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The knowledge we have lost in information : the history of information in modern economics PDF

313 Pages·2017·2.085 MB·English
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THE KNOWLEDGE WE HAVE LOST IN INFORMATION THE KNOWLEDGE WE HAVE LOST IN INFORMATION The History of Information in Modern Economics Philip Mirowski and Edward Nik-K hah 1 1 Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and certain other countries. Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America. © Philip Mirowski and Edward Nik- Khah 2017 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by license, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reproduction rights organization. Inquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above. You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer. Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data Names: Mirowski, Philip, 1951- author. | Nik-Khah, Edward M., author. Title: The knowledge we have lost in information: the history of information in modern economics / Philip Mirowski & Edward Nik-Khah. Description: New York City: Oxford University Press, 2017. | Includes index. Identifiers: LCCN 2016036012 | ISBN 9780190270056 (hardcover) Subjects: LCSH: Neoliberalism. | Neoclassical school of economics. | Practical reason. | Economics. Classification: LCC JC574.M567 2017 | DDC 338.501—dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2016036012 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 Printed by Sheridan Books, Inc., United States of America CONTENTS List of Figures and Tables  vii Acknowledgments  ix 1. It’s Not Rational  1 2. The Standard Narrative and the Bigger Picture  31 3. Natural Science Inspirations  45 4. The Nobels and the Neoliberals  51 5. The Socialist Calculation Controversy as the Starting Point of the Economics of Information  60 6. Hayek Changes His Mind  66 7. The Neoclassical Economics of Information Was Incubated at Cowles  73 8. Three Different Modalities of Information in Neoclassical Theory  101 CONTENTS 9. Going the Market One Better  124 10. The History of Markets and the Theory of Market Design  144 11. The Walrasian School of Design  161 12. The Bayes- Nash School of Design  170 13. The Experimentalist School of Design  183 14. Hayek and the Schools of Design  193 15. Designs on the Market: The FCC Spectrum Auctions  207 16. Private Intellectuals and Public Perplexity: The TARP  221 17. Artificial Ignorance  233 Notes  243 Bibliography  271 Index  293 VI LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES FIGURES 3.1 Shannon Information Theory  46 8.1 The Block Universe of Relativistic Physics  110 8.2 The Harsanyi Setup  114 10.1 Orthodox Trajectory Through Information Space, I  153 10.2 Orthodox Trajectory Through Information Space, II  159 11.1 Reiter’s Schematic  165 12.1 An Equilibrium Bidding Strategy, According to the Bayes- Nash Approach  177 14.1 Orthodox Trajectory Through Information Space, III  204 LIST OF F IGURES AND T ABLES TABLES 4.1 Economics of Information/ Knowledge Nobel List, 1969– 1994  52 7.1 Cowles Commission Members and their Information Enthusiasms  80 8.1 Three Formal Approaches to Information  102 15.1 Auctionomics’ Product Comparisons  220 VIII ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We were inspired to write this book after accepting an invitation extended by the Institute for New Economic Thinking to pres- ent a short course on the history of twentieth- century economics. Both of us, jointly and separately, had written on themes relevant to this topic: the confusion evident in the sundry treatments of information by economists, the neoliberalization of the econom- ics profession, the constructivist turn in economics, and the largely misunderstood legacy of experimental economics, among others. Our intention was to summarize this previous work and draw from it lessons relevant to our post- crisis world: without understand- ing where orthodox economics is headed, how can the student get excited about the “new”? Thus, we set out to explain how the economics profession ended up in its current state, seen from a doctrinal perspective. We already had bits and pieces of the story in hand, but setting out to weave them into a coherent and (we hope) compelling narrative required that we push far beyond anything we had previously written. What you hold in your hands is the result.

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