THE NEW This work is a tour de force. I regard it to be a major con- W tribution to our understanding of the risks facing democracies a r from the rising new authoritarianism. A must-read. in AUTHORI- g Emeritus Professor Antony A. Vass, ( e Criminologist, Penologist, Legal Consultant, Sociologist, Psychologist and Psychotherapist d . ) TARIANISM A most timely examination of the nature and rise of the Alt-Right phenomenon. Dr Clodagh Harrington, Senior Lecturer, De Montfort University, edited by chair of the (PSA) American Politics Group, and researcher at The Trump Project V . 1: Alan Waring In his chapter on the US Alt-Right’s ‘anti-Iran project’, Waring OL provides a fascinating insight and a counterpoint to ‘armchair VoT A RISK ANALYSIS OF expertise’. l. 1: Ahe THE US ALT-RIGHT RN Professor George Boustras, Professor in Risk Assessment, European University Cyprus, is PHENOMENON and Director of the Center for Risk and Decision Science k Ae nw a This two-volume book considers from a risk perspective the current phenomenon of the lysis o A new Alt-Right authoritarianism and whether it represents ‘real’ democracy or an unac- f tu ht ceptable hegemony potentially resulting in elected dictatorships and abuses as well as dys- e Uh So functional government. Contributing authors represent an eclectic range of disciplines, A r including cognitive, organizational and political psychology, sociology, history, political lt-i Rt science, international relations, linguistics and discourse analysis, and risk analysis. The iga Alt-Right threats and risk exposures, whether to democracy, human rights, law and or- ht Pri ha der, social welfare, racial harmony, the economy, national security, the environment, and e nn international relations, are identified and analysed across a number of selected countries. omi While Vol. 1 focusses on the US, Vol. 2 (ISBN 978-3-8382-1263-0) illuminates the phe- ensm o nomenon in the UK, Austria, France, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Italy, Hungary, n and Russia. Potential strategies to limit the Alt-Right threat are proposed. ALAN WARING holds a PhD from Westminster University. For over 30 years, he was an international risk management consultant on a range of corporate, strategic and opera- tional risk issues to government departments, institutions, and large corporations, in many countries. He has held academic roles at Tsinghua University in Beijing, the Centre for Corporate Governance and Financial Policy at Hong Kong Baptist University, and the European University Cyprus. His books include Managing Risk (Waring and Glendon, 1998), Corporate Risk and Governance (2013) and Practical Systems Thinking (1996). ISBN: 978-3-8382-1153-4 ibidem ibidem ibd The New Authoritarianism Vol. 1: A Risk Analysis of the US Alt-Right Phenomenon Edited by Alan Waring THE NEW AUTHORITARIANISM Vol. 1: A Risk Analysis of the US Alt-Right Phenomenon Edited by Alan Waring ibidem- Verlag Stuttgart Bibliographic information published by the Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Die Deutsche Nationalbibliothek lists this publication in the Deutsche Nationalbibliografie; detailed bibliographic data are available in the Internet at http://dnb.d-nb.de. Bibliografische Information der Deutschen Nationalbibliothek Die Deutsche Nationalbibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der Deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind im Internet über http://dnb.d-nb.de abrufbar. ISBN-13: 978-3-8382-7153-8 © ibidem-Verlag / ibidem Press Stuttgart, Germany 2018 Alle Rechte vorbehalten Das Werk einschließlich aller seiner Teile ist urheberrechtlich geschützt. Jede Verwertung außerhalb der engen Grenzen des Urheberrechtsgesetzes ist ohne Zustimmung des Verlages unzulässig und strafbar. Dies gilt insbesondere für Vervielfältigungen, Übersetzungen, Mikroverfilmungen und elektronische Speicherformen sowie die Einspeicherung und Verarbeitung in elektronischen Systemen. All rights reserved No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in or introduced into a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form, or by any means (electronical, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) without the prior written permission of the publisher. