P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome vi P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome The Mental Strategies of Top Traders i P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publish- ingcompanyintheUnitedStates.WithofficesinNorthAmerica,Europe, AustraliaandAsia,Wileyisgloballycommittedtodevelopingandmarket- ing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ profes- sionalandpersonalknowledgeandunderstanding. TheWileyTradingseriesfeaturesbooksbytraderswhohavesurvived the market’s ever changing temperament and have prospered—some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional or somewhere in-between, these books will provide theadviceandstrategiesneededtoprospertodayandwellintothefuture. Foralistofavailabletitles,visitourwebsiteatwww.WileyFinance.com. ii P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome The Mental Strategies of Top Traders The Psychological Determinants of Trading Success ARI KIEV JohnWiley&Sons,Inc. iii P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome Copyright(cid:2)C 2010byAriKiev.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedin anyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanning,oroth- erwise,exceptaspermittedunderSection107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyrightAct, withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermissionofthePublisher,orauthorizationthroughpayment oftheappropriateper-copyfeetotheCopyrightClearanceCenter,Inc.,222RosewoodDrive, Danvers,MA01923,(978)750-8400fax(978)646-8600,oronthewebat www.copyright.com. 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Forgeneralinformationonourotherproductsandservicesorfortechnicalsupport,please contactourCustomerCareDepartmentwithintheUnitedStatesat(800)762-2974,outsidethe UnitedStatesat(317)572-3993orfax(317)572-4002. Wileyalsopublishesitsbooksinavarietyofelectronicformats.Somecontentthatappears inprintmaynotbeavailableinelectronicbooks.FormoreinformationaboutWileyproducts, visitourwebsiteat www.wiley.com. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData: Kiev,Ari. Thementalstrategiesoftoptraders:thepsychologicaldeterminantsoftrading success/AriKiev. p. cm.—(Wileytradingseries) Includesindex. ISBN978-0-470-50953-1(cloth) 1.Investments—Psychologicalaspects. 2.Stocks—Psychologicalaspects. 3.Speculation—Psychologicalaspects. 4.Investments—Casestudies. I.Title. HG4515.15.K542 2010 332.6401(cid:3)9–dc22 2009021669 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 iv P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome ForPhyllis,withallmylove v P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome vi P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome Contents Acknowledgments xi Introduction 1 CHAPTER 1 Intellect, Instinct, and Guts: Understanding the Psychological Profile 7 AHistoryofSuccess 14 TheAbilitytoTakeRisk 15 CreativityandOriginality 16 Self-Awareness,Self-Control,andResilience 17 TeachingTradersSelf-AssessmentandSelf-Control 18 TeamworkandLeadership 19 PuttingItAllTogether 21 CaseStudyonFindingtheRightCandidate 21 JobRequirements 21 PotentialCandidates 22 TheBottomLine 25 ThePerfectCandidate? 26 ChapterinReview 27 CHAPTER 2 Planning for Action: The Importance of Goal-Directedness 29 MakingaPlan 30 CaseStudyonSettingaGoal 31 CaseStudyonHavingaVariantPerception 35 vii P1:JYS JWBT182-fm JWBT182-Kiev September20,2009 10:58 Printer:Yettocome viii CONTENTS PersonalityFactorsandGoal-Setting 42 RecognizingGoal-DirectedIndividuals 44 CaseStudyonRecognizingGoal-Directedness 47 Fred’sStrengths:TheThreeCs 47 Fred’sWeaknesses:TheThreeIs 48 Goal-DirectednessinTurbulentTimes 50 OwnYourStuff 51 ReviewtheGameFilms 51 SwitchGears? 52 BeRealistic 52 StayTruetoYourStrengths 52 MaintainFocus 53 ChapterinReview 54 CHAPTER 3 ‘‘Fire in the Belly’’: The Ability to Take Appropriate Risk 57 APictureofSuccessfulRiskManagement 57 TradingPhilosophy 59 HandlingDrawdowns 59 HeadversusHeart 60 ReviewingRiskStatistics 60 ExaminingPersonalityFactors 63 LearningtoUpgradeYourPerformance 71 ChapterinReview 77 CHAPTER 4 Thinking Outside the Box: The Importance of Ingenuity 79 CaseStudyontheSatisfactionofCreativeThinking 80 TheStrategicThinker 81 CaseStudyonLearningtoBeCreative 82 IdeaConstruction 88 DevelopingaVariantPerception 88 CaseStudyonCreativeThinking 89 IdeaEvaluationChecklist 92 DefiningExpectationalAnalysis 94