THE ORIGINS OF THE CRIMEAN WAR ORIGINS OF MODERN W ARS General editor: Harry Hearder Titles already published: THE ORIGINS OF THE FRENCH REVOLUTIONARY W ARS T. C. W. Blanning THE ORIGINS OF THE CRIMEAN WAR David M. Goldfrank THE ORIGINS OF THE IT ALIAN W ARS OF INDEPENDENCE Frank J. Coppa THE ORIGINS OF THE W ARS OF GERMAN UNIFICA TION William Carr THE ORIGINS OF THE RUSSO-jAPANESE WAR fan Nish THE ORIGINS OF THE FIRST WORLD WAR (Second Edition) James Joll THE ORIGINS OF THE SECOND WORLD WAR IN EUROPE P.M.H. Bell THE ORIGINS OF THE SECOND WORLD WAR IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC Akira friye THE ORIGINS OF THE KOREAN WAR Peter Lowe THE ORIGINS OF THE VIETNAM WAR Anthony Short THE ORIGINS OF THE ARAB-ISRAELI W ARS (Second Edition) Ritchie Ovendale THE ORIGINS OF THE CRIMEAN WAR David M. Goldfrank First publisbed 1994 by Longman Group Limited Published 2013 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OXI4 4RN 711 'lhird Avenue, New York, NY 10017, USA Rautledge is an imprint af the Tay/ar & Francis Group, an infarma business Copyright ßJ 1994, Taylor & Francis. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or repro duced or utilised in any form or by any clectronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photo copying and recording, or in any information storage or rctrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Notices Knowledge and best practice in this field are constantly changing. As ncw research and cxpcricncc broadcn our undcrstanding, changes in research methods, professional practices, or Inedical lreatnlent lllay hecome ncccssary. Practitioncrs and researchcrs must always rc1y on thcir own cxpcri enee and knowledge in evalualing and using any information, lneth ads, compounds, or experiments dcscribcd herein. In using such in formation or methods they should be mindful of their own safety and the safety of others, including parties for whom they have a pro fessional responsibility. '1'0 thc fullest extent of the law, ncithcr the Publishcr nor the authors, eontributors, or editors, ass urne any liability far any injury and/or damage to persons or property as a matter of products liability, ncgli genee or otherwise, or from any lise or operation of any methods, products, instructions, or idcas containcd in thc material herein. ISBN 13: 978-0-582-49055-0 (pbk) British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available [rom thc British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Goldfrank, David M. Thc origins of tbe Crimean War / David M. Goldfrank. p. cm. - (Origins of modern wars) lncludes bibliographical references and index. 1. Crimean War, 1853-1856--Causes. 2. Crimcan War, 1853-1856 -Diplomatie history. 3. Eurüpe-Politics and governmcnt-1848-1871. I. Tide. Il. Series. DK215.G57 1993 947'.073-dc20 Contents List oJ tables X List oJ maps Xl Editor's Joreword XU Acknowledgements XlV Introduction 1 The Problem: I - a sick man in a sick world 1 The Problem: 11 - reasons why? 4 PART ONE: The Setting 1. Western Questions - The Horne Fronts 9 Europe's hegemony 9 Ways and means of production 10 Commerce and its ambitions 12 Finance and its limits 14 Governance: the western part of the West 15 Governance: the eastern part of the West 18 2. Western Questions - The Projection ofPower 27 Formalities 27 The terrestrial balance 29 The maritime imbalance 32 The double standard of imperialism 34 The European system 36 V Contents 3. The Eastern Question 40 Foundations 40 The Great Power breakthrough against Turkey (1767-1821) 41 Russia's further ascent (1821-33) 44 England's leap forward (1833-41) 46 The wider context: the Anglo-Russian 'Great Game' (to 1847) 48 PART TWO: The Sparks 4. Counter-revolution on the March (1848-50) 59 The contradictions of 1848 59 Great Power dilemmas and urges 61 Rescuing the Ottoman and Habsburg realms 62 Averting a war of German unification 66 The refugee crisis: dress rehearsal for 1853? 