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. Dedication This two-volume book is dedicated in memoriam to the Lord Peter Temple-Morris QC, who inspired and encouraged the editor to em- bark on the project. Originally scheduled to contribute the Foreword, throughout 2017 and into 2018 he battled with much fortitude against increasingly severe illness and operations and became too frail to write. Sadly, he died aged 80 on May 1, 2018. Lord Temple-Morris’s British parliamentary career as an MP ran from 1974 to 2001, for the most part as a Conservative of the liberal ‘One Nation Tories’ group, before crossing the floor of the House to Labour in 1997. He entered the parliamentary upper chamber (House of Lords) in 2001. His strong distaste for authoritarianism (which he saw as increasingly prevalent in the Conservative Party), and an equally strong belief in justice and moderation, characterised his world-view. Serving variously on the Justice and Foreign Affairs Select Committees and others, he was also a key member of the British-Ira- nian All-Party Parliamentary Group from 1989 to 2005, and in 1990 launched the British-Irish All-Party Parliamentary Group. He is cred- ited with a substantial contribution to the Northern Ireland peace pro- cess that culminated in the 1998 Good Friday Agreement. This book is a fitting tribute to his sense of justice and modera- tion and ‘jaw-jaw’ approach to difficult political issues, especially in foreign policy areas. 5 Contents Dedication ....................................................................................................... 5 List of Tables .................................................................................................. 9 List of US Cases ............................................................................................ 11 List of Abbreviations and Acronyms ................................................... 13 Foreword ....................................................................................................... 17 Acknowledgements .................................................................................... 21 Alan Waring Introduction: Risk and the Alt-Right ................................................... 23 PART 1: THE NATURE OF THE ALT-RIGHT IDEOLOGY ................................... 33 Alan Waring Chapter 1: Defining the Evolving Alt-Right Phenomenon............ 35 Alan Waring and Roger Paxton Chapter 2: Psychological Aspects of the Alt-Right Phenomenon ................................................................. 53 PART 2: THE ALT-RIGHT IN THE US .............................................................. 83 Roger Paxton Chapter 3: The Alt-Right and Resurgent US Nationalism ............. 85 Timothy Wyman McCarty Chapter 4: The Trumpism Phenomenon ......................................... 105 Alan Waring Chapter 5: President Trump’s Administration ............................. 137 Alan Waring Chapter 6: The Alt-Right and US Foreign Policy ........................... 169 Alan Waring Chapter 7: The Alt-Right Anti-Iran Project ..................................... 207 7 Kevern Verney Chapter 8: The Alt-Right, Immigration, Mass Migration and Refugees ............................................................................................. 247 Alan Waring Chapter 9: The Alt-Right, Environmental Issues, and Global Warming ............................................................................... 273 Alan Waring Chapter 10: The Alt-Right, Human Rights, and the Law ............ 303 Roger Paxton Chapter 11: The Alt-Right, Post-Truth, Fake News, and the Media ............................................................................................ 337 PART 3: CONCLUSION .................................................................................... 363 Alan Waring Chapter 12: A Risk Analysis and Assessment of the US Alt-Right and its Effects ....................................................... 365 Alan Waring Chapter 13: A Prognosis for the New Authoritarianism ........... 403 Alan Waring and Roger Paxton Chapter 14: Potential Strategies to Limit the Alt-Right Threat .... 425 Glossary ....................................................................................................... 461 About the Editor and Authors of Vol 1 and Vol 2 ......................... 473 Index ............................................................................................................. 477 8 List of Tables Table 1.1: US Alt-Right Exemplars ................................................... 52 Table 2.1: A Multi-Level Psychological Framework for Exploring Risk ........................................................................ 58 Table 2.2: Individual Defence Strategies in the Face of Challenge on Success or Failure ........................ 69 Table 6.1: Subject Areas of US Foreign Policy 2017 ...................... 170 Table 9.1: Examples of Human-Created Environmental Disasters ........................................................... 278 Table 12.1: Risks Relating to the Alt-Right in the U.S. ................. 391 Table 12.2: Rating and Scoring Heuristic for Estimation of Opportunity Risks ..................................................................... 395 Table 12.3: Probability Heuristic for Estimation of Risks ............ 395 Table 12.4: Rating Heuristic for Estimation of Risk Levels ......... 396 9