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The Maritime Dimension of Sustainable Energy Security PDF

227 Pages·2019·3.323 MB·English
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Lecture Notes in Energy 68 Kapil Narula The Maritime Dimension of Sustainable Energy Security Lecture Notes in Energy Volume 68 LectureNotesinEnergy(LNE)isaseriesthatreportsonnewdevelopmentsinthe studyofenergy:fromscienceandengineeringtotheanalysisofenergypolicy.The series’ scope includes but is not limited to, renewable and green energy, nuclear, fossil fuels and carbon capture, energy systems, energy storage and harvesting, batteries and fuel cells, power systems, energy efficiency, energy in buildings, energy policy, as well as energy-related topics in economics, management and transportation.BookspublishedinLNEareoriginalandtimelyandbridgebetween advanced textbooks and the forefront of research. Readers of LNE include postgraduate students and non-specialist researchers wishing to gain an accessible introduction to a field of research as well as professionals and researchers with a needforanup-to-datereferencebookonawell-definedtopic.Theseriespublishes single- and multi-authored volumes as well as advanced textbooks. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8874 Kapil Narula The Maritime Dimension of Sustainable Energy Security 123 KapilNarula Institute for Environmental Sciences(ISE) University of Geneva Geneva, Switzerland ISSN 2195-1284 ISSN 2195-1292 (electronic) Lecture Notesin Energy ISBN978-981-13-1588-6 ISBN978-981-13-1589-3 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1589-3 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2018947787 ©SpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd.2019 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:152BeachRoad,#21-01/04GatewayEast,Singapore189721, Singapore I dedicate this book to The Supreme Soul, for holding my hand throughout this journey of life My mother and father for their unconditional love My wife who has been a pillar of support and strength My children who I hope would grow up as wonderful human beings My extended family and friends for their support Myteachers,mentorsandcolleaguesfortheir encouragement To the indomitable spirit which shows that everything is possible with faith, hard work and determination Preface Energyisadriverofeconomicgrowth,andsupplyoflow-costenergyisoneofthe important priorities for a country. The oil embargo imposed by Arab nations in 1973 became the starting point for discussions on energy security, and since then, the term has caught the attention of politicians, analysts, energy planners and economists alike. While the core concept of energy security deals with ‘the availabilityofenergy ataffordableprices’,thequantificationof‘howmuchenergy should be available’, ‘what is affordable’ and for ‘whom is it available and affordable’issubjecttodifferentinterpretations.Astimeprogressed,otherconcerns on reliability of energy supply, accessibility of energy resources, risks to energy supply, military aspects of energy security, energy nationalism, energy interde- pendence, energy services, robustness and resilience of energy systems, long-term vs short-term aspects of energy security, energy inequity, economic impact of disruption of energy supply lines and energy price shocks entered into the debate. Thus,overtime,energysecurityhasevolvedtobecomeamultidimensionalconcept that covers various perspectives, domains, disciplines and specializations. Over the last couple of decades, environmental degradation and climate change have led to global concerns on the continued use of fossil fuels. Realizing the negative externalities caused by energy use, the focus of energy planners began to shifttosustainableenergysources,loweringthedemandofenergyandeliminating the wastage of energy. The notion of energy sustainability started colouring the conceptofenergy securitythathadbecomeanumbrellatermtodiscussanyissues related to energy supply, energy demand, environmental aspects related to energy use and prices of energy. As the goal posts shifted to include energy sustainability along with energy security, it has become necessary to introduce the concept of ‘sustainable energy security’ (SES) that amalgamates both these concerns. ‘Sustainable energy security’ (SES) is defined as ‘provisioning of uninterrupted energyservices(shorttermandlongterm)inanaffordable,equitable,efficientand environmentally benign manner’. This perspective accommodates the supply side, the demand side and the three dimensions of sustainable development, viz. social, economic and environmental, in its approach. SES has been proposed as the vii viii Preface objectiveofenergypolicyofacountryasitachievestheobjectivesofbothenergy security and energy sustainability together. The maritime domain is inextricably linked with SES, but the current discourse on maritime aspects of energy security is limited to protection of maritime energy supply lines and the role of military in providing maritime security. However, the maritime dimension of SES extends much beyond this limited interpretation as it includes energy supply chains, energy trade, shipping, energy markets and various other factors that have a strong maritime connect. Apart from enabling energy trade, oceans are a source of both hydrocarbon energy and marine renewable energy. This maritime dimension is often not given enough attention, and planners continue to focus on land-based aspects of energy. With technological improvements and lowering costs, harnessing renewable forms of marine energy can lead to SES. The shipping industry is an enabler of energy trade, and hence, it is also important that greenhouse gas emissions from shipping are minimized in order to attain SES. It was felt that the above-mentioned issues were discussed in isolated silos. Energy planners were unaware of the maritime aspects such as characteristics of ships,maritimesecurityandspecializedcomponentsofthemaritimeenergysupply chains. On the other hand, maritime professionals and analysts who had a good understanding of the maritime aspects were unaware of the big picture on energy systems, challenges in energy transition, renewable energy from oceans and the measures undertaken to lower emissions from