The New Zealand Weather Book The New Zealand Weather Book Erick Brenstrum First edition 1998 Reprinted 1999, 2001, 2003, 2007 Published by Craig Potton Publishing, Box 555, Nelson, New Zealand Copyright ©text Erick Brenstrum, 1998 Copyright ©photographs, diagrams and illustrations as credited on page 126 The right of Erick Brenstrum to be identified as the author of this work in terms of section 96 of the New Zealand Copyright Act 1994 is hereby asserted. All rights reserved. Without limiting the rights under copyright reserved above, no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form, or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopy- ing, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of both the copyright owner and Craig Potton Publishing Ltd. ISBN 978-0-908802-47-0 Editor: James Brown Printed in China by Everbest Printing Co. Ltd Contents Acknowledgements 7 Chapter 1 Understanding the Weather – Key Principles 9 Chapter 2 Meet the Weather Map 13 Chapter 3 Showers Showers Almost Everywhere 21 Chapter 4 More on Highs and Lows 29 Chapter 5 A Closer Look at Fronts 39 Chapter 6 Frosts and Fogs 45 Chapter 7 Thunderstorms, Hail and Tornadoes 51 Chapter 8 Snow 63 Chapter 9 Coastal Winds 71 Chapter 10 Convergence Lines 79 Chapter 11 Ex-Tropical Cyclones 87 Chapter 12 What Does It All Add Up To? 97 Chapter 13 Forecasting 115 Conclusion 125 Contributors 126 Index 127 One of the classic signs of a thunderstorm, these bulges – known as mamatus – typically form on the underside of the anvil of cumulonimbus clouds. They can also form on the underside of high wave clouds formed when the wind blows across a mountain range. 6 Acknowledgements First, I would like to thank my colleagues past and present who have taught me so much: in particular the late Tom Steiner who got me started in meteorology and supported my research; Rod Stainer for his encouragement and for giving me the time to write my first articles for New Zealand Flight Safety; Ray Smith who gave me the opportunity to write for New Zealand Geographic; Alex Neale and the late Henry Hill for the example they set in their studies of the weather; and Augie Auer for his encouragement and support and for being a frequent sounding board for meteorological ideas. Kennedy Warne at New Zealand Geographic has published my articles over the last ten years. His enthusiasm for matters meteorologica l is unfailing. Some of the explanations and anecdotes used in this book first appeared in New Zealand Geographic as did a number of the illustrations. Jim Renwick of NIWA has been my safety net checking the manuscript for errors – any that may remain are entirely my responsibility. Warren Gray and Brett Mullan, also at NIWA, supplied the radar images and SOI graph respectively, and Steve Ready at MetService the cyclone tracks map. Thanks must also go to MetService for the use of the weather maps, to the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) for the GMS satellite photos, to Wayne Carran for his magnificent avalanche photo, and to Arno Gasteiger for finding just the right 44,000 year old tree to photograph using only my vague directions for guidance. The staff at the Alexander Turnbull Library were so friendly and helpful it makes me want to go back and do another book. Special thanks to my long-time friend Mike Bradstock who encouraged me to embark on this project. Robbie Burton and Dave Chowdhury at Craig Potton Publishing made it all happen: my thanks to them for their vision and enthusiasm and for dragging me through the hard bits. My thanks also go to Craig Potton for the use of some of his incomparable photos. I owe a special debt to my editor James Brown, who was everything I could want in an editor – enthusiastic, firm, almost invariably right, and gifted in the mother tongue. Most of all I would like to thank my family, in particular my wife Alex and children Hugh and Anna, for their patience and understanding. This took longer to write than originally intended – most of it borrowed or stolen family time. I could not have got there without your encouragement and support. Finally, all credit to the weather for turning up. Erick Brenstrum 7 “Under so plain a title neither abstruse problems nor intricate difficulties should be found. This popular work is intended for many, rather than for few, with an earnest hope of its utility in daily life. The means actually requisite to enable any person of fair abilities and average education to become practically ‘weather-wise’ are much more readily attainable than has been often supposed. With a barometer, two or three thermometers, some brief instructions, and an attentive observation, not of instruments only, but the sky and at- mosphere, one may utilise Meteorology.” Robert FitzRoy, a former New Zealand governor and pioneer meteorologist, in his The Weather Book: a manual of practical meteorology published in 1863. 8 CHAPTER 1 Understanding the weather – key principles The weather at its most violent is a killer. The wind can destroy buildings, sink ships, throw planes from the sky and drive the ocean up onto the land. Heavy rain causes landslides and floods; extremes of heat and cold are a threat to both people and animals. The weather is also a lifegiver. Rain and sun make plants grow, providing much of the food that sustains us, and a spectacular sunset nourishes the soul. The weather is fascinating in the way it changes, and a good understanding of how it evolves enables us to avoid its greatest dangers and enjoy its benefits. The air in the sky around us is the factory in which the weather is made. Any attempt to understand the weather must begin by looking at what air is made of and how it behaves. The main raw ingredient in this aerial factory is water, so it is also important to understand how water is transformed as it travels through the sky from gas to liquid or solid. THE ATMOSPHERE The atmosphere is a thin layer of gas clinging to the Earth’s surface. To get some idea of how thin it is, compare it to an apple cut in half. If the Earth was shrunk to the size of the apple, then the atmosphere would be as thick as the apple skin. The atmosphere is a mixture of gases, mostly nitrogen (75%) and oxygen (23%), as well as other gases in smaller concentrations. Because the atmosphere is well mixed by the wind, the proportion of these is relatively constant from day to day, with one important exception: water vapour. Water vapour varies from near 0% to 4% of the atmosphere. This is because water is constantly evaporating from the ocean into the atmosphere and then falling out again as rain or snow. AIR DENSITY The density of the air is a measure of how much air is present in a cube with sides one metre long. At sea level, air density is about 1.2 kg per Blanketing the land, a layer cubic metre, while on top of high mountains like the Himalayas, it is only about one third of low cloud is trapped under an anticyclone while of this. On top of Mount Everest therefore, each lungful of air gives your body only one the mountain tops are in third as much oxygen as at sea level. clear skies. People whose ancestors have lived at high altitude for thousands of years, such as the KEY PRINCIPLES 9