Table Of Content

The Lessons of Tragedy 2 3 4 Published with assistance from the income of the Frederick John Kingsbury Memorial Fund. Published with assistance from the foundation established in memory of Philip Hamilton McMillan of the Class of 1894, Yale College. Copyright © 2019 by Hal Brands and Charles Edel. All rights reserved. This book may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, including illustrations, in any form (beyond that copying permitted by Sections 107 and 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law and except by reviewers for the public press), without written permission from the publishers. Yale University Press books may be purchased in quantity for educational, business, or promotional use. For information, please e-mail [email protected] (U.S. office) or [email protected] (U.K. office). Set in Minion type by IDS Infotech, Ltd. Printed in the United States of America. Library of Congress Control Number: 2018950176 ISBN 978-0-300-23824-2 (hardcover : alk. paper) A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 5 For Henry and Annabelle and Caleb and Henry 6 Contents Acknowledgments INTRODUCTION. ONE. The Virtues of Tragedy TWO. Tragedy as the Norm THREE. Tragedy as Inspiration FOUR. The Great Escape FIVE. The Contemporary Amnesia SIX. The Darkening Horizon SEVEN. Rediscovering Tragedy Notes Index 7 Acknowledgments This is a short book, but we have accumulated a long list of debts. For lending their time, expertise, and support, we would like to thank Ross Babbage, Jim Baker, Frances Brown, Eliot Cohen, Eric Crahan, Ron Daniels, Charlie Davis, Peter Dutton, Liz Economy, Eric Edelman, Jeffrey Engel, David Epstein, Andrew Erickson, Peter Feaver, John Lewis Gaddis, Patrick Gaughen, Frank Gavin, Simon Goldfine, Gorana Grgic, Toby Harshaw, Charlie Hill, Will Inboden, Simon Jackman, Colin Jackson, Donald Kagan, Colin Kahl, Paul Kennedy, Michael Kimmage, Thomas LeBien, Tom Mahnken, John Maurer, Andrew May, Walter Russell Mead, David Milne, Siddharth Mohandas, Jared Mondscheir, Michael Morgan, Vali Nasr, Aaron Nygunes, Aaron O’Connell, Michael O’Hara, Nikhil Patel, Mira Rapp-Hooper, Ely Ratner, Kori Schake, Drew Sheldrick, James Simpson, Jim Steinberg, Jeremi Suri, Adam Swaim, Julia Sweig, James Wilson, and Toshi Yoshihara. Whether they know it or not, this book was much enriched by their advice and support. Having attended graduate school together, we were also lucky to end up working in government at the same time. Our experience there informed this book; we would like to thank the Council on Foreign Relations for making those experiences possible. We would also like to thank our institutional homes—the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments for Hal, the U.S. Studies Centre at the University of Sydney for Charlie—for providing intellectually stimulating environments. Hal 8 would particularly like to thank Pablo Scuticchio, Emily Hardman, and Brogan Ingstad for their assistance in researching the book. At Yale University Press, Jaya Aninda Chatterjee was a pleasure to work with, and Dan Heaton and Joyce Ippolito helped steer the book through the production process. Our agent, Rafe Sagalyn, provided much helpful advice and assistance. We would also like to thank the anonymous reviewer who provided many thoughtful and encouraging comments. Last, but not least, a special thanks to our families for their constant support—Brands, Stallcups, Hsus, and Changs; Edels, McClellands, and Moriahs. Most important, we would like to thank those closest to home. Emily, Henry, and Annabelle and Kira, Caleb, and Henry made this work possible. This book could not have been written without them. Without them, it would not have been worth writing. 9 The Lessons of Tragedy 10