shipping. This book is written to bridge this gap and presents a holistic view of the maritime dimension of SES. It is written for the general reader as well as students who are undergoing a course in energy systems, maritime management, naval studies andenergy sustainability.It wouldalso beofinterest totheenergy planner and policymaker. The content is tailored to meet the intellectual curiosity of the inquisitivereaderandintroducesvariousspecializedtopicsthataredealtinasimple and concise manner. The book does not claim to be a reference manual, but it is helpfulininitiatingthereadertovariousissuesandtopicsintheenergysecurityand sustainabilityinthemaritimedomain.Thebookissubdividedintothreeparts.PartI presentstheconceptofSESandtheglobalenergysystem,PartIIfocusesonenergy trade and maritime dynamics, and Part III highlights oceans as harbingers of SES. The maritime domain and sustainable energy are two critical aspects of the twenty-first century which will shape the future of humanity. It is hoped that this bookwouldfillinacritical gapintheunderstandingofthemaritime dimensionof SES. Geneva, Switzerland Kapil Narula May 2018 Contents Part I Concept of SES and Global Energy System 1 Energy Security and Sustainability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.2 Energy Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2.1 Definitions of Energy Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.2.2 Emergence of Concerns on Energy Security . . . . . . . . . . 7 1.2.3 Salient Aspects of Energy Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 1.3 Sustainable Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.3.1 Definitions of Sustainable Energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.3.2 Characteristics of Sustainable Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 1.4 Sustainable Energy Security (SES). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1.4.1 Relationship Between Energy Security and Sustainability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1.4.2 Energy System Framework. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 1.4.3 Definition and Characteristics of SES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 1.4.4 Importance of SES. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 1.4.5 Competing Dimensions of SES. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 1.5 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 2 Global Energy System and Sustainable Energy Security . . . . . . . . . 23 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.2 Changing Characteristics of Energy System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 2.2.1 Primary Energy Supply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 2.2.2 Energy Conversion and Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2.2.3 Energy Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 2.3 Resource Availability and Accessibility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2.3.1 Estimate of Fossil Fuel Reserves and R/P Ratio. . . . . . . . 30 2.3.2 Increasing Net Energy Import Dependence and Energy Insecurity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 ix x Contents 2.4 Affordability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 2.4.1 Increasing Price of Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 2.4.2 Increased Volatility in Energy Prices. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.5 Efficiency. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.5.1 Conversion Efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 2.5.2 Electricity Distribution Efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 2.5.3 End-Use Efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.6 Acceptability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.6.1 Growth in Global GHG Emissions and Its Impact . . . . . . 36 2.6.2 Share of Energy Sector in Global GHG Emissions. . . . . . 38 2.6.3 Energy Use and Local Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 2.7 Energy Equity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 2.7.1 Per Capita Energy Consumption. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 2.7.2 Lack of Clean Energy Access. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 2.8 Forecasts and Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 2.8.1 Total Primary Energy Consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.8.2 Relative Share of Primary Energy Consumption . . . . . . . 43 2.8.3 Global Energy Consumption for Different Sectors . . . . . . 44 2.8.4 Installed Electricity Generation Capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 2.9 Other Concerns. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 2.9.1 Integration of Renewables in Electricity Grid and Storage. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 2.9.2 Emissions Constraints Post Paris Agreement . . . . . . . . . . 46 2.9.3 Sustainable Energy Security and Sustainable Development Goals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 2.10 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Part II Energy Trade and Maritime Dynamics 3 Energy Supply Chains and the Maritime Domain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 3.2 Energy Supply Chains for Fossil Fuels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 3.2.1 Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 3.2.2 Crude Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.2.3 Natural Gas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.3 Port Infrastructure for Energy Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 3.3.1 Coal Transportation Facilities in Ports. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 3.3.2 Oil Tanker Facilities in Ports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.3.3 LNG Facilities in Ports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 3.4 Port Management and Efficient Port Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 3.4.1 Port Productivity and Its Determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 3.4.2 Integrated Planning and Multimodal Connectivity . . . . . . 69 3.4.3 Transshipment and Inland Waterway Connectivity. . . . . . 69 3.5 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71

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