THE LAND OF TOO MUCH THE LAND OF TO O MUCH AMERICAN ABUNDANCE AND THE PARADOX OF POVERTY Monica Prasad harvard university press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, En gland 2012 Copyright © 2012 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College All rights reserved Printed in the United States of America Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data Prasad, Monica. The land of too much : American abundance and the paradox of poverty / Monica Prasad. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978- 0- 674- 06652- 6 (alk. paper) 1. United States— Economic policy. 2. United States— Social policy. 3. Fiscal policy— United States. I. Title. HC103.P843 2012 338.5'2120973—dc23 2012010526 For Stefan CONTENTS List of Figures and Tables ix Preface xi Part One Explaining American State Intervention 1 The Farmers’ Tour 3 2 Comparing Capitalisms 25 3 A Demand- Side Theory of Comparative Po liti cal Economy 46 Part Two The Agrarian Regulation of Taxation 4 The Non- History of National Sales Tax 99 5 The Land of Too Much 125 6 Progressive Taxation and the Welfare State 148 Part Three The Agrarian Regulation of Finance 7 American Adversarial Regulation 175 8 The Democ ratization of Credit 196 9 The Credit/Welfare State Trade-O ff 227 Part Four Conclusion 10 American Mortgage Keynesianism: Summary and Policy Implications 249 Notes 267 References 275 Ac know ledg ments 317 Index 319 FIGURES AND TABLES Figures 2.1 Pre- tax and transfer in e qual ity and post- tax and transfer in e qual ity 33 3.1 Index of industrial production, 1870–1 912 59 3.2 Index of agricultural output, 1869–1 950 60 3.3 Index of manufacturing output, 1869–1 941 61 3.4 Total GDP, 1820–1 924 62 3.5 Wholesale commodity price index, 1848–1 943 67 3.6 U.S. mortgage interest rates, 1869–1 885 73 3.7 Index of agricultural output, 1889–1 929 84 3.8 “How to see our wheat” 87 7.1 Restrictiveness of banking regulation before 1999 177 8.1 Index of activity in the building industry, 1925– 1929 and 1932 206 10.1 Argument of the book 252 Tables 1.1 The United States compared to other industrialized countries 8 3.1 GDP per capita 57 4.1 Regional voting on sales tax in Congress, November 3 and 4, 1921, Republicans only 107 4.2 Regional preferences for sales tax in Congress, 1932 112 8.1 Regional voting on McFadden Act in House of Representatives, February 4, 1926 220 9.1 The demand for credit, 1980–2 005 233 9.2 The effect of deregulation on credit for different levels of social spending 234 ix
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