THE ARAB SPRING IN THE GLOBAL POLITICAL ECONOMY
Andreas Nölke ( editor )
MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS FROM EMERGING MARKETS
State Capitalism 3.0
Roshen Hendrickson
PROMOTING U.S. INVESTMENT IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Bhumitra Chakma
SOUTH ASIA IN TRANSITION
Democracy, Political Economy and Security
Greig Charnock, Thomas Purcell and Ramon Ribera-Fumaz
THE LIMITS TO CAPITAL IN SPAIN
Crisis and Revolt in the European South
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The Political Economy of
Conflict in South Asia
Edited by
Matthew J. Webb
Assistant Professor, The Petroleum Institute, United Arab Emirates
and
Albert Wijeweera
Senior Lecturer, Southern Cross University, Australia
Editorial matter, selection, introduction and conclusion © Matthew J. Webb
and Albert Wijeweera 2015
Individual chapters © Respective authors 2015
All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this
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First published 2015 by
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Contents
List of Tables and Figures vii
Acknowledgements i x
Notes on Contributors x
1 I ntroduction 1
M atthew J. Webb and Albert Wijeweera
2 T he Economics of Conflict in the Chittagong Hill Tract
Region of Bangladesh 1 2
S yed Serajul Islam
3 T he ‘Political Economy’ of Sikh Separatism: Ethnic Identity,
Federalism and the Distortions of Post-Independence Agrarian
Development in Punjab-India 3 2
J ugdep S. Chima
4 T he Political Economy of the Ethno-nationalist Uprising in
Pakistani Balochistan, 1999–2013 57
F arhan Hanif Siddiqi
5 N epal’s Protracted Transition: Explaining the Continuing
Political and Economic Impasse 7 5
P ramod K. Kantha
6 I ndia’s Indigenization of Military Aircraft Design and
Manufacturing: Towards a Fifth-Generation Fighter 9 3
M ichael B. Charles and Elisabeth Sinnewe
7 T he Political Economy of Pakistan’s ‘War on Terror’ 114
H oward Brasted and Zahid Shahab Ahmed
8 T errorist Activities and Financial Market Performance:
Evidence from Sri Lanka 1 32
A lbert Wijeweera
9 G reed, Grievance and Violent Separatism in South Asia 149
Matthew J. Webb
v
vi Contents
10 The Himalayan Ranges, Glaciers, Lakes and Rivers: An
International Ecological, Economic and Military Outlook 171
Lavanya Vemsani
11 Defence, Security and the Economy in South Asian
Countries 1 91
Christos Kollias and Stephanos Papadamou
12 A Survival Analysis of the Onset of Peace in South Asia 211
Ali C. Tasiran and Zainab Kazim Ali
13 Conclusion 2 27
Matthew J. Webb and Albert Wijeweera
Index 2 31
List of Tables and Figures
Figures
7.1 T errorist incidents in Pakistan 2001–2013 126
8.1 C umulative death toll due to terrorist attacks in
Sri Lanka 1986–2009 1 37
11.1 T otal military spending in South Asia 1988–2011 198
11.2 V ariables used to analyse military spending in South Asia 202
11.3 I mpulse response analysis for 1 lag VAR GDPPC INFLA
HCGDP MEGDP INT 2 04
12.1 N on-parametric Kaplan–Meier survival functions
by region 2 18
12.2 N on-parametric Kaplan–Meier survival functions
of the termination of Asian wars 221
Tables
4.1 E mployment of Balochistan-domiciled persons in
gas-producing and distribution companies 70
6.1 C urrent products of Hindustan Aeronautics
Limited (HAL) 1 02
6.2 P otential Indian air power in 2025 107
7.1 C osts of war in Pakistan 2001–2014 128
8.1 S ummary statistics of major variables for
terrorist-related incidents in Sri Lanka 1986–2009 142
8.2 T est for ARCH effects in analysis of terrorist-related
incidents in Sri Lanka 1 43
8.3 R esults of GARCH(1,1) model in analysis of
terrorist-related incidents in Sri Lanka 144
11.1 C omparative development indices for South Asian
states 1 93
11.2 C omparative development indices for South Asian
states vis-à-vis regional averages 194
11.3 M ilitary manpower in South Asia 1989–2010 197
11.4 T he defence burden in South Asia 1988–2010 199
11.5 V ariance decomposition results used in the analysis of
defence spending of South Asian states 203
vii
viii List of Tables and Figures
12.1 W ars by location and length 2 17
12.2 O rdered spells and durations of Asian wars 219
12.3 D istribution of Asian wars by termination type 220
12.4 D escriptive statistics of variables for all Asian wars 222
12.5 C ox proportional model estimates for all outcomes
in the analysis of Asian wars 2 24
Acknowledgements
We would first like to acknowledge and express our gratitude to our
editors at Palgrave Macmillan for their invaluable support and assistance
in the production of this volume. In addition, we would like to thank
all of the contributing authors to this volume for their dedication and
hard work; it was a privilege and a joy to be a part of this exciting project
with you. Special thanks are due to Christos Kollias and Jugdep S. Chima
who, in addition to supplying chapters for this volume, also introduced
us to several other authors who kindly agreed to do the same. Others
who assisted through their encouragement and support include Hamad
Karki, Mark Hayman, Brian Bielenberg, Gwyn Rees and Stephen Levine.
The volume is lovingly dedicated to Sayuri, Jamie and Mia Webb, and
Nandani, Chandana and Saduni Wijeweera.
ix