68 5. Holy Places, Profane Litigation (May 185~March 1852) 75 The tense aftermath of the refugee crisis 75 Rival challenges to the status quo 77 The aborted mixed commission 81 The ulema's deft compromise and the sultan's ambiguous pledge 84 From sleight of hand to blatant fraud 87 6. The Return to Armed Diplomacy (April-November 1852) 91 Serious complications 91 French naval persuasion 93 Mounting uncertainties 94 A new 'Greek Project'? 96 The law's delay 97 7. Nativity (December 1852) 101 Montenegro's provocation: the first shots 101 Napoleon 'III' enthroned 102 The new Ottoman ruling and the Tsar's blank cheque 104 Towards a fateful decision 106 Mobilization 109 VI Contents PART THREE: The Rupture 8. Preparations for Diplomatie Disaster Ganuary-February 1853) 115 Turkey's strong move and London's strong hand 115 The Tsar's hare-brained schemes 116 Vienna's gamble: Count Leiningen's mission 120 French positioning and other matters 123 British admonitions, Russian blinders 125 9. Mission Impossible: 1- Menshikov vs the Charges (March 1853) 131 Fatal instructions 131 Foolish intimidation 134 Napoleon's reaction - Rose's sweet victory 136 Menshikov's sound advice 140 10. Mission Impossible: 11 - Menshikov vs the Great Ambassador (April-May 1853) 146 The 'Real Jockey' takes charge 146 The 'Pig' without a 'String' 148 The first ultimatum 151 The return of Reshid Pasha 154 The new team in action 156 The final exchange: Stratford's real victory 158 PART FOUR: The Twilight Zone 11. Giant Steps (May-June 1853) 167 The logic of the situation 167 Taking stock 169 Escalations: Russia 170 Escalations: Turkey 171 Escalations: Britain 172 Sitting pretty: Napoleon 174 12. Floating Projeets Gune-July 1853) 177 Imperatives for peace and war 177 London: the English 'Convention' 178 Paris: the Drouyn 'Note' 181 Vienna: the Bourqueney 'Expedient' 182 VB Contents St Petersburg and Constantinople: the second ultimatum 184 The embryo of the peace treaty 186 13. Sour Notes (July-August 1853) 190 The oceupation of the Prineipalities and Europe's eonservatives 190 The Porte's reaction: the unforeseen 'Ultimatum' 192 The Cabinet's tentative solution: the Vienna projeet 194 Strategies in eonfliet 197 The Turks dig in 199 14. Cutting Loose (August-September 1853) 204 Turkey: masterful modifieations 204 Europe: anxious antieipations 206 Russia: resolute rejeetion 209 Britain: violent interpretations 211 Observations on the rise and fall of the Vienna Note 212 PART FIVE: The Passage to Arms 15. The Outbreak ofthe Ninth Russo-Turkish War (September-Oetober 1853) 219 Olmütz: the Tsar feigns retreat 219 Constantinople: the Turks declare 222 London: the Cabinet resolves 226 The fighting begins 228 16. Getting Down to Business (October-December 1853) 234 Russia and Britain: planning the inevitable 234 Britain and Franee: roping in Austria 237 Russia and Turkey: the guns of Sinope 240 Stratford vindieated: Napoleon strikes again 242 The Turks in tow and the die east 243 17. Calculated Countdown (December 1853-April 1854) 250 Strategie planning 250 Blunt messages 252 Contingent neutrals 255 A tale of three emperors 258 From rupture to summons 261 Enabling allianees 263 Vlll Contents PART SIX: Conclusions and Consequences 18. The Origins of the Crimean War 271 Personal responsibilities: I - the emperors 271 Personal responsibilities: II - the Englishmen 274 Less personal forces 279 Ideas 281 Atavism and medievalism 283 19. The Strange Sequel 286 The illusions of war 286 The logic of peace ... or ... another war averted 290 Nationalism and imperialism triumphant 293 Repercussions and legacies 296 The irony of 'Sickness' 301 Bibliography 305 Maps 323 Index 330 IX